Forecasting of COVID-19 Cases in India: A Predictive Study

2020 ◽  
Vol 16 (1) ◽  
pp. 58-63
Author(s):  
Pooja Sharma ◽  
Tanu Sharma ◽  
Karan Veer

An outbreak of new coronavirus (COVID-19) originated by SARS-CoV has reached 212 countries throughout the world. India is the second-highest populated country, so it is critical to forecasting the confirmed cases and deaths due to pandemic. To fulfil the purpose, three machine learning models Linear Regression, Multilayer Perceptron, and Sequential Minimal Optimization Regression are used. The predictive data of three geographic regions (India, Maharashtra, and Tamil Nadu) are compared with the data considered to be adequate in practice. The analysis concluded that Sequential Minimal Optimization Regression can be adopted for possible pandemic predictions such as COVID-19.

Student admission problem is very important in educational institutions. This paper addresses machine learning models to predict the chance of a student to be admitted to a master’s program. This will assist students to know in advance if they have a chance to get accepted. The machine learning models are multiple linear regression, k-nearest neighbor, random forest, and Multilayer Perceptron. Experiments show that the Multilayer Perceptron model surpasses other models.


2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Prasanna Date ◽  
Davis Arthur ◽  
Lauren Pusey-Nazzaro

AbstractTraining machine learning models on classical computers is usually a time and compute intensive process. With Moore’s law nearing its inevitable end and an ever-increasing demand for large-scale data analysis using machine learning, we must leverage non-conventional computing paradigms like quantum computing to train machine learning models efficiently. Adiabatic quantum computers can approximately solve NP-hard problems, such as the quadratic unconstrained binary optimization (QUBO), faster than classical computers. Since many machine learning problems are also NP-hard, we believe adiabatic quantum computers might be instrumental in training machine learning models efficiently in the post Moore’s law era. In order to solve problems on adiabatic quantum computers, they must be formulated as QUBO problems, which is very challenging. In this paper, we formulate the training problems of three machine learning models—linear regression, support vector machine (SVM) and balanced k-means clustering—as QUBO problems, making them conducive to be trained on adiabatic quantum computers. We also analyze the computational complexities of our formulations and compare them to corresponding state-of-the-art classical approaches. We show that the time and space complexities of our formulations are better (in case of SVM and balanced k-means clustering) or equivalent (in case of linear regression) to their classical counterparts.


Author(s):  
Mert Gülçür ◽  
Ben Whiteside

AbstractThis paper discusses micromanufacturing process quality proxies called “process fingerprints” in micro-injection moulding for establishing in-line quality assurance and machine learning models for Industry 4.0 applications. Process fingerprints that we present in this study are purely physical proxies of the product quality and need tangible rationale regarding their selection criteria such as sensitivity, cost-effectiveness, and robustness. Proposed methods and selection reasons for process fingerprints are also justified by analysing the temporally collected data with respect to the microreplication efficiency. Extracted process fingerprints were also used in a multiple linear regression scenario where they bring actionable insights for creating traceable and cost-effective supervised machine learning models in challenging micro-injection moulding environments. Multiple linear regression model demonstrated %84 accuracy in predicting the quality of the process, which is significant as far as the extreme process conditions and product features are concerned.


Elements ◽  
2016 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
James LeDoux

<p>The new NFL extra point rule first implemented in the 2015 season requires a kicker to attempt his extra point with the ball snapped from the 15-yard line. This attempt stretches an extra point to the equivalent of a 32-yard field goal attempt, 13 yards longer than under the previous rule. Though a 32-yard attempt is still a chip shot to any professional kicker, many NFL analysts were surprised to see the number of extra points that were missed. Should this really have been a surprise, though? Beginning with a replication of a study by Clark et. al, this study aims to explore the world of NFL kicking from a statistical perspective, applying econometric and machine learning models to display a deeper perspective on what exactly makes some field goal attempts more difficult than others. Ultimately, the goal is to go beyond the previous research on this topic, providing an improved predictive model of field goal success and a better metric for evaluating placekicker ability.</p>


Water ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (12) ◽  
pp. 2516 ◽  
Author(s):  
Changhyun Choi ◽  
Jeonghwan Kim ◽  
Jungwook Kim ◽  
Hung Soo Kim

Adequate forecasting and preparation for heavy rain can minimize life and property damage. Some studies have been conducted on the heavy rain damage prediction model (HDPM), however, most of their models are limited to the linear regression model that simply explains the linear relation between rainfall data and damage. This study develops the combined heavy rain damage prediction model (CHDPM) where the residual prediction model (RPM) is added to the HDPM. The predictive performance of the CHDPM is analyzed to be 4–14% higher than that of HDPM. Through this, we confirmed that the predictive performance of the model is improved by combining the RPM of the machine learning models to complement the linearity of the HDPM. The results of this study can be used as basic data beneficial for natural disaster management.


2021 ◽  
Vol 23 (08) ◽  
pp. 148-160
Author(s):  
Dr. V.Vasudha Rani ◽  
◽  
Dr. G. Vasavi ◽  
Dr. K.R.N Kiran Kumar ◽  
◽  
...  

Diabetes is one of the chronicdiseases in the world. Millions of people are suffering with several other health issues caused by diabetes, every year. Diabetes has got three stages such as type2, type1 and insulin. Curing of diabetes disease at later stages is practically difficult. Here in this paper, we proposed a DNN model and its performance comparison with some of the machine learning models to predict the disease at an earlystage based on the current health condition of the patient. An artificial neural network (ANN) is a predictive model designed to work the same way a human brain does and works better with larger datasets. Having the concept of hidden layers, neural networks work better at predictive analytics and can make predictions with more accuracy. Novelty of this work lies in integration of feature selection method used to optimize the Multilayer Perceptron (MLP) to reduce the number of required input attributes. The results achieved using this method and several conventional machines learning approaches such as Logistic Regression, Random Forest Classifier (RFC) are compared. The proposed DNN method is proved to show better accuracy than Machine learning models for early stage detection of diabetes. This paper work is applicable to clinical support as a tool for making predecisions by the doctors and physicians.


Author(s):  
Aditi Vadhavkar ◽  
Pratiksha Thombare ◽  
Priyanka Bhalerao ◽  
Utkarsha Auti

Forecasting Mechanisms like Machine Learning (ML) models having been proving their significance to anticipate perioperative outcomes in the domain of decision making on the future course of actions. Many application domains have witnessed the use of ML models for identification and prioritization of adverse factors for a threat. The spread of COVID-19 has proven to be a great threat to a mankind announcing it a worldwide pandemic throughout. Many assets throughout the world has faced enormous infectivity and contagiousness of this illness. To look at the figure of undermining components of COVID-19 we’ve specifically used four Machine Learning Models Linear Regression (LR), Least shrinkage and determination administrator (LASSO), Support vector machine (SVM) and Exponential smoothing (ES). The results depict that the ES performs best among the four models employed in this study, followed by LR and LASSO which performs well in forecasting the newly confirmed cases, death rates yet recovery rates, but SVM performs poorly all told the prediction scenarios given the available dataset.


2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (24) ◽  
pp. 7212 ◽  
Author(s):  
Joo Hyun Bae ◽  
Jeongho Han ◽  
Dongjun Lee ◽  
Jae E Yang ◽  
Jonggun Kim ◽  
...  

The South Korean government has recently focused on environmental protection efforts to improve water quality which has been degraded by nonpoint sources of water pollution from runoff. In order to take care of environmental issues, many physically-based models have been used. However, the physically-based models take a large amount of work to carry out site simulations, and there is a need to find faster and more efficient approaches. For an alternative approach for sediment management using the physically-based models, the machine learning-based models were used for estimating sediment trapping efficiency of vegetative filter strips. The seven nonlinear regression algorithms of machine learning models (e.g., decision tree, multilayer perceptron, k-nearest neighbors, support vector machine, random forest, AdaBoost and gradient boosting) were applied to select the model which best estimates the sediment trapping efficiency of vegetative filter strips. The sediment trapping efficiencies calculated by the machine learning models showed similar results as those of vegetative filter strip modeling system (VFSMOD-W) model. As a result of the accuracy evaluation among the seven machine learning models, the multilayer perceptron model-derived the best fit with VFSMOD-W model. It is expected that the sediment trapping efficiency of the vegetative filter strips in various cases in agricultural fields in South Korea can be predicted easier, faster and accurately by the machine learning models developed in this study. Machine learning models can be used to evaluate sediment trapping efficiency without complicated physically-based model design and high computational cost. Therefore, decision makers can maximize the quality of their outputs by minimizing their efforts in the decision-making process.


2020 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Thérence Nibareke ◽  
Jalal Laassiri

Abstract Introduction Nowadays large data volumes are daily generated at a high rate. Data from health system, social network, financial, government, marketing, bank transactions as well as the censors and smart devices are increasing. The tools and models have to be optimized. In this paper we applied and compared Machine Learning algorithms (Linear Regression, Naïve bayes, Decision Tree) to predict diabetes. Further more, we performed analytics on flight delays. The main contribution of this paper is to give an overview of Big Data tools and machine learning models. We highlight some metrics that allow us to choose a more accurate model. We predict diabetes disease using three machine learning models and then compared their performance. Further more we analyzed flight delay and produced a dashboard which can help managers of flight companies to have a 360° view of their flights and take strategic decisions. Case description We applied three Machine Learning algorithms for predicting diabetes and we compared the performance to see what model give the best results. We performed analytics on flights datasets to help decision making and predict flight delays. Discussion and evaluation The experiment shows that the Linear Regression, Naive Bayesian and Decision Tree give the same accuracy (0.766) but Decision Tree outperforms the two other models with the greatest score (1) and the smallest error (0). For the flight delays analytics, the model could show for example the airport that recorded the most flight delays. Conclusions Several tools and machine learning models to deal with big data analytics have been discussed in this paper. We concluded that for the same datasets, we have to carefully choose the model to use in prediction. In our future works, we will test different models in other fields (climate, banking, insurance.).


2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Felestin Yavari Nejad ◽  
Kasturi Dewi Varathan

Abstract Background Dengue fever is a widespread viral disease and one of the world’s major pandemic vector-borne infections, causing serious hazard to humanity. The World Health Organisation (WHO) reported that the incidence of dengue fever has increased dramatically across the world in recent decades. WHO currently estimates an annual incidence of 50–100 million dengue infections worldwide. To date, no tested vaccine or treatment is available to stop or prevent dengue fever. Thus, the importance of predicting dengue outbreaks is significant. The current issue that should be addressed in dengue outbreak prediction is accuracy. A limited number of studies have conducted an in-depth analysis of climate factors in dengue outbreak prediction. Methods The most important climatic factors that contribute to dengue outbreaks were identified in the current work. Correlation analyses were performed in order to determine these factors and these factors were used as input parameters for machine learning models. Top five machine learning classification models (Bayes network (BN) models, support vector machine (SVM), RBF tree, decision table and naive Bayes) were chosen based on past research. The models were then tested and evaluated on the basis of 4-year data (January 2010 to December 2013) collected in Malaysia. Results This research has two major contributions. A new risk factor, called the TempeRain factor (TRF), was identified and used as an input parameter for the model of dengue outbreak prediction. Moreover, TRF was applied to demonstrate its strong impact on dengue outbreaks. Experimental results showed that the Bayes Network model with the new meteorological risk factor identified in this study increased accuracy to 92.35% for predicting dengue outbreaks. Conclusions This research explored the factors used in dengue outbreak prediction systems. The major contribution of this study is identifying new significant factors that contribute to dengue outbreak prediction. From the evaluation result, we obtained a significant improvement in the accuracy of a machine learning model for dengue outbreak prediction.


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