scholarly journals Selection of indicators for the scenario modeling of the progressive countries’ economic development

2020 ◽  
Vol 18 (2) ◽  
pp. 441-452
Author(s):  
Michael Zgurovsky ◽  
Oleg Gavrysh ◽  
Sergiy Solntsev ◽  
Anna Kukharuk ◽  
Natalia Skorobogatova

The study aims to improve methodical approach for formalizing the sustainable development models for progressive countries by suggesting the relevant representative indicators. The study is performed using the statistical approach to determine the suitability of data for further modeling using indicators of variation, taking into account the normality of the population distribution as the main criteria of the data set quality. The study highlights the results of processing measurable quantitative economic, social, and environmental indicators of different countries that may be used for identifying possible changes in the world’s sustainable development. The authors select the indicators for scenario modeling of the sustainable development of Brazil, India, China, Republic of Korea, and the USA, as well as suggest a set of relevant affecting factors. To confirm the meaningful impact of different factors, such as biological balance, conflicts intensity, corruption perception and other, a neural network is developed, and its preliminary training on the test data is conducted. The obtained results can be used to predict economic changes in the world under the influence of specific economic, social, and environmental factors.

2015 ◽  
pp. 147-160 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. Bobylev ◽  
N. Zubarevich ◽  
S. Solovyeva

The article emphasizes the fact that traditional socio-economic indicators do not reflect the challenges of sustainable development adequately, and this is particularly true for the widely-used GDP indicator. In this connection the elaboration of sustainable development indicators is needed, taking into account economic, social and environmental factors. For Russia, adaptation and use of concepts and basic principles of calculation methods for adjusted net savings index (World Bank) and human development index (UNDP) as integral indicators can be promising. The authors have developed the sustainable development index for Russia, which aggregates and allows taking into account balanced economic, social and environmental indicators.


2018 ◽  
Vol 170 ◽  
pp. 01119 ◽  
Author(s):  
Svetlana Uvarova ◽  
Ludmila Myshovskaya ◽  
Kirill Kulakov

In this paper the author suggests a methodological toolkit for assessing the sustainability of the investment and construction complex at the meso-level of management. To ensure the sustainable development of the investment and construction complex, it is necessary to maintain the effective industrial structure that ensures the achievement of social effects, assists to preserving the trend of long-term economic growth and contributes to the increase in competitiveness of domestic construction enterprises. The methodological toolkit is based on the methods of the pricing theory and is necessary for the scientific substantiation of the accepted managerial decisions at the level of industrial management, for the formation of the optimal industrial structure, and for the development of effective methods of a tax policy. Practical implementation of methodological developments, conducted through the example of the regional investment and construction complex of the Voronezh region, allowed empirically to confirm the formulated principles of planning and implementing the organizational and economic changes in the management system of the investment and construction complex to ensure its sustainable development.


2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
pp. 351-382
Author(s):  
Oleksij Fomin ◽  
Alyona Lovska ◽  
Anatolii Horban

Sustainable development of the transport industry can be provided through the introduction of combined transport systems. And one of the most promising ones is the train ferry transport system which combines railway and marine transport facilities. The article deals with the analysis and systematization of the data on the historical development of train ferry routes and describes the background for the construction of train ferry routes and their advantages over other combined transport types. It also deals with the basic features of the train ferries operating on the main international train ferry routes. The study is concerned with both sea routes and routes across rivers and lakes. The article shows the role of train ferry routes in the improvement of a national economy, and in the provision of the military defense, as it was described by Vinogradov at the example of Saratovskaya Pereprava (route) and by Karakashly and Shklyaruk at the example of the lighter Ishimbay which was loaded from the side. The authors have analyzed the development of the train ferry routes serviced by the ice-breaking train ferries Baikal across Lake Baikal, and the ferries Sakhalin linked mainland Russia and Sakhalin Island. The article deals with the peculiarities of transportation by trains ferries in the USA, Japan, Azerbaijan, Dagestan, Germany, Lithuania, and some other countries, and presents the analysis of the operational features of Ukrainian train ferries which connect Ukraine with Bulgaria, Georgia, and Turkey. Besides, the article describes some peculiarities of the loading and transportation of passenger trains by train ferries. The study deals with structural peculiarities, and processing technology used for modern train ferries operating across the Black Sea, the Caspian Sea and the Baltic Sea. The research is based on the analysis of works by Egorov (the Marine Engineering Bureau, Ukraine). The research emphasizes the importance of train ferry transportation for the sustainable development of national economies including the economy of Ukraine.


2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (4) ◽  
pp. 335-341
Author(s):  
Ekaterina A. Timofeeva ◽  
Mikhail V. Mishenin

The article describes a methodological approach for assessing the sustainable development of coal companies, using an integral indicator with the inclusion of environmental indicators. The significance of the proposed methodology and the criteria for its compilation are described.


2020 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Wanyi Chen

Purpose Tax risks are common in China but often ignored by enterprises. Determining how to measure tax risks and effectively identify and control influencing factors is the key to the sustainable development of enterprises. This study aims to explore the key factors affecting corporate tax risks and analyze influencing factors from external and internal perspectives. Design/methodology/approach After selecting a data set comprising 11,503 firm-year observations of Chinese firms in the Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges from 2008–2017, this study applied a panel regression model to identify the factors’ impact. Findings The results indicate that the more standardized the institutional environment and stronger the tax supervision, the lower the tax risks. Taking into account the internal factors of a firm, private companies with political connections have lower tax risks than those without. Originality/value This study enriches the literature on the factors affecting tax risks. The conclusion provides significant insights for enterprises to effectively control tax risks and maintain sustainability. The research findings also provide a new perspective for the government to guard against corporate risks and maintain the stable development of the economy.


2006 ◽  
Vol 4 (3) ◽  
pp. 543-564 ◽  
Author(s):  
Aleksander Astel ◽  
Grażyna Głosińska ◽  
Tadeusz Sobczyński ◽  
Leonard Boszke ◽  
Vasil Simeonov ◽  
...  

AbstractThe sustainable development rule implementation is tested by the application of chemometrics in the field of environmental pollution. A data set consisting of Cd, Pb, Cr, Zn, Cu, Mn, Ni, and Fe content in bottom sediment samples collected in the Odra River (Germany/Poland) is treated using cluster analysis (CA), principal component analysis (PCA), and source apportionment techniques. Cluster analysis clearly shows that pollution on the German bank is higher than on the Polish bank. Two latent factors extracted by PCA explain over 88 % of the total variance of the system, allowing identification of the dominant “semi-natural” and “anthropogenic” pollution sources in the river ecosystem. The complexity of the system is proved by MLR analysis of the absolute principal component scores (APCS). The apportioning clearly shows that Cd, Pb, Cr, Zn and Cu participate in an “anthropogenic” source profile, whereas Fe and Mn are “semi-natural”. Multiple regression analysis indicates that for particular elements not described by the model, the amounts vary from 4.2 % (Mn) to 13.1 % (Cr). The element Ni participates to some extent to each source and, in this way, is neither pure “semi-natural” nor pure “anthropogenic”. Apportioning indicates that the whole heavy metal pollution in the investigated river reach is 12510.45 mg·kg−1. The contribution of pollutants originating from “anthropogenic sources” is 9.04 % and from “semi-natural” sources is 86.53 %.


2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (3) ◽  
pp. 149-164
Author(s):  
Soo Jung Kim ◽  
Sung Jin Kang ◽  
Tae Yong Jung ◽  
Shijun Cao

By conducting a cluster analysis for the period 1990–2014, this study compares the sustainable development performance of China’s economic transition with 41 other countries in transition. While the previous studies mainly used economic indicators as a comparison factor, this study uses economic, social, and environmental indicators, which are the three main pillars of sustainable development. The cluster analysis results indicate that China shows the most remarkable improvement in terms of sustainable development. The improvement was the largest among the other transition countries. In particular, the social and environmental sectors have improved significantly. Through further improvement in the economic sector, China would be the most successful transition country in sustainable development performance.


2021 ◽  
Vol 255 ◽  
pp. 01043
Author(s):  
Volodymyr Ustymenko ◽  
Inna Zablodska ◽  
Yuliia Rohozian ◽  
Natalia Eremeeva ◽  
Svitlana Hrechana

The purpose of the research is to construct positioning maps of local areas to assess the results of their positioning in terms of the environmental component of sustainable development. The article uses methods of analysis and synthesis, statistical and graphic, mapping method, comparative analysis and modelling, which made it possible to research the parameters and components of the local territories` (regions, cities and districts) positioning and to determine indicators for assessing their positions regarding economic, social and environmental components. Based on the rating estimates for the sustainable development of local areas, positioning maps have been constructed using the Ukrainian regions, districts and regional significance cities in the Luhansk region as the example. The article results proposed to expand the environmental indicators list for the positioning implementation based on the environmental assessment in the local level, which will allow the scientific and practical approach to assess the territorial units’ positions from the sustainable development point of view.


2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (8) ◽  
pp. 2427 ◽  
Author(s):  
Victoria Wibeck ◽  
Björn-Ola Linnér ◽  
Melisa Alves ◽  
Therese Asplund ◽  
Anna Bohman ◽  
...  

Societal transformation is one of the most topical concepts in sustainability research and policy-making. Used in many ways, it indicates that nonlinear systematic changes are needed in order to fully address global environmental and human development challenges. This paper explores what sustainability transformations mean for lay focus group participants in Cabo Verde, China, Fiji, Sweden, and the USA. Key findings include: (a) Tightly linked to interpersonal relationships, sustainability was seen as going beyond the Sustainable Development Goals to include a sense of belonging; (b) transformations were framed as fundamental changes from today’s society, but most participants stated that transformation pathways need to splice new structures into the old; (c) new technologies are key engines of change. Yet, the most common drivers were awareness, education, and knowledge sharing; and (d) regardless of whether state-centric or decentralized governance was preferred, personal action was seen as essential. The focus groups displayed a shared understanding across the geographical settings; a common realization of profound sustainability predicaments facing societies across the world; and a desire for fundamental change towards a more sustainable way of life.


Author(s):  
Bing Xia ◽  
Suocheng Dong ◽  
Yu Li ◽  
Zehong Li ◽  
Dongqi Sun ◽  
...  

The sandstorm in 2021 in East Asia demonstrated the ecological issues that culminated for decades in Mongolia. Mongolia is facing challenges to realize green and sustainable development. This article aims to increase the understanding of eco-efficiency and its influencing factors in Mongolia and to provide a reference for similar developing countries and regions to achieve green and sustainable development. This article used the Slacks-Based Measure of Efficiency (SBM) model with advantages of dimension freedom and unit variable to estimate the economic efficiency and eco-efficiency of 22 provinces in Mongolia from 2007 to 2016; energy consumption and undesirable environmental outputs were taken as ecological/environmental indicators in the input and output system of regional eco-efficiency in Mongolia, combining traditional indicators of economic efficiency to build Mongolia’s eco-efficiency input–output framework. This article applied hot spot analysis and gravity center analysis to reveal the temporal and spatial evolution characters of eco-efficiency in Mongolia. Finally, the article applied panel Tobit regression to analyze the influencing factors of eco-efficiency. We were found that Mongolia’s eco-efficiency slightly improved from 0.7379 in 2007 to 0.7673 in 2016, lower than the economic efficiency. The high eco-efficiency provinces appeared in the capital Ulaanbaatar and its surrounding areas, showing an obvious spatial spillover effect. The low eco-efficiency provinces were mainly in the undeveloped western region. The relationship between per capita GDP and eco-efficiency was U-shaped and consistent with environmental Kuznets theory. Accelerating economic growth, optimizing population distribution, and improving energy structure and green technology can improve Mongolia’s eco-efficiency.


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