Flash Flood Susceptibility Modeling Using New Approaches of Hybrid and Ensemble Tree-Based Machine Learning Algorithms

Flash flooding is considered one of the most dynamic natural disasters for which measures need to be taken to minimize economic damages, adverse effects, and consequences by mapping flood susceptibility. Identifying areas prone to flash flooding is a crucial step in flash flood hazard management. In the present study, the Kalvan watershed in Markazi Province, Iran, was chosen to evaluate the flash flood susceptibility modeling. Thus, to detect flash flood-prone zones in this study area, five machine learning (ML) algorithms were tested. These included boosted regression tree (BRT), random forest (RF), parallel random forest (PRF), regularized random forest (RRF), and extremely randomized trees (ERT). Fifteen climatic and geo-environmental variables were used as inputs of the flash flood susceptibility models. The results showed that ERT was the most optimal model with an area under curve (AUC) value of 0.82. The rest of the models’ AUC values, i.e., RRF, PRF, RF, and BRT, were 0.80, 0.79, 0.78, and 0.75, respectively. In the ERT model, the areal coverage for very high to moderate flash flood susceptible area was 582.56 km2 (28.33%), and the rest of the portion was associated with very low to low susceptibility zones. It is concluded that topographical and hydrological parameters, e.g., altitude, slope, rainfall, and the river’s distance, were the most effective parameters. The results of this study will play a vital role in the planning and implementation of flood mitigation strategies in the region.

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A Novel GIS-Based Random Forest Machine Algorithm for the Spatial Prediction of Shallow Landslide Susceptibility

Forests ◽

10.3390/f11010118 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 11 (1) ◽

pp. 118 ◽

Cited By ~ 6

Author(s):

Viet-Hung Dang ◽

Nhat-Duc Hoang ◽

Le-Mai-Duyen Nguyen ◽

Dieu Tien Bui ◽

Pijush Samui

Keyword(s):

Machine Learning ◽

Random Forest ◽

Landslide Susceptibility ◽

Spatial Prediction ◽

Shallow Landslide ◽

Machine Learning Algorithms ◽

Training Data ◽

Support Vector ◽

Conditioning Factors ◽

Susceptibility Modeling

This study developed and verified a new hybrid machine learning model, named random forest machine (RFM), for the spatial prediction of shallow landslides. RFM is a hybridization of two state-of-the-art machine learning algorithms, random forest classifier (RFC) and support vector machine (SVM), in which RFC is used to generate subsets from training data and SVM is used to build decision functions for these subsets. To construct and verify the hybrid RFM model, a shallow landslide database of the Lang Son area (northern Vietnam) was prepared. The database consisted of 101 shallow landslide polygons and 14 conditioning factors. The relevance of these factors for shallow landslide susceptibility modeling was assessed using the ReliefF method. Experimental results pointed out that the proposed RFM can help to achieve the desired prediction with an F1 score of roughly 0.96. The performance of the RFM was better than those of benchmark approaches, including the SVM, RFC, and logistic regression. Thus, the newly developed RFM is a promising tool to help local authorities in shallow landslide hazard mitigations.

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Flash Flood Susceptibility Modeling and Magnitude Index Using Machine Learning and Geohydrological Models: A Modified Hybrid Approach

Remote Sensing ◽

10.3390/rs12172695 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 12 (17) ◽

pp. 2695

Author(s):

Samy Elmahdy ◽

Tarig Ali ◽

Mohamed Mohamed

Keyword(s):

Machine Learning ◽

United Arab Emirates ◽

Flash Flood ◽

Hybrid Approach ◽

Regression Tree ◽

Susceptibility Mapping ◽

Operating Characteristics ◽

Boosted Regression Tree ◽

Susceptibility Modeling ◽

Ensemble Machine Learning

In an arid region, flash floods (FF), as a response to climate changes, are the most hazardous causing massive destruction and losses to farms, human lives and infrastructure. A first step towards securing lives and infrastructure is the susceptibility mapping and predicting of occurrence sites of FF. Several studies have been applied using an ensemble machine learning model (EMLM) but measuring FF magnitude using a hybrid approach that integrates machine learning (MCL) and geohydrological models have not been widely applied. This study aims to modify a hybrid approach by testing three machine learning models. These are boosted regression tree (BRT), classification and regression trees (CART), and naive Bayes tree (NBT) for FF susceptibility mapping at the northern part of the United Arab Emirates (NUAE). This is followed by applying a group of accuracy metrics (precision, recall and F1 score) and the receiving operating characteristics (ROC) curve. The result demonstrated that the BRT has the highest performance for FF susceptibility mapping followed by the CART and NBT. After that, the produced FF map using the BRT was then modified by dividing it into seven basins, and a set of new FF conditioning parameters namely alluvial plain width, basin gradient and mean slope for each basin was calculated for measuring FF magnitude. The results showed that the mountainous and narrower basins (e.g., RAK, Masafi, Fujairah, and Rol Dadnah) have the highest probability occurrence of FF and FF magnitude, while the wider alluvial plains (e.g., Al Dhaid) have the lowest probability occurrence of FF and FF magnitude. The proposed approach is an effective approach to improve the susceptibility mapping of FF, landslides, land subsidence, and groundwater potentiality obtained using ensemble machine learning, which is used widely in the literature.

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Can deep learning algorithms outperform benchmark machine learning algorithms in flood susceptibility modeling?

Journal of Hydrology ◽

10.1016/j.jhydrol.2020.125615 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 592 ◽

pp. 125615 ◽

Cited By ~ 1

Author(s):

Binh Thai Pham ◽

Chinh Luu ◽

Tran Van Phong ◽

Phan Trong Trinh ◽

Ataollah Shirzadi ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Machine Learning ◽

Deep Learning ◽

Learning Algorithms ◽

Machine Learning Algorithms ◽

Flood Susceptibility ◽

Susceptibility Modeling

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Urban flood risk mapping using data-driven geospatial techniques for a flood-prone case area in Iran

Hydrology Research ◽

10.2166/nh.2019.090 ◽

2019 ◽

Vol 51 (1) ◽

pp. 127-142 ◽

Cited By ~ 5

Author(s):

Hamid Darabi ◽

Ali Torabi Haghighi ◽

Mohamad Ayob Mohamadi ◽

Mostafa Rashidpour ◽

Alan D. Ziegler ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Machine Learning ◽

Land Use ◽

Population Density ◽

Flood Risk ◽

Flood Hazard ◽

Learning Algorithms ◽

Machine Learning Algorithms ◽

Runoff Generation ◽

Boosted Regression Tree ◽

Building Density

Abstract In an effort to improve tools for effective flood risk assessment, we applied machine learning algorithms to predict flood-prone areas in Amol city (Iran), a site with recent floods (2017–2018). An ensemble approach was then implemented to predict hazard probabilities using the best machine learning algorithms (boosted regression tree, multivariate adaptive regression spline, generalized linear model, and generalized additive model) based on a receiver operator characteristic-area under the curve (ROC-AUC) assessment. The algorithms were all trained and tested on 92 randomly selected points, information from a flood inundation survey, and geospatial predictor variables (precipitation, land use, elevation, slope percent, curve number, distance to river, distance to channel, and depth to groundwater). The ensemble model had 0.925 and 0.892 accuracy for training and testing data, respectively. We then created a vulnerability map from data on building density, building age, population density, and socio-economic conditions and assessed risk as a product of hazard and vulnerability. The results indicated that distance to channel, land use, and runoff generation were the most important factors associated with flood hazard, while population density and building density were the most important factors determining vulnerability. Areas of highest and lowest flood risks were identified, leading to recommendations on where to implement flood risk reduction measures to guide flood governance in Amol city.

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Development of Prediction Models Using Machine Learning Algorithms for Girls with Suspected Central Precocious Puberty: Retrospective Study (Preprint)

10.2196/preprints.11728 ◽

2018 ◽

Author(s):

Liyan Pan ◽

Guangjian Liu ◽

Xiaojian Mao ◽

Huixian Li ◽

Jiexin Zhang ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Machine Learning ◽

Retrospective Study ◽

Random Forest ◽

Precocious Puberty ◽

Prediction Models ◽

Central Precocious Puberty ◽

Machine Learning Algorithms ◽

Stimulation Test ◽

Gnrh Analogue ◽

Prediction Probability

BACKGROUND Central precocious puberty (CPP) in girls seriously affects their physical and mental development in childhood. The method of diagnosis—gonadotropin-releasing hormone (GnRH)–stimulation test or GnRH analogue (GnRHa)–stimulation test—is expensive and makes patients uncomfortable due to the need for repeated blood sampling. OBJECTIVE We aimed to combine multiple CPP–related features and construct machine learning models to predict response to the GnRHa-stimulation test. METHODS In this retrospective study, we analyzed clinical and laboratory data of 1757 girls who underwent a GnRHa test in order to develop XGBoost and random forest classifiers for prediction of response to the GnRHa test. The local interpretable model-agnostic explanations (LIME) algorithm was used with the black-box classifiers to increase their interpretability. We measured sensitivity, specificity, and area under receiver operating characteristic (AUC) of the models. RESULTS Both the XGBoost and random forest models achieved good performance in distinguishing between positive and negative responses, with the AUC ranging from 0.88 to 0.90, sensitivity ranging from 77.91% to 77.94%, and specificity ranging from 84.32% to 87.66%. Basal serum luteinizing hormone, follicle-stimulating hormone, and insulin-like growth factor-I levels were found to be the three most important factors. In the interpretable models of LIME, the abovementioned variables made high contributions to the prediction probability. CONCLUSIONS The prediction models we developed can help diagnose CPP and may be used as a prescreening tool before the GnRHa-stimulation test.

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Combination of machine learning model (LR-FR) for flash flood susceptibility assessment in Dawuan Sub watershed Mojokerto Regency, East Java

IOP Conference Series Earth and Environmental Science ◽

10.1088/1755-1315/739/1/012017 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 739 (1) ◽

pp. 012017

Author(s):

L Y Irawan ◽

Sumarmi ◽

D Panoto ◽

Nabila ◽

I H Pradana ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Machine Learning ◽

Flash Flood ◽

Learning Model ◽

Susceptibility Assessment ◽

Flood Susceptibility ◽

Machine Learning Model

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Exploratory Analysis of Driving Force of Wildfires in Australia: An Application of Machine Learning within Google Earth Engine

Remote Sensing ◽

10.3390/rs13010010 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 13 (1) ◽

pp. 10

Author(s):

Andrea Sulova ◽

Jamal Jokar Arsanjani

Keyword(s):

Climate Change ◽

Machine Learning ◽

Random Forest ◽

Google Earth ◽

Summer Season ◽

Driving Factors ◽

Machine Learning Algorithms ◽

Classification And Regression Tree ◽

Training Dataset ◽

Google Earth Engine

Recent studies have suggested that due to climate change, the number of wildfires across the globe have been increasing and continue to grow even more. The recent massive wildfires, which hit Australia during the 2019–2020 summer season, raised questions to what extent the risk of wildfires can be linked to various climate, environmental, topographical, and social factors and how to predict fire occurrences to take preventive measures. Hence, the main objective of this study was to develop an automatized and cloud-based workflow for generating a training dataset of fire events at a continental level using freely available remote sensing data with a reasonable computational expense for injecting into machine learning models. As a result, a data-driven model was set up in Google Earth Engine platform, which is publicly accessible and open for further adjustments. The training dataset was applied to different machine learning algorithms, i.e., Random Forest, Naïve Bayes, and Classification and Regression Tree. The findings show that Random Forest outperformed other algorithms and hence it was used further to explore the driving factors using variable importance analysis. The study indicates the probability of fire occurrences across Australia as well as identifies the potential driving factors of Australian wildfires for the 2019–2020 summer season. The methodical approach and achieved results and drawn conclusions can be of great importance to policymakers, environmentalists, and climate change researchers, among others.

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A novel framework for designing a multi-DoF prosthetic wrist control using machine learning

Scientific Reports ◽

10.1038/s41598-021-94449-1 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 11 (1) ◽

Author(s):

Chinmay P. Swami ◽

Nicholas Lenhard ◽

Jiyeon Kang

Keyword(s):

Machine Learning ◽

Random Forest ◽

Upper Limb ◽

Daily Living ◽

Machine Learning Algorithms ◽

Data Sets ◽

Random Forest Regression ◽

Prosthetic Devices ◽

Upper Limb Function ◽

The Neural Network

AbstractProsthetic arms can significantly increase the upper limb function of individuals with upper limb loss, however despite the development of various multi-DoF prosthetic arms the rate of prosthesis abandonment is still high. One of the major challenges is to design a multi-DoF controller that has high precision, robustness, and intuitiveness for daily use. The present study demonstrates a novel framework for developing a controller leveraging machine learning algorithms and movement synergies to implement natural control of a 2-DoF prosthetic wrist for activities of daily living (ADL). The data was collected during ADL tasks of ten individuals with a wrist brace emulating the absence of wrist function. Using this data, the neural network classifies the movement and then random forest regression computes the desired velocity of the prosthetic wrist. The models were trained/tested with ADLs where their robustness was tested using cross-validation and holdout data sets. The proposed framework demonstrated high accuracy (F-1 score of 99% for the classifier and Pearson’s correlation of 0.98 for the regression). Additionally, the interpretable nature of random forest regression was used to verify the targeted movement synergies. The present work provides a novel and effective framework to develop an intuitive control for multi-DoF prosthetic devices.

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PredNTS: Improved and Robust Prediction of Nitrotyrosine Sites by Integrating Multiple Sequence Features

International Journal of Molecular Sciences ◽

10.3390/ijms22052704 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 22 (5) ◽

pp. 2704

Author(s):

Andi Nur Nilamyani ◽

Firda Nurul Auliah ◽

Mohammad Ali Moni ◽

Watshara Shoombuatong ◽

Md Mehedi Hasan ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Machine Learning ◽

Random Forest ◽

Web Application ◽

Computational Prediction ◽

Vital Role ◽

Machine Learning Algorithms ◽

Recursive Feature Elimination ◽

Post Translational Modification ◽

Multiple Sequence ◽

Sequence Features

Nitrotyrosine, which is generated by numerous reactive nitrogen species, is a type of protein post-translational modification. Identification of site-specific nitration modification on tyrosine is a prerequisite to understanding the molecular function of nitrated proteins. Thanks to the progress of machine learning, computational prediction can play a vital role before the biological experimentation. Herein, we developed a computational predictor PredNTS by integrating multiple sequence features including K-mer, composition of k-spaced amino acid pairs (CKSAAP), AAindex, and binary encoding schemes. The important features were selected by the recursive feature elimination approach using a random forest classifier. Finally, we linearly combined the successive random forest (RF) probability scores generated by the different, single encoding-employing RF models. The resultant PredNTS predictor achieved an area under a curve (AUC) of 0.910 using five-fold cross validation. It outperformed the existing predictors on a comprehensive and independent dataset. Furthermore, we investigated several machine learning algorithms to demonstrate the superiority of the employed RF algorithm. The PredNTS is a useful computational resource for the prediction of nitrotyrosine sites. The web-application with the curated datasets of the PredNTS is publicly available.

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Feature Selection and Comparison of Machine Learning Algorithms in Classification of Grazing and Rumination Behaviour in Sheep

Sensors ◽

10.3390/s18103532 ◽

2018 ◽

Vol 18 (10) ◽

pp. 3532 ◽

Cited By ~ 16

Author(s):

Nicola Mansbridge ◽

Jurgen Mitsch ◽

Nicola Bollard ◽

Keith Ellis ◽

Giuliana Miguel-Pacheco ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Machine Learning ◽

Random Forest ◽

Time Budget ◽

Learning Algorithms ◽

Eating Behaviour ◽

Machine Learning Algorithms ◽

Support Vector ◽

Optimum Number ◽

Eating Behaviours ◽

Adaptive Boosting

Grazing and ruminating are the most important behaviours for ruminants, as they spend most of their daily time budget performing these. Continuous surveillance of eating behaviour is an important means for monitoring ruminant health, productivity and welfare. However, surveillance performed by human operators is prone to human variance, time-consuming and costly, especially on animals kept at pasture or free-ranging. The use of sensors to automatically acquire data, and software to classify and identify behaviours, offers significant potential in addressing such issues. In this work, data collected from sheep by means of an accelerometer/gyroscope sensor attached to the ear and collar, sampled at 16 Hz, were used to develop classifiers for grazing and ruminating behaviour using various machine learning algorithms: random forest (RF), support vector machine (SVM), k nearest neighbour (kNN) and adaptive boosting (Adaboost). Multiple features extracted from the signals were ranked on their importance for classification. Several performance indicators were considered when comparing classifiers as a function of algorithm used, sensor localisation and number of used features. Random forest yielded the highest overall accuracies: 92% for collar and 91% for ear. Gyroscope-based features were shown to have the greatest relative importance for eating behaviours. The optimum number of feature characteristics to be incorporated into the model was 39, from both ear and collar data. The findings suggest that one can successfully classify eating behaviours in sheep with very high accuracy; this could be used to develop a device for automatic monitoring of feed intake in the sheep sector to monitor health and welfare.

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