scholarly journals Effect of Interest Rates on Private Sector Debt in Kenya

2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (4) ◽  
pp. p21
Author(s):  
Philip Njau Kibunja ◽  
Olanrewaju Isola Fatoki

This study sought to examine the effect of interest rates on domestic private sector debt in Kenya over the 30 year period from 1990 to 2019. The dependent variable was private sector domestic debt, the independent variable was commercial bank weighted average lending rate while the control variables were annual GDP growth, extended broad money (M3) and annual USD-KES exchange rate. Using the Prais-Winstein estimator model, the regression model findings were commercial bank lending rate had an insignificant relationship with domestic debt at 95% confidence level but significant at 90% level while money supply had a negative and significant relationship with domestic debt. The study noted predominance of the banking sector in the financial sector and identified the need of a well-developed corporate debt market.

Author(s):  
Sutomo Sutomo ◽  
Johadi Johadi

The research aim's to know the influence of interest rate ofSBI, exchange rate, total bank lending, supply of funds and commercial bank amount to rigidly bank lending rate in Indonesian period of January 2001 until June 2004. The research use secondary data by character of time series. The research methodology used a partial adjustment model that rigidly bank lending rate are influence by all independent variable such interest rate of SBI, exchange rate, and total bank lending, supply of fund and commercial bank amount in banking sector. The empirical results that rigidly bank lending rate are influenced by all independent variable are collectively such interest rate of SBI, exchange rate, and total bank lending, supply of fund and commercial bank amount in banking sector. But as partial, rigidly bank-lending rate are influenced by an interest rate of SBI, exchange rate, total bank lending and supply of funds and commercial bank amount, which don't have an effect to rigidly bank lending rate.The result that is suitable with the theory, where monetary instrument (interest rate of SBI) can be used to influence bank-lending rate as process transmission mechanism mon­etary policy by price channel approach. Adjustment coefficient is equal to 0,5484 which meaning 54,84 % represents the difference between bank lending rate actual with bank lending rate that desired which fulfilled to be reached in one period, where speed of adjustment bank lending rate in response change of independent variable equal to 5 months 27 day, with mean lag independent variable equal to 1,1812867 months.


2019 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-9
Author(s):  
Idachaba Odekina Innocent ◽  
Olukotun G. Ademola ◽  
Elam Wunako Glory

The aim of this study is to examine the influence of bank credits on the Nigerian economy using time series data covering the period from 1980 to 2017.Gross domestic product was used as proxy for the economy while credits to the private sector, public sector and prime lending rate were used as proxies of Banks credits. Unit root test was used to test stationary which reveals that all the variables were stationary at first difference. The regression analysis result shows that credit to the private sector have positive effect on Nigerian economy while credit to public sector and prime lending rate have negative effect on the Nigerian economy. The result of co-integration test presented reveals that there exist among the variables co-integration which means long-run analysis. It is recommended that, policy makers should focus attention on long-run policies to promote economic growth such as development of modern banking sector, efficient financial market, infrastructures.


2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 (2) ◽  
pp. 89-109
Author(s):  
Hlushchenko Svitlana ◽  
◽  
Ivakhnenkov Sergiy ◽  
Demkiv Sofiia ◽  
◽  
...  

The trends of bank crediting of businesses and households in Ukraine are determined and credit interrelations between subjects of economy by means of methods of system dynamics simulated. The article shows that by end 2020 the main trends in the Ukrainian banking sector are: 1) increasing the dynamics of return on capital, consistently high interest rates on loans until 2019 and their declining dynamics in 2020; 2) declining trends in the dynamics of the share of loans in the assets of commercial banks and the indicator of the financial depth of lending to the Ukrainian economy; 3) predominance of the share of loans to businesses in comparison with the share of loans to households in the loan banking portfolio; 4) faster growth rates of bank loans to households compared to the growth rates of lending to businesses; 5) in the sectoral context, the largest share in lending to business units is accounted for by trade and in lending to households – by consumer lending; 6) half of the loan portfolio of commercial banks are short-term loans for up to one year; 7) the share of non-performing loans in the loan portfolio remains high; 8) gradual reduction of non-deposit sources among the liabilities of commercial banks and their transition to almost full financing at the expense of customer deposits; 9) increase in the share of short-term and decrease in the share of long-term deposit financing of commercial banks. Based on the methods of system dynamics, the authors created a model that allows to trace the relationship between commercial banks-businesses-households, as well as to calculate the forecast volumes of bank loans in accordance with the demand for loans from businesses and households (weighted by the maximum value credit load) and supply of credit resources by commercial banks. From a practical point of view, determining the characteristic trends of bank lending, modeling the interaction of its main participants and determining the volume of bank loans using system dynamics helps to identify key factors influencing the supply and demand of bank credit resources at the present stage of Ukraine’s development and predict future lending dynamics.


2017 ◽  
Vol 12 (3) ◽  
pp. 87-99
Author(s):  
Roseline Misati ◽  
Anne Kamau

Although considerable research has focused on the determinants of credit to the private sector, the issue still remains controversial, particularly with respect to the role of foreign banks in emerging markets. This study sought to understand the factors that affect lending of commercial bank loans both in form of foreign and local loans. It used panel data methods on quarterly bank-specific data covering the period from 2000 to 2013. In general, the results reveal that the ownership structure, housing variable and the size of the bank are the main determinants of aggregate commercial bank lending. This conclusion is maintained even when the determinants of foreign loans and local loans are specifically examined separately. However, the role of the liquidity measure is in not consistent in the different specifications while the role of interest rates is largely in line with expectation in most of the specifications. Implicitly, the results seem to suggest a need for mergers of small banks, policy focus on incentives for more local bank ownership and continued efforts on minimization of interest rate spread, which not only promote mortgage financing and home ownership, but also overall credit growth.


Subject Banking sector prospects. Significance Private sector banks in Ecuador enjoyed strong double-digit loan growth last year -- a reflection of the troubled economy’s gradual emergence from recession. That economic recovery, and the pragmatic willingness of President Lenin Moreno to work with the private sector, is generating optimism regarding the prospects of the country’s banking sector. Impacts Strong bank lending is key for economic recovery, allowing firms to increase investments and consumers to spend more. Taking the E-money system from the central bank shows Moreno’s pragmatism vis-a-vis the private sector. The planned sale of state-owned lender Banco del Pacifico could attract the interest of foreign banks.


2017 ◽  
Vol 9 (11) ◽  
pp. 218
Author(s):  
Micheal Chidiebere Ekwe ◽  
Amah Kalu Ogbonnaya ◽  
Cordelia Onyinyechi Omodero

The major objective of this study is to empirically analyze the impact of monetary policy on the economy of Nigeria. To achieve this major objective, the study made use of broad money supply (M2) and credit to the private sector (CPS) as the independent variables explaining the dependent variable which is the Gross Domestic Product (GDP). The time series data employed cover the period of 1996 to 2016 and have been collected from the Central Bank of Nigeria Statistical Bulletin. The statistical tool used in this study is the multi regression and student t-test with the aid of statistical package for social sciences (SPSS) to analyze the impact of the individual explanatory variables on the economy. The result indicates that the monetary policy in Nigeria does not have significant impact on the economy. At 5% level of significance, the broad money supply (M2) is 0.36 > 0.05 while the CPS shows 0.22 > 0.05. The result proves that the broad money supply has not been properly regulated and the bank lending rate to the private sectors so high that the economy has been adversely affected. The study therefore, recommends that the Central Bank of Nigeria should put every machinery in place to ensure that the monetary policy is geared towards economic growth through substantial reduction of bank lending rate to the private sector and proper regulation of broad money supply.


2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Vyonita Anggraeni Ningrum

This study aims to determine the effect of inflation, interest rates, and CAR on the profitability of conventional banks. This study uses four variables, namely inflation, interest rates, and CAR as the dependent variable, and bank profitability as the independent variable. The population in this study are banking sector companies that have been listed on the IDX (Indonesia Stock Exchange) for the period 2015-2019, totaling 43 companies. The data collection method uses purposive sampling using financial reports on conventional banks in Indonesia which are listed on the IDX in the 2015-2019 period. The results show that inflation, interest rates, and CAR simultaneously affect the profitability of conventional banks listed on the IDX for the 2015-2019 period, inflation has no significant effect on ROA, interest rates do not have a significant effect on ROA, and CAR has a significant effect on ROA. Keywords: Inflation; Interest rates; CAR (capital education ratio)


Author(s):  
Waseem Ahmad Khan ◽  
Abdul Sattar

The core objective of this project is to analyze the impact of interest rates changes on the profitability of commercial banks being operated in Pakistan by examining the financial statements of four major banks during 2008 to 2012. Like the efficiency of banking sector is considered most important for economic growth, monetary policy implementation and macro-economic stability. From the past few years, interest spread of banking sector of Pakistan is rising. As a result variations in the interest rate depress the savings and investment and on the other hand it increases the efficiency of banks’ lending. In this paper interest rate is an independent variable and bank profitability is a dependent variable. To examine the impact of interest rate changes on the profitability of commercial banks in Pakistan, Pearson correlation method is used in this study. As a result it is found that there is strong and positive correlation between interest rate and commercial banks’ profitability. It means if the value of interest rate is increases/decreases then as result value of banks’ profitability will also increases/decreases.


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