scholarly journals ANALISIS PENGARUH INDIKATOR MAKROEKONOMI TERHADAP IMPOR BARANG INTRA-ASEAN

2020 ◽  
Vol 7 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Lasma Melinda Siahaan

This research aims to determine the factors that affect the amount of imported goods intra-ASEAN. Factors influencing the import of goods in this study are Gross Domestic Product (GDP), Inflation and Exchange Rate in each member country of ASEAN. The method used in this research is panel regression through Panel Least Square (PLS) by using program Eviews 10. The data used is panel data, consisting of ten ASEAN member countries and ten years of research from 2006 to 2015. The results of the analysis data show that GDP and inflation have a positive and significant effect on the imported goods intra-ASEAN, while the exchange rate has a negative and significant effect on the imported goods intra-ASEAN. Simultaneously, GDP, inflation and exchange rate have a positive and significant effect on imported goods intra-ASEAN.

Author(s):  
James Ese Ighoroje ◽  
Catherine, Ogheneovo Orife

The study investigated effect of selected macroeconomic variables on agricultural sector output in Nigeria from 1987 - 2019. Annual Agricultural Output (AAO) represented the dependent variable for the study while gross domestic product, interest rate, money supply, and exchange rate represented the explanatory variables. Ex-post factor research design was employed for the study. Augmented Dickey Fuller Unit Roots test and Ordinary Least Square (OLS) Regression techniques were used to analyze data collected. The empirical investigation showed that gross domestic product as well as money supply has a positive and significant effect on agricultural output, while interest rate and exchange rate exerted a negative and insignificant effect on agricultural output. From the study, selected macroeconomic variables have positive effect on agricultural output in Nigeria and this has tremendously contributed to the country's growth and development. The study recommends amongst other; that government should accelerate the rate of economic growth by investing heavily on the agricultural sector so as to boost domestic production and enhance exportation in order to stabilize exchange rate while curbing inflation; give incentives to banks extending agricultural loans by lowering the lending rate on agricultural loans to ease access to funds for agricultural investment.


Media Ekonomi ◽  
2016 ◽  
Vol 24 (1) ◽  
pp. 17
Author(s):  
Annisa Yuliandari ◽  
Dini Hariyanti

<p><em>This research aims to analyze the factors that influence Inflation towards ASEAN 5 countries, i.e. Indonesia, Malaysia, Singapore, Thailand, and Philippines 2000-2014. This research is using methods of analysis panel data to determine the factors the influence the Inflation inflows in ASEAN-5. The factors that influence Inflation are Money Supply, Interest Rate, Exchange Rate, and Gross Domestic Product. Based on the analysis panel data result shows that Money Supply and Gross Domestic Product have the negative and significant impact to Inflation in ASEAN-5. Interest Rate has a negative and significant impact to Inflation in ASEAN-5. Exchange Rate has a positive and not significant impact to Inflation in ASEAN-5.  </em></p>


2021 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-13
Author(s):  
Ayangeadoo Alphonsus Hur-Yagba ◽  
Helen Elena Jekele ◽  
Kasim Umar

This study examined whether foreign debts have been able to improve or otherwise Nigeria’s economy towards improving the living standard of her citizenry with respect to the nation’s gross domestic product (GDP), USD exchange rate, inflation rate and foreign direct investment (FDI) for the period 1986 to 2017. The study was carried out in Nigeria with respect to other countries doing business with Nigeria. The study also made use of secondary data for the period under consideration. Data obtained were subjected to the cointegration test, which results show that the F-statistic is greater than the lower and upper bound critical value at a five per cent (5%) significance level. Thus, the null hypothesis of no long-run relationship is rejected at a five per cent (5%) significance level. It can, therefore, be inferred that the variables are cointegrated holding the external debt profile as the independent variable. Furthermore, the Ordinary Least Square Linear Multiple Regression Analyses (OLSLMRA) revealed that foreign debt significantly affected adversely, the nation’s gross domestic product (GDP), USD exchange rate and foreign direct investment; except for inflation rate. The study, therefore, concluded that foreign debts, though not the best option for countries striving to survive; still have a significant effect on Nigeria’s economy and indeed her living standard. The study recommends diversification of Nigeria’s economy outside the crude oil to include agriculture, solid minerals, manufacturing, trade and industry to improve on her gross domestic product (GDP), exchange rate, inflation rate and foreign direct investment (FDI) and thus better the living standard of her citizenry.


2021 ◽  
Vol 8 (6) ◽  
pp. 180-192
Author(s):  
Muhammad Arif ◽  
HB. Tarmizi SU ◽  
M. Syafi’i

Islamic banks have had a significant development in assets, where during the last ten years the assets of Islamic banks reached 524 trillion rupiah in 2019. However, although the number of assets tends to increase, the percentage of Islamic bank assets grew slowly from 2016 to 2019. It was recorded that the growth of Islamic bank assets in 2016 grew by 22.10% (yoy) and finally in 2019 it grew by 9.93% (yoy), in line with the slowdown in financing channeled by Islamic banks. Banks in their operational activities cannot be separated from the influence of economic conditions. In this study, using analysis from outside the company, namely by using analysis of the macroeconomic environment. Macroeconomic variables used are the exchange rate, inflation, and Gross Domestic Product (GDP), where these three factors are the impact of the global financial crisis in 2008, and greatly affect the condition of the Indonesian economy. As well as the internal factors of the bank itself, namely profit sharing. The purpose of this study is to determine how much influence the exchange rate, inflation, profit sharing, and GDP both partially and simultaneously affect the development of Islamic bank assets in Indonesia. This type of research is quantitative research with panel data. This study uses panel data regression analysis techniques, namely using data combining cross section and time series, where this research is carried out using the common effect, fixed effect and random effect model specification test using the Chow test and the Hausman test. The population and sample of this study are the 10th quarterly financial reports of Islamic commercial banks in Indonesia using purposive sampling technique. The model chosen in this study is the Fixed Effect Model (FEM). The results showed that partially the exchange rate and inflation variables had a positive but insignificant effect on the development of Islamic bank assets, while the profit sharing variables and gross domestic product had a positive and significant effect on the development of Islamic bank assets. While simultaneously the exchange rate, GDP, inflation and profit sharing variables have a positive and significant effect on the development of Islamic bank assets. Keywords: Exchange Rate, Inflation, Profit Sharing, GDP and Asset Development.


2019 ◽  
Vol 7 (2) ◽  
pp. 61-72
Author(s):  
Vivi Novidayanti ◽  
Siti Hodijah ◽  
Candra Mustika

The purpose of this study was to analyze the factors that influence Indonesia's nutmeg exports to Vietnam, with the variables of exchange rates, international prices, and Vietnam's gross domestic product. The data analysis method used is descriptive and quantitative methods, the data analysis tool used is the OLS (Ordinary Least Square) method. Includes annual data for 38 years, with secondary data sourced from the Directorate General of Plantations, Bank Indonesia, and the World Bank as research objects. The data analysis technique is multiple linear regression, partial hypothesis testing using the t-test, and simultaneously using the F-test with a significant level of 5%. Based on the results, it can be concluded that partially the exchange rate (NT) has a positive and significant effect on export volume (VE); international price (HI) has a negative and significant effect on export volume (VE), and Vietnam's gross domestic product (GDP) has a positive and significant impact on the export volume (VE) of Indonesian nutmeg. Keywords: Export volume, Exchange rate, International price, Gross domestic product.


2019 ◽  
Vol 14 (1) ◽  
pp. 16
Author(s):  
Aditya Fajariskieyanto Hadi ◽  
Wahyu Agung Setyo

The purpose of this research is to analyze the export value of Indonesian cocoa beans, using Ordinary Least Square (OLS). The dependent variable used in this research is the export value of Indonesian cocoa beans, while the independent variables are international price of cocoa beans, exchange rate rupiah to US$, domestic production of Indonesian cocoa beans and the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) using time series data from 1996-2015 (20 years). The result shows that the international price variable of cocoa beans has a positive and significant effect on the export value of Indonesian cocoa beans. The rupiah exchange rate against US $ has a negative and significant effect on the export value of Indonesian cocoa beans. Domestic production of Indonesian cocoa beans has a positive and significant effect on the export value of Indonesian cocoa beans. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of the world has a positive and significant effect on the export value of Indonesian cocoa beans in 1996-2015.


2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (3) ◽  
pp. 135-142
Author(s):  
Muhammad Rizky Mulya ◽  
Haryadi Haryadi ◽  
Rahma Nurjanah

This study aims to determine and analyze the development of a gross domestic product, population, rupiah exchange rate, inflation, and rice imports. In addition, to choose and investigate the effect of gross domestic product, people, rupiah exchange rate, inflation, and rice imports. The method used to analyze this research is descriptive quantitative. This study uses multiple linear regression analysis based on Ordinary Least Square (OLS). Based on the results of this study, the development of rice imports fluctuates every year. It tends to increase rice imports, gross domestic product fluctuates and tends to grow, the population increases every year, the rupiah exchange rate fluctuates, and inflation fluctuates every year and tends to decrease. The results of multiple linear regression show that the variables of gross domestic product, population, and exchange rate significantly affect rice imports in Indonesia. In contrast, the inflation variable is not substantial on rice imports in Indonesia. Keywords: Import rice, GDP, Total population, Exchange rate, Inflation.


2016 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
pp. 187-202
Author(s):  
Ahmad Sohibil Kahfi

Nilai ekspor Indonesia terus mengalami penurunan sejak 2012. Masalah ini menarik perhatian pemerintah Indonesia untuk segera meningkatkan performa ekspor, dimana salah satu sektor yang dapat ditingkatkan adalah sektor manufaktur. Studi ini menganalisis faktor penentu ekspor manufaktur di Indonesia sejak 2005 sampai 2014. Faktor utama yang dianalisis antara lain adalah nilai tukar rupiah, foreign direct investment (FDI), gross domestic product (GDP), dan kebijakan perdagangan. Faktor tersebut dianalisis menggunakan regresi data panel dengan pendekatan random effect model. Hasil dari analisis menunjukkan bahwa perubahan relatif dari nilai tukar, real GDP, jarak dua negara, dan tarif secara signifikan memengaruhi ekspor manufaktur di Indonesia. Beberapa rekomendasi terkait untuk pemerintah Indonesia antara lain adalah dengan menjaga ekspor Indonesia ke negara-negara yang memiliki GDP tinggi, memperluas pasar ekspor Indonesia, menjaga stabilitas nilai tukar rupiah, mendukung industri lokal menggunakan teknologi maju, dan mendukung penyederhanaan proses impor. Indonesia’s export has been decreasing since 2012. This problem has raised government’s attention to increase the export performance. One sector that can be improved is manufacturing. This study analyzes the determinants of Indonesia’s manufacturing export from 2005 to 2014. The major factors examined in this study include real exchange rate, foreign direct investment (FDI), gross domestic product (GDP) and trade policies. Those factors are examined by using panel data regression with a random effect model. The results revealed that relative change of exchange rate, real GDP, distance between two countries and average tariffs significantly affected the Indonesia’s manufacturing export. It is recommended that Indonesian government maintains the exports to countries which have high GDP, expand the export market, stabilize Rupiahs exchange rate, encourage local industries to use advanced technologies, and facilitate the simplification of import procedures.


2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
pp. 43
Author(s):  
Carlos Alberto Tovar Jaco ◽  
Madeleyne Karol Mucha Alhuay ◽  
Pedro Bernabe Venegas Rodriguez ◽  
Nivardo Alonzo Santillan Zapata ◽  
Jimmy Alberth Deza Quispe

The current research examined the macroeconomic determinants of Peruvian gold exports in the period 2003-2019 as well as their relative importance. Regressors employed were inflation, exchange rate, international rate, interest rate and Swiss gross domestic product. Ordinary Least Square along with decomposition and standardized coefficients were employed. The research found positive effects of inflation and international gold price on the dependent variable; while, Swiss gross domestic product was found to have a negative effect to Peruvian gold export. By the usage of  decomposition and standardized coefficients it was found that international gold price is the most relevant regressor when explaining Peruvian gold export values.


2017 ◽  
Vol 21 (2) ◽  
pp. 85-95
Author(s):  
John Marcell Rumondor

This research aims to understand the influenceof foreign investment, international trade, Gross Domestic Product per capita, agriculture and urbanization of the working population. Country used as an object in this research is Indonesia. This research uses the method of analysis Ordinary Least Square (OLS) and the multiple linear regression analysis method. Research period are from 1997 – 2012. The results showed that the international trade, Gross Domestic Product per capita, agriculture and urbanization have significantpositive influenceon the population work in Indonesia, but foreign investment has no significanteffect on the working population in Indonesia.


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