scholarly journals Population-Based Screening or Targeted Screening Based on Initial Clinical Risk Assessment for Atrial Fibrillation: A Report from the Huawei Heart Study

2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (5) ◽  
pp. 1493
Author(s):  
Yutao Guo ◽  
Hao Wang ◽  
Hui Zhang ◽  
Yundai Chen ◽  
Gregory Y. H. Lip

Background: A general-population approach has been advocated to improve the screening of patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). A more pragmatic alternative may be targeted screening of patients at high risk of developing AF. We assess the value of a simple clinical risk score, C2HEST (C2, coronary artery disease/chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; COPD (1 point each); H, hypertension; E, elderly (age ≥75, doubled); S, systolic heart failure; HF (doubled); T, hyperthyroidism)); to facilitate population screening and detection of incident AF in the general population, in a prespecified ancillary analysis of the Huawei Heart Study. Methods: The Huawei Heart Study investigated general population screening for AF, identified using photoplethysmography (PPG)-based HUAWEI smart devices. We compared the value of a general population approach to a target screening approach between 26 October 2018 and 20 November 2019. Results: There were 644,124 individuals (mean age ± standard deviation, SD 34 ± 11; female 15.9%) who monitored their pulse rhythm using smart devices, among which 209,274 individuals (mean age 34 years, SD11; 10.6% female) completed the questionnaire on cardiovascular risk factors, with 739 detecting AF. Of these, 31.4% (n = 65,810) subjects reported palpitations. The median (interquartile range, IQR) duration to first detected AF was 11 (1–46), 6 (1–49), and 4 (1–24) in the population with low, intermediate, and high C2HEST score category, respectively (p = 0.03). Detected AF events rates increased with increasing C2HEST score points, stratified by age (p for trend, p < 0.001). Hazard ratios of the components of the C2HEST score for detected AF were between 1.31 and 2.75. A combination of symptomatic palpitations and C2HEST score increased prediction of AF detection, compared to using C2HEST score alone (c-indexes 0.72 vs. 0.76, Delong test, p < 0.001). Conclusions: The C2HEST score, especially when combined with symptoms, could facilitate a targeted population-based screening and preventive strategy for AF.

BMC Cancer ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 19 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Christina Boegh Jakobsen ◽  
Morten Lamberts ◽  
Nicholas Carlson ◽  
Morten Lock-Hansen ◽  
Christian Torp-Pedersen ◽  
...  

Abstract Background The prevalence of both atrial fibrillation (AF) and malignancies are increasing in the elderly, but incidences of new onset AF in different cancer subtypes are not well described.The objectives of this study were therefore to determine the incidence of AF in different cancer subtypes and to examine the association of cancer and future AF. Methods Using national databases, the Danish general population was followed from 2000 until 2012. Every individual aged > 18 years and with no history of cancer or AF prior to study start was included. Incidence rates of new onset AF were identified and incidence rate ratios (IRRs) of AF in cancer patients were calculated in an adjusted Poisson regression model. Results A total of 4,324,545 individuals were included in the study. Cancer was diagnosed in 316,040 patients. The median age of the cancer population was 67.0 year and 51.5% were females. Incidences of AF were increased in all subtypes of cancer. For overall cancer, the incidence was 17.4 per 1000 person years (PY) vs 3.7 per 1000 PY in the general population and the difference increased with age. The covariate adjusted IRR for AF in overall cancer was 1.46 (95% confidence interval (CI) 1.44–1.48). The strength of the association declined with time from cancer diagnosis (IRR0-90days = 3.41 (3.29–3.54), (IRR-180 days-1 year = 1.57 (CI 1.50–1.64) and (IRR2–5 years = 1.12 (CI 1.09–1.15). Conclusions In this nationwide cohort study we observed that all major cancer subtypes were associated with an increased incidence of AF. Further, cancer and AF might be independently associated.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Martin Rehm ◽  
Dietrich Rothenbacher ◽  
Licia Iacoviello ◽  
Simona Costanzo ◽  
Hugh Tunstall‐Pedoe ◽  
...  

2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
E Sharashova ◽  
T Wilsgaard ◽  
J Ball ◽  
E Gerdts ◽  
A Rosengren ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Due to population aging, increasing prevalence of obesity and enhanced detection, the prevalence of atrial fibrillation (AF) worldwide is increasing steadily. Considerable sex differences in the epidemiology of AF such as lower prevalence and later onset in women compared to men have been reported. However, little is known about sex-specific temporal trends in AF incidence within the general population. Purpose To explore sex-specific age-adjusted secular trends in the incidence of AF in a general population from Norway between 1986 and 2014. Methods A total of 16,865 men and 15,413 women aged 20 years or older and without AF were enrolled in a longitudinal population study between 1986 and 2008 and followed up for incident AF to the end of 2014. Follow-up was from the date of attendance to the date of AF, emigration or death, whichever came first. All AF cases were validated by an independent endpoint committee using hospital and death records. AF incidence rates were calculated for each calendar year by dividing the number of AF cases per year by the corresponding person-time at risk. To allow for non-linear time trends, calendar year was fitted using fractional polynomials. Poisson regression was used to estimate calendar year-specific AF incidence rates adjusted for age. All analyses were stratified by sex. Results A total of 911 AF events in women and 1,139 AF events in men occurred over 324,090 person-years and 294,531 person-years of follow-up, respectively. During the study period AF incidence rates in men were at least double that in women (Figure). Age-adjusted AF incidence rates in women increased from 1986, peaked at 0.87 per 1000 person-years in 1998 and then decreased slightly towards 2014. In men AF incidence rates increased up to 2.18 per 1000 person-years in 2005 and then steeply decreased. Conclusion(s) AF incidence rates decreased in both women and men towards the end of the study period. The decrease was more profound in men compared to that in women. One possible explanation is more pronounced reduction in incidence and better treatment of myocardial infarction in men compared to women given that the aetiology of AF in men is mainly ischemic heart disease-related. However, further epidemiological analyses should be undertaken to identify explanatory factors. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: Public hospital(s). Main funding source(s): University Hospital of North Norway, Northern Norway Regional Health Authority


BMJ Open ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 8 (7) ◽  
pp. e021704 ◽  
Author(s):  
Trygve Berge ◽  
Magnus Nakrem Lyngbakken ◽  
Håkon Ihle-Hansen ◽  
Jon Brynildsen ◽  
Mohammad Osman Pervez ◽  
...  

ObjectivesTo investigate the sex-specific prevalence of atrial fibrillation (AF), including subclinical AF found by screening in a general population aged 63–65 years. The prevalence of cardiovascular risk factors and their association with AF will also be investigated.DesignCross-sectional analysis of an observational, prospective, longitudinal, population-based cohort study.SettingGeneral population in Akershus county, Norway.ParticipantsWomen and men born in 1950. We included 3706 of 5827 eligible individuals (63.6%); 48.8% were women.MethodsAll participants underwent extensive cardiovascular examinations, including 12-lead ECG. History of AF and other cardiovascular diseases were self-reported. Subsequent validation of all reported or detected AF diagnoses was performed.ResultsMean age was 63.9±0.7 years. Prevalence of ECG-verified AF was 4.5% (women 2.4%, men 6.4%; p<0.001), including screen-detected AF in 0.3% (women 0.1%, men 0.6%; p<0.01). Hypertension was found in 62.0% (women 57.8%, men 66.0%; p<0.001). Overweight or obesity was found in 67.6% (women 59.8%, men 74.9%; p<0.001). By multivariate logistic regression, risk factors associated with AF were height (OR 1.67 per 10 cm; 95% CI 1.26 to 2.22; p<0.001), weight (OR 1.15 per 10 kg; 95% CI 1.01 to 1.30; p=0.03), hypertension (OR 2.49; 95% CI 1.61 to 3.86; p<0.001), heart failure (OR 3.51; 95% CI 1.71 to 7.24; p=0.001), reduced estimated glomerular filtration rate (OR 2.56; 95% CI 1.42 to 4.60; p<0.01) and at least one first-degree relative with AF (OR 2.32; 95% CI 1.63 to 3.31; p<0.001), whereas male sex was not significantly associated (OR 1.00; 95% CI 0.59 to 1.68; p=0.99).ConclusionIn this cohort from the general population aged 63–65 years, we found a higher prevalence of known AF than previously reported below the age of 65 years. The additional yield of single time point screening for AF was low. Body size and comorbidity may explain most of the sex difference in AF prevalence at this age.Trial registration numberNCT01555411; Results.


2021 ◽  
Vol 42 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
M J Tilly ◽  
Z Lu ◽  
S Geurts ◽  
M A Ikram ◽  
M P M De Maat ◽  
...  

Abstract Background In a clinical setting, atrial fibrillation (AF) subgroups are defined, including paroxysmal, persistent, and permanent AF. These subgroups differ in terms of clinical characteristics, management strategy, and long-term outcomes. Application of clinical classifications in population-based settings is challenging as they are based on the duration of symptoms, recurrence, and treatment. Purpose We aim to develop an objective and standardized classification for AF patterns in the general population and examine the associated cardiovascular risk profiles and outcomes for the identified AF patterns. Methods Participants with only one reported AF episode were categorized as single-documented AF, if at least two separate AF episodes were reported as multiple-documented AF and as longstanding persistent AF if at least two consecutive ECG's at the research center showed AF, not followed by an ECG showing sinus rhythm. We fitted mixed effect models with age as time scale to characterize sex-specific cardiovascular risk factor trajectories preceding each AF pattern. We further used Cox proportional hazard modelling to describe the risk of coronary heart disease (CHD), heart failure (HF), stroke, and all-cause mortality following AF. Results We included 14,620 men and women aged ≥45 years. 1137 participants were categorized as single-documented AF, 208 as multiple-documented AF, and 57 as longstanding persistent AF. We identified significant differences in the preceding trajectories of weight, body mass index, systolic blood pressure, diastolic blood pressure, waist circumference, hip circumference, and waist-hip ratio with various AF patterns. In general, both men and women with persistent-elevated levels of these risk factors were prone to longstanding persistent AF. AF was associated with a large risk for subsequent CHD, HF, stroke, and mortality in the general population. Among the different AF patterns, single-documented AF conferred the largest risk of CHD [hazard ratio, 95% confidence interval: 1.92 (1.19–3.03)] and mortality [1.70 (1.41–2.07)] as compared to multiple-documented AF, and as compared to longstanding persistent AF [1.45 (0.72–2.90) and 3.66 (2.25–5.95), respectively]. Conclusion We developed a classification for AF patterns within a general population. We identified differences in risk factor trajectories preceding each AF pattern, which implies differences in pathophysiological mechanisms underlying AF. Participants with single-documented AF showed worse prognosis than those with multiple AF episodes. This might be due to the subgroup definition, since participants should live for a longer period of time to be categorized in the multiple-documented AF and longstanding persistent AF groups. This can also imply that participants suffering from multiple AF episodes are more frequently monitored, and treated for other risk factors. However, this could also suggest that singular AF episodes are not as innocent as commonly thought. FUNDunding Acknowledgement Type of funding sources: Public hospital(s). Main funding source(s): - Erasmus MC Mrace grant. - Netherlands Organization for the Health Research and Development (ZonMw) Figure 1 Figure 2. Progosis of various AF patterns


2021 ◽  
Vol 322 ◽  
pp. 265-270
Author(s):  
Gentian Denas ◽  
Alessandro Battaggia ◽  
Massimo Fusello ◽  
Bruno Franco-Novelletto ◽  
Maurizio Cancian ◽  
...  

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