Correlation of vertebral trabecular attenuation in Hounsfield units and the upper instrumented vertebra with proximal junctional failure after surgical treatment of degenerative lumbar disease

2020 ◽  
pp. 1-8
Author(s):  
Qi Wang ◽  
Chi Wang ◽  
Xiaobo Zhang ◽  
Fanqi Hu ◽  
Wenhao Hu ◽  
...  

OBJECTIVEThe aim of this study was to investigate whether bone mineral density (BMD) measured in Hounsfield units (HUs) is correlated with proximal junctional failure (PJF).METHODSA retrospective study of 104 patients with adult degenerative lumbar disease was performed. All patients underwent posterior instrumented fusion of 4 or more segments and were followed up for at least 2 years. Patients were divided into two groups on the basis of whether they had mechanical complications of PJF. Age, sex ratio, BMI, follow-up time, upper instrumented vertebra (UIV), lower instrumented vertebra, and vertebral body osteotomy were recorded. The spinopelvic parameters were measured on early postoperative radiographs. The HU value of L1 trabecular attenuation was measured on axial and sagittal CT scans. Statistical analysis was performed to compare the difference of continuous and categorical variables. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was used to obtain attenuation thresholds. A Kaplan-Meier curve and log-rank test were used to analyze the differences in PJF-free survival. Multivariate analysis via a Cox proportional hazards model was used to analyze the risk factors.RESULTSThe HU value of L1 trabecular attenuation in the PJF group was lower than that in the control group (p < 0.001). The spinopelvic parameter L4–S1 lordosis was significantly different between the groups (p = 0.033). ROC curve analysis determined an optimal threshold of 89.25 HUs (sensitivity = 78.3%, specificity = 80.2%, area under the ROC curve = 0.799). PJF-free survival significantly decreased in patients with L1 attenuation ≤ 89.25 HUs (p < 0.001, log-rank test). When L1 trabecular attenuation was ≤ 89.25 HUs, PJF-free survival in patients with the UIV at L2 was the lowest, compared with patients with their UIV at the thoracolumbar junction or above (p = 0.028, log-rank test).CONCLUSIONSHUs could provide important information for surgeons to make a treatment plan to prevent PJF. L1 trabecular attenuation ≤ 89.25 HUs measured by spinal CT scanning could predict the incidence of PJF. Under this condition, the UIV at L2 significantly increases the incidence of PJF.

2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Yuichiro Shimoyama ◽  
Osamu Umegaki ◽  
Noriko Kadono ◽  
Toshiaki Minami

Abstract Objective Sepsis is a major cause of mortality for critically ill patients. This study aimed to determine whether presepsin values can predict mortality in patients with sepsis. Results Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis, Log-rank test, and multivariate analysis identified presepsin values and Prognostic Nutritional Index as predictors of mortality in sepsis patients. Presepsin value on Day 1 was a predictor of early mortality, i.e., death within 7 days of ICU admission; ROC curve analysis revealed an AUC of 0.84, sensitivity of 89%, and specificity of 77%; and multivariate analysis showed an OR of 1.0007, with a 95%CI of 1.0001–1.0013 (p = 0.0320).


2011 ◽  
Vol 29 (7_suppl) ◽  
pp. 35-35
Author(s):  
Y. Qian ◽  
F. Y. Feng ◽  
S. Halverson ◽  
K. Blas ◽  
H. M. Sandler ◽  
...  

35 Background: The percent of positive biopsy cores (PPC)-considered a surrogate of local disease burden-has been shown to predict biochemical failure (BF) after external beam radiation therapy (EBRT), but most series have used conventional dose RT. Dose-escalated RT has been demonstrated to improve prostate cancer outcomes, but the value of PPC is unclear in the setting of RT doses high enough to decrease local failure. Methods: A retrospective evaluation was performed of 651 patients treated to ≥75 Gy with biopsy core information available. Patients were stratified for PPC by quartile, and differences by quartile in BF, freedom from metastasis (FFM), cause specific survival (CSS), and overall survival (OS) were assessed using the log-rank test. Receiver operated characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was utilized to determine an optimal cut-point for PPC. Cox proportional hazards multivariate regression was utilized to assess the impact of PPC on clinical outcome when adjusting for risk group. Results: With median follow-up of 62 months the median number of cores sampled was 7 (IQR: 6–12) with median PPC in 38% (IQR: 17%-67%). On log-rank test, BF, FFM, and CSS were all associated with PPC (p < 0.005 for all), with worse outcomes only for the highest PPC quartile (>67%). There was no observed difference in OS based upon PPC. ROC curve analysis confirmed a cut-point of 67% as most closely associated with CSS (p<0.001, AUC=0.71). On multivariate analysis after adjusting for NCCN risk group and ADT use, PPC>67% increased the risk for BF (p<0.0001, HR:2.1 [1.4–3.0]), FFM (p<0.05, HR:1.7 [1.1 to 2.9]), and CSS (p<0.06 (HR:2.1 [1.0–4.6]). When analyzed as a continuous variable controlling for risk group and ADT use, increasing PPC increased the risk for BF (p < 0.002), metastasis (p < 0.05), and CSS (p < 0.02), with a 1–2% increase in relative risk of recurrence for each 1% increase in the PPC. Conclusions: For patients treated with dose-escalated RT, the PPC adds prognostic value but at a higher cut-point then previously utilized. Patients with PPC >67% remain at increased risk for failure even with dose-escalated EBRT and may receive benefit from further intensification of therapy. No significant financial relationships to disclose.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yuichiro Shimoyama ◽  
Osamu Umegaki ◽  
Noriko Kadono ◽  
Toshiaki Minami

Abstract Objective Sepsis is a major cause of mortality for critically ill patients. This study aimed to determine whether presepsin values can predict mortality in patients with sepsis. Results Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis, Log-rank test, and multivariate analysis identified presepsin values and Prognostic Nutritional Index as predictors of mortality in sepsis patients. Presepsin value on Day 1 was a predictor of early mortality, i.e., death within 7 days of ICU admission; ROC curve analysis revealed an AUC of 0.84, sensitivity of 89%, and specificity of 77%; and multivariate analysis showed an OR of 1.0007, with a 95%CI of 1.0001–1.0013 (p = 0.0320).


2019 ◽  
Vol 34 (2) ◽  
pp. 139-147 ◽  
Author(s):  
Erkan Topkan ◽  
Nur Yücel Ekici ◽  
Yurday Ozdemir ◽  
Ali Ayberk Besen ◽  
Berna Akkus Yildirim ◽  
...  

Background: To retrospectively investigate the influence of pretreatment anemia and hemoglobin levels on the survival of nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients treated with concurrent chemoradiotherapy (C-CRT). Methods: A total of 149 nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients who received C-CRT were included. All patients had received 70 Gy to the primary tumor plus the involved lymph nodes, and 59.4 Gy and 54 Gy to the intermediate- and low-risk neck regions concurrent with 1–3 cycles of cisplatin. Patients were dichotomized into non-anemic and anemic (hemoglobin <12 g/dL (women) or <13 g/dL (men)) groups according to their pre-treatment hemoglobin measures. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was utilized for accessibility of a pre-treatment hemoglobin cut-off that impacts outcomes. Potential interactions between baseline anemia status and hemoglobin measures and overall survival, locoregional progression-free survival (LRPFS), and progression-free survival were assessed. Results: Anemia was evident in 36 patients (24.1%), which was related to significantly shorter overall survival ( P=0.007), LRPFS ( P<0.021), and progression-free survival ( P=0.003) times; all three endpoints retained significance in multivariate analyses ( P<0.05, for each). A baseline hemoglobin value of 11.0 g/dL exhibited significant association with outcomes in ROC curve analysis: hemoglobin <11.0 g/dL (N=26) was linked with shorter median overall survival ( P<0.001), LRPFS ( P=0.004), and progression-free survival ( P<0.001) times, which also retained significance for all three endpoints in multivariate analyses and suggested a stronger prognostic worth for the hemoglobin <11.0 g/dL cut-off value than the anemia status. Conclusion: Pre-C-CRT hemoglobin <11.0 g/dL has a stronger prognostic worth than the anemia status with regard to LRPFS, progression-free survival, and overall survival for nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients.


2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Wen Yu ◽  
Zhongxue Ye ◽  
Xi Fang ◽  
Xingzhi Jiang ◽  
Yafen Jiang

Abstract Background Epithelial ovarian cancer (EOC) is the majority ovarian cancer (OC) type with a poor prognosis. This present study aimed to investigate potential prognostic factors including albumin-to-fibrinogen ratio (AFR) for advanced EOC patients with neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) followed by debulking surgery. Methods A total of 313 advanced EOC patients with NAC followed by debulking surgery from 2010 to 2017 were enrolled. The predictive value of AFR for the overall survival (OS) was evaluated by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. The univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analyses were applied to investigate prognostic factors for advanced EOC patients. The association between preoperative AFR and progression free survival (PFS) or OS was determined via the Kaplan–Meier method using log-rank test. Results The ROC curve analysis showed that the cutoff value of preoperative AFR in predicting OS was determined to be 7.78 with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.773 (P < 0.001). Chemotherapy resistance, preoperative CA125 and AFR were independent risk factors for PFS in advanced EOC patients. Furthermore, chemotherapy resistance, residual tumor and AFR were significant risk factors for OS by multivariate Cox analysis. A low preoperative AFR (≤7.78) was significantly associated with a worse PFS and OS via the Kaplan–Meier method by log-rank test (P < 0.001). Conclusions A low preoperative AFR was an independent risk factor for PFS and OS in advanced EOC patients with NAC followed by debulking surgery.


2015 ◽  
Vol 49 (3) ◽  
pp. 286-290 ◽  
Author(s):  
Florian Hennersdorf ◽  
Paul-Stefan Mauz ◽  
Patrick Adam ◽  
Stefan Welz ◽  
Anne Sievert ◽  
...  

Abstract Background. The present study aimed to analyse potential prognostic factors, with emphasis on tumour volume, in determining progression free survival (PFS) for malignancies of the nasal cavity and the paranasal sinuses. Patients and methods. Retrospective analysis of 106 patients with primary sinonasal malignancies treated and followed-up between March 2006 and October 2012. Possible predictive parameters for PFS were entered into univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis. Kaplan-Meier curve analysis included age, sex, baseline tumour volume (based on MR imaging), histology type, TNM stage and prognostic groups according to the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) classification. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis concerning the predictive value of tumour volume for recurrence was also conducted. Results. The main histological subgroup consisted of epithelial tumours (77%). The majority of the patients (68%) showed advanced tumour burden (AJCC stage III-IV). Lymph node involvement was present in 18 cases. The mean tumour volume was 26.6 ± 21.2 cm3. The median PFS for all patients was 24.9 months (range: 2.5–84.5 months). The ROC curve analysis for the tumour volume showed 58.1% sensitivity and 75.4% specificity for predicting recurrence. Tumour volume, AJCC staging, T- and N-stage were significant predictors in the univariate analysis. Positive lymph node status and tumour volume remained significant and independent predictors in the multivariate analysis. Conclusions. Radiological tumour volume proofed to be a statistically reliable predictor of PFS. In the multivariate analysis, T-, N- and overall AJCC staging did not show significant prognostic value.


2021 ◽  
Vol 28 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
M Santos ◽  
S Paula ◽  
I Almeida ◽  
H Santos ◽  
H Miranda ◽  
...  

Abstract Funding Acknowledgements Type of funding sources: None. Introduction Patients (P) with acute heart failure (AHF) are a heterogeneous population. Risk stratification at admission may help predict in-hospital complications and needs. The Get With The Guidelines Heart Failure score (GWTG-HF) predicts in-hospital mortality (M) of P admitted with AHF. ACTION ICU score is validated to estimate the risk of complications requiring ICU care in non-ST elevation acute coronary syndromes. Objective To validate ACTION-ICU score in AHF and to compare ACTION-ICU to GWTG-HF as predictors of in-hospital M (IHM), early M [1-month mortality (1mM)] and 1-month readmission (1mRA), using real-life data. Methods Based on a single-center retrospective study, data collected from P admitted in the Cardiology department with AHF between 2010 and 2017. P without data on previous cardiovascular history or uncompleted clinical data were excluded. Statistical analysis used chi-square, non-parametric tests, logistic regression analysis and ROC curve analysis. Results Among the 300 P admitted with AHF included, mean age was 67.4 ± 12.6 years old and 72.7% were male. Systolic blood pressure (SBP) was 131.2 ± 37.0mmHg, glomerular filtration rate (GFR) was 57.1 ± 23.5ml/min. 35.3% were admitted in Killip-Kimball class (KKC) 4. ACTION-ICU score was 10.4 ± 2.3 and GWTG-HF was 41.7 ± 9.6. Inotropes’ usage was necessary in 32.7% of the P, 11.3% of the P needed non-invasive ventilation (NIV), 8% needed invasive ventilation (IV). IHM rate was 5% and 1mM was 8%. 6.3% of the P were readmitted 1 month after discharge. Older age (p &lt; 0.001), lower SBP (p = 0,035) and need of inotropes (p &lt; 0.001) were predictors of IHM in our population. As expected, patients presenting in KKC 4 had higher IHM (OR 8.13, p &lt; 0.001). Older age (OR 1.06, p = 0.002, CI 1.02-1.10), lower SBP (OR 1.01, p = 0.05, CI 1.00-1.02) and lower left ventricle ejection fraction (LVEF) (OR 1.06, p &lt; 0.001, CI 1.03-1.09) were predictors of need of NIV. None of the variables were predictive of IV. LVEF (OR 0.924, p &lt; 0.001, CI 0.899-0.949), lower SBP (OR 0.80, p &lt; 0.001, CI 0.971-0.988), higher urea (OR 1.01, p &lt; 0.001, CI 1.005-1.018) and lower sodium (OR 0.92, p = 0.002, CI 0.873-0.971) were predictors of inotropes’ usage. Logistic regression showed that GWTG-HF predicted IHM (OR 1.12, p &lt; 0.001, CI 1.05-1.19), 1mM (OR 1.10, p = 1.10, CI 1.04-1.16) and inotropes’s usage (OR 1.06, p &lt; 0.001, CI 1.03-1.10), however it was not predictive of 1mRA, need of IV or NIV. Similarly, ACTION-ICU predicted IHM (OR 1.51, p = 0.02, CI 1.158-1.977), 1mM (OR 1.45, p = 0.002, CI 1.15-1.81) and inotropes’ usage (OR 1.22, p = 0.002, CI 1.08-1.39), but not 1mRA, the need of IV or NIV. ROC curve analysis revealed that GWTG-HF score performed better than ACTION-ICU regarding IHM (AUC 0.774, CI 0.46-0-90 vs AUC 0.731, CI 0.59-0.88) and 1mM (AUC 0.727, CI 0.60-0.85 vs AUC 0.707, CI 0.58-0.84). Conclusion In our population, both scores were able to predict IHM, 1mM and inotropes’s usage.


2021 ◽  
Vol 80 (Suppl 1) ◽  
pp. 491.2-491
Author(s):  
M. Tada ◽  
Y. Yamada ◽  
K. Mandai ◽  
N. Hidaka

Background:We previously reported that the prevalence of sarcopenia was 28% in patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) in a cohort study 1. RA patients have a high risk of falls and fractures 2. However, the predictors of falls and fractures in RA patients are not known.Objectives:Whether evaluation of muscle mass and function at baseline could predict falls and fractures during four-year follow-up was investigated.Methods:The four-year follow-up data from a prospective, observational study (CHIKARA study: Correlation researcH of sarcopenIa, sKeletal muscle and disease Activity in Rheumatoid Arthritis) were used. Muscle mass was measured by a body impedance analyzer, and leg muscle mass was calculated. The leg muscle score (max: 100, min: 0) reflected the ratio of leg muscle mass to overall weight. Grip strength as an indicator of muscle function was evaluated using a digital, hand-held, isokinetic dynamometer. The correlations between muscle mass or function and falls or fractures were analyzed by survival rates and Cox hazard ratios. Leg muscle mass and grip strength were investigated by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis for correlations with falls or fractures.Results:A total of 100 RA patients (female: 78%, mean age: 66.1 years) were enrolled; 35 patients had falls, and 19 patients had fractures during the four-year follow-up. The leg muscle score, grip strength, age, and fractures at baseline were significantly correlated with falls. The cut-off values of the leg muscle score and grip strength were calculated to be 84.5 points (sensitivity: 0.79, specificity: 0.43) and 15.9 kg (sensitivity: 0.56, specificity: 0.70), respectively, by ROC curve analysis. The patients were divided into four groups by their leg muscle scores and grip strength; the numbers of falls and fractures are shown in Table 1 for each group. The fall-free survival rate was significantly lower in the group with low leg muscle score and low grip strength (35.3%) than in the other groups (P=0.002) (Figure 1). The hazard ratio for the both low group was significantly increased, 3.6-fold (95%CI: 1.1-11.5), compared to that in the both high group.Table 1.Numbers of falls and fractures by category of leg muscle score and grip strengthLG + GS+(n=34)LG - GS+(n=12)LG + GS-(n=37)LG - GS-(n=17)P value*Falls, N6515110.010Fractures, N34660.072LG+: leg muscle score >84.5 points, GS+: grip strength >15.9kg, LG-: leg muscle score ≤84.5 points, GS+: grip strength ≤15.9kg*: compared in four groups by Kruskal-Walls test.Figure 1.Fall-free survival rate in the four groupsConclusion:RA patients with both low leg muscle score and low grip strength at baseline were at high risk for falls during the four-year follow-up period. Evaluation of muscle mass and function can predict falls in RA patients.References:[1]Tada, M., Yamada, Y., Mandai, K. & Hidaka, N. Matrix metalloprotease 3 is associated with sarcopenia in rheumatoid arthritis - results from the CHIKARA study. Int J Rheum Dis21, 1962-1969, doi:10.1111/1756-185X.13335 (2018).[2]van Staa, T. P., Geusens, P., Bijlsma, J. W., Leufkens, H. G. & Cooper, C. Clinical assessment of the long-term risk of fracture in patients with rheumatoid arthritis. Arthritis Rheum54, 3104-3112, doi:10.1002/art.22117 (2006).Disclosure of Interests:None declared


2021 ◽  
Vol 22 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Jiajia Liu ◽  
Xiaoyi Tian ◽  
Yan Wang ◽  
Xixiong Kang ◽  
Wenqi Song

Abstract Background The cytotoxic T-lymphocyte-associated antigen 4 (CTLA-4) is widely considered as a pivotal immune checkpoint molecule to suppress antitumor immunity. However, the significance of soluble CTLA-4 (sCTLA-4) remains unclear in the patients with brain glioma. Here we aimed to investigate the significance of serum sCTLA-4 levels as a noninvasive biomarker for diagnosis and evaluation of the prognosis in glioma patients. Methods In this study, the levels of sCTLA-4 in serum from 50 patients diagnosed with different grade gliomas including preoperative and postoperative, and 50 healthy individuals were measured by an enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA). And then ROC curve analysis and survival analyses were performed to explore the clinical significance of sCTLA-4. Results Serum sCTLA-4 levels were significantly increased in patients with glioma compared to that of healthy individuals, and which was also positively correlated with the tumor grade. ROC curve analysis showed that the best cutoff value for sCTLA-4 for glioma is 112.1 pg/ml, as well as the sensitivity and specificity with 82.0 and 78.0%, respectively, and a cut-off value of 220.43 pg/ml was best distinguished in patients between low-grade glioma group and high-grade glioma group with sensitivity 73.1% and specificity 79.2%. Survival analysis revealed that the patients with high sCTLA-4 levels (> 189.64 pg/ml) had shorter progression-free survival (PFS) compared to those with low sCTLA-4 levels (≤189.64 pg/ml). In the univariate analysis, elder, high-grade tumor, high sCTLA-4 levels and high Ki-67 index were significantly associated with shorter PFS. In the multivariate analysis, sCTLA-4 levels and tumor grade remained an independent prognostic factor. Conclusion These findings indicated that serum sCTLA-4 levels play a critical role in the pathogenesis and development of glioma, which might become a valuable predictive biomarker for supplementary diagnosis and evaluation of the progress and prognosis in glioma.


2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiaohua Ban ◽  
Xinping Shen ◽  
Huijun Hu ◽  
Rong Zhang ◽  
Chuanmiao Xie ◽  
...  

Abstract Background To determine the predictive CT imaging features for diagnosis in patients with primary pulmonary mucoepidermoid carcinomas (PMECs). Materials and methods CT imaging features of 37 patients with primary PMECs, 76 with squamous cell carcinomas (SCCs) and 78 with adenocarcinomas were retrospectively reviewed. The difference of CT features among the PMECs, SCCs and adenocarcinomas was analyzed using univariate analysis, followed by multinomial logistic regression and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. Results CT imaging features including tumor size, location, margin, shape, necrosis and degree of enhancement were significant different among the PMECs, SCCs and adenocarcinomas, as determined by univariate analysis (P < 0.05). Only lesion location, shape, margin and degree of enhancement remained independent factors in multinomial logistic regression analysis. ROC curve analysis showed that the area under curve of the obtained multinomial logistic regression model was 0.805 (95%CI: 0.704–0.906). Conclusion The prediction model derived from location, margin, shape and degree of enhancement can be used for preoperative diagnosis of PMECs.


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