Мethods of complex operational expert assessment of military-man-made threats in the united forces operation area
The article describes the techniques and methods of application of the method of complex operational expert assessment of military- man-made threats in the United forces operation area during hostilities. As a result of the analysis of scientific sources, the key features of effective approaches and methods of assessing heterogeneous threats that are associated with man-made impacts and can lead to emergencies. The selection of criteria for a complex threat assessment is made, the procedure and factors used in the operational threat assessment are described. The main factors of negative impact of military-man-made threats on socio-ecological-economic systems, which are key in the formation of military-man-made threats, are presented. A hierarchical classification of factors of integrated operational threat assessment for the United forces operation area has been developed. A system of equations is obtained that will allow modeling the change of threats depending on the change of factors and evaluation criteria. This will allow for the rapid ranking of military-man-made threats to the United forces operation area.