scholarly journals ANALISIS PENGARUH JUMLAH UANG BEREDAR, SUKU BUNGA SBI, NILAI TUKAR TERHADAP TINGKAT INFLASI

Media Ekonomi ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 18 (2) ◽  
pp. 49
Author(s):  
Heru Perlambang
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Linear Regression ◽  
Exchange Rates ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Test Results ◽  
The Interest Rate

<p>Inflation is one of the effects of a prolonged economic crisis that hit the<br />country. Inflation is a situation where there are price rises sharply (Absolute)<br />which continues over a period of time. The purpose of this study analyzes the<br />monetary policy conducted by Bank Indonesia and its influence as the money<br />supply, interest rates and exchange rates SBI (IDR / USD) of the inflation rate.<br />The method used is multiple linear regression based on test results indicate<br />avariable effect on money supply, interest rate of SBI, and the exchange rate<br />(Rp / USD) in 2004 to 2009. By using eviews 4.0 software obtained from the<br />results of research following the money supply and exchange rate (Rp/USD)<br />had no significant effect on inflation while the interest rate (SBI) have a<br />significant effect on inflation.</p>

scholarly journals Impact of Inflation, Interest Rates and Return Exchange Rates on Pharmaceutical Companies on the IDX

2020 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 111-117
Author(s):  
Mayroza Wiska ◽  
Fenisi Resty
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Data Analysis ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Exchange Rates ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Pharmaceutical Companies ◽  
The Interest Rate

Abstract In this study, researchers have conducted research at PT. Indonesia stock exchange. The purpose of this study was to determine the effect of inflation, exchange rates and interest rates on stock returns in pharmaceutical companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange. By taking secondary data in the 2010-2014 period. Data analysis in this study used the classical assumption test, t-test analysis and f-test, while the overall data analysis used a computer with SPSS version 21 software.The results of this study concluded that: (1) the inflation rate partially has a positive and significant effect on stock returns in pharmaceutical companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange, (2) the exchange rate partially does not have a significant effect on stock returns in listed pharmaceutical companies. in the Indonesia Stock Exchange, (3) the interest rate partially does not have a significant effect on stock returns in pharmaceutical companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange, (4) the inflation rate, the exchange rate, the interest rate simultaneously influence stock returns. in pharmaceutical companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange.Suggestions for companies should pay more attention to financial performance factors, both as measured by profitability and the market in determining share prices. This study can further use other methods that may be better than the variable analysis used in this study, for example logistic analysis.

The Role of Different Channels in Transmitting Monetary Policy into Output and Price in Vietnam

2015 ◽  
pp. 20-40
Author(s):  
Vinh Nguyen Thi Thuy
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Monetary Transmission ◽  
Impulse Response Functions ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Exchange Rate ◽  
The Interest Rate ◽  
Interest Rate Channel

The paper investigates the mechanism of monetary transmission in Vietnam through different channels - namely the interest rate channel, the exchange rate channel, the asset channel and the credit channel for the period January 1995 - October 2009. This study applies VAR analysis to evaluate the monetary transmission mechanisms to output and price level. To compare the relative importance of different channels for transmitting monetary policy, the paper estimates the impulse response functions and variance decompositions of variables. The empirical results show that the changes in money supply have a significant impact on output rather than price in the short run. The impacts of money supply on price and output are stronger through the exchange rate and credit channels, but however, are weaker through the interest rate channel. The impacts of monetary policy on output and inflation may be erroneous through the equity price channel because of the lack of an established and well-functioning stock market.

scholarly journals Does E-Money Affect Inflation In Indonesia

2021 ◽  
Vol 19 (1) ◽  
pp. 1
Author(s):  
Andres Dharma Nurhalim
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Exchange Rates ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Quantitative Approach ◽  
Electronic Money ◽  
Factors Affecting ◽  
Main Factors ◽  
The Interest Rate ◽  
Main Components

The purpose of this study aims to explain the effect of electronic money on inflation and how much influence it has on the Indonesian economy. In this study the authors used a quantitative approach. The variables used are inflation, electronic money, exchange rate, money supply (M1), and BI interest rate. Result: The previous money supply (LQMprev) and the interest rate (BI Rate) were the main factors affecting inflation. In this result, e-money and exchange rates are not the main components driving inflation. Based on SPPS processing using regression, e-money and exchange rates do not have a significant effect on inflation in Indonesia, but LQMprev has a significant effect on inflation. From the results of this study it is still too early to analyze the effect of e-money on inflation because it is still relatively new in Indonesia.

scholarly journals Pengaruh Tingkat Suku Bunga, Inflasi Dan Nilai Kurs Terhadap Harga Saham Perusahaan Perhotelan Yang Terdaftar Di Bursa Efek Indonesia Per Triwulannya Periode 2016-2018

2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 871-877
Author(s):  
Rahmat Dewa Bagas Nugraha ◽  
H.M Nursito
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Exchange Rates ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Quantitative Study ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Ratio Analysis ◽  
The Interest Rate

This study aims to determine and analyze the factors that affect stock prices through appropriate ratio analysis. As for the ratio of interest rates, inflation and exchange rates. Researchers want to know and analyze the effect partially or simultaneously between interest rates, inflation, and exchange rates on stock prices. This research is a quantitative study using secondary data. The object of this research is hotel companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange for the period 2016-2018. The sample used in this study were 3 hotel with certain characteristics. The results of research simultaneously using the F test show that there is no influence between interest rates, inflation and exchange rates on stock prices because the calculated value is smaller than the table. Partially with the t test it can be concluded that there is no influence between interest rates on stock prices because the tcount value in the interest rate variable is smaller than the t table. Likewise, the t calculation of inflation and the exchange rate is smaller than the t table, so that there is no partial effect of the two variables on stock prices. Keywords: Stock Prices, Interest Rates, Inflation and Exchange Rates

scholarly journals Interest rates and prices causality in the Czech Republic – Granger approach

2009 ◽  
Vol 55 (No. 7) ◽  
pp. 347-356 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. Poměnková ◽  
S. Kapounek
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Czech Republic ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Aggregate Demand ◽  
Real Economy ◽  
Investment Activity ◽  
The Czech Republic ◽  
The Interest Rate

Monetary policy analysis concerns both the assumptions of the transmission mechanism and the direction of causality between the nominal (i.e. the money) and real economy. The traditional channel of monetary policy implementation works via the interest rate changes and their impact on the investment activity and the aggregate demand. Altering the relationship between the aggregate demand and supply then impacts the general price level and hence inflation. Alternatively, the Post-Keynesians postulate money as a residual. In their approach, banks credit in response to the movements in investment activities and demand for money. In this paper, the authors use the VAR (i.e. the vector autoregressive) approach applied to the “Taylor Rule” concept to identify the mechanism and impact of the monetary policy in the small open post-transformation economy of the Czech Republic. The causality (in the Granger sense) between the interest rate and prices in the Czech Republic is then identified. The two alternative modelling approaches are tested. First, there is the standard VAR analysis with the lagged values of interest rate, inflation and economic growth as explanatory variables. This model shows one way causality (in the Granger sense) between the inflation rate and interest rate (i.e. the inflation rate is (Granger) caused by the lagged interest rate). Secondly, the lead (instead of lagged) values of the interest rate, inflation rate and real exchange rate are used. This estimate shows one way causality between the inflation rate and interest rate in the sense that interest rate is caused by the lead (i.e. the expected future) inflation rate. The assumptions based on money as a residual of the economic process were rejected in both models.

scholarly journals Analisis Faktor-Faktor yang Mempengaruhi Nilai Tukar Rupiah Periode 1999Q1-2019Q2

2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
pp. 197-209
Author(s):  
Erric Wijaya
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Oil Prices ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Long Run ◽  
The Exchange Rate ◽  
The Interest Rate

The exchange rate plays an important role in influencing the level of Indonesia's international trade towards trading partner countries. This study discusses the factors that influence the exchange rate of the rupiah against dollar both in the short and long term. The variables that are suspected to influence changes in exchange rates are the inflation rate, the interest rate (SBI), world oil prices, the value of exports, and the value of imports. This research was conducted during 1999 quarter 1 to 2019 quarter 2. The results showed that there was a long-term and short-term relationship between inflation rates, interest rates, world oil prices, exports and imports to the exchange rate. In the short term, the interest rate and world oil prices have a significant effect on the exchange rate. In the long run, the inflation rate, world oil prices and imports have a significant effect on the exchange rate.

scholarly journals Analisis Perubahan Nilai Tukar Rupiah Akibat Peningkatan Inflasi, Tingkat Suku Bunga SBI dan Pertumbuhan Ekonomi (Studi Pada Bank Indonesia Periode 2008 – 2017)

2021 ◽  
Vol 23 (1) ◽  
pp. 20
Author(s):  
Mirna Herawati
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Regression Model ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Direct Relationship ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Rate Coefficient ◽  
Independent Variables ◽  
The Interest Rate

The purpose of this study was to determine the simultaneous effect of the inflation rate, interest rates and economic growth on the rupia exchange rate. This study also examines the partial effect of the inflation rate on the rupia exchange rate, finds the effect of interest rates on the rupia exchange rate, and economic growth on the rupia exchange rate. The research method used in this study is a quantitative method. The data source used is secondary data in the form of a Time Series. Time-series data is data that is collected over a specified period / period of time. The data collection technique used in this research is the documentary method taken from the Central Bureau of Statistic's data. From the calculation of the F value it is known that 0.00467 < 0.050, so there is a simultaneous influence of the inflation rate, interest rate and economic growth variables on the Rupiah exchange rate. The regression equation is Y = . The inflation rate coefficient for variable X1 is 0.009 and positive. This shows that the inflation rate has a direct relationship with the Rupiah exchange rate. This means that every time one unit of inflation increases, the beta variable (Y) of the rupia exchange rate will also increase by 0.009 with the assumption that other independent variables from the regression model have been corrected. The value of the interest rate coefficient for variable X2 is -0.02 and is negative. This indicates that the interest rate has a direct relationship with the Rupiah exchange rate. This means that each time the interest rate increases by one unit, the beta (Y) variable of the rupia exchange rate will decrease by 0.02 assuming that the other independent variables of the regression model have been corrected. If the value of economic growth (X3) increases one point, then the Y value will decrease by 0.06, assuming that the other independent variables of the regression model are fixed.Keywords: Inflation rate, interest rate, economic growth, rupia exchange rate

scholarly journals DAMPAK KEBIJAKAN MONETER TERHADAP STABILITAS RUPIAH

2017 ◽  
Vol 15 (3) ◽  
pp. 416
Author(s):  
Azhar Bafadal
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Small Magnitude ◽  
Long Run ◽  
The Exchange Rate ◽  
The Interest Rate ◽  
The Impact

This research aimed to study the impact of monetary policy on the rupiah stability. Variables used were the interest rate of Bank Indonesia Certificate (SBI), the rate of inflation (IHK), the exchange rate of rupiah against the US dollar (Kurs) and the money supply in the narrow sense (M1). Data used were of quarterly time series data of Bank Indonesia and Central Bureau of Statistic, covering 2002.1-2010.4. The analysis was undertaken by using a vector autoregression model (VAR), through the Impulse Response Function (IRF) and Forecast error variance decomposition (FEVD). The research results showed that in the sort run shocks of SBI  decreased the inflation rate, and in the long run the inflation rate was constant. The exchange rate tended to be appreciated in the short run and long run although in a small magnitude. Money supply decreased with a minor fluctuation. Initially, the money supply shocks increased the interest rate of SBI, but decreased in the long run. The rate of inflation fluctuated in the sort run but it was constant in the long run. The exchange rate was depreciated both in the sort run and in the long run.

scholarly journals ANALISIS PENGARUH JUMLAH UANG BEREDAR (M1), SUKU BUNGA SBI, NILAI TUKAR SUKU BUNGA DEPOSITO TERHADAP TINGKAT INFLASI

Media Ekonomi ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 19 (3) ◽  
pp. 43
Author(s):  
Fadli Ferdiansyah
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Linear Regression ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Significant Positive Effect ◽  
Significant Negative Effect ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
Positive Effect

<p>Inflation is one of the effects of a prolonged economic crisis that hit the country. Inflation is a situation where there is an increase in general prices which continuesover the  long term. The purpose of this study was to determine the effect of the money supply, interrst rate, deposit interest rate and exchange rate (Rp/USD) of the inflation in 2006 – 2011.6 The result of this study suges that the suppy of money have no significant positive effect on inflation. SBI rate have positive and significant effect on inflation. Deposit have rate and no significant negative effect on inflation. Exchange Rate have no significant negative effect on inflation.</p><p>Keywords : Money Supply, Interest Rates, Deposit Interest Rates, Exchange Rate    (IDR /USD), Multiple  Linear Regression, Inflation</p>

scholarly journals Assessing Volatilities of Monetary Policy and their Effects on the Islamic and Conventional Stock Markets in Indonesia

2018 ◽  
Vol 7 (2) ◽  
pp. 161-172
Author(s):  
M Shabri Abd Majid
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Open Economy ◽  
Stock Markets ◽  
Monetary Shocks ◽  
Policy Makers ◽  
The Us

The main objective of this study is to empirically assess the volatilities of the monetary policy instruments and their effects on the Indonesian Islamic and conventional stock market. The changes in exchange rate, interest rates, and money supply and their effects on the stock markets are investigated using the using the Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity frameworks. As a big-open economy, the capital market of Indonesia is vulnerable to the global monetary shocks changes, thus the US federal funds rate is also incorporated into the GARCH model. The study documented that, with the exception of the US interest rate, the volatilities of all monetary policy variables of interest rate, exchange rate, and money supply were documented affecting the volatilities of both Islamic and conventional stock markets. These findings imply that the volatilities of Islamic and conventional stock markets have similar determinants, thus to stabilize the markets, the investigated monetary policy variables should be controlled for by the policy-makers. Any monetary policy design imposed by the policy-makers would have a similar effect on both conventional and Islamic stocks in Indonesia.DOI: 10.15408/sjie.v7i2.7352

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