scholarly journals https://www.asianinstituteofresearch.org/JEBarchives/The-Influences-of-Interest-Rate%2C-Inflation-and-Market-Risk-on-the-Performance-of-Stock-Mutual-Funds-Through-to-the-Variables-Moderating-of-Stock-Index-LQ45-Registered-on-IDX-2016-2019

2020 ◽  
Vol 3 (4) ◽  
Author(s):  
Nur Anny Rahayu ◽  
◽  
Zainul Kisman ◽  
Dwi Sunu Kanto
Keyword(s):  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Mutual Funds ◽  
Mutual Fund ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Market Risk ◽  
Stock Index ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Independent Variable

This study aims to determine the effect of interest rates, inflation and market risk on the performance of stock mutual funds with a stock index of lq45 as the moderating variable. The independent variable in this case is the interest rate (x1), inflation (x2), market risk (x3) and the dependent variable is the performance of stock mutual funds (y) and the stock index lq45 as the intervening variable (m). The type of research used is associative research, with a quantitative approach. This study takes all time series data that converts interest rates, inflation and market risk, stock index lq45 and the performance of stock mutual fund for the period 2016 to 2019. The number of research samples using saturated sampling techniques obtained is 40 samples. Data analysis used multiple regression analysis and moderated regression analysis using spss23. The results of the F test show that the lq45 index is able to moderate the independent variable interest rate, inflation, market risk together on the performance of stock mutual funds. The t test results show that the stock index lq45 is able to moderate the relationship between the variable interest rate and market risk on the performance of stock mutual funds, while the inflation variable cannot be moderated by the stock index lq45 on the performance of stock mutual funds.

scholarly journals Pengaruh Pendapatan , Jumlah Nasabah Dan Tingkat Suku Bunga Terhadap Penyaluran Kredit Pt Pegadaian Cabang Kabupaten Jember Periode 2013 -2017

2019 ◽  
Vol 15 (1) ◽  
pp. 151-174
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Computer Software ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Series Data ◽  
The Interest Rate ◽  
Number Of Customers

The research objective was to analyze the large number, number of customers, and interest rates on the loan distribution of PT Pegadaian Branch of Jember Regency.The type of data used in this study is secondary data consisting of time series data on income, number of customers obtained through the pawnshop office which is the object of research and interest rates for the period 2013-2017 obtained from BI which is the object of the research. The data is processed using computer software "SPSS 22" with multiple regression analysis methods. The Pawnshop Branch of Kabupaten Jember is very positive and significant towards lending to PT Pegadaian Branch of Kabupaten Jember, while the Interest Rate does not significantly influence the lending of PT Pegadaian Branch of Kabupaten Jember. Together, it focuses positively and significantly on the loan distribution of PT Pegadaian Branch of Jember Regency

scholarly journals A Study on Estimation and Prediction of Vector Time Series Model Using Financial Big Data (Interest Rates)

2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (5) ◽  
pp. 309-316
Author(s):  
Jae-Hyun Kim, Chang-Ho An
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Prediction Model ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Information Criteria ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Call Rate ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Vector Autoregressive

Due to the global economic downturn, the Korean economy continues to slump. Hereupon the Bank of Korea implemented a monetary policy of cutting the base rate to actively respond to the economic slowdown and low prices. Economists have been trying to predict and analyze interest rate hikes and cuts. Therefore, in this study, a prediction model was estimated and evaluated using vector autoregressive model with time series data of long- and short-term interest rates. The data used for this purpose were call rate (1 day), loan interest rate, and Treasury rate (3 years) between January 2002 and December 2019, which were extracted monthly from the Bank of Korea database and used as variables, and a vector autoregressive (VAR) model was used as a research model. The stationarity test of variables was confirmed by the ADF-unit root test. Bidirectional linear dependency relationship between variables was confirmed by the Granger causality test. For the model identification, AICC, SBC, and HQC statistics, which were the minimum information criteria, were used. The significance of the parameters was confirmed through t-tests, and the fitness of the estimated prediction model was confirmed by the significance test of the cross-correlation matrix and the multivariate Portmanteau test. As a result of predicting call rate, loan interest rate, and Treasury rate using the prediction model presented in this study, it is predicted that interest rates will continue to drop.

scholarly journals PENGUKURAN KINERJA REKSADANA SAHAM TERHADAP HARGA KOMODITAS MENGGUNAKAN BESARAN ALPHA JENSEN DAN CAPM

Media Ekonomi ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 26 (2) ◽  
pp. 103
Author(s):  
Robinsyah Anggalis Prasetiyo
Keyword(s):  
Crude Oil ◽  
Mutual Funds ◽  
Mutual Fund ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Poor Performance ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Equity Funds ◽  
Research Period

<em><em>This study aims to analyze the stock mutual funds that have the best performance and provide an overview to investors about stock mutual funds can be bought by investors. </em></em><em><em>The research methodology used is a quantitative method with the type of time series data and data sources derived from secondary data obtained from the Indonesia Stock Exchange. The research period from 2012 to 2016. Data analysis techniques used are using the Jensen model which explains that the performance of Mutual Funds can be seen from the amount of alpha of each Mutual Fund with the provisions that if a Mutual Fund has a positive alpha means it has good performance, vice versa Funds with negative alpha indicate poor performance. </em></em><em>The results of this study indicate that the performance of Coal, Gold, Nickel and Crude Oil on Equity Funds that manage Capital, Kapital Plus, and Consumption Plus mutual funds products based on the Jensen method each produces insignificant alpha and Jensen alpha values. This means that the performance of mutual funds Kapital, Kapital Plus, and Consumption Plus are not affected by the ups and downs of prices of Coal, Gold, Nickel and Crude Oil.</em>

scholarly journals Effect of Interest Rate on Stock Prices in Ghana

2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (1(S)) ◽  
pp. 1-7
Author(s):  
Peter Arhenful ◽  
Augustine Kwadwo Yeboah ◽  
Kofi Sarfo Adjei
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Ordinary Least Squares ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Augmented Dickey Fuller ◽  
Ghana Stock Exchange ◽  
Adf Test

The paper assesses the effect of interest rate on stock prices, with emphases on Ghana Stock Exchange; using monthly time series data from July 2007 to December 2019. The Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) test was employed to establish the stationarity properties of the data or otherwise. Using the Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) estimation technique of Multiple Regression, the results (? = – 0.891, p < 0.05) revealed an indirect association between interest rates and stock prices in the Ghanaian context; which is consistent with the theoretical conclusion that an increase in interest rate results in a decrease in stock prices. Thus, in the light of this finding, it was recommended that policymakers should consider the stock market dynamics due to the significant relationship that exists between the two macroeconomic variables.

scholarly journals Assessment of the Determinants of Balance of Payment in Tanzania

2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 62-75
Author(s):  
Magreth Exuper Kingia ◽  
Seif Muba
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Diagnostic Tests ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Unit Root Test ◽  
Negative Influence ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Ordinary Least Square Regression ◽  
The Interest Rate

The purpose of the study was to assess the determinants of the balance of payment in Tanzania. The nature of this study was quantitative where secondary time series data covering a period of thirty-one years between 1990 and 2020 were collected. The study performed descriptive statistics and diagnostic tests such as normality test, unit root test for stationarity, Pearson’s Correlation matrix to check if there is a multicollinearity problem in the data. The diagnostic tests revealed that the data bring unbiased results, therefore the ordinary least square regression was performed and we found that foreign direct investment and inflation rate have a negative and significant influence on the balance of payment, whereas exchange rate has a positive and insignificant influence on the balance of payment, and the interest rate has an insignificant negative influence on the balance of payment. Finally, we recommend that a country have to introduce relative prices of imports in order to improve the inflows of FDI in order to have a favourable balance of payment in a country like Tanzania. Also, Tanzania's central bank must be cautious in its monetary policy and take some beneficial steps to regulate the money supply. To attract the new internal investor, it must keep an eye on interest rates and charge a low-interest rate.

scholarly journals Analisis determinan deposito mudharabah

2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 133
Author(s):  
Ardiani Ika Sulistyawati ◽  
Nurul Hidayah ◽  
Aprih Santoso
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Financial Statements ◽  
Profit Sharing ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Inflation Rates ◽  
Conventional Bank

The objective of this study is to test the influence of inflation rates, interest rates, liquidity rates proxied by the finance to deposit ratio, and profit sharing rates to the amount of mudharabah deposit. This study conducts the regression analysis and uses time series data which retrieved from the quarterly financial statements of BRI Syariah and BCA Syariah in Indonesia over period of 2014 to 2018 as the sample. The study proves that: (a) the inflation rates is insignificant to influence the amount of deposit mudharabah; (b) the interest rates is insignificant to influence the amount of deposit mudharabah of BRI Syariah and BCA Syariah because when the interest of conventional bank increase then the amount of deposit mudharabah do not experience dramatic changes because the customers still invest their fund at BRI Syariah and BCA Syariah; (c) finance to deposit ratio is significant to influence the amount of mudharabah deposit; (d) the rates of share profit is insignificant to influence the amount of mudharabah deposit; and (e) size is insignificant to influence the amount of mudharabah deposit.

scholarly journals ANALISIS VARIABEL MAKROEKONOMI TERHADAP KINERJA REKSADANA CAMPURAN

2017 ◽  
Vol 19 (1) ◽  
pp. 136
Author(s):  
Augustina Kurniasih ◽  
Leonardo David Yuliandy Johannes
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Mutual Funds ◽  
Mutual Fund ◽  
Research Problem ◽  
Stock Index ◽  
Macroeconomic Factors ◽  
Government Bonds ◽  
Macroeconomic Conditions ◽  
Daily Data ◽  
One Year

Saat ini semakin banyak tersedia pilihan instrumen investasi. Salah satu instrumen investasi adalah reksadana. Kondisi makroekonomi Indonesia mempengaruhi kinerja investasi, termasuk investasi reksadana. Salah satu jenis reksadana adalah reksadana campuran. Penelitian ini bertujuan menguji dan menganalisis pengaruh return IHSG, return Kurs USD, return JIBOR Interest Rate dan return Obligasi Pemerintah Indonesia terhadap kinerja reksadana campuran. Periode penelitian adalah selama satu tahun (2012), menggunakan data harian. Total reksadana campuran di BEI berjumlah 120, yang memenuhi kriteria menjadi sampel sebanyak 86. Metode yang digunakan untuk menjawab permasalahan penelitian adalah regresi linier berganda. Ditemukan bahwa faktor makroekonomi yang berpengaruh signifikan terhadap return reksadana campuran adalah return IHSG dan Suku Bunga JIBOR.Nowadays investment instruments are growing. One of the investment instruments is mutual fund. Indonesian macroeconomic conditions affected the performance of investments, including on mutual funds. One type of mutual fund is balance mutual funds. This study aims to examine and analyze the effect of stock index returns, return of USD exchange rate, return of JIBOR Interest Rate, and return of government bonds of Indonesia to the performance of balance mutual funds. Observation period is one year (2012), using daily data. Total balance mutual funds in IDX are 120, which meets the criteria of the sample were 86. Method used to answer the research problem is multiple linear regressions. It found that macroeconomic factors that significantly influence the performance of balance mutual funds are returns JCI and JIBOR interest rate return.

scholarly journals Estimation of Consumption Function for Developing Economies: China, Turkey, Vietnam and Bangladesh

2020 ◽  
Vol V (I) ◽  
pp. 1-11
Author(s):  
Saima Liaqat ◽  
Marguerite Wotto ◽  
Khalid Khan
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Real Interest Rate ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Developing Economies ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Consumption Function ◽  
Middle Income ◽  
Aggregate Consumption ◽  
Real Gdp

This study analyses the determinants of consumption function for four countries: China and Turkey as Upper Middle-Income Economies (UMIE); Bangladesh and Vietnam as Lower Middle-Income Economies (LMIE). It used a model based on the ARDL technique to analyze the time series data for the period of 1985- 2018. The results reveal that wealth and labor income have a similar impact on consumption in UMIE and LMIE since they affect significantly and positively aggregate consumption. Unemployment and real interest rates have an analogous result for UMIE while assorted results LMIE. The real interest rate harms RPAC as evidence of income effect. However, the short-term wealth and real GDP positively affect real RPAC whereas the unemployment rate and real interest rate negatively affect aggregate real private consumption of the selected economies.

scholarly journals Nominal Interest Rate, Inflation Money and Market Link in Bangladesh: An Econometric Analysis

2020 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 59-68
Author(s):  
Sanjida Akter Chowdhury ◽  
Md. Yousuf ◽  
Md. Nezum Uddin ◽  
Mohammed Jashim Uddin
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Money Market ◽  
Nominal Interest Rate ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Nominal Interest Rates ◽  
Fisher Hypothesis

This paper pursues to establish a connection among the nominal interest rate, the money market, and the inflation rate in Bangladesh using monthly time series data from June 2005 to March 2019. Because some data are stationary at the level and others are stationary at the 1st difference, the ARDL model is applicable for checking the link. There is a strong positive short-term and long-term relationship between inflation and nominal interest rates, suggesting that Bangladeshi data support the Fisher hypothesis for that time. For this study, the T bill, the call money rate is used as a measure of the money market. The research indicates that regulators should concentrate on call money rates in short-term and T-bill and call money rates in the long-term to control Bangladesh's nominal interest rate.

scholarly journals Impact of Fiscal Imbalance on Interest Rate in Sri Lanka

2016 ◽  
Vol 73 ◽  
pp. 24-28
Author(s):  
A.L.M. Aslam
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Sri Lanka ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Percent Level ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Inflation Rates ◽  
Independent Variable ◽  
Fiscal Imbalance ◽  
The Interest Rate ◽  
The Impact

Interest rate is one of the primary tools in the monetary policy which moves the countries’ economy into positive or negative path. In the meantime, the fiscal imbalance keeps a bond on the interest rate of countries. Empirically, this study tested the impact of fiscal imbalance on the interest rate in Sri Lanka using the annual time series data from the period of 1959 to 2014. In this study, the fiscal imbalance was considered as the independent variable and the interest rate was used as the independent variable. While the money supply and the inflation rates were utilized as controlled variables. To test this impact, the multiple regressions model was employed. Based on the regression outcome, the fiscal imbalance positively maintained the relationship on the interest rate at one percent level.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document