scholarly journals Systemic Immune-Inflammatory Index predicts prognosis of patients with COVID-19: a retrospective study

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hong Li ◽  
Jia-bao Huang ◽  
Wen Pan ◽  
Cun-tai Zhang ◽  
Xiao-yan Chang ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Our study aimed to investigate the prognostic value of a novel inflammatory index, systemic immune-inflammation index (SII), with the clinical outcomes of patients infected with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19).Methods We evaluated a cohort study of COVID-19 patients (18–95 years old) in Tongji Hospital of Huazhong University of Science and Technology from January 28th 2020 to February 29th 2020. The enrolled patients were divided into two groups (including low-SII group and high-SII group) according to the cut-off point which is analyzed by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. Univariate and multivariate COX regression analysis were performed to identify the factors associated with the outcomes of patients with COVID-19 infection. The primary and secondary outcome were in-hospital mortality and the development of acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS), respectively.Results A number of 326 adult patients (43.87% males, 61.22 ± 0.86 years) were enrolled in the final analyses. There were 147 cases (45.09%) died in hospital and 116 patients (35.58%) developed ARDS. ROC curve analysis indicated that the SII had a greater prediction accuracy in predicting the in-hospital mortality (area under the curve [AUC] = 0.789, sensitivity = 69.90%, specificity = 70.80%) and the development of ARDS (AUC = 0.736, sensitivity = 67.80%, specificity = 71.10%). Kaplan-Meier analysis revealed that patients in high-SII group had a greater risk of adverse clinical outcomes (all P < 0.001). The multivariate Cox regression analysis indicated that elevated SII was found as the risk predictor of in-hospital mortality (hazard ratio [HR] = 2.839, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.116–7.222, P = 0.028) and the developed ARDS (HR = 6.832, 95%CI = 2.583–18.074, P < 0.001). Additional significant independent predictor for adverse outcomes was the lymphocyte proportion. What’s more, it suggests that the invasive mechanical ventilation performed in the early stage of the disease progression may be beneficial for patients.Conclusion SII, a novel biomarker, might be a remarkable prognostic indicator to assess the in-hospital mortality and the development of ARDS in patients with COVID-19 and help for clinical risk assessment.

2021 ◽  
Vol 52 (2) ◽  
pp. 119-130
Author(s):  
Ae Jin Kim ◽  
Han Ro ◽  
Hyunsook Kim ◽  
Jae Hyun Chang ◽  
Hyun Hee Lee ◽  
...  

<b><i>Background:</i></b> Soluble suppression of tumorigenicity-2 (sST2) and galectin-3, novel biomarkers of heart failure and cardiovascular stress, predict cardiovascular events (CVEs) and mortality. However, their relationship with kidney function and adverse outcomes in CKD are uncertain. The purpose of this study was to determine the association between sST2 and galectin-3 with CKD progression and adverse clinical outcomes. <b><i>Methods:</i></b> We measured baseline sST2 and galectin-3 levels in the CKD patient cohort at our institution between October 2013 and December 2014. The primary outcome was CKD progression (kidney failure with replacement therapy or ≥50% reduction in estimated glomerular filtration rate from the baseline). The secondary outcome was the composite of CVEs and death. We used a Cox proportional hazards model to evaluate the associations between sST2 and galectin-3 levels, with kidney and clinical outcomes. <b><i>Results:</i></b> In total, 352 patients were enrolled in this study. At baseline, log sST2 and galectin-3 were directly associated with the serum creatinine (Cr) and urine protein-to-Cr ratio. Cox regression analysis showed that the baseline log sST2 level independently predicted CKD progression and composite outcome after adjustment for age, sex, smoking, diabetes mellitus, hypertension, cardiovascular disease, renin-angiotensin system blocker, calcium channel blocker, β-blocker, diuretics, antiplatelet agents, anemia, and hypoalbuminemia. The baseline log galectin-3 level was independently associated with CKD progression, but not with the composite outcome after adjustment for confounding variables. <b><i>Conclusions:</i></b> Elevated levels of sST2 and galectin-3 are significantly associated with CKD progression, but only sST2 is associated with adverse clinical outcomes.


2021 ◽  
Vol 23 (Supplement_G) ◽  
Author(s):  
Marrco Vitolo ◽  
Vincenzo Livio Malavasi ◽  
Marco Proietti ◽  
Igor Diemberger ◽  
Laurent Fauchier ◽  
...  

Abstract Aims Cardiac troponins (cTn) have been reported to be predictors for adverse outcomes in atrial fibrillation (AF), patients, but their actual use is still unclear. To assess the factors associated with cTn testing in routine clinical practice and to evaluate the association of elevated levels of cTn with adverse outcomes in a large contemporary cohort of European AF patients. Methods and results Patients enrolled in the ESC-EHRA EORP-AF General Long-Term Registry were stratified into three groups according to cTn levels as (i) cTn not tested, (ii) cTn in range (≤99th percentile), and (iii) cTn elevated (&gt;99th percentile). The composite outcome of any thromboembolism/any acute coronary syndrome (ACS)/cardiovascular (CV) death, defined as major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) and all-cause death were the main endpoints. 10 445 (94.1%) AF patients were included in this analysis [median age 71 years, interquartile range (IQR): 63–77; males 59.7%]. cTn were tested in 2834 (27.1%). Overall, cTn was elevated in 904 (8.7%) and in-range in 1930 (18.5%) patients. Patients in whom cTn was tested tended to be younger (P &lt; 0.001) and more frequently presenting with first detected AF and atypical AF-related symptoms (i.e. chest pain, dyspnoea, or syncope) (P &lt; 0.001). On multivariable logistic regression analysis, female sex, in-hospital enrollment, first-detected AF, CV risk factors, history of coronary artery disease (CAD), and atypical AF symptoms were independently associated with cTn testing. After a median follow-up of 730 days (IQR: 692–749), 957 (9.7%) composite endpoints occurred while all-cause death was 9.5%. Kaplan–Meier analysis showed a higher cumulative risk for both outcomes in patients with elevated cTn levels (Figure) (Log Rank tests, P &lt; 0.001). On adjusted Cox regression analysis, elevated levels of cTn were independently associated with a higher risk for MACE [hazard ratio (HR): 1.74, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.40–2.16] and all-cause death (HR 1.45, 95% CI: 1.21–1.74). Elevated levels of cTn were independently associated with a higher occurrence of MACE, all-cause death, any ACS, CV death and hospital readmission even after the exclusion of patients with history of CAD, diagnosis of ACS at discharge, those who underwent coronary revascularization during the admission and/or who were treated with oral anticoagulants plus antiplatelet therapy. Conclusions Elevated cTn levels were independently associated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality and adverse CV events, even after exclusion of CAD patients. Clinical factors that might enhance the need to rule out CAD were associated with cTn testing.


2020 ◽  
Vol 14 (18) ◽  
pp. 1733-1745
Author(s):  
Tian-Jun Zhao ◽  
Qian-Kun Yang ◽  
Chun-Yu Tan ◽  
Li-Dan Bi ◽  
Jie Li ◽  
...  

Aim: To evaluate the clinical value of plasma D-dimer/fibrinogen ratio (DFR) in patients hospitalized for heart failure (HF). Methods: Clinical data of 235 patients were retrospectively analyzed. Kaplan–Meier method and Cox regression analysis were used to identify significant prognosticators. Results: The Kaplan–Meier analysis showed that a higher DFR level was significantly associated with an increase in the end point outcomes, including HF readmission, thrombotic events and death (log-rank test: p < 0.001). The multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that the high tertile of DFR was significantly associated with the study end points (HR: 2.18; 95% CI: 1.31–3.62; p = 0.003), compared with the low tertile. Conclusion: DFR is a reliable prognostic indicator for patients hospitalized for HF.


2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (4) ◽  
pp. 1236 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael Bender ◽  
Kristin Haferkorn ◽  
Michaela Friedrich ◽  
Eberhard Uhl ◽  
Marco Stein

Objective: The impact of increased C-reactive protein (CRP)/albumin ratio on intra-hospital mortality has been investigated among patients admitted to general intensive care units (ICU). However, it was not investigated among patients with spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH). This study aimed to investigate the impact of CRP/albumin ratio on intra-hospital mortality in patients with ICH. Patients and Methods: This retrospective study was conducted on 379 ICH patients admitted between 02/2008 and 12/2017. Blood samples were drawn upon admission and the patients’ demographic, medical, and radiological data were collected. The identification of the independent prognostic factors for intra-hospital mortality was calculated using binary logistic regression and COX regression analysis. Results: Multivariate regression analysis shows that higher CRP/albumin ratio (odds ratio (OR) = 1.66, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.193–2.317, p = 0.003) upon admission is an independent predictor of intra-hospital mortality. Multivariate Cox regression analysis indicated that an increase of 1 in the CRP/albumin ratio was associated with a 15.3% increase in the risk of intra-hospital mortality (hazard ratio = 1.153, 95% CI = 1.005–1.322, p = 0.42). Furthermore, a CRP/albumin ratio cut-off value greater than 1.22 was associated with increased intra-hospital mortality (Youden’s Index = 0.19, sensitivity = 28.8, specificity = 89.9, p = 0.007). Conclusions: A CRP/albumin ratio greater than 1.22 upon admission was significantly associated with intra-hospital mortality in the ICH patients.


2019 ◽  
Vol 40 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
G Boriani ◽  
M Proietti ◽  
C Laroche ◽  
E Fantecchi ◽  
M Popescu ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Several equations exist to estimate creatinine clearance according to serum creatinine values and baseline characteristics. The CKD-EPI equation is usually recommended in general population, while the Cockroft-Gault (CG) equation has been used in atrial fibrillation (AF) clinical trials. Purpose To perform a comparison between 6 different equations for evaluation of renal function in AF patients. Methods We calculated CKD-EPI, CG, body surface area adjusted CG (CG BSA), MDRD, BIS1 and FAS equations in AF patients enrolled in the EORP-AF Long-Term General Registry. Outcomes at 1-year follow-up were considered. Results Renal equations were calculated in 7725 patients. According to CKD-EPI mean (SD) creatinine clearance was 69.14 (21.06) mL/min/1.73 m2. Taking CKD-EPI as reference, the MDRD equation showed the highest agreement (weighted kappa [95% CI]: 0.843 [0.833–0.852]), while CK showed the lowest agreement (weighted kappa [95% CI]: 0.593 [0.580–0.606]. The remaining equations showed moderate agreement. Cox regression analysis showed that all equations were inversely associated with all major adverse outcomes [Figure]. The CKD-EPI equation showed modest predictive ability for the three outcomes (c-statistics: any TE/ACS/CV Death: 0.63379; CV Death: 0.68512; All-Cause Death: 0.67183), with all other equations reporting higher c-statistics (delta-c statistic ranging from +0.01497 for FAS equation for any TE/ACS/CV Death to +0.04547 for CG BSA for all-cause death) for all outcomes (all p<0.0001, for any equation for any outcome). Compared to CKD-EPI, all the other equations showed an improvement in prediction of outcomes, according to IDI and NRI, with the exception of FAS equation for any TE/ACS/CV Death. CG BSA equation showed the greatest improvement in prediction of outcomes compared to CKD-EPI (relative IDI: 21.9% for any TE/ACS/CV Death, 28.8% for CV Death, 34.4% for All-Cause Death). Cox Regression Analysis Conclusions Compared to CKD-EPI equation, all the other equations for creatine clearance has stronger associations with adverse outcomes, with the CG BSA reporting the higher yield for all the outcomes considered.


Angiology ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 70 (1) ◽  
pp. 69-77 ◽  
Author(s):  
Adnan Kaya ◽  
Muhammed Keskin ◽  
Mustafa Adem Tatlisu ◽  
Osman Kayapinar

We evaluated the effect of serum potassium (K) deviation on in-hospital and long-term clinical outcomes in patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction who were normokalemic at admission. A total of 2773 patients with an admission serum K level of 3.5 to 4.5 mEq/L were retrospectively analyzed. The patients were categorized into 3 groups according to their K deviation: normokalemia-to-hypokalemia, normokalemia-to-normokalemia, and normokalemia-to-hyperkalemia. In-hospital mortality, long-term mortality, and ventricular arrhythmias rates were compared among the groups. In a hierarchical multivariable regression analysis, the in-hospital mortality risk was higher in normokalemia-to-hypokalemia (odds ratio [OR] 3.03; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.72-6.82) and normokalemia-to-hyperkalemia groups (OR 2.81; 95% CI, 1.93-4.48) compared with the normokalemia-to-normokalemia group. In a Cox regression analysis, long-term mortality risk was also higher in normokalemia-to-hypokalemia (hazard ratio [HR] 3.78; 95% CI, 2.07-7.17) and normokalemia-to-hyperkalemia groups (HR, 2.97; 95% CI, 2.10-4.19) compared with the normokalemia-to-normokalemia group. Ventricular arrhythmia risk was also higher in normokalemia-to-hypokalemia group (OR 2.98; 95% CI, 1.41-5.75) compared with normokalemia-to-normokalemia group. The current study showed an increased in-hospital ventricular arrhythmia and mortality and long-term mortality rates with the deviation of serum K levels from normal ranges.


2021 ◽  
Vol 42 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
T Nishimura ◽  
K Senoo ◽  
I Hibiki ◽  
T Okura ◽  
T Miki ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Atrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with increased risks of stroke and heart failure. AF risk prediction can facilitate the efficient deployment of diagnosis or interventions to prevent AF. Purpose We sought to assess the combination prediction value of Holter electrocardiogram (Holter ECG) and the CHARGE-AF score (Cohorts for Aging and Research in Genomic Epidemiology-AF) for the new-onset of AF in a single center study. We also investigated the association between clinical findings and the new-onset of cerebral cardiovascular events. Methods From January 2008 and May 2014, 1246 patients with aged≥20 undergoing Holter ECG for palpitations, dizziness, or syncope were recruited. Among them, 350 patients were enrolled in this study after exclusion of 1) AF history at the time of inspection or before, 2) post cardiac device implantation, 3) follow-up duration &lt;1 year, and 4) no 12-lead ECG records within 6 months around Holter ECG. Results During the 5.9-year follow-up, 40 patients (11.4%) developed AF incidence. Multivariate cox regression analysis revealed that CHARGE-AF score (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.59, 95% confidence interval (95% CI): 1.13–2.26, P&lt;0.01), BMI (HR: 0.91, 95% CI: 0.83–0.99, P=0.03), frequent supraventricular extrasystoles (SVEs) ≥1000 beats/day (HR: 4.87, 95% CI: 2.59–9.13, P&lt;0.001) and first-degree AV block (HR: 3.52, 95% CI: 1.63–7.61, P&lt;0.01) were significant independent predictors for newly AF. The area under the ROC curve (AUC) of the combination of the CHARGE-AF score and frequent SVEs (≥1000) was greater than the CHARGE-AF score alone (0.73, 95% CI: 0.64–0.82 vs 0.66, 95% CI: 0.56–0.75, respectively). On the ROC curve, the CHARGE-AF score of 12.9 was optimum cut-off value for newly AF. Patients with both the CHARGE-AF score≥12.9 and SVEs≥1000 developed AF at 129.0/1000 person-years, compared with those with the CHARGE-AF score&lt;12.9 and SVEs≥1000 (48.9), the CHARGE-AF score≥12.9 and SVEs&lt;1000 (40.0) and the CHARGE-AF score&lt;12.9 and SVEs&lt;1000 (7.4), respectively. In multivariate cox regression analysis, age, past history of congestive heart failure and myocardial infarction, and antihypertensive medication were significant predictors of cerebral cardiovascular events (n=43), all of which signifying the components of the CHARGE-AF score. The AUC of the combination of the CHARGE-AF score and frequent SVEs (≥1000) was not different from the CHARGE-AF score alone (0.73, 95% CI: 0.64–0.81 vs 0.73, 95% CI: 0.64–0.82, respectively). Conclusion CHARGE-AF score has higher predictive power of both the new incident AF and cerebral cardiovascular events. The combination of CHARGE-AF score and SVEs≥1000 beats/day in Holter ECG can demonstrate the additional effect of prediction ability for the new incident AF, but not for cerebral cardiovascular events. FUNDunding Acknowledgement Type of funding sources: None.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Liusheng Wu ◽  
Xiaoqiang Li ◽  
Jixian Liu ◽  
Da Wu ◽  
Dingwang Wu ◽  
...  

Abstract Objective: Autophagy-related LncRNA genes play a vital role in the development of esophageal adenocarcinoma.Our study try to construct a prognostic model of autophagy-related LncRNA esophageal adenocarcinoma, and use this model to calculate patients with esophageal adenocarcinoma. The survival risk value of esophageal adenocarcinoma can be used to evaluate its survival prognosis. At the same time, to explore the sites of potential targeted therapy genes to provide valuable guidance for the clinical diagnosis and treatment of esophageal adenocarcinoma.Methods: Our study have downloaded 261 samples of LncRNA-related transcription and clinical data of 87 patients with esophageal adenocarcinoma from the TCGA database, and 307 autophagy-related gene data from www.autuphagy.com. We applied R software (Version 4.0.2) for data analysis, merged the transcriptome LncRNA genes, autophagy-related genes and clinical data, and screened autophagy LncRNA genes related to the prognosis of esophageal adenocarcinoma. We also performed KEGG and GO enrichment analysis and GSEA enrichment analysis in these LncRNA genes to analysis the risk characteristics and bioinformatics functions of signal transduction pathways. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis were used to determine the correlation between autophagy-related LncRNA and independent risk factors. The establishment of ROC curve facilitates the evaluation of the feasibility of predicting prognostic models, and further studies the correlation between autophagy-related LncRNA and the clinical characteristics of patients with esophageal adenocarcinoma. Finally, we also used survival analysis, risk analysis and independent prognostic analysis to verify the prognosis model of esophageal adenocarcinoma.Results: We screened and identified 22 autophagic LncRNA genes that are highly correlated with the overall survival (OS) of patients with esophageal adenocarcinoma. The area under the ROC curve(AUC=0.941)and the calibration curve have a good lineup, which has statistical analysis value. In addition, univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that the autophagy LncRNA feature of this esophageal adenocarcinoma is an independent predictor of esophageal adenocarcinoma.Conclusion: These LncRNA screened and identified may participate in the regulation of cellular autophagy pathways, and at the same time affect the tumor development and prognosis of patients with esophageal adenocarcinoma. These results indicate that risk signature and nomogram are important indicators related to the prognosis of patients with esophageal adenocarcinoma.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rui Wang ◽  
Zian Feng ◽  
Jie Hu ◽  
Xiaodong He ◽  
Zuojun Shen

Abstract Background: N6-methyladenosine (m6A) RNA modification is the most abundant modification method in mRNA, and it plays an important role in the occurrence and development of many cancers. However, data on the role of m6A RNA methylation regulators in lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD) are still lacking. This paper mainly discusses the role of m6A RNA methylation regulators in LUAD, to identify novel prognostic biomarkers.Methods: The gene expression data of 19 m6A methylation regulator in LUAD patients and its relevant clinical parameters were extracted from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) database. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) Cox regression algorithm were performed to construct a risk signature and evaluated its prognostic prediction efficiency by using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. The risk score of each patient was calculated according to the risk signature, and LUAD patients were divided into high-risk group and low-risk group. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis and Cox regression analysis were used to identify the independent prognostic significance of risk signature. Finally, Gene Ontology (GO), Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG), and Gene Set Enrichment Analysis (GSEA) were used to explore the differential signaling pathways and cellular processes between the two groups.Results: The expression of 15 m6A RNA methylation regulators in LUAD tissues was significantly different than that in normal tissues. YTHDF3, YTHDF2, KIAA1429, HNRNPA2B1, RBM15, METTL3, HNRNPC, YTHDF1, IGF2BP2, IGF2BP3, IGF2BP1 were significantly up-regulated in LUAD, and the expressions of FTO, ZC3H13, WTAP, and METL14 were significantly down-regulated. We selected IGF2BP1, HNRNPC, and HNRNPA2B1 to construct the risk signature. ROC curve indicated the area under the curve (AUC) was 0.659, which means the risk signature had a good prediction efficiency. The results of Kaplan-Meier survival analysis and Cox regression analysis showed that the risk score can be used as an independent prognostic factor for LUAD.Conclusions: The m6A RNA methylation regulators IGF2BP1, HNRNPC, and HNRNPA2B1 have a significant correlation with the clinicopathological characteristics of LUAD, which may be a promising prognostic feature and clinical treatment target.


2019 ◽  
Vol 40 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
M Proietti ◽  
C Laroche ◽  
A Tello-Montoliu ◽  
R Lenarczyk ◽  
G A Dan ◽  
...  

Abstract Introduction Heart failure (HF) is a well-known risk factor for atrial fibrillation (AF). Moreover, HF is associated with worse clinical outcomes in patients with known AF. Recently, phenotypes of HF have been redefined according to the level of ejection fraction (EF). New data are needed to understand if a differential risk for outcomes exists according to the new phenotypes' definitions. Purpose To evaluate the risk of major adverse outcomes in patients with AF and HF according to HF clinical phenotypes. Methods We performed a subgroup analysis of AF patients enrolled in the EORP-AF Long-Term General Registry with a history of HF at baseline, available EF and follow-up data. Patients were categorized as follows: i) EF<40%, i.e. HF reduced EF [HFrEF]; ii) EF 40–49%, i.e. HF mid-range EF [HFmrEF]; iii) EF ≥50%, i.e. HF preserved EF [HFpEF]. Any thromboembolic event (TE)/acute coronary syndrome (ACS)/cardiovascular (CV) death, CV death and all-cause death were recorded. Results A total of 3409 patients were included in this analysis: of these, 907 (26.6%) had HFrEF, 779 (22.9%) had HFmrEF and 1723 (50.5%) had HFpEF. An increasing proportion with CHA2DS2-VASc ≥2 was found across the three groups: 90.4% in HFrEF, 94.6% in HFmrEF and 97.3% in HFpEF (p<0.001), while lower proportions of HAS-BLED ≥3 were seen (28.0% in HFrEF, 26.3% in HFmrEF and 23.6% in HFpEF, p=0.035). At discharge patients with HFpEF were less likely treated with antiplatelet drugs (22.0%) compared to other classes and were less prescribed with vitamin K antagonists (VKA) (57.0%) and with any oral anticoagulant (OAC) (85.7%). No differences were found in terms of non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulant use. At 1-year follow-up, a progressively lower rate for all study outcomes (all p<0.001), with an increasing cumulative survival, was found across the three groups, with patients with HFpEF having better survival (all p<0.0001 for Kaplan-Meier curves). After full adjustment, Cox regression analysis showed that compared to HFrEF, HFmrEF and HFpEF were associated with risk of all study outcomes (Table). Cox Regression Analysis HR (95% CI) Any TE/ACS/CV Death CV Death All-Cause Death HFmrEF 0.65 (0.49–0.86) 0.53 (0.38–0.74) 0.55 (0.41–0.74) HFpEF 0.50 (0.39–0.64) 0.42 (0.31–0.56) 0.45 (0.35–0.59) ACS = Acute Coronary Syndrome; CI = Confidence Interval; CV = Cardiovascular; EF = Ejection Fraction; HF = Heart Failure; HR = Hazard Ratio. Conclusions In this cohort of AF patients with HF, HFpEF was the most common phenotype, being associated with a profile related to an increased thromboembolic risk. Compared to HFrEF, both HFmrEF and HFpEF were associated with a lower risk of all major adverse outcomes in AF patients.


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