A Novel Six-Gene-Based Prognostic Model Predicts Survival and Clinical Risk Score for Gastric Cancer

Background: Autophagy plays a vital role in cancer initiation, malignant progression, and resistance to treatment. However, autophagy-related genes (ARGs) have rarely been analyzed in gastric cancer (GC). The purpose of this study was to analyze ARGs in GC using bioinformatic analysis and to identify new biomarkers for predicting the overall survival (OS) of patients with GC.Methods: The gene expression profiles and clinical data of patients with GC were obtained from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) and Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) datasets, and ARGs were obtained from two other datasets (the Human Autophagy Database and Molecular Signatures Database). Lasso, univariate, and multivariate Cox regression analyses were performed to identify the OS-related ARGs. Finally, a six-ARG model was identified as a prognostic indicator using the risk-score model, and survival and prognostic performance were analyzed based on the Kaplan-Meier test and ROC curve. Estimate calculations were used to assess the immune status of this model, and Gene Ontology (GO) and Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG) analyses were employed for investigating the functions and terms associated with the model-related genes in GC.Results: The six ARGs, DYNLL1, PGK2, HPR, PLOD2, PHYHIP, and CXCR4, were identified using Lasso and Cox regression analyses. Survival analysis revealed that the OS of GC patients in the high-risk group was significantly lower than that of the low-risk group (p < 0.05). The ROC curves revealed that the risk score model exhibited better prognostic performance with respect to OS. Multivariate Cox regression analysis indicated that the model was an independent predictor of OS and was not affected by most of the clinical traits (p < 0.05). The model-related genes were associated with immune suppression and several biological process terms, such as extracellular structure organization and matrix organization. Moreover, the genes were associated with the P13K-Akt signaling pathway, focal adhesion, and MAPK signaling pathway.Conclusions: This study presents potential prognostic biomarkers for GC patients that would aid in determining the best patient-specific course of treatment.

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A Four-Gene-Based Prognostic Model Predicts Overall Survival in Patients With Cutaneous Melanoma

Frontiers in Oncology ◽

10.3389/fonc.2021.639874 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 11 ◽

Author(s):

Xiaoxia Tong ◽

Xiaofei Qu ◽

Mengyun Wang

Keyword(s):

Gene Expression ◽

High Risk ◽

Risk Score ◽

Cutaneous Melanoma ◽

Cox Regression ◽

Risk Group ◽

High Risk Group ◽

Low Risk ◽

Rank Test ◽

Score Model

BackgroundCutaneous melanoma (CM) is one of the most aggressive cancers with highly metastatic ability. To make things worse, there are limited effective therapies to treat advanced CM. Our study aimed to investigate new biomarkers for CM prognosis and establish a novel risk score system in CM.MethodsGene expression data of CM from Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) datasets were downloaded and analyzed to identify differentially expressed genes (DEGs). The overlapped DEGs were then verified for prognosis analysis by univariate and multivariate COX regression in The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) datasets. Based on the gene signature of multiple survival associated DEGs, a risk score model was established, and its prognostic and predictive role was estimated through Kaplan-Meier (K-M) analysis and log-rank test. Furthermore, the correlations between prognosis related genes expression and immune infiltrates were analyzed via Tumor Immune Estimation Resource (TIMER) site.ResultsA total of 103 DEGs were obtained based on GEO cohorts, and four genes were verified in TCGA datasets. Subsequently, four genes (ADAMDEC1, GNLY, HSPA13, and TRIM29) model was developed by univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses. The K-M plots showed that the high-risk group was associated with shortened survival than that in the low-risk group (P < 0.0001). Multivariate analysis suggested that the model was an independent prognostic factor (high-risk vs. low-risk, HR= 2.06, P < 0.001). Meanwhile, the high-risk group was prone to have larger breslow depth (P< 0.001) and ulceration (P< 0.001).ConclusionsThe four-gene risk score model functions well in predicting the prognosis and treatment response in CM and will be useful for guiding therapeutic strategies for CM patients. Additional clinical trials are needed to verify our findings.

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Development and Validation of a Robust Immune-Related Prognostic Signature for Gastric Cancer

Journal of Immunology Research ◽

10.1155/2021/5554342 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 2021 ◽

pp. 1-24

Author(s):

Junyu Huo ◽

Liqun Wu ◽

Yunjin Zang

Keyword(s):

Gastric Cancer ◽

High Risk ◽

Risk Score ◽

Cox Regression ◽

Risk Group ◽

Low Risk ◽

M2 Macrophages ◽

Regression Analyses ◽

Prognostic Signature ◽

Training Cohort

Background. An increasing number of reports have found that immune-related genes (IRGs) have a significant impact on the prognosis of a variety of cancers, but the prognostic value of IRGs in gastric cancer (GC) has not been fully elucidated. Methods. Univariate Cox regression analysis was adopted for the identification of prognostic IRGs in three independent cohorts (GSE62254, n = 300 ; GSE15459, n = 191 ; and GSE26901, n = 109 ). After obtaining the intersecting prognostic genes, the three independent cohorts were merged into a training cohort ( n = 600 ) to establish a prognostic model. The risk score was determined using multivariate Cox and LASSO regression analyses. Patients were classified into low-risk and high-risk groups according to the median risk score. The risk score performance was validated externally in the three independent cohorts (GSE26253, n = 432 ; GSE84437, n = 431 ; and TCGA, n = 336 ). Immune cell infiltration (ICI) was quantified by the CIBERSORT method. Results. A risk score comprising nine genes showed high accuracy for the prediction of the overall survival (OS) of patients with GC in the training cohort ( AUC > 0.7 ). The risk of death was found to have a positive correlation with the risk score. The univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses revealed that the risk score was an independent indicator of the prognosis of patients with GC ( p < 0.001 ). External validation confirmed the universal applicability of the risk score. The low-risk group presented a lower infiltration level of M2 macrophages than the high-risk group ( p < 0.001 ), and the prognosis of patients with GC with a higher infiltration level of M2 macrophages was poor ( p = 0.011 ). According to clinical correlation analysis, compared with patients with the diffuse and mixed type of GC, those with the Lauren classification intestinal GC type had a significantly lower risk score ( p = 0.00085 ). The patients’ risk score increased with the progression of the clinicopathological stage. Conclusion. In this study, we constructed and validated a robust prognostic signature for GC, which may help improve the prognostic assessment system and treatment strategy for GC.

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A Five-Gene Risk Score Model for Predicting the Prognosis of Multiple Myeloma Patients Based on Gene Expression Profiles

Frontiers in Genetics ◽

10.3389/fgene.2021.785330 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 12 ◽

Author(s):

Xiaotong Chen ◽

Lintao Liu ◽

Mengping Chen ◽

Jing Xiang ◽

Yike Wan ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Gene Expression ◽

Multiple Myeloma ◽

High Risk ◽

Risk Score ◽

Cox Regression ◽

Risk Group ◽

Expression Profiles ◽

Gene Expression Profiles ◽

Low Risk ◽

Score Model

Multiple myeloma is a heterogeneous plasma cell malignancy that remains incurable because of the tendency of relapse for most patients. Survival outcomes may vary widely due to patient and disease variables; therefore, it is necessary to establish a more accurate prognostic model to improve prognostic precision and guide clinical therapy. Here, we developed a risk score model based on myeloma gene expression profiles from three independent datasets: GSE6477, GSE13591, and GSE24080. In this model, highly survival-associated five genes, including EPAS1, ERC2, PRC1, CSGALNACT1, and CCND1, are selected by using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (Lasso) regression and univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses. At last, we analyzed three validation datasets (including GSE2658, GSE136337, and MMRF datasets) to examine the prognostic efficacy of this model by dividing patients into high-risk and low-risk groups based on the median risk score. The results indicated that the survival of patients in low-risk group was greatly prolonged compared with their counterparts in the high-risk group. Therefore, the five-gene risk score model could increase the accuracy of risk stratification and provide effective prediction for the prognosis of patients and instruction for individualized clinical treatment.

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A Novel Ferroptosis-Related Long Non-coding RNA Prognostic Risk Model for Gastric Cancer

10.21203/rs.3.rs-718468/v1 ◽

2021 ◽

Author(s):

Shenglan Huang ◽

Dan Li ◽

Lingling Zhuang ◽

Liying Sun ◽

Jianbing Wu

Keyword(s):

Gastric Cancer ◽

Risk Score ◽

Roc Curve ◽

Cox Regression ◽

Risk Group ◽

Clinical Stage ◽

Curve Analysis ◽

Clinicopathological Features ◽

Roc Curve Analysis ◽

Kaplan Meier

Abstract Background：Gastric cancer (GC) is one of the most common malignant tumors with a poor prognosis. Ferroptosis is a novel and distinct type of non-apoptotic cell death that is closely associated with metabolism, redox biology, and tumor prognosis. Recently, ferroptosis-related long non-coding RNAs (lncRNAs) have received increasing attention in predicting cancer prognosis. Thus, we aimed to construct an ferroptosis-related lncRNAs signature for predicting the prognosis of patients with gastric cancer.Methods：We built an ferroptosis-related lncRNA risk signature by using Cox regression based on TCGA database. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis was conducted to compare the overall survival (OS) in different risk groups. Cox regression was performed to explore whether the signature could be used as an independent factor. A nomogram was built involving the risk score and clinicopathological features. Furthermore, we explored the biological functions and immune states in two groups.Results：Eight ferroptosis-related lncRNAs were obtained for constructing the prognosis model in gastric cancer. Kaplan–Meier curve analysis revealed that patients in the high-risk group had worse survival than those in the low-risk group. The survival outcome was also appropriate for subgroup analysis, including age, sex, grade, and clinical stage. Multivariate Cox regression analysis and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis demonstrated that the risk score was an independent prognostic factor and superior to traditional clinicopathological features in predicting GC prognosis. Next, we established a nomogram according to clinical parameters (age, sex, grade, and clinical stage) and risk score. All the verified results, including ROC curve analysis, calibration curve, and decision curve analysis, demonstrated that the nomogram could accurately predict the survival of patients with gastric cancer. Gene set enrichment analysis revealed that these lncRNAs were mainly involved in cell adhesion, cancer pathways, and immune function regulation.Conclusion: We established a novel ferroptosis-related prognostic risk signature including eight lncRNAs and constructed a nomogram to predict the prognosis of gastric cancer patients, which may improve prognostic predictive accuracy and guide individualized treatment for patients with GC.

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Identification of Prognostic Markers For Hepatocellular Carcinoma Based On the Epithelial-Mesenchymal Transition-Related Gene BIRC5

10.21203/rs.3.rs-390539/v1 ◽

2021 ◽

Author(s):

yan li ◽

yiping li ◽

rongzhong xu ◽

liubing lin ◽

bo zhang ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Risk Score ◽

Poor Prognosis ◽

Prognostic Markers ◽

Cox Regression ◽

Epithelial Mesenchymal Transition ◽

Risk Group ◽

Enrichment Analysis ◽

Risk Groups ◽

Regression Analyses ◽

Mesenchymal Transition

Abstract Background: The baculoviral IAP repeat containing 5 (BIRC5) related to epithelial-mesenchymal transition (EMT) plays a crucial role in the pathogenesis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, it remains unclear whether BIRC5-related genes can be used as prognostic markers of HCC. Methods: Kaplan-Meier (K-M) survival curve was used to assess the Overall Survival (OS) of high- and low-expression group divided by the median of BIRC5 expression. The differentially expressed genes (DEGs) between the two groups were screened using the limma package, and performed the functional enrichment analysis by the clusterProfiler package. WGCNA was used to analyze the relationship of the module and the clinical traits. The risk signature was constructed by univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses and the enrichment analysis of genes in the risk signature was performed by the Intelligent pathway analysis (IPA). The immunophenoscore (IPS) and the tumor immune dysfunction and exclusion (TIDE) were used to estimate the clinical significance of the risk groups.Results: BIRC5 was high-expressed in HCC samples and associated with a poor prognosis (p-value < 0.0001). WGCNA screened 180 module genes which were overlapped with the 241 DEGs, ultimately getting 33 candidate genes. After the Cox regression analyses, CENPA, CDCA8, EZH2, KIF20A, KPNA2, CCNB1, KIF18B and MCM4 were preserved and used to construct risk signature, followed by calculating the risk score. The patients in high-risk groups stratified by median of the risk score were associated with a poor prognosis. The risk score had high accuracy [the area under the curve (AUC) >0.72] and was closely associated with clinicopathological characteristics of HCC patients. IPA suggested that the 8 genes were enriched in Cancer and Immunological disease related pathways. IPS and TIDE score indicated that the genes in low-risk group could cause an immune response, and patients in the low-risk group may be more sensitive to the immune checkpoint blockade (ICB) therapy.Conclusion: The risk score constructed by the 8 genes could not only predict the clinical outcome but also distinguish the cohort of ICB therapy in HCC, which exerted a vital value in treatment and prognosis of HCC.

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A novel prognostic risk score model based on immune-related genes in patients with stage IV colorectal cancer

Bioscience Reports ◽

10.1042/bsr20201725 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 40 (10) ◽

Author(s):

Ke Xu ◽

Jie He ◽

Jie Zhang ◽

Tao Liu ◽

Fang Yang ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Colorectal Cancer ◽

Risk Score ◽

Predictive Power ◽

Cox Regression ◽

External Validation ◽

Stage Iv ◽

Regression Analyses ◽

Stage Iv Colorectal Cancer ◽

Score Model ◽

Immune Related Genes

Abstract Purpose: The aims of the present study were to explore immune-related genes (IRGs) in stage IV colorectal cancer (CRC) and construct a prognostic risk score model to predict patient overall survival (OS), providing a reference for individualized clinical treatment. Methods: High-throughput RNA-sequencing, phenotype, and survival data from patients with stage IV CRC were downloaded from TCGA. Candidate genes were identified by screening for differentially expressed IRGs (DE-IRGs). Univariate Cox regression, LASSO, and multivariate Cox regression analyses were used to determine the final variables for construction of the prognostic risk score model. GSE17536 from the GEO database was used as an external validation dataset to evaluate the predictive power of the model. Results: A total of 770 candidate DE-IRGs were obtained, and a prognostic risk score model was constructed by variable screening using the following 12 genes: FGFR4, LGR6, TRBV12-3, NUDT6, MET, PDIA2, ORM1, IGKV3D-20, THRB, WNT5A, FGF18, and CCR8. In the external validation set, the survival prediction C-index was 0.685, and the AUC values were 0.583, 0.731, and 0.837 for 1-, 2- and 3-year OS, respectively. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses demonstrated that the risk score model was an independent prognostic factor for patients with stage IV CRC. High- and low-risk patient groups had significant differences in the expression of checkpoint coding genes (ICGs). Conclusion: The prognostic risk score model for stage IV CRC developed in the present study based on immune-related genes has acceptable predictive power, and is closely related to the expression of ICGs.

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Comprehensive analysis of the significance of ferroptosis-related genes in the prognosis and immunotherapy of oral squamous cell carcinoma

10.21203/rs.3.rs-115737/v1 ◽

2020 ◽

Author(s):

Junhao Yin ◽

Xiaoli Zeng ◽

Zexin Ai ◽

Miao Yu ◽

Yang'ou Wu ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Gene Expression ◽

Overall Survival ◽

Squamous Cell Carcinoma ◽

High Risk ◽

Tumor Microenvironment ◽

Oral Squamous Cell Carcinoma ◽

Cox Regression ◽

Risk Group ◽

Low Risk ◽

Regression Analyses

Abstract Background: Oral squamous cell carcinoma (OSCC) is a life-threatening disease that emerged as a major international health concern, associated with poor prognosis and the absence of specific biomarkers. Studies have shown that the ferroptosis-related genes (FRGs) can be used as tumor prognostic markers. However, FRGs’ prognostic value in OSCC needs further exploration. Our aim was to construct a novel FRG signature for overall survival (OS) prediction in OSCC patients and explore its role in immunotherapy.Methods: In our study, gene expression profile and clinical data of OSCC patients were collected from a public domain. FRGs were available from the FerrDb database. We performed univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses to construct a multigene signature. The Kaplan-Meier (K-M) and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) methods were utilized to test the effectiveness of the FRG signature. A differential gene expression analysis was performed by the limma R package, followed by functional enrichment analyses. CIBERSORT was applied to analyze the tumor microenvironment (TME). Finally, the expression of human leukocyte antigen (HLA) and immune checkpoint molecules were analyzed to confirm the sensitivity of immunotherapy.Results: A total of 103 FRGs, expressed in OSCC (FRGs-OSCC), were identified from the two datasets by the Venn analysis. The Cox regression analysis identified 5 FRGs-OSCC that were associated with overall survival (all P < 0.01). The FRGs-OSCC risk model was established to classify patients into high risk and low risk groups. Compared with the low risk group, the survival time of the high-risk group was significantly reduced (P < 0.001). According to the multivariate Cox regression analyses, the risk score acted as an independent predictor for OS (HR > 1, P < 0.001). The accuracy of the FRGs-OSCC risk predictive model was confirmed by ROC curve analysis. The results of the Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG) showed significant enrichment of immune-related pathways, and a difference in tumor microenvironment between the two groups. The low risk group had the characteristics of higher expression of HLA and immune checkpoints (IDO1, LAG3, PDCD1 and TIGHT), a lower tumor purity and a higher infiltration of immune cells, indicating a more sensitive response to immunotherapy.Conclusions: The novel FRGs-OSCC risk score system can be used to predict OSCC prognosis. Ferroptosis targeting may be a therapeutic option for OSCC.

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Integrated analysis of autophagy-related genes(ATGs) reveals the prognostic value of oral squamous cell carcinoma

10.21203/rs.3.rs-17099/v1 ◽

2020 ◽

Author(s):

Guangzhao Huang ◽

Zhi-yun Li ◽

Yu Rao ◽

Xiao-zhi Lv

Keyword(s):

Survival Analysis ◽

Signaling Pathway ◽

Risk Score ◽

Prognostic Value ◽

Risk Model ◽

Cox Regression ◽

Expression Profiles ◽

Differentially Expressed ◽

Integrated Analysis ◽

Score Model

Abstract Background: Increasing evidence demonstrated that autophagy paly a crucial role in initiation and progression of OSCC. The aim of this study was to explore the prognostic value of autophagy-related genes(ATGs) in patients with OSCC. RNA-seq and clinical data were downloaded from TCGA database following extrating ATGs expression profiles. Then, differentially expressed analysis was performed in R software EdgeR package, and the potential biological function of differentially expressed ATGs were explored by GO and KEGG enrichment analysis. Furthermore, a risk score model based on ATGs was constructed to predict the overall survival. Moreover, univariate, multivariate cox regression and survival analysis were used to select autophagy related biomarkers which were identified by RT-qPCR in OSCC cell lines, OSCC tissues and matched normal mucosal tissues. Results: Total of 232 ATGs were extrated and 37 genes were differentially expressed in OSCC. GO and KEGG analysis indicated that these differentially expressed genes were mainly located in autophagosome membrane, and associated with apoptosis, platinum drug resistance, ErbB signaling pathway and TNF signaling pathway. Furthermore, a risk score model including 9 variables was constructed and subsequently identified with univariate, multivariate cox regression, survival analysis and Receiver Operating Characteristic curve(ROC). Moreover, ATG12 and BID were identified as potential autophagy related biomakers. Conclusion: This study successfully constructed a risk model to predict the prognosis of patients with OSCC, and the risk score may be as a independent prognostic biomarker in OSCC. ATG12 and BID were identified as potential biomarkers in tumor diagnosis and treatment of OSCC.

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Integrated analysis of 1804 samples of six centers to construct and validate a robust immune-related prognostic signature associated with stromal cell abundance in tumor microenvironment for gastric cancer

World Journal of Surgical Oncology ◽

10.1186/s12957-021-02485-y ◽

2022 ◽

Vol 20 (1) ◽

Author(s):

Junyu Huo ◽

Ge Guan ◽

Jinzhen Cai ◽

Liqun Wu

Keyword(s):

Gastric Cancer ◽

Regression Analysis ◽

Risk Score ◽

Stromal Cell ◽

Immune Cell ◽

Cox Regression ◽

Risk Group ◽

Integrated Analysis ◽

Prognostic Signature ◽

Cox Regression Analysis

Abstract Background Stromal cells in tumor microenvironment could promote immune escape through a variety of mechanisms, but there are lacking research in the field of gastric cancer (GC). Methods We identified differential expressed immune-related genes (DEIRGs) between the high- and low-stromal cell abundance GC samples in The Cancer Genome Atlas and GSE84437 datasets. A risk score was constructed basing on univariate cox regression analysis, LASSO regression analysis, and multivariate cox regression analysis in the training cohort (n=772). The median value of the risk score was used to classify patients into groups with high and low risk. We conducted external validation of the prognostic signature in four independent cohorts (GSE26253, n=432; GSE62254, n=300; GSE15459, n=191; GSE26901, n=109) from the Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) database. The immune cell infiltration was quantified by the CIBERSORT method. Results The risk score contained 6 genes (AKT3, APOD, FAM19A5, LTBP3, NOV, and NOX4) showed good performance in predicting 5-year overall survival (OS) rate and 5-year recurrence-free survival (RFS) rate of GC patients. The risk death and recurrence of GC patients growing with the increasing risk score. The patients were clustered into three subtypes according to the infiltration of 22 kinds of immune cells quantified by the CIBERSORT method. The proportion of cluster A with the worst prognosis in the high-risk group was significantly higher than that in the low-risk group; the risk score of cluster C subtype with the best prognosis was significantly lower than that of the other two subtypes. Conclusion This study established and validated a robust prognostic model for gastric cancer by integrated analysis 1804 samples of six centers, and its mechanism was explored in combination with immune cell infiltration characterization.

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Combining Gene Expression Signature With Clinical Features for Survival Stratification of Gastric Cancer

10.21203/rs.3.rs-74747/v1 ◽

2020 ◽

Author(s):

Qiang Sun ◽

Dongyang Guo ◽

Shuang Li ◽

Yanjun Xu ◽

Mingchun Jiang ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Gene Expression ◽

Gastric Cancer ◽

Clinical Practice ◽

Risk Score ◽

Genetic Risk ◽

Cox Regression ◽

Genetic Risk Score ◽

Staging System ◽

Ajcc Staging System ◽

Ajcc Staging

Abstract Background: The AJCC staging system is considered as the golden standard in clinical practice. However, it remains some pitfalls in assessing the prognosis of gastric cancer (GC) patients with similar clinicopathological characteristics. We aim to develop a new clinic and genetic risk score (CGRS) to improve the prognosis prediction of GC patients.Methods: The gene expression profiles of the training set from the Asian Cancer Research Group (ACRG) cohort were used for developing genetic risk score (GRS) by LASSO-Cox regression algorithms. CGRS was established by integrating GRS with clinical risk score (CRS) derived from Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. GRS and CGRS were validated in ACRG validation set and other four independent GC cohorts with different data types, such as microarray, RNA sequencing, and qRT-PCR. Multivariable Cox regression was adopted to evaluate the independence of GRS and CGRS in prognosis evaluation.Results: We established GRS based on a nine-gene signature including APOD, CCDC92, CYS1, GSDME, ST8SIA5, STARD3NL, TIMEM245, TSPYL5, and VAT1. GRS and CGRS dichotomized GC patients into high and low risk groups with significantly different prognosis in four independent cohorts, including our Zhejiang cohort (all HR > 1, all P < 0.001). Both GRS and CGRS were prognostic signatures independent of the AJCC staging system. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis showed that area under ROC curve of CGRS was larger than that of the AJCC staging system in most cohorts we studied. Nomogram and web tool (http://39.100.117.92/CGRS/) based on CGRS were developed for clinicians to conveniently assess GC prognosis in clinical practice.Conclusions: CGRS integrating genetic signature with clinical features shows strong robustness in predicting GC prognosis, and can be easily applied in clinical practice through the web application.

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