scholarly journals Characterization of Exosome-Related Gene Risk Model to Evaluate the Tumor Immune Microenvironment and Predict Prognosis in Triple-Negative Breast Cancer

2021 ◽  
Vol 12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pengjun Qiu ◽  
Qiaonan Guo ◽  
Qingzhi Yao ◽  
Jianpeng Chen ◽  
Jianqing Lin
Keyword(s):  
Triple Negative ◽  
Immune Cell ◽  
Risk Model ◽  
Risk Group ◽  
Risk Groups ◽  
High Risk Group ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Expression Levels ◽  
Related Risk ◽  
The Relationship

BackgroundAs a kind of small membrane vesicles, exosomes are secreted by most cell types from multivesicular endosomes, including tumor cells. The relationship between exosomes and immune response plays a vital role in the occurrence and development of tumors. Nevertheless, the interaction between exosomes and the microenvironment of tumors remains unclear. Therefore, we set out to study the influence of exosomes on the triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) microenvironment.MethodOne hundred twenty-one exosome-related genes were downloaded from ExoBCD database, and IVL, CXCL13, and AP2S1 were final selected because of the association with TNBC prognosis. Based on the sum of the expression levels of these three genes, provided by The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA), and the regression coefficients, an exosome risk score model was established. With the median risk score value, the patients in the two databases were divided into high- and low-risk groups. R clusterProfiler package was employed to compare the different enrichment ways between the two groups. The ESTIMATE and CIBERSORT methods were employed to analyze ESTIMATE Score and immune cell infiltration. Finally, the correlation between the immune checkpoint-related gene expression levels and exosome-related risk was analyzed. The relationship between selected gene expression and drug sensitivity was also detected.ResultsDifferent risk groups exhibited distinct result of TNBC prognosis, with a higher survival rate in the low-risk group than in the high-risk group. The two groups were enriched by immune response and biological process pathways. A better overall survival (OS) was demonstrated in patients with high scores of immune and ESTIMATE rather than ones with low scores. Subsequently, we found that CD4+-activated memory T cells and M1 macrophages were both upregulated in the low-risk group, whereas M2 macrophages and activated mast cell were downregulated in the low-risk group in patients from the TCGA and GEO databases, respectively. Eventually, four genes previously proposed to be targets of immune checkpoint inhibitors were evaluated, resulting in the expression levels of CD274, CTLA4, LAG3, and TIM3 being higher in the low-risk group than high-risk group.ConclusionThe results of our study suggest that exosome-related risk model was related to the prognosis and ratio of immune cell infiltration in patients with TNBC. This discovery may make contributions to improve immunotherapy for TNBC.

scholarly journals A Novel Inflammatory lncRNAs Prognostic Signature for Predicting the Prognosis of Low-Grade Glioma Patients

2021 ◽  
Vol 12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zijin Xiang ◽  
Xueru Chen ◽  
Qiaoli Lv ◽  
Xiangdong Peng
Keyword(s):  
High Risk ◽  
Risk Model ◽  
Risk Group ◽  
Risk Groups ◽  
High Risk Group ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Low Grade ◽  
Prognostic Signature ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Genome Atlas

BackgroundAs immunotherapy has received attention as new treatments for brain cancer, the role of inflammation in the process of glioma is of particular importance. Increasing studies have further shown that long non-coding RNAs (lncRNAs) are important factors that promote the development of glioma. However, the relationship between inflammation-related lncRNAs and the prognosis of glioma patients remains unclear. The purpose of this study is to construct and validate an inflammation-related lncRNA prognostic signature to predict the prognosis of low-grade glioma patients.MethodsBy downloading and analyzing the gene expression data and clinical information of the Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) and Chinese Glioma Genome Atlas (CGGA) patients with low-grade gliomas, we could screen for inflammatory gene-related lncRNAs. Furthermore, through Cox and the Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator regression analyses, we established a risk model and divided patients into high- and low-risk groups based on the median value of the risk score to analyze the prognosis. In addition, we analyzed the tumor mutation burden (TMB) between the two groups based on somatic mutation data, and explored the difference in copy number variations (CNVs) based on the GISTIC algorithm. Finally, we used the MCPCounter algorithm to study the relationship between the risk model and immune cell infiltration, and used gene set enrichment analysis (GSEA), Gene Ontology (GO), and Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG) analyses to explore the enrichment pathways and biological processes of differentially expressed genes between the high- and low-risk groups.ResultsA novel prognostic signature was constructed including 11 inflammatory lncRNAs. This risk model could be an independent prognostic predictor. The patients in the high-risk group had a poor prognosis. There were significant differences in TMB and CNVs for patients in the high- and low-risk groups. In the high-risk group, the immune system was activated more significantly, and the expression of immune checkpoint-related genes was also higher. The GSEA, GO, and KEGG analyses showed that highly expressed genes in the high-risk group were enriched in immune-related processes, while lowly expressed genes were enriched in neuromodulation processes.ConclusionThe risk model of 11 inflammation-related lncRNAs can serve as a promising prognostic biomarker for low-grade gliomas patients.

scholarly journals Immune-Related Four-lncRNA Signature for Patients with Cervical Cancer

2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-15
Author(s):  
Jianfeng Zheng ◽  
Benben Cao ◽  
Xia Zhang ◽  
Zheng Niu ◽  
Jinyi Tong
Keyword(s):  
Cervical Cancer ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Immune Cell ◽  
Risk Group ◽  
Pearson Correlation ◽  
Characteristic Curve ◽  
Risk Groups ◽  
High Risk Group ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Gynecological Malignancy

Cervical cancer (CC) is a common gynecological malignancy for which prognostic and therapeutic biomarkers are urgently needed. The signature based on immune-related lncRNAs (IRLs) of CC has never been reported. This study is aimed at establishing an IRL signature for patients with CC. A cohort of 326 CC and 21 normal tissue samples with corresponding clinical information was included in this study. Twenty-eight IRLs were collected according to the Pearson correlation analysis between the immune score and lncRNA expression ( p < 0.01 ). Four IRLs (BZRAP1-AS1, EMX2OS, ZNF667-AS1, and CTC-429P9.1) with the most significant prognostic values ( p < 0.05 ) were identified which demonstrated an ability to stratify patients into the low-risk and high-risk groups by developing a risk score model. It was observed that patients in the low-risk group showed longer overall survival (OS) than those in the high-risk group in the training set, valid set, and total set. The area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC curve) for the four-IRL signature in predicting the one-, two-, and three-year survival rates was larger than 0.65. In addition, the low-risk and high-risk groups displayed different immune statuses in GSEA. These IRLs were also significantly correlated with immune cell infiltration. Our results showed that the IRL signature had a prognostic value for CC. Meanwhile, the specific mechanisms of the four IRLs in the development of CC were ascertained preliminarily.

scholarly journals Complete Identification of Autophagy-Related lncRNA Prognostic Signature for Breast Cancer

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wenxi Wang ◽  
Na Li ◽  
Lin Shen ◽  
Qin Zhou ◽  
Zhanzhan Li ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Breast Cancer ◽  
Prognostic Model ◽  
Immune Cell ◽  
Risk Group ◽  
Pearson Correlation ◽  
Risk Groups ◽  
Cell Types ◽  
High Risk Group ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
High Morbidity

Abstract Purpose: Breast cancer (BC) has a relatively high morbidity and mortality for women. The research about BC prognosis is significant. Autophagy is an essential process for tumor progression, which could play its role with lncRNA, a kind of ncRNA that have regulatory roles in multiple tumors. Therefore, constructing an autophagy-related prognostic model for breast cancer is meaningful.Methods: We download data from the TCGA and HADb. Pearson correlation analysis was performed to excavate autophagy-related lncRNA. Then with gene expression difference analysis, etc. we explored the relationship between clinical features and the signature. We applied Cytoscape as well as KEGG, etc. to explore expression condition. And the autophagy status of our signature was investigated by GSEA, etc. We also searched the immune distinction by CIBERSORTx to extend our study and preliminarily verified our study in the end.Results: Firstly, we got an independent autophagy-related lncRNA prognostic model, by which BC patients were divided into high- and low-risk groups. We found that the OS of high-risk group is significantly lower than that of low-risk group, which was identical to those within various clinical subgroups. Then, the KEGG and GO analysis enriched several pathways including autophagy. PCA and GSEA analysis demonstrated the autophagy status. Several distinguishing immune cell types in separated groups were revealed by immunity analysis. Then the verification in the end proved the feasibility of our signature.Conclusion: In this study, we acquired an independent autophagy-related lncRNA signature involving 12 lncRNAs, which contributes to the prediction of prognosis of BC patients.

scholarly journals Prognostic Value of Immune-Related genes in the Tumor Microenvironment of Glioma - Analyzed by Integrated Bioinformatics

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yali Zhong ◽  
Xiaobin Luo ◽  
Fubing Yang ◽  
Xinling Song
Keyword(s):  
T Cells ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Risk Prediction ◽  
Immune Cell ◽  
Risk Group ◽  
Risk Groups ◽  
High Risk Group ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Lasso Regression ◽  
Immune Related Genes

Abstract Object: Immune related genes play an important role in the process of tumor genesis and development. Therefore, we aim to find the Immune genes which are related to the prognosis of glioma patients, and to explore the infiltration of Immune cells in glioma microenvironment. Methods We downloaded the data of the glioma samples from the CGGA database, and performed batch correction to screen the primary glioma samples for subsequent analysis. Then the ESTIMATE algorithm was used to deal with the Stromal scores and Immune scores of the primary glioma samples, and the difference was analyzed. Then the common Immune related genes (IRGs) were obtained by intersecting with the Immune genes in the ImmPort database. Moreover, we used common IRGs to construct protein-protein interaction (PPI) networks, from which we screened the top 30 genes with high connectivity, and Lasso regression was used to screen the IRGs. Lastly, we obtained the combined genes, which were overlapped both in the top 30 high-connection genes and Lasso regression genes. The final genes were used to construct COX risk prediction models. The accuracy of the model were verified by the TCGA glioma data, and the model genes were analyzed for Immune-related pathways, as well as the Hallmark and KEGG enrichment. Additionally, we used CIBERSOFT algorithm to estimate the Immune cell content of the samples, and analyzed the differences, correlations and survival of the Immune cells in high and low risk groups. Results Firstly, a total of 117 IRGs were obtained from the gene sets, which were overlapped in the data of Stromal score, Immune score and ImmPort database. Secondly, the top 30 genes were selected after the PPI network, and another 26 genes were screened out after the Lasso regression algorithm. And then, six coexist IRGs were obtained from the intersecting sets. Furthermore, the COX risk prediction model was constructed and tested, showing that the overall survival rate of the high-risk group was about 50% of that of the low-risk group. We observed that the high-risk group were enriched in Immune response and Immune process. Most importantly, in KEGG pathways, the high-risk groups were mainly enriched in p53 signaling pathway, JAK-STAT signaling pathway, pathways in cancer and cell cycle. By estimating the Immune cell contents, we also found that the Immune cell Plasma cells, T cells CD8, T cells CD4 naïve, T cells regulatory (Tregs), Macrophages M0 and Neutrophils were higher in high-risk groups, when compared to the low-risk group, with significant difference. Finally, the correlation analysis showed that the degree of Immune infiltration in high-risk groups was related to T cells regulatory (Tregs), Macrophages M0 and Neutrophils. Conclusion A COX risk prediction model of 6 genes was successfully constructed, which was enriched in Immune-related pathways. Meanwhile, survival analysis and TCGA data validation revealed significant differences in the model genes in the overall survival of the glioma patients, and the degree of Immune infiltration in the model was associated with T cells regulatory (Tregs), Macrophages M0 and Neutrophils.

scholarly journals Identification of an Exosome-Related Signature Associated with Prognosis and Immune Infiltration in Breast Cancer

2022 ◽  
Author(s):  
Qiaonan Guo ◽  
Pengjun Qiu ◽  
Kelun Pan ◽  
Jianpeng Chen ◽  
Jianqing Lin
Keyword(s):  
Breast Cancer ◽  
T Cells ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Immune Cell ◽  
Risk Group ◽  
Risk Groups ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Immune Cell Infiltration ◽  
Immune Microenvironment ◽  
Expression Levels

Abstract Background: Exosomes are nanosized vesicles, play a vital role in breast cancer (BC) occurrence, development, invasion, metastasis, and drug resistance. Nevertheless, studies about exosome-related genes in breast cancer are limited. Besides, the interaction between the exosomes and tumor immune microenvironment (TIME) in BC are still unclear. Hence, we procced to study the potential prognostic value of exosome-related genes and their relationship to immune microenvironment in BC. Methods: 121 exosome-related genes were provided by ExoBCD database and 7 final genes were selected from the intersection of 33 differential expression genes (DEGs) and 19 prognostic genes in BC. Based on the expression levels of the 7 genes, downloaded from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) database, as well as the regression coefficients, the exosome-related signature was constructed. As a result, the patients in TCGA and GEO database were separated into low- and high- risk groups, respectively. Subsequently, R clusterProfiler package was applied to identify the distinct enrichment pathways between high-risk group and low-risk group. The ESTIMATE method was used to calculate ESTIMATE Score and CIBERSORT was applied to evaluate the immune cell infiltration. Eventually, the different expression levels of immune checkpoint related genes were analyzed between the two risk groups. Results: Results of BC prognosis vary from different risk groups. The low-risk groups were identified with higher survival rate both in TCGA and GEO cohort. The DEGs between high- and low- risk groups were found to enrich in immunity, biological processes, and inflammation pathways. The BC patients with higher ESTIMATE scores were revealed to have better overall survival (OS). Subsequently, CD8+ T cells, naive B cells, CD4+ resting memory T cells, monocytes, and neutrophils were upregulated, while M0 macrophages and M2 macrophages were downregulated in the low-risk group. At last, 4 genes reported as the targets of immune checkpoint inhibitors were further analyzed. The low-risk groups in TCGA and GEO cohorts were indicated with higher expression levels of LAG-3, CD274, TIGIT and CTLA-4. Conclusion: According to this study, exosomes are closely associated with the prognosis and immune cell infiltration of BC patients. These findings may make contributions to improve immunotherapy and bring a new sight for BC treatment strategies.

Construction of a Prognostic Model Related to Ferroptosis and Iron-Metabolism and the Relationship with the Immune Microenvironment of Gastric Cancer

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fang Wen ◽  
Xiaoxue Chen ◽  
Wenjie Huang ◽  
Shuai Ruan ◽  
Suping Gu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Gastric Cancer ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Iron Metabolism ◽  
Risk Model ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Risk Group ◽  
Risk Groups ◽  
High Risk Group ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Immune Microenvironment

Abstract Background: The diagnosis rate and mortality of gastric cancer (GC) are among the highest in the global, so it is of great significance to predict the survival time of GC patients. Ferroptosis and iron-metabolism make a critical impact on tumor development and are closely linked to the treatment of cancer and the prognosis of patients. However, the predictive value of the genes involved in ferroptosis and iron-metabolism in GC and their effects on immune microenvironment remain to be further clarified.Methods: In this study, the RNA sequence information and general clinical indicators of GC patients were acquired from the public databases. We first systematically screen out 134 DEGs and 13 PRGs related to ferroptosis and iron-metabolism. Then, we identified six PRDEGs (GLS2, MTF1, SLC1A5, SP1, NOX4, and ZFP36) based on the LASSO-penalized Cox regression analysis. The 6-gene prognostic risk model was established in the TCGA cohort and the GC patients were separated into the high- and the low-risk groups through the risk score median value. GEO cohort was used for verification. The expression of PRDEGs was verified by quantitative QPCR.Results: Our study demonstrated that patients in the low-risk group had a higher survival probability compared with those in high-risk group. In addition, univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses confirmed that the risk score was an independent prediction parameter. The ROC curve analysis and nomogram manifested that the risk model had the high predictive ability and was more sensitive than general clinical features. Furthermore, compared with the high-risk group, the low-risk group had higher TMB and a longer 5-year survival period. In the immune microenvironment of GC, there were also differences in immune function and highly infiltrated immune cells between the two risk groups.Conclusions: The prognostic risk model based on the six genes associated with ferroptosis and iron-metabolism has a good performance for predicting the prognosis of patients with GC. The treatment of cancer by inducing tumor ferroptosis or mediating tumor iron-metabolism, especially combined with immunotherapy, provides a new possibility for individualized treatment of GC patients.

scholarly journals Identification of a novel autophagy signature for predicting survival in patients with lung adenocarcinoma

PeerJ ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 ◽  
pp. e11074
Author(s):  
Jin Duan ◽  
Youming Lei ◽  
Guoli Lv ◽  
Yinqiang Liu ◽  
Wei Zhao ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Gene Expression ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Immune Cell ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Risk Group ◽  
Risk Groups ◽  
High Risk Group ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Cell Analysis ◽  
Prognostic Signature

Background Lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD) is the most commonhistological lung cancer subtype, with an overall five-year survivalrate of only 17%. In this study, we aimed to identify autophagy-related genes (ARGs) and develop an LUAD prognostic signature. Methods In this study, we obtained ARGs from three databases and downloaded gene expression profiles from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) and Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) database. We used TCGA-LUAD (n = 490) for a training and testing dataset, and GSE50081 (n = 127) as the external validation dataset.The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) Cox and multivariate Cox regression models were used to generate an autophagy-related signature. We performed gene set enrichment analysis (GSEA) and immune cell analysis between the high- and low-risk groups. A nomogram was built to guide the individual treatment for LUAD patients. Results We identified a total of 83 differentially expressed ARGs (DEARGs) from the TCGA-LUAD dataset, including 33 upregulated DEARGs and 50 downregulated DEARGs, both with thresholds of adjusted P < 0.05 and |Fold change| > 1.5. Using LASSO and multivariate Cox regression analyses, we identified 10 ARGs that we used to build a prognostic signature with areas under the curve (AUCs) of 0.705, 0.715, and 0.778 at 1, 3, and 5 years, respectively. Using the risk score formula, the LUAD patients were divided into low- or high-risk groups. Our GSEA results suggested that the low-risk group were enriched in metabolism and immune-related pathways, while the high-risk group was involved in tumorigenesis and tumor progression pathways. Immune cell analysis revealed that, when compared to the high-risk group, the low-risk group had a lower cell fraction of M0- and M1- macrophages, and higher CD4 and PD-L1 expression levels. Conclusion Our identified robust signature may provide novel insight into underlying autophagy mechanisms as well as therapeutic strategies for LUAD treatment.

scholarly journals Immune‐related Long Noncoding RNA Signature for Patients with Cervical Cancer

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jianfeng Zheng ◽  
Jinyi Tong ◽  
Benben Cao ◽  
Xia Zhang ◽  
Zheng Niu
Keyword(s):  
Cervical Cancer ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Risk Score ◽  
Immune Cell ◽  
Risk Group ◽  
Risk Groups ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Gene Set Enrichment Analysis ◽  
Training Set ◽  
Score Model

Abstract Background: Cervical cancer (CC) is a common gynecological malignancy for which prognostic and therapeutic biomarkers are urgently needed. The signature based on immune‐related lncRNAs(IRLs) of CC has never been reported. This study aimed to establish an IRL signature for patients with CC.Methods: The RNA-seq dataset was obtained from the TCGA, GEO, and GTEx database. The immune scores（IS）based on single-sample gene set enrichment analysis (ssGSEA) were calculated to identify the IRLs, which were then analyzed using univariate Cox regression analysis to identify significant prognostic IRLs. A risk score model was established to divide patients into low-risk and high-risk groups based on the median risk score of these IRLs. This was then validated by splitting TCGA dataset(n=304) into a training-set(n=152) and a valid-set(n=152). The fraction of 22 immune cell subpopulations was evaluated in each sample to identify the differences between low-risk and high-risk groups. Additionally, a ceRNA network associated with the IRLs was constructed.Results: A cohort of 326 CC and 21 normal tissue samples with corresponding clinical information was included in this study. Twenty-eight IRLs were collected according to the Pearson’s correlation analysis between immune score and lncRNA expression (P < 0.01). Four IRLs (BZRAP1-AS1, EMX2OS, ZNF667-AS1, and CTC-429P9.1) with the most significant prognostic values (P < 0.05) were identified which demonstrated an ability to stratify patients into low-risk and high-risk groups by developing a risk score model. It was observed that patients in the low‐risk group showed longer overall survival (OS) than those in the high‐risk group in the training-set, valid-set, and total-set. The area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC curve) for the four IRLs signature in predicting the one-, two-, and three-year survival rates were larger than 0.65. In addition, the low-risk and high-risk groups displayed different immune statuses in GSEA. These IRLs were also significantly correlated with immune cell infiltration. Conclusions: Our results showed that the IRL signature had a prognostic value for CC. Meanwhile, the specific mechanisms of the four-IRLs in the development of CC were ascertained preliminarily.

scholarly journals MO048MULTICENTRE PROSPECTIVE VALIDATION OF THE URINARY PEPTIDOME-BASED CLASSIFIER CKD273 AS A PREDICTOR OF RENAL FUNCTION DECLINE IN SUBJECTS WITH TYPE 2 DIABETES

2020 ◽  
Vol 35 (Supplement_3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Morten Lindhardt ◽  
Nete Tofte ◽  
Gemma Currie ◽  
Marie Frimodt-Moeller ◽  
Heiko Von der Leyen ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Type 2 Diabetes ◽  
Renal Function ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Risk Group ◽  
Cox Model ◽  
Risk Groups ◽  
High Risk Group ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Renal Function Decline

Abstract Background and Aims In the PRIORITY study, it was recently demonstrated that the urinary peptidome-based classifier CKD273 was associated with increased risk for progression to microalbuminuria. As a prespecified secondary outcome, we aim to evaluate the classifier CKD273 as a determinant of relative reductions in eGFR (CKD-EPI) of 30% and 40% from baseline, at one timepoint without requirements of confirmation. Method The ‘Proteomic prediction and Renin angiotensin aldosterone system Inhibition prevention Of early diabetic nephRopathy In TYpe 2 diabetic patients with normoalbuminuria trial’ (PRIORITY) is the first prospective observational study to evaluate the early detection of diabetic kidney disease in subjects with type 2 diabetes (T2D) and normoalbuminuria using the CKD273 classifier. Setting 1775 subjects from 15 European sites with a mean follow-up time of 2.6 years (minimum of 7 days and a maximum of 4.3 years). Patients Subjects with T2D, normoalbuminuria and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) ≥ 45 ml/min/1.73m2. Participants were stratified into high- or low-risk groups based on their CKD273 score in a urine sample at screening (high-risk defined as score &gt; 0.154). Results In total, 12 % (n = 216) of the subjects had a high-risk proteomic pattern. Mean (SD) baseline eGFR was 88 (15) ml/min/1.73m2 in the low-risk group and 81 (17) ml/min/1.73m2 in the high-risk group (p &lt; 0.01). Baseline median (interquartile range) urinary albumin to creatinine ratio (UACR) was 5 (3-8) mg/g and 7 (4-12) mg/g in the low-risk and high-risk groups, respectively (p &lt; 0.01). A 30 % reduction in eGFR from baseline was seen in 42 (19.4 %) subjects in the high-risk group as compared to 62 (3.9 %) in the low-risk group (p &lt; 0.0001). In an unadjusted Cox-model the hazard ratio (HR) for the high-risk group was 5.7, 95 % confidence interval (CI) (3.9 to 8.5; p&lt;0.0001). After adjustment for baseline eGFR and UACR, the HR was 5.2, 95 % CI (3.4 to 7.8; p&lt;0.0001). A 40 % reduction in eGFR was seen in 15 (6.9 %) subjects in the high-risk group whereas 22 (1.4 %) in the low-risk group developed this endpoint (p&lt;0.0001). In an unadjusted Cox-model the HR for the high-risk group was 5.0, 95 % CI (2.6 to 9.6; p&lt;0.0001). After adjustment for baseline eGFR and UACR, the HR was 4.8, 95 % CI (2.4 to 9.7; p&lt;0.0001). Conclusion In normoalbuminuric subjects with T2D, the urinary proteomic classifier CKD273 predicts renal function decline of 30 % and 40 %, independent of baseline eGFR and albuminuria.

The Glasgow whipple risk score to predict pancreas-specific complications after pancreaticoduodenectomy.

2015 ◽  
Vol 33 (3_suppl) ◽  
pp. 394-394
Author(s):  
Lavanniya Kumar Palani Velu ◽  
Vishnuvardhan Chandrabalan ◽  
Ross Carter ◽  
Colin McKay ◽  
Donald McMillan ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
High Risk ◽  
Serum Amylase ◽  
Risk Group ◽  
Risk Groups ◽  
High Risk Group ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Prolonged Stay ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
Clinically Significant ◽  
Serum Crp

394 Background: Pancreas-specific complications (PSC), comprising postoperative pancreatic fistula, post-pancreatectomy haemorrhage, and intra-abdominal collections, are drivers of morbidity following pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD). Intra-operatively derived pancreatic gland texture is a major determinant of postoperative PSC. We have previously demonstrated that a postoperative day 0 (PoD0) serum amylase ≥ 130 IU/L is an objective surrogate of pancreatic texture, and is associated with PSC. We sought to refine the PSC risk prediction model by including serial measurements of serum C-reactive protein (CRP). Methods: 230 consecutive patients undergoing PD between 2008 and 2014 were included in the study. Routine serum investigations, including amylase and CRP were performed from the pre-operative day. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was used to identify a threshold value of serum CRP associated with clinically significant PSC. Results: 95 (41.3%) patients experienced a clinically significant PSC. ROC analysis identified post-operative day 2 (PoD2) serum CRP of 180 mg/L as the optimal threshold (P=0.005) associated with clinically significant PSC, a prolonged stay in critical care (P =0.032), and a relaparotomy (P = 0.045). Patients with a PoD0 serum amylase ≥ 130 IU/L who then developed a PoD2 serum CRP ≥ 180 mg/L had a higher incidence of postoperative complications. Patients were categorised into high, intermediate and low risk groups based on PoD0 serum amylase and PoD2 serum CRP. Patients in the high risk group (PoD0 serum amylase ≥ 130 IU/L and PoD2 serum CRP ≥ 180 mg/l) had significantly higher incidence of PSC, a return to theatre, prolonged lengths stay (all P≤ 0.05) and a four-fold increase in perioperative mortality compared patients in the intermediate and low risk groups (7 deaths in the high risk group versus 2 and nil in the intermediate and low risk groups respectively). Conclusions: A high risk profile, defined as PoD0 serum amylase ≥ 130 IU/L and PoD2 serum CRP ≥ 180 mg/l, should raise the clinician’s awareness of the increased risk of clinically significant PSC and a complicated postoperative course following pancreaticoduodenectomy.

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