scholarly journals An Approach for the Relationship Analysis between Social Events and the Stock Market during the Pandemic

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (19) ◽  
pp. 8838
Author(s):  
Ruogu Zhou ◽  
Jie Hua ◽  
Xin Chi ◽  
Xiao Ren ◽  
Shuyang Hua

COVID-19 is the latest among the many pandemics in the last few decades in the world, and it has stricken the global economy severely. It has consequently affected the stock market, which affects the economy of the country to a great extent. Some research has managed to analyse the impacts on the stock market during the outbreak; however, few of them have been related to relationship analytics. Here, we proposed a methodology based on pure data analytics, which gathers two types of data, event and stock index in China, to explore their relationship through analysing the stock index’s shift in reacting to pertinent social events, hence revealing insights into how events affect fluctuations in stock indices. The results showed that the relationship does exist in most cases. However, the closeness of the relationship may also be associated with the location of the stock company and other factors such as its geographical, political, and local authority considerations. This study may potentially assist stakeholders in adjusting their investments in the stock market.

Author(s):  
Pooja Yadav ◽  
Nitin Huria

From a decade or so Indian continent has become the centre of attraction in the global economies. This changed outlook is due to the fact that India embraces vast availability of resources and opportunities which makes it the most vibrant global economy in the current scenario of worldwide sluggishness. On this path of growth and prosperity India is showing stiff commitments and competitive edges with developed as well as emerging countries. To be more specific, during this voyage in the Asia pacific region recently on one side India has seen stronger bonding with some of its old mates like Japan but on the other part it has faced strain like situation from its stronger competitor contender china on the same time. Hence, in this context the main aim of this paper is to examine the long run and short run equilibrium impacts of Japan and Chinese stock index as well as macroeconomic variables impact on Indian stock market. This paper finds the presence of both long and short run equilibrium impacts from China and Japan to India. In case of Japanese financial market (Nikki 225) has a trivial negative but significant long run impact whereas, the Chinese stock index (SSE composite) is operating at the short run with the same mild negative but significant impact on the Indian stock market. The results of the impact of macroeconomic variables find the existence of long run as well as short run equilibrium from some of the selected variables on Indian stock market.


Diacronia ◽  
2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Francisc Gafton

Human (vocal-articulated) language may be regarded both as a structure and organ, and as an instrument and biosocial behaviour. Its foundation is material and motor, and its development procedural-historical. Examining the relationship between the initial moment (gesture) and the actual result (vocal-articulated language)—at the motor and neural levels—reveals that mental activities occur and develop as a result of the biological organism’s interactions with its natural and social environment. Therefore, language appears not as a consequence of a revolution or of an evolutionary jump, but as a result of organic and gradual developments occurring in a biosocial environment and having the same kind of premises. The many structures contributing to its appearance (osseous, muscular, nervous, genetic) were directed by social events generating behaviours whose exercise led to certain developments. Having achieved structural and behavioral diversification, and in so far as it could benefit evolution, such a development was exploited by the biological and social organism, such that—irrespective of space, time, or the aspects of a particular context—above a certain level of evolution, the various human communities spread throughout the globe exhibited the intrinsic tendency of developing this ability.


2008 ◽  
Vol 33 (4) ◽  
pp. 27-46 ◽  
Author(s):  
Y V Reddy ◽  
A Sebastin

Interactions between the foreign exchange market and the stock market of a country are considered to be an important internal force of the markets in a financially liberalized environment. If causal relationship from a market to the other is not detected, then informational efficiency exists in the other whereas existence of causality implies that hedging of exposure to one market by taking position in the other market will be effective. The temporal relationship between the forex market and the stock market of developing and developed countries has been studied, especially after the East Asian financial crisis of 1997–98, using various methods like cross-correlation, cross-spectrum, and error correction model, but these methods identify only linear relations. A statistically rigorous approach to the detection of interdependence, including non-linear dynamic relationships, between time series is provided by tools defined using the information theoretic concept of entropy. Entropy is the amount of disorder in the system and also is the amount of information needed to predict the next measurement with a certain precision. The mutual information between two random variables X and Y with a joint probability mass function p(x,y) and marginal mass functions p(x) and p(y), is defined as the relative entropy between the joint distribution p(x,y) and the product distribution p(x)*p(y). Mutual information is the reduction in the uncertainty of X due to the knowledge of Y and vice versa. Since mutual information measures the deviation from independence of the variables, it has been proposed as a tool to measure the relationship between financial market segments. However, mutual information is a symmetric measure and does not contain either dynamic information or directional sense. Even time delayed mutual information does not distinguish information actually exchanged from shared information due to a common input signal or history and therefore does not quantify the actual overlap of the information content of two variables. Another information theoretic measure called transfer entropy has been introduced by Thomas Schreiber (2000) to study the relationship between dynamic systems; the concept has also been applied by some authors to study the causal structure between financial time series. In this paper, an attempt has been made to study the interaction between the stock and the forex markets in India by computing transfer entropy between daily data series of the 50 stock index of the National Stock Exchange of India Limited, viz., Nifty and the exchange rate of Indian Rupee vis- à- vis US Dollar, viz., Reserve Bank of India reference rate. The entire period–November 1995 to March 2007–selected for the study, has been divided into three sub-periods for the purpose of analysis, considering the developments that took place during these sub-periods. The results obtained reveal that: there exist only low level interactions between the stock and the forex markets of India at a time scale of a day or less, although theory suggests interactive relationship between the two markets the flow from the stock market to the forex market is more pronounced than the flow in the reverse direction.


Author(s):  
İrfan Ersin

This chapter examines the relationship between stock market value of domestic firms traded in stock markets in OECD countries and stock index for 1990-2018 period. As a result of Pedroni Panel Cointegration and Dumitrescu-Hurlin Panel Causality Analysis, there is a relationship between the market values of domestic firms traded on the stock exchange and the stock index. In addition, a two-way causality relationship was found. This situation indicates that this relationship is very powerful. It can be understood that adding domestic companies to the stock market has a significant effect on the stock prices and this will attract foreign investors to enter the market.


Author(s):  
Thanh Cong Bui ◽  
Khoa Cuong Phan ◽  
Thi Bich Ngoc Ngoc TRAN

<p>The purpose of this study is to investigate if contagion or flight-to-quality occurred in Vietnam financial markets during US subprime crisis in 2007. We apply asymmetric dynamic conditional correlation models (ADCC-GARCH (1,1)) to daily stock-index and bond index returns of Vietnam and US stock market. We test for contagion or flight-to-quality by using difference test for dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) means. The results obtained show a contagion between US and Vietnam stock market, confirming the widespread influence of US stock market to a young market like Vietnam. This result suggests a low benefit from diversification for investor holding portfolios containing assets in Vietnam stock market and US stock market during crisis. Moreover, the relationship between Vietnam stock and bond markets represents a flight-to-quality during US subprime crisis. This finding shows that the investors tend to hold less risky assets, i.e. bonds, instead of stocks during turbulent period in Vietnam.</p>


2008 ◽  
Vol 10 (4) ◽  
Author(s):  
Untoro Untoro ◽  
Priyo R. Widodo

This paper analyzes the relationship between the Exchange rate and the stock market in Jakarta, Singapore, Malaysia, Thailand, Philippine and Hongkong using a high frequency data. We applied the Vector Autoregressive method on the daily data covering 1 July 1997 to 30 June 2006.The analysis provides several results as follows: (i) the exchange rate movements is influenced by the regional and the Hongkong stock market index, except Thailand, (ii) Jakarta stock market index is influenced by the regional stock market except Thailand, (iii) the Rupiah rate influence the regional and Hongkong stock index, (iv) the Jakarta's stock market index is integrated to the regional stock market index. These results may be a usefull as an additional guidance to evaluate the Rupiah's exchange rate and the regional stock market movement in general.JEL Classification: C32, F31, G15                 Keywords: Stock, Vector Autoregressive, exchange rate.


2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-13 ◽  
Author(s):  
Olena Bulatova ◽  
Tetyana Marena ◽  
Yurii Chentukov ◽  
Tetiana Shabelnyk

Global financial transformations provoke shifts in financial systems that can threaten countries’ economic security. Further integration of the CEE states to the global economy will be accompanied by the increasing dependence of their financial markets and economic security on global financial challenges. The study aims to identify the relationship between global and regional financial trends that shape CEE countries’ economic security and reveal the shifts in the CEE region’s economic security under the influence of global financial transformation. The global financial transformations are the object of the study. Comparative analysis of the dynamics of financial transformations in the world and the CEE countries is made using structural analysis and methods of economic and mathematical modeling of trends. Given the heterogeneity of the CEE states’ financial development, global financial transformations have different manifestations in these countries. The relationship between global and regional indicators of financial transformation proved to be ambiguous. The regional dynamics of stock market capitalization, debt securities, and external debt fit corresponding world indicators’ dynamics. The indicators of global and regional official reserves and bank assets are moving in different directions. The region’s economic security challenges are great volatility of stock market capitalization, growth of external debt burden, and uneven distribution of official reserves. The obtained results should be considered when identifying financial threats affecting the CEE countries’ security and developing relevant policies for shaping the region’s efficient financial system.


2014 ◽  
Vol 17 (1) ◽  
pp. 167-191 ◽  
Author(s):  
Maciej Kozłowski

It is known that workers’ financial participation, primarily in the form of wider participation of employees in profits and ownership, has been used in enterprises from many years, but in practice the period of implementation of different forms of financial participation has taken place only in the last four decades. Workers’ participation in decision-making has a longer tradition, so it is well described in the literature, and its impact on the results achieved by companies are known through the many research projects conducted by researchers around the world and through detailed reports. Financial participation has not been the focus of so many papers, so the knowledge and information from this area is incomplete. This is because of the lack of comprehensive studies on the various forms of participation, their irregularity, the lack of cooperation between states in the exchange of information concerning the number of implemented solutions, etc. Of course, it is not possible to include all of the companies in research and the results cannot be generalized due to the different conditions and selection criteria in particular countries. Also, the ambiguous interpretation of the term “financial participation” by different authors and different institutions does not allow for setting up and developing the output database necessary to conduct the research and carry out comparisons. In the literature, programs of financial participation are treated as an incentive system, without taking into account the wider context and the relationships between these programmes and the results achieved by the company. This contribution aims to give some theoretical and scientific examples, which, by virtue of their nature and severity can contribute to the possible diverse research solutions to the problems facing businesses, especially in today's dynamic, global economy. After forty years of empirical research on the benefits of the implementation of various programmes of financial participation, the information provided, in principle, only in the form of reports, is not sufficient to express opinions on the development of forms of participation. At the same time, it is concluded that the programmes of financial participation have had a positive effect on the results achieved by companies, especially in terms of social benefits. Arriving at the above opinion has been additionally impeded by the different attitudes of the social partners to the issue of participation and participatory approaches, the absence of explicit data showing the relationship between implemented financial schemes and financial results, changes in the competitive position of enterprises, etc. The outlined theory concerning how the workers’ ownership affects economic performance achieved by a company unfortunately has not changed. This article is not to bring about fundamental changes, but to find new threads or directions of deliberation.


Author(s):  
Michael O’Toole

In this article I examine aspects of the relationship between mothers and sons from an attachment perspective in an Irish context. Through the works of Irish writers such as Seamus Heaney, John McGahern, and Colm Tóibín, I focus on particular aspects of this relationship, which fails to support the developmental processes of separation and individuation in the many men who come to me for psychotherapy. I illustrate key points concerning this attachment dynamic through the use of clinical examples of my work with two men from my practice. While acknowledging that many other cultural factors play a significant role in the emotional development of children, integrating the work of our poets, novelists, and scholars with an attachment perspective


Author(s):  
Svetlana L. Sazanova

Entrepreneurship plays an important role in the modern global economy; the share of products of small and medium enterprises in the gross product and exports not only of the developed but also of developing countries is growing. Innovation processes cover all sectors of the economy, and more and more people are involved in entrepreneurial activity, which contributes to the penetration of entrepreneurial thinking and business values in all areas of the socioeconomic life of society. The Institute of Entrepreneurship plays an increasingly prominent role in the institutional environment of socio-economic systems. This actualizes the problem of studying the relationship of the institution of entrepreneurship with the institutions of law, culture, management. This requires a methodology that allows you to explore the impact on the institute of entrepreneurship not only economic, but also non-economic factors. The methodology of the “old” institutionalism possesses such a tool, it is structural modeling (pattern modeling), which allows to explore the diversity of interrelationships of the institution of entrepreneurship with other components of the institutional and economic environment. The article explored the features of the development of the institution of entrepreneurship in Russia, established the relationship between the institution of entrepreneurship, values, motives and incentives for entrepreneurial activity, built a structural model of the institution of entrepreneurship based on the methodology of the old institutionalism (pattern modeling). The structural model of the institution of entrepreneurship reveals the relationship between the institution of entrepreneurship, the values of entrepreneurial activity, its motives and incentives; as well as the relationship between the institution of entrepreneurship with the institutions of governance, cultural and religious institutions, legal institutions and society.


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