scholarly journals PENGARUH EKSPOR, NILAI TUKAR, FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT DAN UTANG LUAR NEGERI TERHADAP CADANGAN DEVISA INDONESIA TAHUN 2014-2019.

account ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Arti Saleha ◽  
Heri Abrianto ◽  
Mulia Nasution

ABSTRACT  This study aims to analyze the effect of Exports, Exchange Rates, Foreign Direct Investment and Foreign Debt on Indonesia's Foreign Exchange Reserves partially or simultaneously in the 2014 to 2019 period. The type of data used was secondary data obtained from the official website of Bank Indonesia, the Central Bureau of Statistics. And the Investment Coordinating Board. The analytical method used is multiple linear regression with a confidence level of 95%. The results indicate that Export partially has a significant positive effect on Foreign Exchange Reserves, Exchange Rate partially has a significant negative effect on Foreign Exchange Reserves, Foreign Direct Investment partially has a significant positive effect on Foreign Exchange Reserves and External Debt partially has a significant positive effect on Foreign Exchange Reserves. Simultaneously, all variables have a significant effect on Foreign Exchange Reserves by 88% while the remaining 12% is influenced by other factors outside of this research model.   Keywords: Exports, Exchange Rates, Foreign Direct Investment, Foreign Debt, Foreign Exchange Reserves ABSTRAK Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis pengaruh Ekspor, Nilai Tukar, Foreign Direct Investment dan Utang Luar Negeri terhadap Cadangan Devisa Indonesia secara parsial maupun simultan pada periode 2014 sampai 2019. Jenis data yang digunakan adalah data sekunder yang diperoleh dari website resmi Bank Indonesia, Badan Pusat Statistik dan Badan Koordinasi Penanaman Modal. Metode analisis yang digunakan adalah Regresi Linier Berganda dengan tingkat kepercayaan 95%. Hasil dari penelitian ini menunjukan bahwa Ekspor secara parsial berpengaruh positif signifikan terhadap Cadangan Devisa, Nilai Tukar secara parsial berpengaruh negatif signifikan terhadap Cadangan Devisa, Foreign Direct Investment secara parsial berpengaruh positif signifikan terhadap Cadangan Devisa dan Utang Luar Negeri secara parsial berpengaruh positif signifikan terhadap Cadangan Devisa. Dan secara  simultan, variabel Ekspor, Nilai Tukar, Foreign Direct Investment dan Utang Luar Negeri berpengaruh signifikan terhadap Cadangan Devisa sebesar 88% sedangkan sisanya sebesar 12% dipengaruhi oleh faktor lain di luar model penelitian ini.   Kata kunci: Ekspor, Nilai Tukar, Foreign Direct Investment, Utang Luar Negeri, Cadangan Devisa

The study investigates the simultaneous equation model of the current account and real exchange rates in group of lower middle income in Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN). This study uses time series from 2000-2017 (18 years) and cross section 6 countries (Indonesia, Philippines, Vietnam, Lao, Myanmar, and Cambodia). There are three important findings in this study; first, for the current account is financial development has positive effect while government spending and foreign direct investment have negative effect; second, for the real exchange rate is economic openness, money supply, and interest rate have positive effect while foreign direct investment and current account have negative effect; third, only current account affects real exchange rates. Therefore, it is highly recommended for group of lower middle income in ASEAN to intervene in monetary policy variables so that uncontrolled deficits and fluctuations can achieve equilibrium in group of lower middle income in ASEAN.


2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 10
Author(s):  
Fakhrurrazi Fakhrurrazi ◽  
Hijri Juliansyah

This study aims to determine the relationship between exports, foreign debt payments, and the exchange rates on the foreign exchange reserves of Indonesia in 1988-2019. This study uses secondary data for 31 years and uses the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) analysis method to analyze the data. The results of this study indicate that all variables have no relationship between variables, only on the foreign exchange reserves to exports. In short-term testing, the export does not have a significant effect on foreign exchange reserves, and the foreign debt payment and the exchange rate have a significant effect on foreign exchange reserves. However, in the long run, all variables do not have a significant effect on foreign exchange reserves.Keywords:Exports, Foreign Debt Payment, Exchange Rates, Foreign Exchange                    Reserves, ARDL


2015 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 127
Author(s):  
Novri Candra ◽  
Idris Idris ◽  
Selli Nelonda

This study aimed to analyze the change in foreign exchange reserves which are affected by the state of national income, exchange rates, interest rates and inflation. This study was conducted to see the effect of the independent variable on the dependent variable in the long term and short term. The method used is the Error Correction Model (ECM). This study shows that the long-term effects of the variables national income and the exchange rate has a significant positive effect on foreign exchange reserves, while in the short term have a negative effect but not significant. Variable interest rates on long-term have a positive effect but not significant and in the short term have a significant negative effect on foreign exchange reserves. Variable inflation in the long term and short term no significant effect on the foreign exchange reserves. Results Error Correction Term (ECT) in this study amounted to 1,065, which means that in the short-term foreign exchange reserves will undergo considerable change and requires quite a long time to come back into balance.Keyword : Reserves, National Income, Exchange Rates, Interest Rates and Inflation ECM, ECT


2020 ◽  
Vol 6 (10) ◽  
pp. 2077
Author(s):  
Muchammad Atho'ur Rohman ◽  
Siti Zulaikha

This study aims to determine the effect of interest rates, exchange rates, third party funds and NPF / NPL Mortgages on the distribution of banking mortgages in Indonesia. It is intended that Islamic banks are able to make optimal policies in the distribution of mortgages and mitigation so that the Islamic banking market share can develop. The data required is secondary data from the Indonesian Banking Statistics report, Islamic Banking Statistics, and Indonesian Economic and Financial Statistics for the period October 2014 - May 2019. Based on Multiple Linear Regression, it is known that the simultaneous test results of all variables together have a positive significant effect in the distribution of banking mortgages, and in the partial test it is known that the interest rates and third party funds have a significant positive effect on mortgages in sharia and conventional banking. The exchange rate has a significant positive effect on Islamic banking mortgages, and a significant negative effect on conventional banking mortgages. NPF / NPL mortgage has an insignificant positive effect on the mortgages of both banks. So it can be concluded that the variable interest rates, exchange rates, and third party funds affect the distribution of Islamic banking mortgages and conventional banking mortgages, while the variable NPF / NPL mortgages have no effect.Keywords: Interest rates, exchange rates, third party fund, non performing finance, non performing loan


2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 31-42
Author(s):  
Andi Andini Adhalia ◽  
Rachmad R ◽  
Rahma Nurjanah

The purpose of this study is to analyze: 1) The development of import values, inflation, exchange rates, FDI, and Indonesia's foreign exchange reserves for the period 1996-2017. 2) The influence of Indonesia's import determinants for the 1996-2017 period. In this study, the type of data used is secondary data based on the period 1996-2017. The method used in this research is descriptive analysis and quantitative analysis, namely multiple regression analysis. The results of this study indicate: 1) The average development of imports is 8.68% per year, the average inflation is 10.30% per year, the average development of the rupiah exchange rate against the dollar is 11.17% per year, the average development FDI is 5.66% per year, and the average development of foreign exchange reserves is 11.83% per year. 2) Simultaneously or together inflation, exchange rate, FDI, and foreign exchange reserves have a positive and significant impact on Indonesian imports. Partially, inflation has a positive and significant effect on Indonesian imports, the exchange rate has a negative and significant effect on Indonesian imports, FDI has a positive but not significant effect on Indonesian imports, and foreign exchange reserves have a positive and significant effect on Indonesian imports. Keywords: Imports, Inflation, Exchange rates, Foreign direct investment, Foreign exchange reserves


2020 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 93-108
Author(s):  
Annisa Siti Fathonah ◽  
Dadang Hermawan

This study aims to determine and analyze how much influence the bank's internal factors such as Equity, Operational Costs per Operating Income (BOPO), Financing Deposit to Ratio (FDR), Non Performing Financing (NPF) as a mediator and external or macroeconomic factors namely inflation and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) on profitability represented by Return on Assets (ROA) at Bank Muamalat Indonesia for the period 2008-2018. The data used in this research are secondary data obtained from the publication of quarterly financial statements from 2008 to quarter 2 of 2018. The method that used in this research is path analysis with SPSS 20.0 as the analytical tool. The results of the study partially test the hypothesis (t-test), in substructure I shows that the capital variable has a significant negative effect on NPF, BOPO and inflation has a significant positive effect on NPF, FDR and GDP do not significantly influence NPF at Bank Muamalat Indonesia. In substructure II partially, Capital, BOPO, significant negative effect on ROA, FDR and NPF has a significant positive effect on ROA, Inflation and GDP does not significantly influence ROA while simultaneously significantly influencing ROA. Based on the sobel test, capital has a significant effect on ROA through NPF, BOPO has a significant effect on ROA through NPF, FDR has a significant effect on ROA through NPF, Inflation has a significant effect on ROA through NPF, while GDP has no significant effect on ROA through NPF.


2019 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 72
Author(s):  
Wahyudin Priyono ◽  
Imanda Firmantyas Putri Pertiwi

This study aims to analyze and identify the effects of inflation and rupiah exchange rates on profitability in Islamic banks in Indonesia with mudharabah deposit as the mediator. Using secondary data that are published by the central bank of Indonesia and financial services authority, the method used in this research is Ordinary Least Square. The result indicates the inflation variable, exchange rate, and mudharabah deposits simultaneously give a significant influence toward profitability (ROA) of the Sharia Commercial Bank in Indonesia. While partially, inflation and exchange rate have no significant effect on profitability (ROA). While mudharabah deposits have a significant positive effect on profitability (ROA). Inflation has a significant negative effect on mudharabah deposits and the exchange rate has a significant positive effect on mudharabah deposits. The path analysis result shows that the mudharabah deposit variable is unable to mediate the effect of inflation and te exchange rate to profitability (ROA)


2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (4(J)) ◽  
pp. 59-66
Author(s):  
Joy Pandapotan ◽  
Noegrahini Lastiningsih

This study aims to determine the effect of capital structure, liquidity, and company size on profitability in state-owned companies listed on the Indonesian state-owned enterprise website in 2016 - 2018. This research uses a quantitative approach. This study uses secondary data from company financial and annual report, the sample consists of 65 stated-owned companies. The data analysis technique in this study uses multiple linear regression, classic assumption test, and the hypothesis test consists of  the t-test. Based on the results of data analysis known that capital structure has a insignificant negative effect on profitability, liquidity has a significant positive effect on profitability, and company size has a significant negative effect on profitability. The results of this study are expected to be useful for managers in making decisions related to company management, beneficial for investors in choosing investments, and being useful as a reference for further researchers who studying profitability variables


2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Dian Citra Amelia

This research is based on the fact that the state of economic growth in Indonesia tends to fluctuate, even more often decrease. This is because the government policy is not appropriate to improve the economic growth of Indonesia. This study aims to determine and analyze the factors of foreign direct investment, inflation, international trade, and government expenditure that affect economic growth in Indonesia. The problem in this research is due to the limited fund in economic development both structure and infrastructure so that economic growth tends to decrease. Therefore, appropriate strategies must be taken to overcome the limitations in promoting economic growth. From this problem, this research aims to see how big influence of foreign direct investment (FDI), inflation (INF), international trade (NX) and government expenditure (GE) variable to economic growth. The data used in this study is secondary data (periodical data) in the period of observation 1996-2014 obtained from the World Bank and Statistics of Indonesia. To identify the influence of the variables used in this study used the VAR (Vector Autoregression) method. The results of this study show that equation regression shows that FDI (-1) has a negative influence on economic growth and FDI (-2) has a positive effect on economic growth, INF (-1) and INF (-2) have positive effects on economic growth , Variable NX (-1) has a positive effect on economic growth but NX (-2) has a negative effect on economic growth, and GE variable (-1) has a positive effect on economic growth while GE (-2) has a negative effect on growth Economy.


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