scholarly journals Effect of financial deepening on economic growth: Does it encourage income group transition?

2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (4) ◽  
pp. 101-113
Author(s):  
Yuliia Shapoval ◽  
Oleksii Shpanel-Yukhta

The rapid growth of financial deepening raises the problem of its effect, beneficial for economic development. This paper aims to demonstrate the relationship between economic growth (GDP per capita growth, GNI per capita) and financial depth (domestic credit to private sector and credit availability) in 142 countries, split into four income groups, over 2000–2020, using correlation analysis and data from the World Bank and the IMF. Besides, a comparative analysis of domestic credit to the private sector, economic freedom, Gini index, total government expenditure and national savings of countries that increased their income group status over 2011–2020 is presented. Financial deepening (increased credit availability and expansion of domestic credit to the private sector) encourages economic growth (via GNI per capita and GDP per capita growth). Although the presence of a nonlinear relationship between economic growth (GDP per capita growth) and financial depth (domestic credit to private sector and credit availability) over 1991–2020 is insufficient, there is a linear relationship between GNI per capita and credit availability, between credit availability and domestic credit to the private sector for the same sample of countries over 2000–2020. Meanwhile, there is a tendency towards a decrease in the correlation between GNI per capita and GDP per capita growth. Given the revealed linear correlation between domestic credit to the private sector and GNI per capita, financial deepening positively impacts income growth, and this dependence strengthens with increasing income levels. Target values of domestic credit to the private sector are proposed for the income group transition. AcknowledgmentThe paper was funded as a part of the “Relationship between financial depth and economic growth in Ukraine” research project (No. 0121U110766), conducted at the State Institution “Institute for Economics and Forecasting of the NAS of Ukraine”.

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 (6) ◽  
pp. 72-88
Author(s):  
Yuliia SHAPOVAL ◽  

The generalization of quantitative and qualitative scientific approaches to the essence of financial depth enables to define it as a resulting characteristic that demonstrates the saturation of the economy with financial resources, that allows assessing the ability of the financial system to effectively mobilize and redistribute financial resources to achieve sustainable economic development. The retrospective analysis of empirical hypotheses linking the financial depth of the economy and economic growth suggests that while some scholars focus on the importance of financial depth in economic development, others emphasize the effects of financial crises caused by rapid financial deepening, in particular credit expansion. The focus of contemporary research is on the nonlinearity of the relationship between financial depth and long-term economic growth and on defining the limit of financial development, exceeding which inhibits economic growth or negatively impacts it. Among the positives of financial deepening is the expansion of access to financial resources (increase in the volume and diversification of financial instruments), reduction of income inequality and smoothing of consumption, diversification of production risks. Among the risks of financial deepening is the deterioration of the current account due to excessive lending, unproductive investment, growth in employment in non-productive sectors, limitation of the use of fiscal policy as an instrument of countercyclical policy. It is noted that formation of the financial depth of the economy depends on the characteristics of financial resources and as well in structural, macroeconomic, political and institutional factors of economic development. While the world tends to increase the ratio of financial assets, broad money, domestic credit provided by financial institutions, the capitalization of listed companies to GDP, in Ukraine since 2014 there has been a significant decrease in these indicators, which is not typical in comparison with countries with the same level of income and demonstrates the low level of financial depth of the domestic economy.


Author(s):  
Norhidayati Mohamed Zakaria ◽  
Mohamad Yazis Ali Basah

Economists believe that efficient financial development is significant for building sustainable economic growth in any country. The global financial crisis, economic events and country’s uniqueness has resulted in continuous research to examine the relationship of financial and economic development using numerous methods and indicators which presented various simulation that led to different views on the linkages. Most of the studies had tested the indicators individually which resulted in less dynamic findings and creates a gap in the research. Hence, this paper aims to examine the relationship between financial development and economic growth in Malaysia by observing different economic indicators concurrently. This study using Malaysia’s annual time series data from 1990 to 2019. This study employs descriptive statistics, regression estimations, unit root test, Johansen co-integration test, VAR, and VECM modeling. The FTSE Kuala Lumpur Composite Index (FBMKLCI) and domestic credit as a percentage to GDP (DC) have been used as proxies for financial development while GDP per capita and Industrial Production Index (IPI) as proxies for economic growth. The findings reveal that FBMKLCI and domestic credit produces a significant relationship towards GDP per capita in the long run and short run. Contrary results found in FBMKLCI-domestic credit-IPI nexus whereby FBMKLCI and domestic credit demonstrate negative association towards IPI. As this study uses the same variables to indicates the relationship towards unalike economic growth gauge, more dynamic work and effort shall be considered to enhance the results. Government and respective institutions shall play their role effectively to revisit or formulate policy and law of the financial system to stimulate the growth of the Malaysian economy.


2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 662-672
Author(s):  
Sevilay Küçüksakarya

This study examines the relationship between financial development and economic growth. Thus, this study aims to find empirical shreds of evidence for the direction of the causality between financial development proxied by domestic credit to the private sector and per capita GDP growth by using the panel granger causality test of the Dumitrescu-Hurlin Test. For this purpose, we used a panel of 16 OECD countries from 2008 to 2019 to provide evidence of whether the supply leading hypothesis or demand following hypothesis or both holds. All econometric exercises are carried out for whole countries and high-income countries, and upper-middle-income country groups in the sample. Due to cross-sectional dependence among the sample countries, we determine the degree of integration of each variable by employing the second-generation panel unit root tests of CIPS. We continue our analysis with the panel causality test developed by Dumitrescu and Hurlin (2012) to determine the direction of the causality between variables. For this purpose, we performed three sets of causality analyses. In the first one, we include all countries in the panel. We then divided the countries into two sub-groups based on the income classification and the level of financial development in these countries proxied by domestic credit to the private sector. The causality test results, including all countries in the sample, indicate that the hypothesis holds the supply leading hypothesis during the sample period. This means that even though this panel contains countries with a development level, financial development still seems to be a pre-condition for economic growth for these nations. We also obtain the same results when we include high-income countries in the sample. The study results provide compelling evidence for the relationship between economic growth and financial development since the sample includes countries with different levels of financial development with different degrees of per capita GDP growth.


Author(s):  
Antonia Gkergki

This paper examines the relationship between the energy consumption and economic growth from 1968 to 2019 in Greece, by employing the vector error-correction model estimation. A series of econometric tests are employed concerning the stationary of the data, and the co-integration and the relationship among the variables during the long- and short-term. The em-pirical results suggest that there is no bidirectional relationship between economic growth and energy consumption. More specifically, GDP per capita does not affect the energy consump-tion of the three primary sources either in the long-term or the short-term. In other words, the economic crisis and its implications for GDP do not affect energy consumption, and they are not responsible for the considerable decrease in energy sources' consumption. On the other hand, the energy consumption of oil and coal negatively affect the GDP per capita. These re-sults are different from previous studies' conclusions for Greece; this is because the never been experienced before. These findings raise new research questions and also show the limi-tations of the Greek market, as it is regulated and controlled by the government.


Author(s):  
Sevgi Sezer

In this chapter, the effects of military expenditure (MEXP) on high-tech exports (HTX) and GDP per capita (GDPPC) of G7 and new industrialized countries (NIC) are analyzed for period 1988-2015 by panel data analysis. The causality relationships between the series are examined by Dumitrescu and Hurlin test. In G7 countries, one-way causality relationship from HTX to MEXP and two-way causality relationship between MEXP and GDPPC have been identified. Also, in NIC countries, two-way causality relationship between HTX and MEXP and one-way causality relationship from GDPPC to MEXP have been determined. Cointegration relations are tested by Pedroni test and the series are found to be cointegrated. It is seen that in the G7 countries, 1% increase in MEXP during the period of 1988-2015 increased HTX by 0.71% and GDPPC by 0.98%. In NIC countries, the 1% increase in MEXP increased HTX by 1.7% and GDPPC by 0.96%. The effect of MEXP on HTX is found much higher in NIC countries.


Author(s):  
Edgar J. Saucedo-Acosta ◽  

Purpose:The paper aims to estimate the effect of inequality on the economic growth of Balkan countries for the period 2001-2017. In addition, the effect of capital stock on GDP per capita (GDPpc) for the Balkan countries was estimated. The low level of financial inclusion on the Balkan region produces an underinvestment of human capital and affects the low-income households, leading to an increase in inequality. Low levels of equality and capital stock negatively impact economic growth.


Author(s):  
Utku Altunöz

Analysing the relationship between development and Gross Domestic Products (GDP) is one of the most important issue for economics. Kuznet claims that mentioned relationships between developing and GDP resemble as upside down U. In this paper, GINI, GDP, credit and trade variables were analysed by using ARDL bounding test for the period covering by 1991-2014. Obtained results of econometric model shows that credit in private sector, GDP per capita and trade variables play an important role to be eliminated of income inequality. Effect of trade variable is less compare with other variables. For Turkish Economy, 1% increase in private credits causes to a 0,044 % fall in income inequality for the estimated period. Alike, 1% increase in income causes to a 0.055 % fall in income inequality.


2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (3) ◽  
pp. 267-284
Author(s):  
Anthony Anyanwu ◽  
Christopher Gan ◽  
Baiding Hu

This paper analyses the relationship between bank credit and economic growth. We extend existing literature by treating separately the oil and non-oil sectors of 28 oil-dependent economies from 1990-2012. We employ panel cointegration and pooled mean group estimation techniques which are appropriate for drawing conclusions from dynamic heterogenous panels. The results of the panel cointegration test indicate that bank credit has no significant long-run relationship with non-oil GDP per capita. The results of the pooled mean group estimator reveal no significant long-run impact of bank credit on non-oil GDP per capita. Overall results suggest that banks do not yet provide adequate credit to stimulate non-oil economic growth. The policy implication of our findings is that the financial sector should be more involved in productive investment activities to promote inclusive growth.


2017 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 91 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mwoya Byaro ◽  
Abeli Kinyondo ◽  
Patrick Musonda

This paper establishes empirical evidence related with correlation and causality between economic growth (as measured by GDP per capita) and under-five malaria mortality in Tanzania Mainland. The goal is to contribute knowledge on the existing relationship between economic growth and under-five malaria mortality. Correlation and scatter regression analysis plot were employed to find out the relationship among the (GDP per Capita), Insecticides Treated Nets (ITNs) distributed, Human Resources (physicians and nurses) and under-five malaria mortality from the year 2004 to 2015. Moreover, Granger Causality test was applied to test the causal link between the economic growth and under-five malaria Mortality. The economic growth (as measured by GDP per Capita) and number of ITNs distributed under various malaria campaigns have significant unidirectional causality to under-five malaria mortality while there is no causality evidence between human resource for health (physicians and nurses) and under-five malaria mortality despite the observed correlation relationship. Since economic growth and ITNs have unidirectional causal link with under-five malaria mortality, it implies that any changes in GDP per Capita and ITNs will change under-five malaria mortality. The researchers and policy makers need to gather more evidence on ITNs and economic growth to assess the risk of under-five malaria mortality to inform decision making.


2018 ◽  
Vol 68 (4) ◽  
pp. 573-589
Author(s):  
Zsuzsanna Banász ◽  
Vivien Valéria Csányi

Education is one of the key factors of economic growth. Despite the huge amount of researches investigating the relationship between education and GDP as a proxy of well-being, to the best of our knowledge, none of these studies examined a group of post-socialist countries comparing with not-post-socialist countries. This paper aims to fill this gap. We examine the correlation between growth and education with panel data evidence for 18 post-socialist (PS) countries and 16 developed market economies (DME) over the 1990–2014 period. The goal of this paper is to test two hypotheses: (i) The relationship between GDP per capita and tertiary education’s enrolment rate is stronger in the post-socialist countries than in other countries. (ii) In the post-socialist countries, the relationship between GDP per capita and tertiary education’s enrolment rate is stronger than the relationship between GDP per capita and any other level of education. Correlation analyses confirmed both hypotheses. Our findings suggest that the patterns of relationship between GDP and measures of tertiary education are different for PS and DME countries and would be interesting to observe when and how the gap between the patterns disappears.


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