scholarly journals Evaluation of climate change influence on agroclimatic conditions of sunflower growing in Ukraine

2017 ◽  
pp. 86-92
Author(s):  
О.L. Zhygailo ◽  
T.S. Zhygailo
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Comparative Analysis ◽  
Climate Change Scenario ◽  
Weather Conditions ◽  
Vegetation Period ◽  
Change Scenario ◽  
Forest Steppe ◽  
Precipitation Regime ◽  
Temperature And Precipitation ◽  
The Right

The problem of climate change and global warming both in whole and in particular has become one of the most serious and urgent directions of scientific and technical activity at the present stage. The future food security of Ukraine depends on the effectiveness of adaptation of agriculture to new conditions dictated by the global anthropogenic warming. In order to evaluate possible impact of climate change in Ukraine on agroclimatic indicators the scenario A1B - "moderate" was used providing a balance between all energy sources. Researches of sunflower harvest formation are carried out using a dynamic model of agricultural crops productivity. For a comparative analysis of scenary meteorological variables with previous data the period from 1986 to 2005 is taken from agroclimatic directory of Ukraine. It serves as a base when performing calculations. According to calculations of A1B climate change scenario, periods of sowing and subsequent phases of development will occur earlier than at present, which will lead to reduction of the whole vegetation period at most parts of the area under study. As a result of comparative analysis of temperature and precipitation regime it was found that, subject to implementation of the climate change scenario under study, expected weather conditions will be more favourable for cultivation of sun-flower in the Western and Central forest-steppe, as well as at the Right-Bank Ukraine and in the Donetsk sub-zone of Northern steppe of Ukraine.

scholarly journals Seed mass and plant origin interact to determine species germination patterns

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Andrea Veselá ◽  
Tomáš Dostálek ◽  
Maan Rokaya ◽  
Zuzana Münzbergová
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Climate Change Scenario ◽  
Seed Mass ◽  
Change Scenario ◽  
Strong Impact ◽  
Plant Origin ◽  
Precipitation Regime ◽  
Life History Stages ◽  
Changing Climate ◽  
Temperature And Precipitation

AbstractOngoing changes in temperature and precipitation regime may have strong impact on vulnerable life-history stages such as germination. Differences in germination patterns among species and populations may reflect their adaptation to conditions of their origin or may be determined by the phylogenetic constrains. These two effects are, however, rarely separated. All the germination patterns may also be modified by seed mass.We studied 40 populations of 14 species of Impatiens coming from Himalayas. Germination of seeds of different origin was tested in four target temperatures, three simulating original conditions plus a warmer climate change scenario. We also studied effect of shorter stratification and warmer temperature in combination as another possible effect of climate change.Original and target climate interacted and had strong impact on total germination, but not on germination speed and seed dormancy. Interaction between seed mass and original climate indicated different germination strategies in light and heavy seeds. Only seed mass was affected by phylogenetic relationships among the species, while germination response (with exception of T50) was driven primarily by climate of origin.This study is the first to show that the effect of seed mass interacts with original climate in determining species germination patterns under changing climate. The differences in seed mass are thus likely crucial for species ability to adapt to novel conditions as seed mass, unlike seed germination patterns, is strongly phylogenetically constrained. Further studies exploring how seed mass modifies species germination under changing climate are needed to confirm generality of these findings.

scholarly journals Methods for the Design of Climate Change Scenario in Slovakia for the 21St Century

2009 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 77-90 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marian Melo ◽  
Milan Lapin ◽  
Ingrid Damborska
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Time Series ◽  
21St Century ◽  
Climate Change Scenario ◽  
Change Scenario ◽  
Climate Change Scenarios ◽  
Precipitation Time Series ◽  
Impact Studies ◽  
Temperature And Precipitation ◽  
Mean Temperature

Abstract In this paper methods of climate-change scenario projection in Slovakia for the 21st century are outlined. Temperature and precipitation time series of the Hurbanovo Observatory in 1871-2007 (Slovak Hydrometeorological Institute) and data from four global GCMs (GISS 1998, CGCM1, CGCM2, HadCM3) are utilized for the design of climate change scenarios. Selected results of different climate change scenarios (based on different methods) for the region of Slovakia (up to 2100) are presented. The increase in annual mean temperature is about 3°C, though the results are ambiguous in the case of precipitation. These scenarios are required by users in impact studies, mainly from the hydrology, agriculture and forestry sectors.

scholarly journals Projection in Future Drought Hazard of South Korea Based on RCP Climate Change Scenario 8.5 Using SPEI

2016 ◽  
Vol 2016 ◽  
pp. 1-23 ◽  
Author(s):  
Byung Sik Kim ◽  
In Gi Chang ◽  
Jang Hyun Sung ◽  
Hae Jin Han
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
South Korea ◽  
Climate Change Scenario ◽  
Future Climate Change ◽  
Drought Severity ◽  
Change Scenario ◽  
Monthly Precipitation ◽  
Drought Intensity ◽  
Drought Hazard ◽  
The Right

The Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) analysis was conducted using monthly precipitation data and temperature data on a 12.5 km × 12.5 km resolution based on a Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) 8.5 climate change scenario, and the characteristics of drought were identified by the threshold. In addition, the changes in drought severity and intensity were projected using the threshold based on the run-length concept and frequency analysis. As a result of the analysis, the probability density function of the total drought and maximum drought intensity moved the upper tail for the upcoming years, and the average drought intensity was also projected to become stronger in the future than in the present to the right side. Through this, it could be projected that the drought scale and frequency and the drought intensity will become severer over South Korea because of future climate change.

Typical hydrothermal conditions of the Right-bank Forest-step zone and their influence on corn productivity

2019 ◽  
pp. 55-64
Author(s):  
A. Malienko ◽  
N. Borys
Keyword(s):  
Sharp Decrease ◽  
Weather Conditions ◽  
Vegetation Period ◽  
Forest Steppe ◽  
Corn Yield ◽  
Hydrothermal Conditions ◽  
Hydrothermal Coefficient ◽  
Adverse Weather ◽  
Corn Productivity ◽  
The Right

Corn is a highly productive crop of universal purpose, which is grown for food – 20–25 %, forage – 60–65 and technical purposes – 15–20 %. Increasing its yield is possible due to the improvement of the elements of the technology of cultivation taking into account biological characteristics. The growth and development of corn, the production of high yields, as well as the improvement of the quality of the main products are determined by factors of anthropogenic origin and weather conditions. Hydrothermal conditions of Ukraine have already begun to change significantly during the last decades, which resulted in a shift in the climatic seasons, changes in the vegetation period duration (depending on the zone and the biological features of the crops it can either decrease or expand), the decrease in the duration of a stable snow cover, changes in water resources of local drainage. The period 2005–2016 was analyzed for the reliable estimation of the typicality of weather conditions and their influence on the corn productivity under the following basic cultivation methods: ploughing at the depth of 28–30 cm (control), flat-cut tilling at the depth of 28–30 сm, chisel ploughing at the depth of 43–45 cm and disking at the depth of 10–12 cm. The dynamics of precipitation in the northern part of the Right Bank Forest Steppe during the corn vegetation period for the last 2005–2016 testifies to the noticeable tendency of increasing the amount of precipitation in May-June and their sharp decrease in July-August. It was determined that the conditions for eight years – 2006–2008, 2011–2014 and 2016 were optimal for their hydrothermal indices for the production of corn yields at the level of 5.83–9.47 t/ha. The hydrothermal coefficient for vegetation was 1.13–1.76. Weather conditions were unfavorable in 2005, 2009–2010, and 2015 with the amount of precipitation for vegetation of 120–288 mm, which is below the long-term amount by 120 mm, or 36 %. The peculiarity of these years was 37–61 % lower precipitation level in June–July with the grain yield of 3.12–6.51 t/ha. The mathematical-statistical analysis allows to characterize features and typicality of weather conditions of 2005–2016 and to estimate the influence of hydrothermal years and separate months on corn crops productivity. It has been established that there is the following correlation between weather conditions in July and the yield of corn: high correlation for disk soil cultivation (r=0.75–0.86), the average – for ploughing and chyzel loosening (r=0.49–0.53). Thus, the formation of a deep layer of soil with the best water–physical characteristics and fertility in these cultivation modes reduced the dependence of the elements of yield formation from the adverse weather conditions and provided a higher yield of corn by 6.0–8.0 %. Key words: hydrothermal conditions, hydrothermal coefficient (HTC), vegetation period, corn yield.

Peculliarities of seasonal the plum fruit moth (Grapholita fune-brana Tr.) flight dynamics of in plum orchards (Prunus domestica L.)

2020 ◽  
pp. 78-86
Author(s):  
I.V. Shevchuk ◽  
Keyword(s):  
High Intensity ◽  
Flight Dynamics ◽  
Weather Conditions ◽  
Vegetation Period ◽  
Forest Steppe ◽  
Summer Generation ◽  
Two Factors ◽  
Sum Of Effective Temperatures ◽  
The Right ◽  
In The Beginning

As a result of the long-term (2011-2018) researches in plum orchards the intensity types of the plum fruit moth butterflies flight seasonal dynamics – low, normal and high have been established which are observed during the vegetation period. The two latters are dangerous for crop so they are problematic for producers and require the flight dynamics control. The weather conditions indicators have been systematized. The mathematical parameters have been determined between those indices and the insect imago population density. The types of intensity of the seasonal flight dynamics (low, normal, and high) that can be observed during the vegetation period have been established. The onset of the imago flight of the plum fruit moth after overwintering at the normal intensity is observed under the sum of effective temperatures (SET) of 80.9 and precipitations up to 33.1 with a probability of 0.545, whereas at high the intensity these indicators were 116.0 °C, 26.3 mm and 0.273 respectively. As for the generation which overwintered the usual flight type of G. funebrana Tr. has been noted at SET 332.7, precipitations 44.8 with a probability of 0.636, and high type, at 410.1 °C, 37.5 mm and 0.182 respectively. The summer generation under the normal intensity developed at SET 710.7, precipitations sum 48.3 and probability 0.555, at high intensity, 604.3 °C, 52.6 mm and 0.364 respectively. In the right-bank part of the Western Forest-Steppe of Ukraine, the imago flight began at the end of April – in the beginning of May. The imago flight ends mostly at the end of September but may last until mid-October when autumn is warm. The average number of the butterflies of the generation wich overwintered under normal and high intensity types, varied to 15.1 and 20.9 respectively, and in the summer generation decreased to 7.8 and 10.5 specimens. Under the low intensity type, the amount of imago after wintering average at 5.0 and for the summer generation 5.8 specimens. The maximum G. funebrana density after wintering under the normal and high types of flight intensity was 19.4 and 30.1 and for the summer generation 15.7 and 27.1 specimens respectively. These figures under the low flight intensity for the both generations were 8.7 and 5.9 specimens respectively. The analysis of variance showed that the average imago number in traps (56.9 %) was determined by the intensity type, the generation share was 24.7 %, and the interaction between the two factors was within 12.6 %. The maximum imago trapping rates depended mainly on the intensity type – 90 %, and the other factors proportions studied were 3.3 and 6.7 %.

scholarly journals Comparative evaluation of pea selection lines of different morphotypes

2019 ◽  
Vol 49 (5) ◽  
pp. 28-35
Author(s):  
K. S. Temirov
Keyword(s):  
Weather Conditions ◽  
Vegetation Period ◽  
Forest Steppe ◽  
Lodging Resistance ◽  
Northern Forest ◽  
Breeding Lines ◽  
Temperature And Precipitation ◽  
Economically Valuable Traits ◽  
Number Of Seeds

The results of a comparative study of samples of the garden pea (Pisum sativum L.) by the main economically valuable traits are presented. The objects of the research were 13 breeding lines of peas of various morphotypes (leafy, semi-leafl ess, chameleon). The experiment was conducted in 2016–2018 on leached chernozems in the northern forest-steppe of Western Siberia. The study period was characterized by contrasting weather conditions. Uneven precipitation was noted in 2016, which was higher than the norm in May, but below normal in June. In May 2017, the temperature and precipitation corresponded to the long-term average norm. Abundant rainfall from the period of sowing (the fi rst ten-day period of May) to full ripeness (July) and low average daily air temperature in May characterized the vegetation period of 2018. The best results in short-stalk characteristics and lodging resistance were reached by the line of the semi-leafl ess morphotype Nord × Az-318 (57.5 cm) and Orel × Yamal (57.7 cm). An average positive correlation was established between the height of the plant and the number of pods (r = 0.48 ± 0.20). By the mass of 1000 seeds the best results were shown by leafy lines (188.4 g) and the chameleon morphotype (181.1 g). Between the mass of 1000 seeds and the number of seeds in a pod, an average negative correlation was established (r = –0.63 ± 0.25). In terms of the yield, the chameleon morphotype lines (TM-1552, TM-1504) proved the most productive. The average yield of this morphotype was 280.0 g/m2, leafy lines – 271.4 g/m2 and the lines of the semi-leafl ess morphotype – 254.1 g/m2. A correlation was established between the yield and the studied traits. The yield is moderately positively affected by the number of seeds in a pod (r = 0.55 ± 0.20) and the number of pods in a plant (r = 0.50 ± 0.22). A signifi cant yield advantage was not found between the studied breeding lines. For sustainable production of pea seeds, it is advisable to have a system of varieties of different morphotypes.

Irrigation regime and water consumption of potatoes in the Republic of Bashkortostan, depending on the reclamation condition of lands

2020 ◽  
Vol 0 (6) ◽  
pp. 13-19
Author(s):  
Guzel Gumerova ◽  
Georgiy Gulyuk ◽  
Dmitry Kucher ◽  
Anatoly Shuravilin ◽  
Elena Piven
Keyword(s):  
Water Consumption ◽  
Weather Conditions ◽  
Growing Season ◽  
Vegetation Period ◽  
Forest Steppe ◽  
Total Water ◽  
Total Water Consumption ◽  
Republic Of Bashkortostan ◽  
Irrigated Lands ◽  
The Republic

Data of long-term researches (2015–2018) in southern forest-steppe zone of the Republic of Bashkortostan, is justified theoretically and experimentally the mode of irrigation of potatoes on leached chernozems of unsatisfactory, satisfactory and good ameliorative condition of irrigated lands. For the growing periods of potatoes with different heat and moisture supply, the number of watering, the timing of their implementation, irrigation and irrigation norms are established. On lands with unsatisfactory meliorative state the number of irrigation depending on weather conditions of potato vegetation period varied from 0 to 3 (1.5 on average) with average irrigation norm – 990 m3/ha. With satisfactory meliorative state of lands the number of irrigation on average increased from 0 to 4 (2.3 on average) with irrigation norm – 1305 m3/ha. On lands with good meliorative state the number of irrigation was the highest – from 1 to 5 (3 on average) with average irrigation irrigation norm is 1653 m3/ha. It was noted that in the dry periods of potato vegetation the greatest number of watering was carried out (3–5 watering), and in the wet periods (2017) watering was not carried out except for the area with a good reclamation state, where only one irrigation was carried out by the norm of 550 m3/ha. Water consumption of potato was studied in dynamics as a whole during the growing season and the months of the growing season depending on weather conditions of vegetation period and land reclamation condition of irrigated lands, as well as in the control (without irrigation). The lowest total water consumption was in the area without irrigation and averaged 226.8 mm. In irrigated areas, its values increased to 319-353.4 mm. The average daily water consumption varied from 2.12 to 3.3 mm. The highest rates of potato water consumption were observed in June and July, and the lowest – in May and August. In the total water consumption of potatoes on the site without irrigation, the largest share was occupied by atmospheric precipitation and in addition to them the arrival of moisture from the soil. Irrigation water was used in irrigated areas along with precipitation, the share of which was 30.2–46.1 %.

Influence of meteorological factors on potato yield in the conditions of the Right-Bank Forest-steppe

2018 ◽  
Vol 1 (94) ◽  
pp. 55-61
Author(s):  
R.O. Myalkovsky
Keyword(s):  
Meteorological Factors ◽  
Weather Conditions ◽  
Climatic Conditions ◽  
Potato Yield ◽  
High Yield ◽  
Forest Steppe ◽  
Potato Tubers ◽  
Middle Aged ◽  
Lower Yield ◽  
The Right

Goal. The purpose of the research was to determine the influence of meteorological factors on potato yield in the conditions of the Right Bank Forest-steppe of Ukraine. Methods.Field, analytical and statistical. Results.It was established that among the mid-range varieties Divo stands out with a yield of 42.3 t/ha, Malin white – 39.8 t/ha, and Legend – 37.1 t/ ha. The most favourable weather and climatic conditions for the production of potato tubers were for the Divo 2011 variety with a yield of 45.9 t/ha and 2013 – 45.1 t/ha. For the Legenda variety 2016, the yield of potato tubers is 40.6 t/ha and 2017 – 43.2 t/ha. Malin White 2013 is 41.4 t/ha and 2017 42.1 t/ha. The average varieties of potatoes showed a slightly lower yield on average over the years of research. However, among the varieties is allocated Nadiyna – 40.3 t/ha, Slovyanka – 37.2 t/ ha and Vera 33.8 t/ha. Among the years, the most high-yielding for the Vera variety was 2016 with a yield of 36.6 t/ha and 2017 year – 37.8 t/ha. Varieties Slovyanka and Nadiyna 2011 and 2012 with yields of 42.6 and 44.3 t/ha and 46.5 and 45.3 t/ha, respectively. Characterizing the yield of potato tubers of medium-late varieties over the years of research, there was a decrease in this indicator compared with medium-early and middle-aged varieties. However, the high yield of the varieties of Dar is allocated – 40.0 t/ha, Alladin – 33.6 t/ha and Oxamit 31.3 t/ha. Among the years, the most favourable ones were: for Oxamit and Alladin – 2011 – 33.5 and 36.5 t/ha, and 2017 – 34.1 and 36.4 t/ha, respectively. Favourable years for harvesting varieties were 2011 and 2012 with yields of 45.7 and 45.8 t/ha. Thus, the highest yield of potato tubers on average over the years of studies of medium-early varieties of 41.2-43.3 t / ha were provided by weather conditions of 2011 and 2017 years, medium-ripe varieties 41.0-41.1 - 2012 and 2011, medium- late 37,6-38,5 t / ha - 2012 and 2011, respectively.

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