scholarly journals Determination of the injury probability among coal mine workers

2021 ◽  
Vol 15 (2) ◽  
pp. 47-53
Author(s):  
Dmytro Nosal ◽  
Serhii Konovalov ◽  
Volodymyr Shevchenko
Keyword(s):  
Coal Mine ◽  
High Probability ◽  
Health And Safety ◽  
Mining Sites ◽  
Correlation And Regression Analysis ◽  
Green Zone ◽  
Calculated Probability ◽  
Low Probability ◽  
Injury Probability ◽  
Mine Workers

Purpose. Establishing regularities of change in the injury probability and development of a methodology for determining the injury probability of coal mine workers to improve the occupational health and safety (OSH) management system efficiency. Methods. Methods of mathematical statistics and mathematical analysis were used in the data processing of coal mine workers’ injuries; probability theory and risk theory were applied for setting equations to determine the injury probability; correlation and regression analysis were used to determine the density and nature of the dependences reflecting changes in the injury probability. Findings. A calculator has been developed to compute the injury probability of an employee. This instrument distributes the probability into three “zones”: high probability – “red zone”, medium probability – “yellow zone”, and low probability – “green zone”. The injury probability for all employees of the mine administration was calculated. It was found that the clo-sest relationship between the number of injuries and the calculated probability is observed for mining sites (medium probability) and for tunneling sites (high probability). For employees with a calculated high injury probability, in most cases, the causes of injury were objective and less dependent on employees themselves. For employees with a medium probability, the causes independent of and dependent on employees were approximately equally correlated. In the case of employees with a low probability, the main reasons were subjective – dependent on the employees themselves. For employees in the main operational sites (mining and tunneling), the cause of injury is directly related to the specifics of the production operations performed: the presence of loose space. Originality. For the first time, relationships were determined between the injury probability and the profession. We also established relationships between experience at the enterprise, age, marital status of an employee and the injury causes, as well as between the actual number of injuries and the calculated injury probability. Practical implications. A method for determining the injury probability of coal mine workers has been developed and implemented. The ways of improving the methods for calculating the injury probability are determined.

Chromosomal aberrations in coal mine workers with lung diseases

2020 ◽  
pp. 226-231
Author(s):  
Ya. A. Savchenko ◽  
V. I. Minina ◽  
M. L. Bakanova ◽  
V. P. Volobaev ◽  
A. A. Timofeeva ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Chromosomal Aberrations ◽  
Coal Mine ◽  
Lung Diseases ◽  
Mine Workers

Spatial suppression due to statistical regularities is driven by distractor suppression not by target activation

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michel Failing ◽  
Benchi Wang ◽  
Jan Theeuwes
Keyword(s):  
High Probability ◽  
Target Location ◽  
Target Selection ◽  
Visual Space ◽  
Alternative Interpretation ◽  
Distractor Location ◽  
Target Presentation ◽  
Statistical Regularities ◽  
Low Probability ◽  
Presentation Experiment

Where and what we attend to is not only determined by what we are currently looking for but also by what we have encountered in the past. Recent studies suggest that biasing the probability by which distractors appear at locations in visual space may lead to attentional suppression of high probability distractor locations which effectively reduces capture by a distractor but also impairs target selection at this location. However, in many of these studies introducing a high probability distractor location was tantamount to increasing the probability of the target appearing in any of the other locations (i.e. the low probability distractor locations). Here, we investigate an alternative interpretation of previous findings according to which attentional selection at high probability distractor locations is not suppressed. Instead, selection at low probability distractor locations is facilitated. In two visual search tasks, we found no evidence for this hypothesis: neither when there was only a bias in target presentation but no bias in distractor presentation (Experiment 1), nor when there was only a bias in distractor presentation but no bias in target presentation (Experiment 2). We conclude that recurrent presentation of a distractor in a specific location leads to attentional suppression of that location through a mechanism that is unaffected by any regularities regarding the target location.

Validation of a machine learned model to predict the diagnosis of myocardial infarction

2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
D Doudesis ◽  
J Yang ◽  
A Tsanas ◽  
C Stables ◽  
A Shah ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Myocardial Infarction ◽  
Acute Coronary Syndrome ◽  
Predictive Value ◽  
High Probability ◽  
Cardiovascular Death ◽  
Gradient Boosting ◽  
Funding Source ◽  
Coronary Syndrome ◽  
Low Probability ◽  
One Year

Abstract Introduction The myocardial-ischemic-injury-index (MI3) is a promising machine learned algorithm that predicts the likelihood of myocardial infarction in patients with suspected acute coronary syndrome. Whether this algorithm performs well in unselected patients or predicts recurrent events is unknown. Methods In an observational analysis from a multi-centre randomised trial, we included all patients with suspected acute coronary syndrome and serial high-sensitivity cardiac troponin I measurements without ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction. Using gradient boosting, MI3 incorporates age, sex, and two troponin measurements to compute a value (0–100) reflecting an individual's likelihood of myocardial infarction, and estimates the negative predictive value (NPV) and positive predictive value (PPV). Model performance for an index diagnosis of myocardial infarction, and for subsequent myocardial infarction or cardiovascular death at one year was determined using previously defined low- and high-probability thresholds (1.6 and 49.7, respectively). Results In total 20,761 of 48,282 (43%) patients (64±16 years, 46% women) were eligible of whom 3,278 (15.8%) had myocardial infarction. MI3 was well discriminated with an area under the receiver-operating-characteristic curve of 0.949 (95% confidence interval 0.946–0.952) identifying 12,983 (62.5%) patients as low-probability (sensitivity 99.3% [99.0–99.6%], NPV 99.8% [99.8–99.9%]), and 2,961 (14.3%) as high-probability (specificity 95.0% [94.7–95.3%], PPV 70.4% [69–71.9%]). At one year, subsequent myocardial infarction or cardiovascular death occurred more often in high-probability compared to low-probability patients (17.6% [520/2,961] versus 1.5% [197/12,983], P<0.001). Conclusions In unselected consecutive patients with suspected acute coronary syndrome, the MI3 algorithm accurately estimates the likelihood of myocardial infarction and predicts probability of subsequent adverse cardiovascular events. Performance of MI3 at example thresholds Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: Foundation. Main funding source(s): Medical Research Council

scholarly journals Prediction of Patients with Acute Cholecystitis Requiring Emergent Cholecystectomy: A Simple Score

2010 ◽  
Vol 2010 ◽  
pp. 1-5 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wael N. Yacoub ◽  
Mikael Petrosyan ◽  
Indu Sehgal ◽  
Yanling Ma ◽  
Parakrama Chandrasoma ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Heart Rate ◽  
Logistic Regression ◽  
Acute Cholecystitis ◽  
High Probability ◽  
Acute Inflammation ◽  
Gallbladder Wall ◽  
Cutoff Score ◽  
Gangrenous Cholecystitis ◽  
Pathological Review ◽  
Low Probability

The objective was to develop a score, to stratify patients with acute cholecystitis into high, intermediate, or low probability of gangrenous cholecystitis. The probability of gangrenous cholecystitis (score) was derived from a logistic regression of a clinical and pathological review of 245 patients undergoing urgent cholecystectomy. Sixty-eight patients had gangrenous inflammation, 132 acute, and 45 no inflammation. The score comprised of: age > 45 years (1 point), heart rate > 90 beats/min (1 point), male (2 points), Leucocytosis > 13,000/mm3(1.5 points), and ultrasound gallbladder wall thickness>4.5 mm (1 point). The prevalence of gangrenous cholecystitis was 13% in the low-probability (0–2 points), 33% in the intermediate-probability (2–4.5 points), and 87% in the high probability category (>4.5 points). A cutoff score of 2 identified 31 (69%) patients with no acute inflammation (PPV 90%). This scoring system can prioritize patients for emergent cholecystectomy based on their expected pathology.

Frequency of enforcement is more important than the severity of punishment in reducing violation behaviors

2021 ◽  
Vol 118 (42) ◽  
pp. e2108507118
Author(s):  
Kinneret Teodorescu ◽  
Ori Plonsky ◽  
Shahar Ayal ◽  
Rachel Barkan
Keyword(s):  
High Probability ◽  
Real Life ◽  
Expected Value ◽  
Relative Importance ◽  
Decisions From Experience ◽  
High Severity ◽  
Low Probability ◽  
Violation Rate ◽  
Severity Of Punishment ◽  
Enforcement Policies

External enforcement policies aimed to reduce violations differ on two key components: the probability of inspection and the severity of the punishment. Different lines of research offer different insights regarding the relative importance of each component. In four studies, students and Prolific crowdsourcing participants (Ntotal = 816) repeatedly faced temptations to commit violations under two enforcement policies. Controlling for expected value, we found that a policy combining a high probability of inspection with a low severity of fines (HILS) was more effective than an economically equivalent policy that combined a low probability of inspection with a high severity of fines (LIHS). The advantage of prioritizing inspection frequency over punishment severity (HILS over LIHS) was greater for participants who, in the absence of enforcement, started out with a higher violation rate. Consistent with studies of decisions from experience, frequent enforcement with small fines was more effective than rare severe fines even when we announced the severity of the fine in advance to boost deterrence. In addition, in line with the phenomenon of underweighting of rare events, the effect was stronger when the probability of inspection was rarer (as in most real-life inspection probabilities) and was eliminated under moderate inspection probabilities. We thus recommend that policymakers looking to effectively reduce recurring violations among noncriminal populations should consider increasing inspection rates rather than punishment severity.

Portable Ventilation/Perfusion Scanning is Useful for Evaluating Clinically Significant Pulmonary Embolism in the ICU Despite Abnormal Chest Radiography

2018 ◽  
Vol 35 (10) ◽  
pp. 1032-1038 ◽  
Author(s):  
Aaron S. Weinberg ◽  
William Chang ◽  
Grace Ih ◽  
Alan Waxman ◽  
Victor F. Tapson
Keyword(s):  
Pulmonary Embolism ◽  
Chest Radiograph ◽  
High Probability ◽  
Hemodynamic Instability ◽  
X Rays ◽  
X Ray ◽  
Abnormal Chest ◽  
Chest X Ray ◽  
Low Probability ◽  
Clinically Significant

Objective: Computed tomography angiography is limited in the intensive care unit (ICU) due to renal insufficiency, hemodynamic instability, and difficulty transporting unstable patients. A portable ventilation/perfusion (V/Q) scan can be used. However, it is commonly believed that an abnormal chest radiograph can result in a nondiagnostic scan. In this retrospective study, we demonstrate that portable V/Q scans can be helpful in ruling in or out clinically significant pulmonary embolism (PE) despite an abnormal chest x-ray in the ICU. Design: Two physicians conducted chart reviews and original V/Q reports. A staff radiologist, with 40 years of experience, rated chest x-ray abnormalities using predetermined criteria. Setting: The study was conducted in the ICU. Patients: The first 100 consecutive patients with suspected PE who underwent a portable V/Q scan. Interventions: Those with a portable V/Q scan. Results: A normal baseline chest radiograph was found in only 6% of patients. Fifty-three percent had moderate, 24% had severe, and 10% had very-severe radiographic abnormalities. Despite the abnormal x-rays, 88% of the V/Q scans were low probability for a PE despite an average abnormal radiograph rating of moderate. A high-probability V/Q for PE was diagnosed in 3% of the population despite chest x-ray ratings of moderate to severe. Six patients had their empiric anticoagulation discontinued after obtaining the results of the V/Q scan, and no anticoagulation was started for PE after a low-probability V/Q scan. Conclusion: Despite the large percentage of moderate-to-severe x-ray abnormalities, PE can still be diagnosed (high-probability scan) in the ICU with a portable V/Q scan. Although low-probability scans do not rule out acute PE, it appeared less likely that any patient with a low-probability V/Q scan had severe hypoxemia or hemodynamic instability due to a significant PE, which was useful to clinicians and allowed them to either stop or not start anticoagulation.

scholarly journals Evaluating the risks of occupational respiratory diseases of coal mine workers

2018 ◽  
pp. 104-111 ◽  
Author(s):  
S.I. Cheberiachko ◽  
A.V. Yavorskyi ◽  
O.O. Yavorska ◽  
V.V. Tykhonenko
Keyword(s):  
Coal Mine ◽  
Respiratory Diseases ◽  
Mine Workers

scholarly journals A Cross-Sectional Epidemiological Survey of Work-Related Musculoskeletal Disorders and Analysis of Its Influencing Factors among Coal Mine Workers in Xinjiang

2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-9
Author(s):  
Xianting Yong ◽  
Fuye Li ◽  
Hua Ge ◽  
Xuemei Sun ◽  
Xiaofan Ma ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Musculoskeletal Disorders ◽  
Influencing Factors ◽  
Coal Mine ◽  
Job Burnout ◽  
Work Related ◽  
Annual Prevalence ◽  
Short Period ◽  
Work Related Musculoskeletal Disorders ◽  
Years Of Service ◽  
Mine Workers

This study is to investigate the prevalence of work-related musculoskeletal disorders (MSDs) and the influencing factors among coal mine workers employed in on-site operations. The job burnout scale and MSD scale were implemented to investigate a random sample of 1,500 coal mine workers working in on-site operations in Xinjiang, China. In total, 1,325 valid questionnaires were collected, with a recovery rate of 88.33% (1,325/1,500). The rate of job burnout was 90%, of which 39.8% were categorized as mild burnout, 43.8% as moderate burnout, and 6.4% as severe burnout; the average job burnout score was 50.77±11.93. The annual prevalence of MSDs was 65.6%, with the highest annual prevalence in the waist (50.7%), followed by the neck, shoulder, and knee, and the lowest prevalence in the elbow (18.8%). Of the areas of the body affected by work-related MSDs, the highest proportion of requests for leave of absence was related to the waist, accounting for 25.7% of requests, while the lowest proportion (13.4%) was related to the wrist. In addition, the incidence of MSDs increased with the years of service. The lowest incidence of MSDs was associated with the two-shift and three-group working pattern. The prevalence of MSDs in the neck and waist was higher in women than in men. The prevalence of MSDs in various body parts increased with the years of service. Moreover, multiple logistic regression indicated that three shifts with four groups (OR=1.096, 95% CI: 0.832-1.445), working more than 10 years (OR=3.396, 95% CI: 2.369-5.748), working more than 20 years (OR=3.008, 95% CI: 1.419-6.337), significant bending (OR=2.062, 95% CI: 1.400-3.038), forward neck tilting (OR=1.572, 95% CI: 1.071-2.281), maximum force operation within a short period of time (OR=1.7222, 95% CI: 1.164-2.547), repeated movement of upper arms or fingers (OR=1.495, 95% CI: 1.034-2.161), slip or fall incidents (OR=1.124, 95% CI: 1.039-1.216), work under conditions of cold or temperature variations (OR=1.911, 95% CI: 1.342-2.720), mild burnout (OR=1.492, 95% CI: 1.016-2.191), moderate burnout (OR=1.852, 95% CI: 1.267-2.708), and severe burnout (OR=2.001, 95% CI: 1.145-3.496) were risk factors for MSDs. In conclusion, there is a high annual prevalence of MSDs among the coal mine workers employed in on-site operations in Xinjiang, China. Measures to reduce this prevalence are required.

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