scholarly journals Validasi Data Curah Hujan Satelit TRMM (Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission) dengan Data Pos Penakar Hujan di DAS Grindulu, Kabupaten Pacitan, Jawa Timur

2021 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 772-785
Author(s):  
Dieta Putri Jarwanti ◽  
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Ery Suhartanto ◽  
Jadfan Sidqi Fidari ◽  
◽  
...  

Pos penakar hujan di Indonesia lokasinya masih kurang tersebar merata, padahal data hujan yang dihasilkan sangat penting. Maka diperlukan analisis validasi dengan data satelit TRMM karena dapat mencakup wilayah luas, tersedia secara near real-time dan aksesnya yang cepat. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk memvalidasi data satelit dengan data observasi di DAS Grindulu yang datanya dianggap lengkap dan dapat diandalkan. Nantinya digunakan untuk mengantisipasi data curah hujan observasi yang mungkin error atau tidak tersedia. Metode validasi yang digunakan berupa Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE), Uji Kesalahan Relatif (KR), Nash Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE) serta Koefisien Korelasi (R). Penelitian ini menggunakan dua tahap perhitungan, yaitu analisis validasi data tidak terkoreksi dan data terkoreksi, dimana data terkoreksi dilakukan kalibrasi data terlebih dahulu, hasil dari validasi data TRMM terkoreksi terbaik terdapat pada periode bulanan dengan rentang kalibrasi 9 tahun dan validasi 1 tahun dengan hasil NSE = 0,929; R = 0,969; RMSE = 46,48; KR = 8,9%. Hasil tersebut menunjukkan bahwa data TRMM terkoreksi menghasilkan nilai yang lebih baik dibandingan data TRMM tidak terkoreksi karena memiliki nilai NSE dan R yang mendekati satu dan nilai RMSE dan Kesalahan Relatifnya rendah. Secara kesluruhan, dapat disimpulkan bahwa data TRMM dapat digunakan sebagai data alternatif hidrologi di DAS Grindulu.

2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (5) ◽  
pp. 1751 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wonsuk Ko ◽  
Hamsakutty Vettikalladi ◽  
Seung-Ho Song ◽  
Hyeong-Jin Choi

In this paper, we show the development of a demand-side management solution (DSMS) for demand response (DR) aggregator and actual demand response operation cases in South Korea. To show an experience, Korea’s demand response market outline, functions of DSMS, real contracted capacity, and payment between consumer and load aggregator and DR operation cases are revealed. The DSMS computes the customer baseline load (CBL), relative root mean squared error (RRMSE), and payments of the customers in real time. The case of 10 MW contracted customers shows 108.03% delivery rate and a benefit of 854,900,394 KRW for two years. The results illustrate that an integrated demand-side management solution contributes by participating in a DR market and gives a benefit and satisfaction to the consumer.


Author(s):  
Wael Farag

In this article, a real-time road-Object Detection and Tracking (LR_ODT) method for autonomous driving is proposed. This method is based on the fusion of lidar and radar measurement data, where they are installed on the ego car, and a customized Unscented Kalman Filter is employed for their data fusion. The merits of both devices are combined using the proposed fusion approach to precisely provide both pose and velocity information for objects moving in roads around the ego car. Unlike other detection and tracking approaches, the balanced treatment of both pose estimation accuracy and its real-time performance is the main contribution in this work. The proposed technique is implemented using the high-performance language C++ and utilizes highly optimized math and optimization libraries for best real-time performance. Simulation studies have been carried out to evaluate the performance of the LR_ODT for tracking bicycles, cars, and pedestrians. Moreover, the performance of the Unscented Kalman Filter fusion is compared to that of the Extended Kalman Filter fusion showing its superiority. The Unscented Kalman Filter has outperformed the Extended Kalman Filter on all test cases and all the state variable levels (−24% average Root Mean Squared Error). The employed fusion technique shows how outstanding is the improvement in tracking performance compared to the use of a single device (−29% Root Mean Squared Error with lidar and −38% Root Mean Squared Error with radar).


Author(s):  
Rohit Srikonda ◽  
Rune Haakonsen ◽  
Massimiliano Russo ◽  
Peri Periyasamy

In order to facilitate real-time monitoring of accumulated wellhead fatigue damage, it is necessary to measure the wellhead bending moment in real-time. This paper presents a novel method to estimate the wellhead bending moment in realtime using acceleration and inclination data from the motion reference unit (MRU) sensors installed on BOP and LRJ, riser tension data and a trained neural network model. The method proposed in this paper is designed with a Recursive Neural Network (RNN) model to be trained to estimate the wellhead bending moment in real-time with high accuracy based on motion MRU sensor data and riser tension time series of a few previous cycles. In addition to the power of modeling complex nonlinearities, RNNs provide the advantage of better capturing the dynamic effects by learning to recognize the patterns in the sensor data and riser tension time series. The RNN model is trained using virtual sensor data and wellhead bending moment from a finite element (FE) model of the drilling riser subjected to irregular wave time domain analyses based on a training matrix with limited number of significant height (Hs) and peak period (Tp) combinations. Once trained, tested and deployed, the RNN model can make real-time estimation of the wellhead bending moment based on MRU sensor data and riser tension time series. The RNN model can be an efficient and accurate alternative to a physical model based on the indirect method for real-time calculation of wellhead bending moment using real-time sensor data. A case study is presented to explain the training procedures for the RNN model. A set of test cases that are not included in the training dataset are used to demonstrate the accuracy of the RNN model using Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE), Normalized Root Mean Squared Error (NRMSE) and coefficient of determination (R2) as a metrics.


2012 ◽  
Vol 61 (2) ◽  
pp. 277-290 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ádám Csorba ◽  
Vince Láng ◽  
László Fenyvesi ◽  
Erika Michéli

Napjainkban egyre nagyobb igény mutatkozik olyan technológiák és módszerek kidolgozására és alkalmazására, melyek lehetővé teszik a gyors, költséghatékony és környezetbarát talajadat-felvételezést és kiértékelést. Ezeknek az igényeknek felel meg a reflektancia spektroszkópia, mely az elektromágneses spektrum látható (VIS) és közeli infravörös (NIR) tartományában (350–2500 nm) végzett reflektancia-mérésekre épül. Figyelembe véve, hogy a talajokról felvett reflektancia spektrum információban nagyon gazdag, és a vizsgált tartományban számos talajalkotó rendelkezik karakterisztikus spektrális „ujjlenyomattal”, egyetlen görbéből lehetővé válik nagyszámú, kulcsfontosságú talajparaméter egyidejű meghatározása. Dolgozatunkban, a reflektancia spektroszkópia alapjaira helyezett, a talajok ösz-szetételének meghatározását célzó módszertani fejlesztés első lépéseit mutatjuk be. Munkánk során talajok szervesszén- és CaCO3-tartalmának megbecslését lehetővé tévő többváltozós matematikai-statisztikai módszerekre (részleges legkisebb négyzetek módszere, partial least squares regression – PLSR) épülő prediktív modellek létrehozását és tesztelését végeztük el. A létrehozott modellek tesztelése során megállapítottuk, hogy az eljárás mindkét talajparaméter esetében magas R2értéket [R2(szerves szén) = 0,815; R2(CaCO3) = 0,907] adott. A becslés pontosságát jelző közepes négyzetes eltérés (root mean squared error – RMSE) érték mindkét paraméter esetében közepesnek mondható [RMSE (szerves szén) = 0,467; RMSE (CaCO3) = 3,508], mely a reflektancia mérési előírások standardizálásával jelentősen javítható. Vizsgálataink alapján arra a következtetésre jutottunk, hogy a reflektancia spektroszkópia és a többváltozós kemometriai eljárások együttes alkalmazásával, gyors és költséghatékony adatfelvételezési és -értékelési módszerhez juthatunk.


2021 ◽  
pp. 1-21
Author(s):  
Elsa Arrua-Duarte ◽  
Marta Migoya-Borja ◽  
Igor Barahona ◽  
Lena C. Quilty ◽  
Sakina J. Rizvi ◽  
...  

Abstract Objective: The Dimensional Anhedonia Rating Scale (DARS) is a novel questionnaire to assess anhedonia of recent validation. In this work we aim to study the equivalence between the traditional paper-and-pencil and the digital format of DARS. Methods: 69 patients filled the DARS in a paper-based and digital versions. We assessed differences between formats (Wilcoxon test), validity of the scales (Kappa and Intraclass Correlation Coefficients), and reliability (Cronbach’s alpha and Guttman’s coefficient). We calculated the Comparative Fit Index and the Root Mean Squared Error associated with the proposed one-factor structure. Results: Total scores were higher for paper-based format. Significant differences between both formats were found for three items. The weighted Kappa coefficient was approximately 0.40 for most of the items. Internal consistency was greater than 0.94, and the Intraclass Correlation Coefficient for the digital version was 0.95 and 0.94 for the paper-and-pencil version (F= 16.7, p < 0.001). Comparative Adjustment Index was 0.97 for the digital DARS and 0.97 for the paper-and-pencil DARS, and Root Mean Squared Error was 0.11 for the digital DARS and 0.10 for the paper-and-pencil DARS. Conclusion: The digital DARS is consistent in many respects to the paper-and-pencil questionnaire, but equivalence with this format cannot be assumed without caution.


2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Wenpeng Wei ◽  
Hussein Dourra ◽  
Guoming Zhu

Abstract Transfer case clutch is crucial in determining traction torque distribution between front and rear tires for four-wheel-drive (4WD) vehicles. Estimating time-varying clutch surface friction coefficient is critical for traction torque control since it is proportional to the clutch output torque. As a result, this paper proposes a real-time adaptive lookup table strategy to provide the time-varying clutch surface friction coefficient. Specifically, the clutch-parameter-dependent (such as clutch output torque and clutch touchpoint distance) friction coefficient is first estimated with available low-cost vehicle sensors (such as wheel speed and vehicle acceleration); and then a clutch-parameter-independent approach is developed for clutch friction coefficient through a one-dimensional lookup table. The table nodes are adaptively updated based on a fast recursive least-squares (RLS) algorithm. Furthermore, the effectiveness of adaptive lookup table is demonstrated by comparing the estimated clutch torque from adaptive lookup table with that estimated from vehicle dynamics, which achieves 14.8 Nm absolute mean squared error (AMSE) and 2.66% relative mean squared error (RMSE).


2018 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 24
Author(s):  
Imam Halimi ◽  
Wahyu Andhyka Kusuma

Investasi saham merupakan hal yang tidak asing didengar maupun dilakukan. Ada berbagai macam saham di Indonesia, salah satunya adalah Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan (IHSG) atau dalam bahasa inggris disebut Indonesia Composite Index, ICI, atau IDX Composite. IHSG merupakan parameter penting yang dipertimbangkan pada saat akan melakukan investasi mengingat IHSG adalah saham gabungan. Penelitian ini bertujuan memprediksi pergerakan IHSG dengan teknik data mining menggunakan algoritma neural network dan dibandingkan dengan algoritma linear regression, yang dapat dijadikan acuan investor saat akan melakukan investasi. Hasil dari penelitian ini berupa nilai Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) serta label tambahan angka hasil prediksi yang didapatkan setelah dilakukan validasi menggunakan sliding windows validation dengan hasil paling baik yaitu pada pengujian yang menggunakan algoritma neural network yang menggunakan windowing yaitu sebesar 37,786 dan pada pengujian yang tidak menggunakan windowing sebesar 13,597 dan untuk pengujian algoritma linear regression yang menggunakan windowing yaitu sebesar 35,026 dan pengujian yang tidak menggunakan windowing sebesar 12,657. Setelah dilakukan pengujian T-Test menunjukan bahwa pengujian menggunakan neural network yang dibandingkan dengan linear regression memiliki hasil yang tidak signifikan dengan nilai T-Test untuk pengujian dengan windowing dan tanpa windowing hasilnya sama, yaitu sebesar 1,000.


2014 ◽  
Vol 590 ◽  
pp. 321-325
Author(s):  
Li Chen ◽  
Chang Huan Kou ◽  
Kuan Ting Chen ◽  
Shih Wei Ma

A two-run genetic programming (GP) is proposed to estimate the slump flow of high-performance concrete (HPC) using several significant concrete ingredients in this study. GP optimizes functions and their associated coefficients simultaneously and is suitable to automatically discover relationships between nonlinear systems. Basic-GP usually suffers from premature convergence, which cannot acquire satisfying solutions and show satisfied performance only on low dimensional problems. Therefore it was improved by an automatically incremental procedure to improve the search ability and avoid local optimum. The results demonstrated that two-run GP generates an accurate formula through and has 7.5 % improvement on root mean squared error (RMSE) for predicting the slump flow of HPC than Basic-GP.


2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (18) ◽  
pp. 3098
Author(s):  
Jongmin Park ◽  
Barton A. Forman ◽  
Rolf H. Reichle ◽  
Gabrielle De Lannoy ◽  
Saad B. Tarik

L-band brightness temperature (Tb) is one of the key remotely-sensed variables that provides information regarding surface soil moisture conditions. In order to harness the information in Tb observations, a radiative transfer model (RTM) is investigated for eventual inclusion into a data assimilation framework. In this study, Tb estimates from the RTM implemented in the NASA Goddard Earth Observing System (GEOS) were evaluated against the nearly four-year record of daily Tb observations collected by L-band radiometers onboard the Aquarius satellite. Statistics between the modeled and observed Tb were computed over North America as a function of soil hydraulic properties and vegetation types. Overall, statistics showed good agreement between the modeled and observed Tb with a relatively low, domain-average bias (0.79 K (ascending) and −2.79 K (descending)), root mean squared error (11.0 K (ascending) and 11.7 K (descending)), and unbiased root mean squared error (8.14 K (ascending) and 8.28 K (descending)). In terms of soil hydraulic parameters, large porosity and large wilting point both lead to high uncertainty in modeled Tb due to the large variability in dielectric constant and surface roughness used by the RTM. The performance of the RTM as a function of vegetation type suggests better agreement in regions with broadleaf deciduous and needleleaf forests while grassland regions exhibited the worst accuracy amongst the five different vegetation types.


2019 ◽  
Vol 962 ◽  
pp. 41-48
Author(s):  
Tzong Daw Wu ◽  
Jiun Shen Chen ◽  
Ching Pei Tseng ◽  
Cheng Chang Hsieh

This study presents a real-time method for determining the thickness of each layer in multilayer thin films. Artificial neural networks (ANNs) were introduced to estimate thicknesses from a transmittance spectrum. After training via theoretical spectra which were generated by thin-film optics and modified by noise, ANNs were applied to estimate the thicknesses of four-layer nanoscale films which were TiO2, Ag, Ti, and TiO2 thin films assembled sequentially on polyethylene terephthalate (PET) substrates. The results reveal that the mean squared error of the estimation is 2.6 nm2, and is accurate enough to monitor film growth in real time.


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