scholarly journals A Machine Learning Method for Predicting Vegetation Indices in China

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (6) ◽  
pp. 1147
Author(s):  
Xiangqian Li ◽  
Wenping Yuan ◽  
Wenjie Dong
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Growing Season ◽  
Crop Growth ◽  
Spatiotemporal Distribution ◽  
Coefficient Of Determination ◽  
Gradient Boosting ◽  
Severe Drought ◽  
Vegetation Growth ◽  
Extreme Gradient Boosting ◽  
Boosting Method

To forecast the terrestrial carbon cycle and monitor food security, vegetation growth must be accurately predicted; however, current process-based ecosystem and crop-growth models are limited in their effectiveness. This study developed a machine learning model using the extreme gradient boosting method to predict vegetation growth throughout the growing season in China from 2001 to 2018. The model used satellite-derived vegetation data for the first month of each growing season, CO2 concentration, and several meteorological factors as data sources for the explanatory variables. Results showed that the model could reproduce the spatiotemporal distribution of vegetation growth as represented by the satellite-derived normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI). The predictive error for the growing season NDVI was less than 5% for more than 98% of vegetated areas in China; the model represented seasonal variations in NDVI well. The coefficient of determination (R2) between the monthly observed and predicted NDVI was 0.83, and more than 69% of vegetated areas had an R2 > 0.8. The effectiveness of the model was examined for a severe drought year (2009), and results showed that the model could reproduce the spatiotemporal distribution of NDVI even under extreme conditions. This model provides an alternative method for predicting vegetation growth and has great potential for monitoring vegetation dynamics and crop growth.

scholarly journals Modeling of nitrogen solubility in normal alkanes using machine learning methods compared with cubic and PC-SAFT equations of state

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Seyed Ali Madani ◽  
Mohammad-Reza Mohammadi ◽  
Saeid Atashrouz ◽  
Ali Abedi ◽  
Abdolhossein Hemmati-Sarapardeh ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Molecular Weight ◽  
Oil Recovery ◽  
Equations Of State ◽  
Coefficient Of Determination ◽  
Gradient Boosting ◽  
Operating Pressure ◽  
Normal Alkanes ◽  
Light Gradient ◽  
Extreme Gradient Boosting

AbstractAccurate prediction of the solubility of gases in hydrocarbons is a crucial factor in designing enhanced oil recovery (EOR) operations by gas injection as well as separation, and chemical reaction processes in a petroleum refinery. In this work, nitrogen (N2) solubility in normal alkanes as the major constituents of crude oil was modeled using five representative machine learning (ML) models namely gradient boosting with categorical features support (CatBoost), random forest, light gradient boosting machine (LightGBM), k-nearest neighbors (k-NN), and extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost). A large solubility databank containing 1982 data points was utilized to establish the models for predicting N2 solubility in normal alkanes as a function of pressure, temperature, and molecular weight of normal alkanes over broad ranges of operating pressure (0.0212–69.12 MPa) and temperature (91–703 K). The molecular weight range of normal alkanes was from 16 to 507 g/mol. Also, five equations of state (EOSs) including Redlich–Kwong (RK), Soave–Redlich–Kwong (SRK), Zudkevitch–Joffe (ZJ), Peng–Robinson (PR), and perturbed-chain statistical associating fluid theory (PC-SAFT) were used comparatively with the ML models to estimate N2 solubility in normal alkanes. Results revealed that the CatBoost model is the most precise model in this work with a root mean square error of 0.0147 and coefficient of determination of 0.9943. ZJ EOS also provided the best estimates for the N2 solubility in normal alkanes among the EOSs. Lastly, the results of relevancy factor analysis indicated that pressure has the greatest influence on N2 solubility in normal alkanes and the N2 solubility increases with increasing the molecular weight of normal alkanes.

scholarly journals Random forest and extreme gradient boosting algorithms for streamflow modeling using vessel features, and tree-rings

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hossein Sahour ◽  
Vahid Gholami ◽  
Javad Torkman ◽  
Mehdi Vazifedan ◽  
Sirwe Saeedi
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Random Forest ◽  
Tree Rings ◽  
Test Site ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Coefficient Of Determination ◽  
Gradient Boosting ◽  
Growing Seasons ◽  
Extreme Gradient Boosting ◽  
Streamflow Modeling

Abstract Monitoring temporal variation of streamflow is necessary for many water resources management plans, yet, such practices are constrained by the absence or paucity of data in many rivers around the world. Using a permanent river in the north of Iran as a test site, a machine learning framework was proposed to model the streamflow data in the three periods of growing seasons based on tree-rings and vessel features of the Zelkova carpinifolia species. First, full-disc samples were taken from 30 trees near the river, and the samples went through preprocessing, cross-dating, standardization, and time series analysis. Two machine learning algorithms, namely random forest (RF) and extreme gradient boosting (XGB), were used to model the relationships between dendrochronology variables (tree-rings and vessel features in the three periods of growing seasons) and the corresponding streamflow rates. The performance of each model was evaluated using statistical coefficients (coefficient of determination (R-squared), Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE), and root-mean-square error (NRMSE)). Findings demonstrate that consideration should be given to the XGB model in streamflow modeling given its apparent enhanced performance (R-squared: 0.87; NSE: 0.81; and NRMSE: 0.43) over the RF model (R-squared: 0.82; NSE: 0.71; and NRMSE: 0.52). Further, the results showed that the models perform better in modeling the normal and low flows compared to extremely high flows. Finally, the tested models were used to reconstruct the temporal streamflow during the past decades (1970–1981).

scholarly journals The prediction of molecule atomization energy using neural network and extreme gradient boosting

2021 ◽  
Vol 2072 (1) ◽  
pp. 012005
Author(s):  
M Sumanto ◽  
M A Martoprawiro ◽  
A L Ivansyah
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Atomization Energy ◽  
Gradient Boosting ◽  
Intelligence System ◽  
The Neural Network ◽  
Extreme Gradient Boosting ◽  
Boosting Method ◽  
The Right ◽  
Parameter Values

Abstract Machine Learning is an artificial intelligence system, where the system has the ability to learn automatically from experience without being explicitly programmed. The learning process from Machine Learning starts from observing the data and then looking at the pattern of the data. The main purpose of this process is to make computers learn automatically. In this study, we will use Machine Learning to predict molecular atomization energy. From various methods in Machine Learning, we use two methods namely Neural Network and Extreme Gradient Boosting. Both methods have several parameters that must be adjusted so that the predicted value of the atomization energy of the molecule has the lowest possible error. We are trying to find the right parameter values for both methods. For the neural network method, it is quite difficult to find the right parameter value because it takes a long time to train the model of the neural network to find out whether the model is good or bad, while for the Extreme Gradient Boosting method the time needed to train the model is shorter, so it is quite easy to find the right parameter values for the model. This study also looked at the effects of the modification on the dataset with the output transformation of normalization and standardization then removing molecules containing Br atoms and changing the entry in the Coulomb matrix to 0 if the distance between atoms in the molecule exceeds 2 angstrom.

scholarly journals Yield Prediction By Machine Learning From Uas-Based Multi-Sensor Data Fusion In Soybean

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Monica Herrero-Huerta ◽  
Pablo Rodriguez-Gonzalvez ◽  
Katy M. Rainey
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Grain Yield ◽  
Growing Season ◽  
Sensor Data ◽  
Gradient Boosting ◽  
Yield Prediction ◽  
Proactive Management ◽  
Combining Data ◽  
Extreme Gradient Boosting ◽  
System Solution

Abstract Background Nowadays, automated phenotyping of plants is essential for precise and cost-effective improvement in the efficiency of crop genetics. In recent years, machine learning (ML) techniques have shown great success in classification and modelling of crop parameters. In this research, we consider the capability of ML to perform grain yield prediction in soybeans by combining data coming from different optical sensors via RF (Random Forest) and XGBoost (eXtreme Gradient Boosting). During the 2018 growing season, a soybean experiment was performed at the Agronomy Center for Research and Education (ACRE) in West Lafayette (Indiana, USA). Images were acquired by the Parrot Sequoia Multispectral Sensor and the S.O.D.A. compact digital camera on board senseFly eBee UAS (Unnamed Aircraft System) solution at different dates. Next, a standard photogrammetric pipeline is carried out by SfM (Structure from Motion). Multispectral imagery serves to analyse the spectral response of the soybean end-member in 2D. In addition, RGB images are used to reconstruct the study area in 3D, evaluating the physiological growth dynamics per plot via height variations and crop volume estimations. As ground truth, destructive grain yield measurements were taken at the end of the growing season. Results Algorithms and feature extraction techniques were combined to develop a regression model to predict final yield from imagery, achieving an accuracy of over 90.72% by RF and 91.36% by XGBoost. Conclusions Results provide practical information for the selection of phenotypes for breeding coming from UAS data as a decision support tool, affording constant operational improvement and proactive management for high spatial precision.

scholarly journals Estimating Mangrove Above-Ground Biomass Using Extreme Gradient Boosting Decision Trees Algorithm with Fused Sentinel-2 and ALOS-2 PALSAR-2 Data in Can Gio Biosphere Reserve, Vietnam

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (5) ◽  
pp. 777 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tien Dat Pham ◽  
Nga Nhu Le ◽  
Nam Thang Ha ◽  
Luong Viet Nguyen ◽  
Junshi Xia ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Decision Trees ◽  
Biosphere Reserve ◽  
Coefficient Of Determination ◽  
Gradient Boosting ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Above Ground Biomass ◽  
Ground Biomass ◽  
Extreme Gradient Boosting ◽  
Sentinel 2

This study investigates the effectiveness of gradient boosting decision trees techniques in estimating mangrove above-ground biomass (AGB) at the Can Gio biosphere reserve (Vietnam). For this purpose, we employed a novel gradient-boosting regression technique called the extreme gradient boosting regression (XGBR) algorithm implemented and verified a mangrove AGB model using data from a field survey of 121 sampling plots conducted during the dry season. The dataset fuses the data of the Sentinel-2 multispectral instrument (MSI) and the dual polarimetric (HH, HV) data of ALOS-2 PALSAR-2. The performance standards of the proposed model (root-mean-square error (RMSE) and coefficient of determination (R2)) were compared with those of other machine learning techniques, namely gradient boosting regression (GBR), support vector regression (SVR), Gaussian process regression (GPR), and random forests regression (RFR). The XGBR model obtained a promising result with R2 = 0.805, RMSE = 28.13 Mg ha−1, and the model yielded the highest predictive performance among the five machine learning models. In the XGBR model, the estimated mangrove AGB ranged from 11 to 293 Mg ha−1 (average = 106.93 Mg ha−1). This work demonstrates that XGBR with the combined Sentinel-2 and ALOS-2 PALSAR-2 data can accurately estimate the mangrove AGB in the Can Gio biosphere reserve. The general applicability of the XGBR model combined with multiple sourced optical and SAR data should be further tested and compared in a large-scale study of forest AGBs in different geographical and climatic ecosystems.

Predicting Undesired Treatment Outcome in Mental Healthcare: Machine Learning Study (Preprint)

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kasper Van Mens ◽  
Joran Lokkerbol ◽  
Richard Janssen ◽  
Robert de Lange ◽  
Bea Tiemens
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Treatment Outcome ◽  
Mental Health Treatment ◽  
Mental Healthcare ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Gradient Boosting ◽  
Trade Off ◽  
Trade Offs ◽  
Outcome Monitoring ◽  
Extreme Gradient Boosting

BACKGROUND It remains a challenge to predict which treatment will work for which patient in mental healthcare. OBJECTIVE In this study we compare machine algorithms to predict during treatment which patients will not benefit from brief mental health treatment and present trade-offs that must be considered before an algorithm can be used in clinical practice. METHODS Using an anonymized dataset containing routine outcome monitoring data from a mental healthcare organization in the Netherlands (n = 2,655), we applied three machine learning algorithms to predict treatment outcome. The algorithms were internally validated with cross-validation on a training sample (n = 1,860) and externally validated on an unseen test sample (n = 795). RESULTS The performance of the three algorithms did not significantly differ on the test set. With a default classification cut-off at 0.5 predicted probability, the extreme gradient boosting algorithm showed the highest positive predictive value (ppv) of 0.71(0.61 – 0.77) with a sensitivity of 0.35 (0.29 – 0.41) and area under the curve of 0.78. A trade-off can be made between ppv and sensitivity by choosing different cut-off probabilities. With a cut-off at 0.63, the ppv increased to 0.87 and the sensitivity dropped to 0.17. With a cut-off of at 0.38, the ppv decreased to 0.61 and the sensitivity increased to 0.57. CONCLUSIONS Machine learning can be used to predict treatment outcomes based on routine monitoring data.This allows practitioners to choose their own trade-off between being selective and more certain versus inclusive and less certain.

scholarly journals Evaluation of Three Different Machine Learning Methods for Object-Based Artificial Terrace Mapping—A Case Study of the Loess Plateau, China

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (5) ◽  
pp. 1021
Author(s):  
Hu Ding ◽  
Jiaming Na ◽  
Shangjing Jiang ◽  
Jie Zhu ◽  
Kai Liu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Random Forest ◽  
Loess Plateau ◽  
Water Conservation ◽  
Nearest Neighbor ◽  
Gradient Boosting ◽  
K Nearest Neighbor ◽  
The Loess Plateau ◽  
Object Based ◽  
Extreme Gradient Boosting

Artificial terraces are of great importance for agricultural production and soil and water conservation. Automatic high-accuracy mapping of artificial terraces is the basis of monitoring and related studies. Previous research achieved artificial terrace mapping based on high-resolution digital elevation models (DEMs) or imagery. As a result of the importance of the contextual information for terrace mapping, object-based image analysis (OBIA) combined with machine learning (ML) technologies are widely used. However, the selection of an appropriate classifier is of great importance for the terrace mapping task. In this study, the performance of an integrated framework using OBIA and ML for terrace mapping was tested. A catchment, Zhifanggou, in the Loess Plateau, China, was used as the study area. First, optimized image segmentation was conducted. Then, features from the DEMs and imagery were extracted, and the correlations between the features were analyzed and ranked for classification. Finally, three different commonly-used ML classifiers, namely, extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), random forest (RF), and k-nearest neighbor (KNN), were used for terrace mapping. The comparison with the ground truth, as delineated by field survey, indicated that random forest performed best, with a 95.60% overall accuracy (followed by 94.16% and 92.33% for XGBoost and KNN, respectively). The influence of class imbalance and feature selection is discussed. This work provides a credible framework for mapping artificial terraces.

scholarly journals Machine learning models to identify low adherence to influenza vaccination among Korean adults with cardiovascular disease

2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Moojung Kim ◽  
Young Jae Kim ◽  
Sung Jin Park ◽  
Kwang Gi Kim ◽  
Pyung Chun Oh ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Cardiovascular Disease ◽  
Influenza Vaccination ◽  
Machine Learning Techniques ◽  
Gradient Boosting ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Age Group ◽  
Learning Models ◽  
Extreme Gradient Boosting ◽  
Machine Learning Models

Abstract Background Annual influenza vaccination is an important public health measure to prevent influenza infections and is strongly recommended for cardiovascular disease (CVD) patients, especially in the current coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic. The aim of this study is to develop a machine learning model to identify Korean adult CVD patients with low adherence to influenza vaccination Methods Adults with CVD (n = 815) from a nationally representative dataset of the Fifth Korea National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (KNHANES V) were analyzed. Among these adults, 500 (61.4%) had answered "yes" to whether they had received seasonal influenza vaccinations in the past 12 months. The classification process was performed using the logistic regression (LR), random forest (RF), support vector machine (SVM), and extreme gradient boosting (XGB) machine learning techniques. Because the Ministry of Health and Welfare in Korea offers free influenza immunization for the elderly, separate models were developed for the < 65 and ≥ 65 age groups. Results The accuracy of machine learning models using 16 variables as predictors of low influenza vaccination adherence was compared; for the ≥ 65 age group, XGB (84.7%) and RF (84.7%) have the best accuracies, followed by LR (82.7%) and SVM (77.6%). For the < 65 age group, SVM has the best accuracy (68.4%), followed by RF (64.9%), LR (63.2%), and XGB (61.4%). Conclusions The machine leaning models show comparable performance in classifying adult CVD patients with low adherence to influenza vaccination.

scholarly journals Prediction of Healing Performance of Autogenous Healing Concrete Using Machine Learning

Materials ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (15) ◽  
pp. 4068
Author(s):  
Xu Huang ◽  
Mirna Wasouf ◽  
Jessada Sresakoolchai ◽  
Sakdirat Kaewunruen
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Search Algorithm ◽  
Weather Conditions ◽  
Prediction Performance ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Coefficient Of Determination ◽  
Gradient Boosting ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Self Healing ◽  
Artificial Neural Network Ann

Cracks typically develop in concrete due to shrinkage, loading actions, and weather conditions; and may occur anytime in its life span. Autogenous healing concrete is a type of self-healing concrete that can automatically heal cracks based on physical or chemical reactions in concrete matrix. It is imperative to investigate the healing performance that autogenous healing concrete possesses, to assess the extent of the cracking and to predict the extent of healing. In the research of self-healing concrete, testing the healing performance of concrete in a laboratory is costly, and a mass of instances may be needed to explore reliable concrete design. This study is thus the world’s first to establish six types of machine learning algorithms, which are capable of predicting the healing performance (HP) of self-healing concrete. These algorithms involve an artificial neural network (ANN), a k-nearest neighbours (kNN), a gradient boosting regression (GBR), a decision tree regression (DTR), a support vector regression (SVR) and a random forest (RF). Parameters of these algorithms are tuned utilising grid search algorithm (GSA) and genetic algorithm (GA). The prediction performance indicated by coefficient of determination (R2) and root mean square error (RMSE) measures of these algorithms are evaluated on the basis of 1417 data sets from the open literature. The results show that GSA-GBR performs higher prediction performance (R2GSA-GBR = 0.958) and stronger robustness (RMSEGSA-GBR = 0.202) than the other five types of algorithms employed to predict the healing performance of autogenous healing concrete. Therefore, reliable prediction accuracy of the healing performance and efficient assistance on the design of autogenous healing concrete can be achieved.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document