scholarly journals GNSS-Based Machine Learning Storm Nowcasting

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (16) ◽  
pp. 2536 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marcelina Łoś ◽  
Kamil Smolak ◽  
Guergana Guerova ◽  
Witold Rohm

Nowcasting of severe weather events and summer storms, in particular, are intensively studied as they have great potential for large economic and societal losses. Use of Global Navigation Satellite Systems (GNSS) observations for weather nowcasting has been investigated in various regions. However, combining the vertically integrated water vapour (IWV) with vertical profiles of wet refractivity derived from GNSS tomography has not been exploited for short-range forecasts of storms. In this study, we introduce a methodology to use the synergy of IWV and tomography-based vertical profiles to predict 0–2 h of storms using a machine learning approach for Poland. Moreover, we present an analysis of the importance of features that take part in the prediction process. The accuracy of the model reached over 87%, and the precision of prediction was about 30%. The results show that wet refractivity below 6 km and IWV on the west of the storm are among the significant parameters with potential for predicting storm location. The analysis of IWV demonstrated a correlation between IWV changes and storm occurrence.

2010 ◽  
Vol 26 ◽  
pp. 77-82 ◽  
Author(s):  
E. Terradellas ◽  
B. Téllez

Abstract. Convective rainfall is often focalized in areas of moisture convergence. A close relationship between precipitation and fast variations of vertically-integrated water vapour (IWV) has been found in numerous cases. Therefore, continuous monitoring of atmospheric humidity and its spatial distribution is crucial to the operational forecaster for a proper nowcasting of heavy rainfall events. The microwave signals continuously broadcasted by the Global Navigation Satellite Systems (GNSS) satellites are influenced by the water vapour as they travel through the atmosphere. Estimates of IWV retrieved from ground-based GNSS observations may, then, constitute a source of information on the horizontal distribution and the time evolution of atmospheric humidity. At the Spanish Meteorological Agency (AEMET), a near-real-time map of IWV estimates retrieved from ground GNSS measurements in the Iberian Peninsula and West Mediterranean region is operationally built and presented to the forecaster. The maps are generated every 15 minutes following a one-dimensional variational assimilation scheme with the previous map as the background state. A case study is presented in order to illustrate some strengths and weaknesses of the product, to assess the potential benefit of using GNSS products in nowcasting and to define the steps to be done in order to make use of the full potential of the method.


2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (2) ◽  
pp. 28-47
Author(s):  
Vladislav Demyanov ◽  
Yury Yasyukevich

Extreme space weather events affect the stability and quality of the global navigation satellite systems (GNSS) of the second generation (GPS, GLONASS, Galileo, BeiDou/Compass) and GNSS augmentation. We review the theory about mechanisms behind the impact of geomagnetic storms, ionospheric irregularities, and powerful solar radio bursts on the GNSS user segment. We also summarize experimental observations of the space weather effects on GNSS performance in 2000–2020 to confirm the theory. We analyze the probability of failures in measurements of radio navigation parameters, decrease in positioning accuracy of GNSS users in dual-frequency mode and differential navigation mode (RTK), and in precise point positioning (PPP). Additionally, the review includes data on the occurrence of dangerous and extreme space weather phenomena and the possibility for predicting their im- pact on the GNSS user segment. The main conclusions of the review are as follows: 1) the positioning error in GNSS users may increase up to 10 times in various modes during extreme space weather events, as compared to the background level; 2) GNSS space and ground segments have been significantly modernized over the past decade, thus allowing a substantial in- crease in noise resistance of GNSS under powerful solar radio burst impacts; 3) there is a great possibility for increasing the tracking stability and accuracy of radio navigation parameters by introducing algorithms for adaptive lock loop tuning, taking into account the influence of space weather events; 4) at present, the urgent scientific and technical problem of modernizing GNSS by improving the scientific methodology, hardware and software for monitoring the system integrity and monitoring the availability of required navigation parameters, taking into account the impact of extreme space weather events, is still unresolved.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhilu Wu ◽  
Yanxiong Liu ◽  
Yang Liu ◽  
Jungang Wang ◽  
Xiufeng He ◽  
...  

Abstract. The calibration microwave radiometer (CMR) onboard Haiyang-2A satellite provides wet tropospheric delays correction for altimetry data, which can also contribute to the understanding of climate system and weather processes. Ground-based Global Navigation Satellite Systems (GNSS) provide precise PWV with high temporal resolution and could be used for calibration and monitoring of the CMR data, and shipborne GNSS provides accurate PWV over open oceans, which can be directly compared with uncontaminated CMR data. In this study, the HY-2A CMR water vapor product is validated using ground-based GNSS observations of 100 IGS stations along the coastline and 56-day shipborne GNSS observations over the Indian Ocean. The processing strategy for GNSS data and CMR data is discussed in detail. Special efforts were made to the quality control and reconstruction of contaminated CMR data. The validation result shows that HY-2A CMR PWV agrees well with ground-based GNSS PWV with 2.67 mm in RMS within 100 km. Geographically, the RMS is 1.12 mm in the polar region and 2.78 mm elsewhere. The PWV agreement between HY-2A and shipborne GNSS shows a significant correlation with the distance between the ship and the satellite footprint, with an RMS of 1.57 mm for the distance threshold of 100 km. Ground-based GNSS and shipborne GNSS agree with HY-2A CMR well with no obvious system error.


2015 ◽  
Vol 69 (4) ◽  
pp. 745-764 ◽  
Author(s):  
Vincenzo Capuano ◽  
Francesco Basile ◽  
Cyril Botteron ◽  
Pierre- André Farine

Numerous applications, not only Earth-based, but also space-based, have strengthened the interest of the international scientific community in using Global Navigation Satellite Systems (GNSSs) as navigation systems for space missions that require good accuracy and low operating costs. Indeed, already successfully used in Low Earth Orbits (LEOs), GNSS-based navigation systems can maximise the autonomy of a spacecraft while reducing the burden and the costs of ground operations. That is why GNSS is also attractive for applications in higher Earth orbits up to the Moon, such as in Moon Transfer Orbits (MTOs). However, the higher the altitude the receiver is above the GNSS constellations, the poorer and the weaker are the relative geometry and the received signal powers, respectively, leading to a significant navigation accuracy reduction. In order to improve the achievable GNSS performance in MTOs, we consider in this paper an adaptive orbital filter that fuses the GNSS observations with an orbital forces model. Simulation results show a navigation accuracy significantly higher than that attainable individually by a standalone GNSS receiver or by means of a pure orbital propagation.


Vehicles ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 3 (4) ◽  
pp. 721-735
Author(s):  
Mohammed Alharbi ◽  
Hassan A. Karimi

Sensor uncertainty significantly affects the performance of autonomous vehicles (AVs). Sensor uncertainty is predominantly linked to sensor specifications, and because sensor behaviors change dynamically, the machine learning approach is not suitable for learning them. This paper presents a novel learning approach for predicting sensor performance in challenging environments. The design of our approach incorporates both epistemic uncertainties, which are related to the lack of knowledge, and aleatoric uncertainties, which are related to the stochastic nature of the data acquisition process. The proposed approach combines a state-based model with a predictive model, where the former estimates the uncertainty in the current environment and the latter finds the correlations between the source of the uncertainty and its environmental characteristics. The proposed approach has been evaluated on real data to predict the uncertainties associated with global navigation satellite systems (GNSSs), showing that our approach can predict sensor uncertainty with high confidence.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jean-Marie Chevalier ◽  
Nicolas Bergeot ◽  
Pascale Defraigne ◽  
Christophe Marque ◽  
Elisa Pinat

<p>Intense solar radio bursts (SRBs) emitted at L-band frequencies are a source of radio frequency interference for Global Navigation Satellite Systems (GNSS) by inducing a noise increase in GNSS measurements, and hence degrading the carrier-to-noise density (C/N<sub>0</sub>). Such space weather events are critical for GNSS-based applications requiring real-time high-precision positioning.</p><p>Since 2015, the Royal Observatory of Belgium (ROB) monitors in near real-time the C/N<sub>0</sub> observations from the European Permanent Network (EPN). The monitoring allows to detect accurately the general fades of C/N<sub>0</sub> due to SRBs over Europe as from 1 dB-Hz. It provides in near real-time a quantification of the GNSS signal reception fade for the L1 C/A and L2 P(Y) signals and notifies civilian single and double frequency users with a 4-level index corresponding to the potential impact on their applications. This service is part of the real-time monitoring service of the PECASUS project of the International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO) which started end of 2019.</p><p>Results of this 5-year monitoring will be discussed, including the 3 SRBs of 2015 and 2017, together with the new developments toward a global index using the International GNSS Service (IGS) network. In addition, we will show how the SRB monitoring is sometimes interfered by GPS flex power campaigns on the satellites from blocks IIR-M and IIF, and how it is mitigated . The routine and transient GPS flex power campaigns will be presented in terms of C/N<sub>0</sub> variations for the EPN and IGS networks.</p>


Sensors ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 19 (24) ◽  
pp. 5536 ◽  
Author(s):  
Simone Rover ◽  
Alfonso Vitti

Snowpack is an important fresh water storage; the retrieval of snow water equivalents from satellite data permits to estimate potentially available water amounts which is an essential parameter in water management plans running in several application fields (e.g., basic needs, hydroelectric, agriculture, hazard and risk monitoring, climate change studies). The possibility to assess snowpack height from Global Navigation Satellite Systems (GNSS) observations by means of the GNSS reflectometry technique (GNSS-R) has been shown by several studies. However, in general, studies are being conducted using observations collected by continuously operating reference stations (CORS) built for geodetic purposes and equipped with geodetic-grade instruments. Moreover, CORS are located on sites selected according to criteria different from those more suitable for snowpack studies. In this work, beside an overview of key elements of GNSS reflectometry, single-frequency GNSS observations collected by u-blox M8T GNSS receivers and patch antennas from u-blox and Tallysman have been considered for the determination of antenna height from the snowpack surface on a selected test site. Results demonstrate the feasibility of GNSS-R even with non-geodetic-grade instruments, opening the way towards diffuse GNSS-R targeted applications.


2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (2) ◽  
pp. 30-52
Author(s):  
Vladislav Demyanov ◽  
Yury Yasyukevich

Extreme space weather events affect the stability and quality of the global navigation satellite systems (GNSS) of the second generation (GPS, GLONASS, Galileo, BeiDou/Compass) and GNSS augmentation. We review the theory about mechanisms behind the impact of geomagnetic storms, ionospheric irregularities, and powerful solar radio bursts on the GNSS user segment. We also summarize experimental observations of the space weather effects on GNSS performance in 2000–2020 to confirm the theory. We analyze the probability of failures in measurements of radio navigation parameters, decrease in positioning accuracy of GNSS users in dual-frequency mode and differential navigation mode (RTK), and in precise point positioning (PPP). Additionally, the review includes data on the occurrence of dangerous and extreme space weather phenomena and the possibility for predicting their im- pact on the GNSS user segment. The main conclusions of the review are as follows: 1) the positioning error in GNSS users may increase up to 10 times in various modes during extreme space weather events, as compared to the background level; 2) GNSS space and ground segments have been significantly modernized over the past decade, thus allowing a substantial in- crease in noise resistance of GNSS under powerful solar radio burst impacts; 3) there is a great possibility for increasing the tracking stability and accuracy of radio navigation parameters by introducing algorithms for adaptive lock loop tuning, taking into account the influence of space weather events; 4) at present, the urgent scientific and technical problem of modernizing GNSS by improving the scientific methodology, hardware and software for monitoring the system integrity and monitoring the availability of required navigation parameters, taking into account the impact of extreme space weather events, is still unresolved.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pierre Bosser ◽  
Olivier Bock ◽  
Cyrille Flamant ◽  
Sandrine Bony ◽  
Sabrina Speich

Abstract. In the framework of the EUREC4A (Elucidating the role of clouds-circulation coupling in climate) campaign that took place in January and February 2020, integrated water vapour (IWV) contents were retrieved over the open Tropical Atlantic Ocean using Global Navigation Satellite Systems (GNSS) data acquired from three research vessels (R/Vs): R/V Atalante, R/V Maria S. Merian, and R/V Meteor. This paper describes the GNSS processing method and compares the GNSS IWV retrievals with IWV estimates from the European Center for Medium-range Weather Forecast (ECMWF) fifth ReAnalysis (ERA5), from the Moderate-Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) infra-red products, and from terrestrial GNSS stations located along the tracks of the ships. The ship-borne GNSS IWVs retrievals from R/V Atalante and R/V Meteor compare well with ERA5, with small biases (−1.62 kg m−2 for R/V Atalante and +0.65 kg m−2 for R/V Meteor) and a root mean square (RMS) difference about 2.3 kg m−2. The results for the R/V Maria S. Merian are found to be of poorer quality, with RMS difference of 6 kg m−2 which are very likely due to the location of the GNSS antenna on this R/V prone to multipath effects. The comparisons with ground-based GNSS data confirm these results. The comparisons of all three R/V IWV retrievals with MODIS infra-red product show large RMS differences of 5–7 kg m−2, reflecting the enhanced uncertainties of this satellite product in the tropics. These ship-borne IWV retrievals are intended to be used for the description and understanding of meteorological phenomena that occurred during the campaign, east of Barbados, Guyana and northern Brazil. Both the raw GNSS measurements and the IWV estimates are available through the AERIS data center (https://en.aeris-data.fr/). The digital object identifiers (DOIs) for R/V Atalante IWV and raw datasets are https://doi.org/10.25326/71 (Bosser et al., 2020a) and https://doi.org/10.25326/74 (Bosser et al., 2020d), respectively. The DOIs for the R/V Maria S. Merian IWV and raw datasets are https://doi.org/10.25326/72 (Bosser et al., 2020b) and https://doi.org/10.25326/75 (Bosser et al., 2020e), respectively. The DOIs for the R/V Meteor IWV and raw datasets are https://doi.org/10.25326/73 (Bosser et al., 2020c) and https://doi.org/10.25326/76 (Bosser et al., 2020f), respectively.


2020 ◽  
Vol 12 ◽  
pp. 14-18
Author(s):  
Alina Khoptar ◽  
Stepan Savchuk

Currently, Global Navigation Satellite Systems (GNSS) are developing at a fairly rapid pace. Over the last years US GPS and Russian GLONASS were modernizing, whilst new systems like European Galileo and Chinese BDS are launched. The modernizations of the existing and the deployment of new GNSS made a whole range of new signals available to the users, and create a new concept  multi-GNSS. Ionospheric delay is one of the major error sources in multi-GNSS observations. At present, GNSS users usually eliminate the influence of ionospheric delay of the first order items by dual-frequency ionosphere-free combinations. But there is still residual ionospheric delay error of higher orders. In this paper we present four different processing scenarios to exclude the higher orders ionospheric delay effects on multi-GNSS Precise Point Positioning (PPP) performance, including: “only GPS” and “GPS+GLONASS+Galileo+BDS” – without/with eliminating ionospheric delay error of higher orders. Dataset collected from one GNSS station BOR1 (Borowiec, Poland) over almost two years provided by multi-GNSS experiment (MGEX) were used for dual-frequency PPP tests with one- and quadconstellation signals. For the second pair of scenarios were used a IONosphere map EXchange format (IONEX) that supports the exchange of 2- and 3-dimensional TEC maps given in a geographic grid. Numeric experiments show that, the results of different pairs of scenarios differ at the submillimeter level. The results also show that the multi-GNSS processing are better than those based on “only GPS”.


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