scholarly journals ANALISIS PENGARUH PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI, INFLASI, DAN SUKU BUNGA TERHADAP KREDIT MACET DI INDONESIA

2019 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-16
Author(s):  
Abd. Rizal ◽  
T. Zulham ◽  
Asmawati Asmawati

Abstract This study aimed to analyze the effect of Macroeconomic variables in the form of Economic Growth, Inflation and interest rate of Bank Indonesia (7-Day Repo rate) on Non Performing Loans (NPL) in Indonesia. This study uses annual time series data from 2000 to 2017 with a total sample of 18 years. The model used is Auto Regressive Distributed Lags (ARDL) using Eviews 9. Software The results show that in the short run Inflation has a negative effect on Non Performing Loans (NPL) and Inflation in the previous year  (Lag-1) has a significant positive effect whereas in the long run Inflation has a negative effect, maintained inflation at a reasonable limit to foster a good climate for entrepreneurs to be a stimulus so that they are able to fulfill their obligations, in the long run Economic growth has a significant negative effect and interest rates have a significant positive effect. It is hoped that the government can be more careful in setting the 7-Day Repo rate, given the positive response shown to Non Performing Loans (NPL). In addition, the government must also be able to maintain sustainable economic growth given its negative relationship to Non Performing Loans (NPL). It is recommended for further researchers to add other variables such as stock index, exchange rate, Capital Adequacy Ratio (CAR) and Charge-off policy (PH) of non-performing loans.

2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (4) ◽  
Author(s):  
Regina Septriani Putri ◽  
Ariusni Ariusni

Abstract : This study examined and analysis the effect of remittances, foreigndirect investment, imports, and economic growth in Indonesia in the long run andshort run. This study using Error Correction Model (ECM) method and using theannual time series data from 1989 to 2018. This study found that: (1) remittancehave an insignificant positive effect on economic growth in the long run and shortrun,(2)foreign direct investment have a significant positive impact on economicgrowth in the long run and short run, (3) import have an insignificant positiveimpact on economic growth both in the long run and short run. To increase theeconomic growth in the future, this study suggests the government to decresingimports of consume goods and increasing the inflow of capital goods, rawmaterial goods, remittances and foreign direct investment.Keyword : Remittance, Foreign Direct Investment, Import, Economic Growth andECM


Author(s):  
Merri Anitasari ◽  
Ahmad Soleh

Merri Anitasari, Ahmad Soleh; Pengaruh Pengeluaran Pemerintah Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Di Provinsi Bengkulu. Tujuan dari penelitian ini adalah untuk menganalisis pengaruh dari pengeluaran pemerintah terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi di provinsi Bengkulu dengan menggunakan data sekunder periode pengamatan tahun 2001-2012 yang diperoleh dari Badan Pusat Statistik. Hasil analisis dengan menggunakan SPSS 16 menunjukkan bahwa pengeluaran pemerintah berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi di provinsi Bengkulu. Jika pemerintah menaikkan pengeluaran pemerintah sebesar 1 miliar rupiah, maka akan dapat meningkatkan pertumbuhan ekonomi sebesar 1,17 % per tahun. Sedangkan pengaruh pengeluaran pemerintah terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi di daerah kabupaten/kota menunjukkan bahwa dari jumlah 10 kabupaten/kota di Provinsi Bengkulu, kabupaten Rejang Lebong dan kota Bengkulu yang memiliki hasil bahwa pengeluaran pemerintah berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi di daerahnya. Kabupaten Bengkulu Utara memiliki pengaruh yang negatif sedangkan 7 kabupaten lainnya memiliki hasil yang positif namun tidak signifikan. Sebagian besar kabupaten di Provinsi Bengkulu dikategorikan sebagai daerah yang baru membangun yang merupakan hasil pemekaran pasca pemberlakuan otonomi daerah. Sehingga dalam jangka pendek pengeluaran pemerintah dianggap belum mampu menstimulus kegiatan sektor-sektor perekonomian serta memacu pertumbuhan ekonomi di daerah tersebut.Merri Anitasari, Ahmad Soleh; Impact of Government Spending on Economic Growth In Bengkulu Province. The purpose of this study was to analyze the impact of government spending on economic growth in the province of Bengkulu using secondary data observation period 2001 - 2012 year were obtained from the Central Bureau of Statistics. Results of analysis using SPSS 16 shows that government spending and significant positive effect on economic growth in the province ofBengkulu. If the government raised government spending by 1 billion dollars, it will be able to boost economic growth by 1.17% per year. While the effect of government spending on economic growth in the district/city showed that of a total of 10 districts cities in Bengkulu province, Rejang Lebong district and Bengkulu City which has the result that government spending and significant positive effect on economic growth in the region. North Bengkulu has a negative effect, while seven other districts have a positive outcome, but not significantly. Most districts in the province of Bengkulu categorized as new building is the result of the division after the implementation of regional autonomy. So in the short-term government spending is considered not able to stimulate activity sectors of the economy and spur economic growth in the area.Key Word: Government Spending, Economic Growth, Bengkulu Province


Author(s):  
Shofal Iman ◽  
Imron Mawardi ◽  
Md Atiqur Rahman Sarker

This study aims to determine the influence of long-term and short-term global stock index on the Indonesian Islamic stock index. The approach used is a quantitative approach and uses the Error Correction Model (ECM) method. ECM is an analytical model that can be used in time series data to estimate the effect of independent variables on long-term and short-term use variables. The sample used was taken from secondary data, namely global stock index data consisting of the DJIA, N225 and HSI indices, and the Indonesian sharia stock index in the form of the ISSI index in the period of January 2013 to December 2017, so that 60 samples were obtained. The test results show that in the long run, the DJIA and HSI indices have a significant positive effect on the ISSI index, while the N225 index has a significant negative effect on the ISSI index. In the short term, only the DJIA index has a significant positive effect on the ISSI index.


2019 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 1
Author(s):  
Ina Yanti ◽  
Ratna Ratna

This study aims to determine the effect of world oil prices and interest rates on the economic growth of Indonesia. The data used in this study is time-series data during1987-2017 obtained from Indonesia. (Energy Information Administration), Bank Indonesia, and the Central Bureau of Statistics. Data analysis methods use multiple linear regression and Vector Autoregression (VAR) models. The results of the study show that partially the world oil prices and interest rates have a significant and negative effect on the economic growth of Indonesia. Simultaneously, world oil prices and interest rates have a significant and positive effect on the economic growth of Indonesia. Furthermore, the results of testing the VAR analysis model indicate that world oil prices have a positive and significant effect on the economic growth of Indonesia, and interest rates have a positive and insignificant effect on the economic growth of Indonesia. It recommends that the government and all stakeholders must collaborate to reduce or eliminate the influence of shocks to global oil prices domestically and a concrete step that needs to be sought is to normalize the habits that used to be wasteful of fuel to save fuel.


2019 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 533
Author(s):  
Melni Yunita ◽  
Sri Ulfa Sentosa

This study aims to determine the effect simultaneously or partially between tax, investment (PMDN) and labor towards economic growth in Indonesia. The type of data in this study is secondary data and time series data in the form of annual data from 1987 to 2017, the analysis technique used in this study is multiple linear regression. Based on the results of testing, simultaneously tax, investment (PMDN) and labor have a significant effect on economic growth in Indonesia from 1987 to 2017. Partially the tax variable has a significant positive effect, investment (PMDN) has a significant positive effect, labor has a significant positive effect towards economic growth in Indonesia from 1987 to 2017. In the future, it is recommended that policy makers, especially the government, must maximize national tax acquisition as a source of development costs. Increasing the value of investment in Indonesia by providing better security guarantees to investors, simplifying the licensing process and keeping the Indonesian economy stable and conducive. In addition, increasing the capacity and skills of the workforce is also very necessary given the increasingly global competition and as an effort to attract third parties to come to areas that have high capacity resources.


2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 48-62
Author(s):  
Aron Marsondang ◽  
Budi Purwanto ◽  
Heti Mulyati

Efficiency for the banking industry as a whole is the most important aspect considered to realize healthy and sustainable financial performance. Therefore, to realize a healthy and sustainable financial performance, the government intervenes in the banking business to divide or categorize banks based on core capital. This study will measure the efficiency level of conventional commercial banks with input variables that are thought to affect the output variable using non-parametric methods with the Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) model. Bank size (SIZE), Capital Adequacy Ratio (CAR), and Loan to Deposit Ratio (LDR) proved to have a significant positive effect on the efficiency of banks listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange for the period 2013-2017. Meanwhile, non-performing loan (NPL) proved to have a significant negative effect on the efficiency of banks listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange for the period 2013-2017. External factors such as the rupiah exchange rate (KURS), Bank Indonesia interest rates (SBI), and gross domestic product (GDP) have proven to have no significant positive effect on the efficiency of banks listed on the Indonesian Stock Exchange in the period 2013-2017.


2020 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 27-35
Author(s):  
Lia Hendrawati ◽  
Said Djamaludin

This study to examine and analyze the effect of liquidity, credit growth, efficiency, and capital adequacy on the Bank’s profitability listed on the IDX partially and simultaneously. The research data are annual data for the 5-year observation period (2009-2013). This research was conducted at 33 banks listed on Indonesia Stock Exchange. Banks Analyzed that met the population criteria were 23 banks. The analytical method used in multiple linier regression. The results showed that liquidity, credit growth, efficiency, and capital adequacy together (simultaneously) significantly influence profitability. Partially,  liquidity has a significant positive effect on profitability, while efficiency has a significant negative effect. Credit growth and capital adequacy have no significant effect on profitability. Liquidity is the variable that has the biggest effect on the Bank’s profitability. 


2019 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 401
Author(s):  
Zakiah Husna ◽  
Idris Idris

This study aims to determine the effect of energy consumption and regime on economic growth in Indonesia. The data used is secondary data in the form of time series data from 1988-2017, with documentation and library study data collection techniques obtained from relevant institutions and agencies. the variables used are economic growth (GDP), non-renewable energy consumption, renewable energy consumption and regime, the research methods used are: (1) Multiple Regression Analysis (OLS), (2) Classical Assumption Test results of research stating that: ( 1) non-renewable energy consumption has a positive effect on economic growth in Indonesia. (2) consumption of renewable energy has a positive effect on economic growth in Indonesia. (3) the energy regime has a negative effect on economic growth in Indonesia. (4) non-renewable energy consumption, renewable energy consumption and energy regime have a significant effect on economic growth in Indonesia. so only the energy regime has a negative effect on economic growth in Indonesia.


2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (4) ◽  
Author(s):  
Hilda Wiranti ◽  
Alpon Satrianto

Abstract: This study aims to determine (1) the effect of the level of education on the opportunitiesfor job seekers to access the internet in West Sumatra. (2) the influence of gender on job seekers'opportunities to access the internet in West Sumatra. (3) the influence of age on the opportunitiesfor job seekers to access the internet in West Sumatra. (4) the influence of the area of residence onthe opportunities for job seekers to access the internet in West Sumatra. (5) the effect of income onjob search opportunities in accessing the internet in West Sumatra. This type of research isdescriptive - associative. The types and sources of data from the Socio-Economic Survey aresecondary. In this study using data that already exists in a data collection (National Socio-Economic Survey (SUSENAS) in 2018. The analysis tool used is logistic regression analysis, andthe total number of job seekers is 1,641 people. From the results of this study, it is explained that(1) education has a significant positive effect on the opportunities for job seekers to access theinternet in West Sumatra, (2) gender has no significant negative effect on the opportunities for jobseekers to access the internet in West Sumatra. (3) age has no significant positive effect on theopportunities for job seekers to access the internet in West Sumatra (4) the area of residence has apositive and significant effect on the opportunities for job seekers to access the internet in WestSumatra. (5) income has a significant positive effect on the opportunities for job seekers to accessthe internet in West Sumatra. As for the results of the research, so that the government of WestSumatra Province can provide socialization on the use of the internet in looking for work andbecome a consideration for the government in formulating a policy related to job availability forjob seekers in accessing the internet.Keywords: Job seekers, Internet, Logistic Regression.


2020 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 273-282
Author(s):  
Majid Hussain Phul ◽  
Muhammad Saleem Rahpoto ◽  
Ghulam Muhammad Mangnejo

This research paper empirically investigates the outcome of Political stability on economic growth (EG) of Pakistan for the period of 1988 to 2018. Political stability (PS), gross fixed capital formation (GFCF), total labor force (TLF) and Inflation (INF) are important explanatory variables. Whereas for model selection GDPr is used as the dependent variable. To check the stationary of time series data Augmented Dickey Fuller (ADF) unit root (UR) test has been used,  and whereas to find out the long run relationship among variables, OLS method has been used. The analysis the impact of PS on EG (EG) in the short run, VAR model has been used. The outcomes show that all the variables (PS, GFCF, TLF and INF) have a significantly positive effect on the EG of Pakistan in the long run period. But the effect of PS on GDP is smaller. Further, in this research we are trying to see the short run relationship between GDP and other explanatory variables. The outcomes show that PS does not have such effect on GDP in the short run analysis. While GFCF, TLF and INF have significantly positive effect on GDP of Pakistan in the short run period.


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