scholarly journals ANALISIS INFLASI, TINGKAT BUNGA, DAN NILAI TUKAR PADA RETURN PASAR DI BURSA EFEK INDONESIA

2018 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 433
Author(s):  
Nurmala Nurmala

This study aims to determine the effect of inflation, interest rate and exchange rate on market return in Indonesian Stock Exchange. In this study, researchers used secondary data from inflation rate, interest rate and exchange rate from the Composite Stock Price Index (IHSG) from Bank Indonesia and Idx. The population in this study was the joint stock price movements of companies registered in Indonesian Stock Exchange, while samples used are purposive random sampling with the criteria of Indonesian securities listed companies, stock movement volume traded (CSPI), companies owning shares (including in the CSPI) period of 2012 – 2017. The analysis tool used is multiple regression analysis t-test, F-test and coefficient of determination tested by classic assumption test. The results of the study show Inflation, Interest Rate, Exchange Rate of Stock Return is 0.13. This singnification number is greater than 0.05 which means that the Inflation X1 variable, Interest Rate X1, Exchange Rate X3 does not significantly influence Market Return. Thus H4,which says that inflation, interest rate, exchange rate significantly influence market return are rejected. While partially tested that the significance of inflation is 0.167. This signification number is greater than 0.05 (prob> 0.05). Then H0 is accepted and Ha is rejected so that it can be concluded that inflation does not have a significant effect on Market Return.While the calculation and variable analysis of interest rate is obtained by a result of 0.005. Significance figures obtained are smaller than alpha 0.05 (prob <0.05). This means that the variable interest rate has a significant effect on market return. Thus, it can be concluded that Ho is rejected and Ha is accepted. From the calculation of data analysis there are significant numbers. Whereas, for the exchange rate variable is 0.105. The probability value obtained is greater than alpha 0.05 (prob> 0.05). Then the conclusion is that H0 is accepted and Ha is rejected so that it can be concluded that the exchange rate does not have a significant effect on Market Return.

MODUS ◽  
2016 ◽  
Vol 28 (1) ◽  
pp. 105
Author(s):  
Toni Saputra ◽  
R Maryatmo

AbstrakPenelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui dan menganalisis pengaruh nilai tukar dan suku bunga acuan terhadap neraca transaksi berjalan di Indonesia periode 2005:1- 2015:1. Data yang digunakan merupakan data sekunder. Data sekunder bersumber dari website Bank Indonesia. Alat analisis yang digunakan adalah Errror Correction Model (ECM). Selanjutnya analisis deskriptif digunakan untuk menjelaskan hasil penelitian.Penelitian ini menghasilkan dua hal. Pertama, dalam jangka pendek nilai tukar tidak berpengaruh terhadap neraca transaksi berjalan Indonesia. Dalam jangka panjang nilai tukar memiliki pengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap neraca transaksi berjalan. Kedua, dalam jangka pendek suku bunga acuan tidak berpengaruh terhadap neraca transaksi berjalan Indonesia. Dalam jangka panjang suku bunga acuan memiliki pengaruh negatif terhadap neraca transaksi berjalan. Kata Kunci: neraca transaksi berjalan Indonesia, nilai tukar, suku bunga acuan, Errror Correction Model AbstractThis study aims to determine and analyze the effect of exchange rates and interest rates on current account in Indonesia from 2005: 1 to 2015: 1. The data used is secondary data. Secondary data is sourced from the website of Bank Indonesia. The analysis tool used is Errror Correction Model (ECM). Further descriptive analysis is used to explain the study results.This research resulted in two things. First, in the short term exchange rate has no effect on the current account in Indonesia. In the long term the exchange rate has a positive and significant impact on the current account. Second, in the short-term benchmark interest rate has no effect on the current account in Indonesia. In the long-term benchmark interest rate has a negative effect on the current account. Keywords: current account in Indonesia, the exchange rate, the benchmark interest rate, errror Correction Model


2015 ◽  
Vol 13 (2) ◽  
pp. 226
Author(s):  
Tuti Purwaningsih

The purpose of this study was to determine the influence of the independent variables are indicated by the BI Rate, the rate of inflation, exchange rate and the Dow Jones Against Composite Stock Price Index. The analysis tool used is multiple linear regression using time series data is 2009-2014. In the model equations, Composite Stock Price Index is the dependent variable and the BI Rate, the rate of inflation, exchange rates as well as Dow Jones is the independent variable. Results of regression is that the variable BI Rate (X1) a significant negative effect on the Composite Stock Price Index, inflation (X2) significant negative effect on the Composite Stock Price Index, the exchange rate (X3) significant negative effect on Stock Price Index and Index Dow Jones (X3) positive and significant impact on the Composite Stock Price Index. The coefficient of determination (R2) is 0.970445, or 97%. This indicates that the BI Rate (X1), the rate of inflation (X2), the exchange rate (X3) and Dow Jones (X4) in explaining the dependent variable or dependent Composite Stock Price Index amounted to 97%, while the remaining 3% is explained by other variables outside the model that implicitly reflected in confounding variables.  Suggestions can meet of the results of this study are advised to look at the effect of other macroeconomic variables in detail which can affect and use other variables outside the monetary variables like social and political situation of a country. And also advised to conduct research using other approaches.


2020 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 25-46
Author(s):  
Hafidz Ash-Shidiq ◽  
Aziz Budi Setiawan

ABSTRAK: Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis pengaruh antara suku bunga SBI, jumlah uang beredar (m2), inflasi dan nilai tukar rupiah IDR/USD terhadap Jakarta Islamic Index di Bursa Efek Indonesia, dengan periode pengamatan selama Januari 2009 – Desember 2014. Data yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini merupakan data yang terdiri dari data bulana. Metode analisis yang digunakan adalah analisis regresi berganda. Pengolahan data tersebut dilakukan dengan menggunakan Eviews 7. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa secara parsial suku bunga SBI, jumlah uang beredar (m2), dan inflasi tidak berpengaruh signifikan terhadap JII. Sedangkan nilai tukar rupiah mempunyai pengaruh negatif signifikan terhadap JII. Hasil uji koefisien determinasi menunjukkan bahwa nilai Adjusted R-Square 33,37%. Secara simultan perubahan variabel suku bunga SBI, jumlah uang beredar (m2), inflasi dan nilai tukar rupiah berpengaruh positif signifikan terhadap Jakarta Islamic Indek (JII).Kata Kunci: Jakarta Islamic Indek (JII), Inflasi, suku bunga SBI, nilai tukar rupiah IDR/USD, jumlah uang beredar (m2)ABSTRACT: The purpose of this research was to analyze the influence of interest rate of SBI, money supply (m2), inflation and rupiah exchange rate on the Jakarta Islamic Index in Indonesia Stock Exchange, with the observation period during January 2009 – Desember 2014. The data used in this study is a quantitative secondary data consisting of monthly data. The analysis method used is multiple linear regression analysis, clasical assumption test, and determination coefficient test. Data processing was performed using Eviews 7. The result showed that partially interest rate of SBI, money supply (m2), and inflation not influenced significant to the JII. Meanwhile, rupiah exchange rate have a negative effect and significant to the JII. The test results showed that the value of the coefficient of determination Adjusted R Square 33,37%. Simultaneously variables interest rate of SBI, money supply (m2), inflation and rupiah exchange rate movement have a positive significant effect to the Jakarta Islamic Index (JII).Keywords: Jakarta Islamic Index, Inflation, interest rate of (SBI), Exchange rate, and Money suply (M2)


2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 70
Author(s):  
Tsoraya Utami ◽  
Murtala Murtala ◽  
Hilmi Hilmi

ABSTRACT This study aims to examine the effect of interest rates, inflation, exchange rates and gross domestic product growth on the Composite Stock Price Index (IHSG) on the IDX during the 2003-2018 period on a quarterly basis. The type of data used is secondary data in the form of time series data obtained from published reports from Bank Indonesia, the Central Bureau of Statistics and the Indonesia Stock Exchange. The data analysis method used is the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) Model. The results of this study found that the exchange rate and inflation had a negative and significant effect on the IHSG, while GDP growth had a positive and significant effect on the IHSG. However, the interest rate did not have a significant effect on the IHSG. Keywords:         Interest Rate, Inflation, Exchange Rate, GDP Growth and IHSG


2017 ◽  
Vol 24 (1) ◽  
pp. 54-70
Author(s):  
Hasanah Setyowati ◽  
Riyanti Ningsih

This study aimed to obtain empirical evidence on the influence of fundamental factors, systematic risk and macroeconomics on the returns Islamic stock of companies incorporated in the Jakarta Islamic Index in 2010-2014. The variables used were the fundamental factors that are proxied by Earning Per Share (EPS), Return on Equity (ROE), Debt to Equity Ratio (DER); Systematic risk is proxied by Beta Shares; macroeconomic factors is proxied by the inflation rate and the exchange rate. The samples of this study are the enterprises incorporated in Jakarta Islamic Index (JII) at the Indonesian Stock Exchange. The sampling method was using purposive sampling. There were 12 samples of Islamic stocks that meet the criteria to be used as samples. The analysis model used is multiple linear regression techniques and the type of data used is secondary data. The study found that all variables, which are Earning Per Share (EPS), Return on Equity (ROE), Debt to Equity Ratio (DER), Beta stock, inflation and the exchange rate do not significantly affect the return of sharia stock either simultaneously or partially.


2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Wilda Novita Sari ◽  
Ariusni Ariusni

Abstract: The purpose of this research is to be able to determine the effect of world oil prices on economic growth in Indonesia by applying the exchange rate moderating variable and the BI rate as a connecting variable. Descriptive and associative research is a type of research that is used with data collection techniques through a trusted official agency website that is classified in the quarterly time series secondary data. The data year in this study was from 2006 to 2018. Data analysis was carried out through descriptive and inductive analysis with a Moderated Regression Analysis (MRA) data analysis tool accompanied by a classic assumption test and a t test. Estimation results show that there are two research results; firstly, that the exchange rate has an effect on moderating the relationship between world oil prices and economic growth in Indonesia, secondly, that the BI rate has no influence connecting world oil prices and economic growth in Indonesia. Keywords: World oil prices, economic growth, exchange rates, BI rate, Moderated Regression Analysis (MRA).


2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 871-877
Author(s):  
Rahmat Dewa Bagas Nugraha ◽  
H.M Nursito

This study aims to determine and analyze the factors that affect stock prices through appropriate ratio analysis. As for the ratio of interest rates, inflation and exchange rates. Researchers want to know and analyze the effect partially or simultaneously between interest rates, inflation, and exchange rates on stock prices. This research is a quantitative study using secondary data. The object of this research is hotel companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange for the period 2016-2018. The sample used in this study were 3 hotel with certain characteristics. The results of research simultaneously using the F test show that there is no influence between interest rates, inflation and exchange rates on stock prices because the calculated value is smaller than the table. Partially with the t test it can be concluded that there is no influence between interest rates on stock prices because the tcount value in the interest rate variable is smaller than the t table. Likewise, the t calculation of inflation and the exchange rate is smaller than the t table, so that there is no partial effect of the two variables on stock prices. Keywords: Stock Prices, Interest Rates, Inflation and Exchange Rates


2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 21-33
Author(s):  
Atika Riziqyani ◽  
Gunistiyo ◽  
Niken Wahyu C

The effect of exchange rate, interest rate and dividend of share price on banking sector which is listed in Indonesia Stock Exchange year 2013-2017. Essay. Tegal: Faculty of Economics and Business Universitas Pancasakti Tegal,2018. The purpose of this study is to determine the ability of investors in considering stock prices in the banking sector in 2013-2017. Hypothesis in this research is 1) exchange rate effect on stock price. 2) interest rates affect the stock price. 3) dividend pershare effect on stock price. 4) exchange rate, interest rate and dividend pershare simultaneously affect the stock price. The population used in this study is a banking company that publishes stock prices listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange in 2013-2017. The sample in this research are 21 banking companies. With technique of sampling using purposive sampling. The data in this research is quantitative data. Sources of data in this study are secondary sources obtained from the share price of an annual banking company published in Indonesia Stock Exchange period 2013-2017. Data collection techniques using documentation techniques. Data analysis method using descriptive statistic, classical assumption test, simple linear regression analysis, multiple linear regression analysis and coefficient of determination, then obtained the result of research that the exchange rate does not have a significant effect on stock prices, the interest rate does not significantly influence the stock price, against stock price, exchange rate, interest rate and dividend pershare have significant effect to stock price.


2021 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 50-59
Author(s):  
Irine Melyani ◽  
Martha Ayerza Esra

The movement of stock price index is the important indicator for investors to determine whether the investor would sell, buy, or hold shares. The movement of CSPI is affected by several factor like macroeconomy. The purpose of this study was to determine the effect of inflation, interest rate, and exchange rate against CSPI. Theoretically, the effect of inflation, interest rate, and exchange rate is based on efficient market hyphothesis and signalling theory which inflation, interest rate and exchange rate provide signal to investor which affect their decision that cause change to CSPI. The type of data used in this study is secondary data with quantitative approach. The sampling is based on time series data from 2016-2018 using purposive sampling methodso that 36 samples are obtained. This research uses multiple uses multiple regression analysis method using SPSS 2.2. The results of this study indicate that during the period 2016-2018 inflation does not affect CSPI, the interest rate have negative affect on CSPI and exchange rate have positive affect on CSPI. Future research is expected to add another independent variable and extend the time range of the research to obtain ore accurate and comprehensive results. Keywords: Inflation, Interest Rate, Exchange Rate, Composite Stock Price Indonesia


2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 27
Author(s):  
Mario Yohanis Thomas ◽  
Ventje Ilat

This study aims to determine the effect of asset growth and debt solvency on stock price volatility. The population in this study is financial sector companies listed as issuers of shares on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX). The sample is taken by the purposive method so that there are 6 banking companies that meet the criteria. The research data is secondary data for the period 2011-2018 obtained from the Indonesia Stock Exchange. This study uses quantitative methods with multiple linear regression analysis techniques with t-test, F test, and analysis of the coefficient of determination. Hypothesis test results show a significant effect on the asset growth variable and an insignificant effect on the debt solvency variable.


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