Intergovernmental relations as a problem of program budgeting

Author(s):  
Valery Grebennikov

The article shows the possibility of solving the problem of horizontal budget equalization withinthe framework of the Russian model of program budgeting, implemented through the system of federal, sub-federal governmental programs and municipal programs. To achieve this goal, it is proposed to solve two interrelated tasks: increasing the budgetary self-sufficiency of the subjects of the Russian Federation and redistributing intergovernmental transfers in accordance with their socio-economic characteristics. To solve the first task the necessity of providing the process of management (development, implementation and monitoring) of governmental and municipal programs with the proposed measures aimed at ensuring control of the ratio of budget expenditures for the implementation of social and commercial projects is substantiated. These measures should be complemented with a time-limited policy of redistributing intergovernmental transfers, taking into account the different socio-economic situation of the subjects of the Russian Federation. For this purpose, test indicators have been calculated to determine the extent to which the annual dynamics of the actual distribution of the volumes of intergovernmental transfers between the subjects of the Russian Federation for each of the eight federal districts for the period 2000–2018 corresponds to the criterion proposed by us in previous works. Those were the negative value of the Spearman's ordinal correlation coefficient between the variables “the share of non-repayable receipts” and “the budgetary self-sufficiency potential”. An attempt is made to establish a correlation relationship between the calculated values of these indicators and the socio-economic characteristics of the federal districts. It is concluded that for a correct assessment of the impact of governmental program budgetingon regional development, it is necessary to take into account the parameters of programs at all levels of the budgetary system of the Russian Federation in the context of a separate territory, i.e. subject of the Russian Federation or their group.

Author(s):  
T. A. Volkova ◽  
S. A. Volkova

The article is devoted to the study of the influence of the development of innovations on the economic security of the regions. Based on the assumption that innovative development plays a key role in the process of ensuring the economic security of the region, the authors proposed a system of indicators for assessing the innovative component of the economic security of the region, including the indicators of economic security reflected in the Decree «On the Strategy of Economic Security of the Russian Federation for the Period up to 2030». The impact of innovations is realized through the achievement of the goals of ensuring the country's security, among which is the dynamic and progressive development of the economy. The authors proposed a methodology for assessing the innovative component of economic security based on the scoring method, developed an assessment scale for interpreting the results of calculations, assessed the innovative security of regional economic systems of the Federal Districts of Russia for the period 2015–2019. As a result of the analysis, factors were identified that hinder innovative development and negatively affect the provision of economic security at the regional level: underdevelopment, low efficiency of the innovation infrastructure, reduction of internal costs for research and development, a decrease in the number of developed advanced production technologies, and others. It has been established that the economic security of a region depends on its ability to perceive innovations, while institutional factors have a significant impact on the pace of development. The work has improved the methodological tools for diagnosing the innovative security of the regions of the Russian Federation by optimizing the system of criteria for its assessment. The results of the empirical studies carried out confirmed the possibility of practical use of the developed methodology for diagnosing the innovative security of the regions of the Russian Federation and identifying priority areas for its improvement.


Federalism ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 26 (3) ◽  
pp. 121-141
Author(s):  
I. S. Bukina

The growth of regional debts produces risks both at the regional level and in the sphere of intergovernmental relations. The article shows that with a low debt burden at a long-term level, the subjects of the Russian Federation are highly differentiated by the level of debt, and even with a decrease in overall debt, a variation of debt load is growing. On the basis of cluster analysis, four groups of the subjects of the Russian Federation were allocated, depending on the variation of the debt burden and the share of social spending in total regional expenditures. It is concluded that the level of debt burden and its dynamics are explained both by the socio-economic factors for the regional development and the quality of budget management in any subject of the Russian Federation. Accordingly, the procedure for the distribution of intergovernmental transfers and budgetary rules should be agreed with the accounting of objective relationships and institutional effects.


Author(s):  
P.V. Serebryakov ◽  
◽  
I.N. Fedina ◽  
E.E. Shigan ◽  
◽  
...  

Abstract. Taking into account the sanitary and epidemiological conditions in the Russian Federation associated with the pandemic of the new coronavirus infection COVID-19, the dynamics of occupational morbidity rates from exposure to a biological factor over the past 20 years and, in particular, for 2020 was analyzed. On the state of sanitary and epidemiological well-being of the population in the Russian Federation, an analysis of the structure of occupational pathology in the Federal districts of Russia was carried out with an emphasis on the contribution of COVID-19. The obtained data on Federal districts with a high scatter of indicators can be explained by the initially high levels of occupational pathology in a number of constituent entities of the Russian Federation, as well as by the peculiarities of the spread of COVID-19, the suspension of the activities of occupational medicine centers, and various development of the algorithm for the examination of the connection between COVID-19 cases and working conditions for medical workers.


2020 ◽  
Vol 16 ◽  
pp. 1377-1392
Author(s):  
Leyla B. Mokhnatkina

The use of fiscal instruments for regulating territorial development has both positive and negative macroeconomic effects related to the withdrawal of revenue from more economically developed regions. Therefore, using the Pareto principle, this paper assesses the negative effects of budgetary reallocation. This study considers inter-budgetary reallocation as an annually recurring four-stage process of regional budgets reproduction. The article analyses the firs t stag e o f th e process , namely , the creation of resource allocation base. A hypothesis has been tested to examine whether the centralisation of tax revenues in the federal budget and, consequently, an increase in inter-budgetary reallocation does not reduce, but exacerbates inequality in regions due to their revenue depletion and limited self-development. The study assessed the contribution of federal districts and individual constituent entities of the Russian Federation to the federal budget, withdrawal of regional revenues, and the concentration of territorial revenues to the federal budget. Based on the ranking of regional contributions to federal revenues, I built a Pareto diagram, checking the 80/20 rule for grouped and non-grouped data. Calculations and comparison of the data for 2017 and 2010 confirm numerous negative effects. For example, there is an increase in the withdrawal of regional revenues and a significant concentration of federal revenues for a limited number of regions. Additionally, negative effects include the existence of a direct relationship between regional revenues and the rate of their withdrawal, as well as the predominance of the equalising component over the stimulating one in regional socio-economic development. These effects lead to revenue depletion in the territories and increased centralisation of budgetary resources, contradicting the principles of fiscal federalism. Authorities can use the research results, conclusions and suggestions for managerial decision-making to improve intergovernmental relations in the Russian Federation.


2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (6) ◽  
pp. 52-58
Author(s):  
Ivan Trashkin

The article substantiates the impact of investment in infrastructure in general and public-private partnership (PPP) projects in particular on the level of economic welfare of the Russian Federation’s federal districts. Quantitative research, including correlation analysis and regression models, determines the direction and degree of influence of investments in PPP projects on the GRP per capita on the scale of each federal district. Correlation analysis revealed a close positive relationship between the target feature and the variable of interest for most federal districts of the Russian Federation. Regression models based on the calculation of GRP using the expenditure method and thus ensuring the relevance and interpretability of calculations show a significant positive impact of investments in PPP projects on the level of economic welfare in the Federal districts of the Russian Federation. The impact of investments in PPP projects on the target feature identified in the study allows us to recommend a forced increase in the number of infrastructure projects implemented on the PPP principles, taking into account the benefits from this mechanism for all economic entities.


2019 ◽  
Vol 19 (2) ◽  
pp. 99-115
Author(s):  
T. V. Sumskaya

For the effective functioning of local governments an important role is played by the sufficiency of the revenue base of local budgets. It is the municipal level of power in the Russian Federation that is responsible for the most important social expenditures of the state. The purpose of this work is to analyze the revenue sources of local governments, as well as the expenditures of municipal budgets in Russia in the framework of the sub-federal fiscal policy. A set of calculations based on materials from municipalities of the Russian Federation allows to determine the main directions of formation of revenues and expenditures of budgets of local governments, as well as assess the impact of the budget policy of regional authorities on incentives for the socio-economic development of municipalities. The analysis of budget revenues and expenditures by types of municipalities in Russia has been carried out in order to identify their budget solvency both in statics and in dynamics. The results of the study can be applied in studying the possibilities of improving budget policy in the direction of leveling and stimulating local governments to strengthen their own revenue base. It has been concluded that the improvement of intergovernmental relations should include measures to strengthen the tax potential of municipalities, which is impossible without ensuring stable fixed tax revenues for local budgets.


2019 ◽  
pp. 21-38
Author(s):  
Alexander N. Deryugin ◽  
Ilya A. Sokolov

The paper analyzes the impact of the “model budget” on the problems of intergovernmental relations in the Russian Federation: a high proportion of expenditure obligations of regional and local budgets and a high degree of interregional inequality in fiscal capacity and socio-economic development. It was concluded that the planned broader use of the “model budget” will not solve the problem of unfunded mandates and will lead first to a significant reduction in incentives for regional authorities to develop the territorial revenue base, and then to economic slowdown in the country. As an alternative approach to improving intergovernmental relations, options are being considered for adjusting the parameters of the equalization transfers distribution formula, the procedure for determining their total volume and calculating the budget expenditure index. In solving the problem of unfunded mandates, an equally important role is given to the procedure for preparing a financial and economic rationale for draft laws.


2020 ◽  
Vol 27 (6) ◽  
pp. 37-55
Author(s):  
E. V. Zarova ◽  
E. I. Dubravskaya

The topic of quantitative research on informal employment has a consistently high relevance both in the Russian Federation and in other countries due to its high dependence on cyclicality and crisis stages in economic dynamics of countries with any level of economic development. Developing effective government policy measures to overcome the negative impact of informal employment requires special attention in theoretical and applied research to assessing the factors and conditions of informal employment in the Russian Federation including at the regional level. Such effects of informal employment as a shortfall in taxes, potential losses in production efficiency, and negative social consequences are a concern for the authorities of the federal and regional levels. Development of quantitative indicators to determine the level of informal employment in the regions, taking into account their specifics in the general spatial and economic system of Russia are necessary to overcome these negative effects. The article proposes and tests methods for solving the problem of assessing the impact of hierarchical relationships on macroeconomic factors at the regional level of informal employment in constituent entities of the Russian Federation. Majority of the works on the study of informal employment are based on basic statistical methods of spatial-dynamic analysis, as well as on the now «traditional» methods of cluster and correlation-regression analysis. Without diminishing the merits of these methods, it should be noted that they are somewhat limited in identifying hidden structural connections and interdependencies in such a complex multidimensional phenomenon as informal employment. In order to substantiate the possibility of overcoming these limitations, the article proposes indicators of regional statistics that directly and indirectly characterize informal employment and also presents the possibilities of using the «random forest» method to identify groups of constituent entities of the Russian Federation that have similar macroeconomic factors of informal employment. The novelty of this method in terms of research objectives is that it allows one to assess the impact of macroeconomic indicators of regional development on the level of informal employment, taking into account the implicit, not predetermined by the initial hypotheses, hierarchical relationships of factor indicators. Based on the generalization of the studies presented in the literature, as well as the authors’ statistical calculations using Rosstat data, the authors came to the conclusion about the high importance of macroeconomic parameters of regional development and systemic relationships of macroeconomic indicators in substantiating the differentiation of the informal level across the constituent entities of the Russian Federation.


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