scholarly journals Preoperative Prediction of Lymphovascular Space Invasion in Cervical Cancer With Radiomics –Based Nomogram

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wei Du ◽  
Yu Wang ◽  
Dongdong Li ◽  
Xueming Xia ◽  
Qiaoyue Tan ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Cervical Cancer ◽  
Clinical Decision Making ◽  
Area Under The Curve ◽  
Predictive Performance ◽  
Clinical Decision ◽  
Tumor Stage ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Training Cohort ◽  
Clinical Model ◽  
Radiomics Signature

PurposeTo build and evaluate a radiomics-based nomogram that improves the predictive performance of the LVSI in cervical cancer non-invasively before the operation.MethodThis study involved 149 patients who underwent surgery with cervical cancer from February 2017 to October 2019. Radiomics features were extracted from T2 weighted imaging (T2WI). The radiomic features were selected by logistic regression with the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) penalty in the training cohort. Based on the selected features, support vector machine (SVM) algorithm was used to build the radiomics signature on the training cohort. Incorporating radiomics signature and clinical risk factors, the radiomics-based nomogram was developed. The sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, and area under the curve (AUC) and Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve were calculated to assess these models.ResultThe radiomics model performed much better than the clinical model in both training (AUCs 0.925 vs. 0.786, accuracies 87.5% vs. 70.5%, sensitivities 83.6% vs. 41.7% and specificities 90.9% vs. 94.7%) and testing (AUCs 0.911 vs. 0.706, accuracies 84.0% vs. 71.3%, sensitivities 81.1% vs. 43.4% and specificities 86.4% vs. 95.0%). The combined model based on the radiomics signature and tumor stage, tumor infiltration depth and tumor pathology yielded the best performance (training cohort, AUC = 0.943, accuracies 89.5%, sensitivities 85.4% and specificities 92.9%; testing cohort, AUC = 0.923, accuracies 84.6%, sensitivities 84.0% and specificities 85.1%).ConclusionRadiomics-based nomogram was a useful tool for predicting LVSI of cervical cancer. This would aid the selection of the optimal therapeutic strategy and clinical decision-making for individuals.

scholarly journals Non-Invasive Radiomics Approach Predict Invasiveness of Adamantinomatous Craniopharyngioma Before Surgery

2021 ◽  
Vol 10 ◽  
Author(s):  
Guofo Ma ◽  
Jie Kang ◽  
Ning Qiao ◽  
Bochao Zhang ◽  
Xuzhu Chen ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Clinical Decision Making ◽  
Effective Means ◽  
Tumor Resection ◽  
Area Under The Curve ◽  
Clinical Decision ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Benign Tumors ◽  
Incomplete Resection ◽  
Test Sets ◽  
Radiomics Signature

PurposeCraniopharyngiomas (CPs) are benign tumors, complete tumor resection is considered to be the optimal treatment. However, although histologically benign, the local invasiveness of CPs commonly contributes to incomplete resection and a poor prognosis. At present, some advocate less aggressive surgery combined with radiotherapy as a more reasonable and effective means of protecting hypothalamus function and preventing recurrence in patients with tight tumor adhesion to the hypothalamus. Hence, if a method can be developed to predict the invasiveness of CP preoperatively, it will help in the development of a more personalized surgical strategy. The aim of the study was to report a radiomics-clinical nomogram for the individualized preoperative prediction of the invasiveness of adamantinomatous CP (ACPs) before surgery.MethodsIn total, 1,874 radiomics features were extracted from whole tumors on contrast-enhanced T1-weighted images. A support vector machine trained a predictive model that was validated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis on an independent test set. Moreover, a nomogram was constructed incorporating clinical characteristics and the radiomics signature for individual prediction.ResultsEleven features associated with the invasiveness of ACPs were selected by using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) method. These features yielded area under the curve (AUC) values of 79.09 and 73.5% for the training and test sets, respectively. The nomogram incorporating peritumoral edema and the radiomics signature yielded good calibration in the training and test sets with the AUCs of 84.79 and 76.48%, respectively.ConclusionThe developed model yields good performance, indicating that the invasiveness of APCs can be predicted using noninvasive radiological data. This reliable, noninvasive tool can help clinical decision making and improve patient prognosis.

scholarly journals A CT-based radiomics nomogram for predicting prognosis of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) radiomics nomogram predicting COVID-19

2021 ◽  
Vol 94 (1117) ◽  
pp. 20200634
Author(s):  
Hang Chen ◽  
Ming Zeng ◽  
Xinglan Wang ◽  
Liping Su ◽  
Yuwei Xia ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Clinical Decision Making ◽  
Predictive Performance ◽  
Clinical Decision ◽  
Ct Images ◽  
Prediction Performance ◽  
Clinical Factors ◽  
Training Set ◽  
Clinical Model ◽  
Potential Biomarker ◽  
Validation Set

Objectives: To identify the value of radiomics method derived from CT images to predict prognosis in patients with COVID-19. Methods: A total of 40 patients with COVID-19 were enrolled in the study. Baseline clinical data, CT images, and laboratory testing results were collected from all patients. We defined that ROIs in the absorption group decreased in the density and scope in GGO, and ROIs in the progress group progressed to consolidation. A total of 180 ROIs from absorption group (n = 118) and consolidation group (n = 62) were randomly divided into a training set (n = 145) and a validation set (n = 35) (8:2). Radiomics features were extracted from CT images, and the radiomics-based models were built with three classifiers. A radiomics score (Rad-score) was calculated by a linear combination of selected features. The Rad-score and clinical factors were incorporated into the radiomics nomogram construction. The prediction performance of the clinical factors model and the radiomics nomogram for prognosis was estimated. Results: A total of 15 radiomics features with respective coefficients were calculated. The AUC values of radiomics models (kNN, SVM, and LR) were 0.88, 0.88, and 0.84, respectively, showing a good performance. The C-index of the clinical factors model was 0.82 [95% CI (0.75–0.88)] in the training set and 0.77 [95% CI (0.59–0.90)] in the validation set. The radiomics nomogram showed optimal prediction performance. In the training set, the C-index was 0.91 [95% CI (0.85–0.95)], and in the validation set, the C-index was 0.85 [95% CI (0.69–0.95)]. For the training set, the C-index of the radiomics nomogram was significantly higher than the clinical factors model (p = 0.0021). Decision curve analysis showed that radiomics nomogram outperformed the clinical model in terms of clinical usefulness. Conclusions: The radiomics nomogram based on CT images showed favorable prediction performance in the prognosis of COVID-19. The radiomics nomogram could be used as a potential biomarker for more accurate categorization of patients into different stages for clinical decision-making process. Advances in knowledge: Radiomics features based on chest CT images help clinicians to categorize the patients of COVID-19 into different stages. Radiomics nomogram based on CT images has favorable predictive performance in the prognosis of COVID-19. Radiomics act as a potential modality to supplement conventional medical examinations.

scholarly journals A Nomogram-Based Model to Predict Neoplastic Risk For Patients With Gallbladder Polyps

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xudong Zhang ◽  
Jin-Cheng Wang ◽  
Baoqiang Wu ◽  
Tao Li ◽  
Lei Jin ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Clinical Decision Making ◽  
Early Stage ◽  
Characteristic Curve ◽  
Area Under The Curve ◽  
Training Group ◽  
Clinical Decision ◽  
Polyp Size ◽  
Training Cohort ◽  
Discrimination Ability ◽  
Gallbladder Polyps

Abstract Background: Gallbladder polyps (GBPs) assessment seeks to identify early-stage gallbladder carcinoma (GBC). Many studies have analyzed the risk factors for malignant GBPs, and we try to establish a more accurate predictive model for potential neoplastic polyps in patients with GBPs.Methods: This retrospective study developed a nomogram-based model in a training cohort of 233 GBP patients. Clinical information, ultrasonographic findings, and blood tests were retrospectively analyzed. Spearman correlation and logistic regression analysis were used to identify independent predictors and establish a nomogram model. An internal validation was conducted in 225 consecutive patients. Performance of models was evaluated through the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) and decision curve analysis (DCA). Results: Age, cholelithiasis, CEA, polyp size and sessile were confirmed as independent predictors for neoplastic potential of GBPs in the training group. Compared with other proposed prediction methods, the established nomogram model presented good discrimination ability in the training cohort (area under the curve [AUC]: 0.845) and the validation cohort (AUC: 0.836). DCA demonstrated the most clinical benefits can be provided by the nomogram. Conclusions: Our developed preoperative nomogram model can successfully evaluate the neoplastic potential of GBPs based on simple clinical variables, that maybe useful for clinical decision-making.

scholarly journals A radiomics-based model on non-contrast CT for predicting cirrhosis: make the most of image data

2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Jin-Cheng Wang ◽  
Rao Fu ◽  
Xue-Wen Tao ◽  
Ying-Fan Mao ◽  
Fei Wang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Clinical Decision Making ◽  
Multivariate Logistic Regression Analysis ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Features Selection ◽  
Clinical Predictors ◽  
Training Cohort ◽  
Discrimination Ability ◽  
Clinical Benefits ◽  
Contrast Ct ◽  
Radiomics Signature

Abstract Background To establish and validate a radiomics-based model for predicting liver cirrhosis in patients with hepatitis B virus (HBV) by using non-contrast computed tomography (CT). Methods This retrospective study developed a radiomics-based model in a training cohort of 144 HBV-infected patients. Radiomic features were extracted from abdominal non-contrast CT scans. Features selection was performed with the least absolute shrinkage and operator (LASSO) method based on highly reproducible features. Support vector machine (SVM) was adopted to build a radiomics signature. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to establish a radiomics-based nomogram that integrated radiomics signature and other independent clinical predictors. Performance of models was evaluated through discrimination ability, calibration and clinical benefits. An internal validation was conducted in 150 consecutive patients. Results The radiomics signature comprised 25 cirrhosis-related features and showed significant differences between cirrhosis and non-cirrhosis cohorts (P < 0.001). A radiomics-based nomogram that integrates radiomics signature, alanine transaminase, aspartate aminotransferase, globulin and international normalized ratio showed great calibration and discrimination ability in the training cohort (area under the curve [AUC]: 0.915) and the validation cohort (AUC: 0.872). Decision curve analysis confirmed the most clinical benefits can be provided by the nomogram compared with other methods. Conclusions Our developed radiomics-based nomogram can successfully diagnose the status of cirrhosis in HBV-infected patients, that may help clinical decision-making.

scholarly journals The Value of Predicting Human Epidermal Growth Factor Receptor 2 Status in Adenocarcinoma of the Esophagogastric Junction on CT-Based Radiomics Nomogram

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shuxing Wang ◽  
Yiqing Chen ◽  
Han Zhang ◽  
Zhiping Liang ◽  
Jun Bu
Keyword(s):  
Logistic Regression ◽  
Esophagogastric Junction ◽  
Area Under The Curve ◽  
Growth Factor Receptor ◽  
Predictive Performance ◽  
Regression Method ◽  
Training Cohort ◽  
T Stage ◽  
Logistic Regression Method ◽  
Radiomics Signature

PurposeWe developed and validated a CT-based radiomics nomogram to predict HER2 status in patients with adenocarcinoma of esophagogastric junction (AEG).MethodA total of 101 patients with HER2-positive (n=46) and HER2-negative (n=55) esophagogastric junction adenocarcinoma (AEG) were retrospectively analyzed. They were then randomly divided into a training cohort (n=70) and a verification cohort (n=31). The radiomics features were obtained from the portal phase of the CT enhanced scan. We used the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) logistic regression method to select the best radiomics features in the training cohort, combined them linearly, and used the radiomics signature formula to calculate the radiomics score (Rad-score) of each AEG patient. A multivariable logistic regression method was applied to develop a prediction model that incorporated the radiomics signature and independent risk predictors. The prediction performance of the nomogram was evaluated using the training and validation cohorts.ResultIn the training (P&lt;0.001) and verification groups (P&lt;0.001), the radiomics signature combined with seven radiomics features was significantly correlated with HER2 status. The nomogram composed of CT-reported T stage and radiomics signature showed very good predictive performance for HER2 status. The area under the curve (AUC) of the training cohort was 0.946 (95% CI: 0.919–0.973), and that of the validation group was 0.903 (95% CI: 0.847–0.959). The calibration curve of the radiomics nomogram showed a good degree of calibration. Decision-curve analysis revealed that the radiomics nomogram was useful.ConclusionThe nomogram CT-based radiomics signature combined with CT-reported T stage can better predict the HER2 status of AEG before surgery. It can be used as a non-invasive prediction tool for HER2 status and is expected to guide clinical treatment decisions in clinical practice, and it can assist in the formulation of individualized treatment plans.

scholarly journals 1204 Analyzing User Journey Data In Digital Health: Predicting Dropout From A Digital CBT-I Intervention

SLEEP ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 43 (Supplement_1) ◽  
pp. A460-A460
Author(s):  
V Bremer ◽  
P Chow ◽  
B Funk ◽  
F Thorndike ◽  
L Ritterband
Keyword(s):  
Clinical Decision Making ◽  
Behavioral Therapy ◽  
Digital Health ◽  
Predictive Performance ◽  
Clinical Decision ◽  
Prediction Performance ◽  
Drop Out ◽  
Machine Learning Techniques ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Task Support

Abstract Introduction Intervention dropout is an important factor for the evaluation and implementation of digital therapeutics, including in insomnia. Large amounts of individualized data (logins, questionnaires, EMA data) in these interventions can combine to create user journeys - the data generated by the path an individual takes to navigate the digital therapeutic. User journeys can provide insight about how likely users are to drop out of an intervention on an individual level and lead to increased prediction performance. Thus, the goal of this study is to provide a step-by-step guide for the analysis of user journeys and utilize this guide to predict intervention dropout, illustrated with an example from a data in a RCT of digital therapeutic for chronic insomnia, for which outcomes have previously been published. Methods Analysis of user journeys includes data transformation, feature engineering, and statistical model analysis, using machine learning techniques. A framework is established to leverage user journeys to predict various behaviors. For this study, the framework was applied to predict dropouts of 151 participants from a fully automated web-based program (SHUTi) that delivered cognitive behavioral therapy for insomnia. For this task, support vector machines, logistic regression with regularization, and boosted decision trees were applied at different points in 9-week intervention. These techniques were evaluated based on their predictive performance. Results After model evaluation, a decision tree ensemble achieved AUC values ranging between 0.6-0.9 based on application of machine earning techniques. Various handcrafted and theory-driven features (e.g., time to complete certain intervention steps, time to get out of bed after arising, and days since last system interaction contributed to prediction performance. Conclusion Results indicate that utilizing a user journey framework and analysis can predict intervention dropout. Further, handcrafted theory-driven features can increase prediction performance. This prediction of dropout could lead to an enhanced clinical decision-making in digital therapeutics. Support The original study evaluating the efficacy of this intervention has been reported elsewhere and was funded by grant R01 MH86758 from the National Institute of Mental Health.

scholarly journals The Development and Validation of a CT-Based Radiomics Nomogram to Preoperatively Predict Lymph Node Metastasis in High-Grade Serous Ovarian Cancer

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hui-zhu Chen ◽  
Xin-rong Wang ◽  
Fu-min Zhao ◽  
Xi-jian Chen ◽  
Xue-sheng Li ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Ovarian Cancer ◽  
Lymph Node ◽  
Clinical Decision Making ◽  
Tumor Resection ◽  
Area Under The Curve ◽  
Clinical Decision ◽  
High Grade ◽  
Serous Ovarian Cancer ◽  
Training Cohort ◽  
Portal Phase

PurposeTo develop and validate a radiomics model for predicting preoperative lymph node (LN) metastasis in high-grade serous ovarian cancer (HGSOC).Materials and MethodsFrom May 2008 to January 2018, a total of 256 eligible HGSOC patients who underwent tumor resection and LN dissection were divided into a training cohort (n=179) and a test cohort (n=77) in a 7:3 ratio. A Radiomics Model was developed based on a training cohort of 179 patients. A radiomics signature (defined as the Radscore) was selected by using the random forest method. Logistics regression was used as the classifier for modeling. An Integrated Model that incorporated the Radscore and CT_reported LN status (CT_LN_report) was developed and presented as a radiomics nomogram. Its performance was determined by the area under the curve (AUC), calibration, and decision curve. The radiomics nomogram was internally tested in an independent test cohort (n=77) and a CT-LN-report negative subgroup (n=179) using the formula derived from the training cohort.ResultsThe AUC value of the CT_LN_report was 0.688 (95% CI: 0.626, 0.759) in the training cohort and 0.717 (95% CI: 0.630, 0.804) in the test cohort. The Radiomics Model yielded an AUC of 0.767 (95% CI: 0.696, 0.837) in the training cohort and 0.753 (95% CI: 0.640, 0.866) in the test. The radiomics nomogram demonstrated favorable calibration and discrimination in the training cohort (AUC=0.821), test cohort (AUC=0.843), and CT-LN-report negative subgroup (AUC=0.82), outperforming the Radiomics Model and CT_LN_report alone.ConclusionsThe radiomics nomogram derived from portal phase CT images performed well in predicting LN metastasis in HGSOC and could be recommended as a new, convenient, and non-invasive method to aid in clinical decision-making.

scholarly journals Impact of Grade Groups on Prostate Cancer-Specific and Other-Cause Mortality: Competing Risk Analysis from a Large Single Institution Series

Cancers ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (8) ◽  
pp. 1963
Author(s):  
Daimantas Milonas ◽  
Tomas Ruzgas ◽  
Zilvinas Venclovas ◽  
Mindaugas Jievaltas ◽  
Steven Joniau
Keyword(s):  
Clinical Decision Making ◽  
Area Under The Curve ◽  
Clinical Decision ◽  
Competing Risk ◽  
Grade Group ◽  
Tertiary Center ◽  
Stable Performance ◽  
Cancer Specific Mortality ◽  
Risk Of Cancer

Objective: To assess the risk of cancer-specific mortality (CSM) and other-cause mortality (OCM) using post-operative International Society of Urological Pathology Grade Group (GG) model in patients after radical prostatectomy (RP). Patients and Methods: Overall 1921 consecutive men who underwent RP during 2001 to 2017 in a single tertiary center were included in the study. Multivariate competing risk regression analysis was used to identify significant predictors and quantify cumulative incidence of CSM and OCM. Time-depending area under the curve (AUC) depicted the performance of GG model on prediction of CSM. Results: Over a median follow-up of 7.9-year (IQR 4.4-11.7) after RP, 235 (12.2%) deaths were registered, and 52 (2.7%) of them were related to PCa. GG model showed high and stable performance (time-dependent AUC 0.88) on prediction of CSM. Cumulative 10-year CSM in GGs 1 to 5 was 0.9%, 2.3%, 7.6%, 14.7%, and 48.6%, respectively; 10-year OCM in GGs was 15.5%, 16.1%, 12.6%, 17.7% and 6.5%, respectively. The ratio between 10-year CSM/OCM in GGs 1 to 5 was 1:17, 1:7, 1:2, 1:1, and 7:1, respectively. Conclusions: Cancer-specific and other-cause mortality differed widely between GGs. Presented findings could aid in personalized clinical decision making for active treatment.

scholarly journals Machine-learning based prediction of Cushing’s syndrome in dogs attending UK primary-care veterinary practice

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Imogen Schofield ◽  
David C. Brodbelt ◽  
Noel Kennedy ◽  
Stijn J. M. Niessen ◽  
David B. Church ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Cushing’S Syndrome ◽  
Clinical Decision Making ◽  
Predictive Performance ◽  
Clinical Decision ◽  
Cushing's Syndrome ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Learning Methods ◽  
Machine Learning Methods ◽  
Clinical Records

AbstractCushing’s syndrome is an endocrine disease in dogs that negatively impacts upon the quality-of-life of affected animals. Cushing’s syndrome can be a challenging diagnosis to confirm, therefore new methods to aid diagnosis are warranted. Four machine-learning algorithms were applied to predict a future diagnosis of Cushing's syndrome, using structured clinical data from the VetCompass programme in the UK. Dogs suspected of having Cushing's syndrome were included in the analysis and classified based on their final reported diagnosis within their clinical records. Demographic and clinical features available at the point of first suspicion by the attending veterinarian were included within the models. The machine-learning methods were able to classify the recorded Cushing’s syndrome diagnoses, with good predictive performance. The LASSO penalised regression model indicated the best overall performance when applied to the test set with an AUROC = 0.85 (95% CI 0.80–0.89), sensitivity = 0.71, specificity = 0.82, PPV = 0.75 and NPV = 0.78. The findings of our study indicate that machine-learning methods could predict the future diagnosis of a practicing veterinarian. New approaches using these methods could support clinical decision-making and contribute to improved diagnosis of Cushing’s syndrome in dogs.

scholarly journals Identification and Evaluation of Serum Protein Biomarkers Which Differentiate Psoriatic from Rheumatoid Arthritis

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Angela Mc Ardle ◽  
Anna Kwasnik ◽  
Agnes Szenpetery ◽  
Melissa Jones ◽  
Belinda Hernandez ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Rheumatoid Arthritis ◽  
Serum Protein ◽  
Clinical Decision Making ◽  
Multiple Reaction Monitoring ◽  
Area Under The Curve ◽  
Clinical Decision ◽  
Additional Patient ◽  
Second Phase ◽  
Protein Biomarkers ◽  
Protein Discovery

AbstractObjectivesTo identify serum protein biomarkers which might separate early inflammatory arthritis (EIA) patients with psoriatic arthritis (PsA) from those with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) to provide an accurate diagnosis and support appropriate early intervention.MethodsIn an initial protein discovery phase, the serum proteome of a cohort of patients with PsA and RA was interrogated using unbiased liquid chromatography mass spectrometry (LC-MS/MS) (n=64 patients), a multiplexed antibody assay (Luminex) for 48 proteins (n=64 patients) and an aptamer-based assay (SOMAscan) targeting 1,129 proteins (n=36 patients). Subsequently, analytically validated targeted multiple reaction monitoring (MRM) assays were developed to further evaluate those proteins identified as discriminatory during the discovery. During an initial verification phase, MRM assays were developed to a panel of 150 proteins (by measuring a total of 233 peptides) and used to re-evaluate the discovery cohort (n=60). During a second verification phase, the panel of proteins was expanded to include an additional 23 proteins identified in other proteomic discovery analyses of arthritis patients. The expanded panel was evaluated using a second, independent cohort of PsA and RA patients (n=167).ResultsMultivariate analysis of the protein discovery data revealed that it was possible to discriminate PsA from RA patients with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.94 for nLC-MS/MS, 0.69 for Luminex based measurements; 0.73 for SOMAscan analysis. During the initial verification phase, random forest models confirmed that proteins measured by MRM could differentiate PsA and RA patients with an AUC of 0.79 and during the second phase of verification the expanded panel could segregate the two disease groups with an AUC of 0.85.ConclusionWe report a serum protein biomarker panel which can separate EIA patients with PsA from those with RA. We suggest that the routine use of such a panel in EIA patients will improve clinical decision making and with continued evaluation and refinement using additional patient cohorts will support the development of a diagnostic test for patients with PsA.

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