scholarly journals Improved Accuracy of Phenological Detection in Rice Breeding by Using Ensemble Models of Machine Learning Based on UAV-RGB Imagery

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (14) ◽  
pp. 2678
Author(s):  
Haixiao Ge ◽  
Fei Ma ◽  
Zhenwang Li ◽  
Zhengzheng Tan ◽  
Changwen Du
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Vegetation Index ◽  
Color Space ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Majority Voting ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Rice Breeding ◽  
Phenological Stages ◽  
Ensemble Models

Accurate and timely detection of phenology at plot scale in rice breeding trails is crucial for understanding the heterogeneity of varieties and guiding field management. Traditionally, remote sensing studies of phenology detection have heavily relied on the time-series vegetation index (VI) data. However, the methodology based on time-series VI data was often limited by the temporal resolution. In this study, three types of ensemble models including hard voting (majority voting), soft voting (weighted majority voting) and model stacking, were proposed to identify the principal phenological stages of rice based on unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) RGB imagery. These ensemble models combined RGB-VIs, color space (e.g., RGB and HSV) and textures derived from UAV-RGB imagery, and five machine learning algorithms (random forest; k-nearest neighbors; Gaussian naïve Bayes; support vector machine and logistic regression) as base models to estimate phenological stages in rice breeding. The phenological estimation models were trained on the dataset of late-maturity cultivars and tested independently on the dataset of early-medium-maturity cultivars. The results indicated that all ensemble models outperform individual machine learning models in all datasets. The soft voting strategy provided the best performance for identifying phenology with the overall accuracy of 90% and 93%, and the mean F1-scores of 0.79 and 0.81, respectively, in calibration and validation datasets, which meant that the overall accuracy and mean F1-scores improved by 5% and 7%, respectively, in comparison with those of the best individual model (GNB), tested in this study. Therefore, the ensemble models demonstrated great potential in improving the accuracy of phenology detection in rice breeding.

scholarly journals Implementation of IoT Framework with Data Analysis Using Deep Learning Methods for Occupancy Prediction in a Building

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (3) ◽  
pp. 67
Author(s):  
Eric Hitimana ◽  
Gaurav Bajpai ◽  
Richard Musabe ◽  
Louis Sibomana ◽  
Jayavel Kayalvizhi
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Deep Learning ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Multivariate Time Series ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Human Beings ◽  
Feed Forward Network

Many countries worldwide face challenges in controlling building incidence prevention measures for fire disasters. The most critical issues are the localization, identification, detection of the room occupant. Internet of Things (IoT) along with machine learning proved the increase of the smartness of the building by providing real-time data acquisition using sensors and actuators for prediction mechanisms. This paper proposes the implementation of an IoT framework to capture indoor environmental parameters for occupancy multivariate time-series data. The application of the Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) Deep Learning algorithm is used to infer the knowledge of the presence of human beings. An experiment is conducted in an office room using multivariate time-series as predictors in the regression forecasting problem. The results obtained demonstrate that with the developed system it is possible to obtain, process, and store environmental information. The information collected was applied to the LSTM algorithm and compared with other machine learning algorithms. The compared algorithms are Support Vector Machine, Naïve Bayes Network, and Multilayer Perceptron Feed-Forward Network. The outcomes based on the parametric calibrations demonstrate that LSTM performs better in the context of the proposed application.

Prediction and Analysis of Gold Prices using Ensemble Machine Learning Algorithms

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (VI) ◽  
pp. 4367-4374
Author(s):  
Gudipally Chandrashakar
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Gold Price ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Gradient Boosting ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Average Value ◽  
Ensemble Machine Learning

In this article, we used historical time series data up to the current day gold price. In this study of predicting gold price, we consider few correlating factors like silver price, copper price, standard, and poor’s 500 value, dollar-rupee exchange rate, Dow Jones Industrial Average Value. Considering the prices of every correlating factor and gold price data where dates ranging from 2008 January to 2021 February. Few algorithms of machine learning are used to analyze the time-series data are Random Forest Regression, Support Vector Regressor, Linear Regressor, ExtraTrees Regressor and Gradient boosting Regression. While seeing the results the Extra Tree Regressor algorithm gives the predicted value of gold prices more accurately.

scholarly journals Spatiotemporal Approaches for Quality Control and Error Correction of Atmospheric Data through Machine Learning

2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hye-Jin Kim ◽  
Sung Min Park ◽  
Byung Jin Choi ◽  
Seung-Hyun Moon ◽  
Yong-Hyuk Kim
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Quality Control ◽  
Mean Squared Error ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Weather Element ◽  
Applied Machine Learning ◽  
Squared Error ◽  
Atmospheric Data

We propose three quality control (QC) techniques using machine learning that depend on the type of input data used for training. These include QC based on time series of a single weather element, QC based on time series in conjunction with other weather elements, and QC using spatiotemporal characteristics. We performed machine learning-based QC on each weather element of atmospheric data, such as temperature, acquired from seven types of IoT sensors and applied machine learning algorithms, such as support vector regression, on data with errors to make meaningful estimates from them. By using the root mean squared error (RMSE), we evaluated the performance of the proposed techniques. As a result, the QC done in conjunction with other weather elements had 0.14% lower RMSE on average than QC conducted with only a single weather element. In the case of QC with spatiotemporal characteristic considerations, the QC done via training with AWS data showed performance with 17% lower RMSE than QC done with only raw data.

scholarly journals A COMPARISON OF MACHINE-LEARNING REGRESSION ALGORITHMS FOR THE ESTIMATION OF LAI USING LANDSAT - 8 SATELLITE DATA

2019 ◽  
Vol XLII-4/W16 ◽  
pp. 679-683
Author(s):  
V. P. Yadav ◽  
R. Prasad ◽  
R. Bala ◽  
A. K. Vishwakarma ◽  
S. A. Yadav ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Satellite Data ◽  
Vegetation Index ◽  
Learning Algorithms ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Accurate Estimation ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Landsat 8 ◽  
Area Index ◽  
Global Circulation Models

Abstract. The leaf area index (LAI) is one of key variable of crops which plays important role in agriculture, ecology and climate change for global circulation models to compute energy and water fluxes. In the recent research era, the machine-learning algorithms have provided accurate computational approaches for the estimation of crops biophysical parameters using remotely sensed data. The three machine-learning algorithms, random forest regression (RFR), support vector regression (SVR) and artificial neural network regression (ANNR) were used to estimate the LAI for crops in the present study. The three different dates of Landsat-8 satellite images were used during January 2017 – March 2017 at different crops growth conditions in Varanasi district, India. The sampling regions were fully covered by major Rabi season crops like wheat, barley and mustard etc. In total pooled data, 60% samples were taken for the training of the algorithms and rest 40% samples were taken as testing and validation of the machinelearning regressions algorithms. The highest sensitivity of normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) with LAI was found using RFR algorithms (R2 = 0.884, RMSE = 0.404) as compared to SVR (R2 = 0.847, RMSE = 0.478) and ANNR (R2 = 0.829, RMSE = 0.404). Therefore, RFR algorithms can be used for accurate estimation of LAI for crops using satellite data.

scholarly journals Recognition of Maize Phenology in Sentinel Images with Machine Learning

Sensors ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 22 (1) ◽  
pp. 94
Author(s):  
Alvaro Murguia-Cozar ◽  
Antonia Macedo-Cruz ◽  
Demetrio Salvador Fernandez-Reynoso ◽  
Jorge Arturo Salgado Transito
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Satellite Image ◽  
Spatial Association ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Classification Models ◽  
Phenological Stages ◽  
Area Index ◽  
Stage Of Development ◽  
Sentinel 2

The scarcity of water for agricultural use is a serious problem that has increased due to intense droughts, poor management, and deficiencies in the distribution and application of the resource. The monitoring of crops through satellite image processing and the application of machine learning algorithms are technological strategies with which developed countries tend to implement better public policies regarding the efficient use of water. The purpose of this research was to determine the main indicators and characteristics that allow us to discriminate the phenological stages of maize crops (Zea mays L.) in Sentinel 2 satellite images through supervised classification models. The training data were obtained by monitoring cultivated plots during an agricultural cycle. Indicators and characteristics were extracted from 41 Sentinel 2 images acquired during the monitoring dates. With these images, indicators of texture, vegetation, and colour were calculated to train three supervised classifiers: linear discriminant (LD), support vector machine (SVM), and k-nearest neighbours (kNN) models. It was found that 45 of the 86 characteristics extracted contributed to maximizing the accuracy by stage of development and the overall accuracy of the trained classification models. The characteristics of the Moran’s I local indicator of spatial association (LISA) improved the accuracy of the classifiers when applied to the L*a*b* colour model and to the near-infrared (NIR) band. The local binary pattern (LBP) increased the accuracy of the classification when applied to the red, green, blue (RGB) and NIR bands. The colour ratios, leaf area index (LAI), RGB colour model, L*a*b* colour space, LISA, and LBP extracted the most important intrinsic characteristics of maize crops with regard to classifying the phenological stages of the maize cultivation. The quadratic SVM model was the best classifier of maize crop phenology, with an overall accuracy of 82.3%.

scholarly journals Ensemble-Based Machine Learning for Predicting Sudden Human Fall Using Health Data

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-12
Author(s):  
Utkarsh Saxena ◽  
Soumen Moulik ◽  
Soumya Ranjan Nayak ◽  
Thomas Hanne ◽  
Diptendu Sinha Roy
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Learning Algorithms ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Majority Voting ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Human Beings ◽  
Medical Terminology ◽  
Decision Tree Classifier ◽  
Tree Classifier ◽  
Health Parameters

We attempt to predict the accidental fall of human beings due to sudden abnormal changes in their health parameters such as blood pressure, heart rate, and sugar level. In medical terminology, this problem is known as Syncope. The primary motivation is to prevent such falls by predicting abnormal changes in these health parameters that might trigger a sudden fall. We apply various machine learning algorithms such as logistic regression, a decision tree classifier, a random forest classifier, K-Nearest Neighbours (KNN), a support vector machine, and a naive Bayes classifier on a relevant dataset and verify our results with the cross-validation method. We observe that the KNN algorithm provides the best accuracy in predicting such a fall. However, the accuracy results of some other algorithms are also very close. Thus, we move one step further and propose an ensemble model, Majority Voting, which aggregates the prediction results of multiple machine learning algorithms and finally indicates the probability of a fall that corresponds to a particular human being. The proposed ensemble algorithm yields 87.42% accuracy, which is greater than the accuracy provided by the KNN algorithm.

Prediction of Dansgaard-Oeschger events using machine learning

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nuno Moniz ◽  
Susana Barbosa
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
Learning Algorithms ◽  
Ice Core ◽  
Model Performance ◽  
Predictive Performance ◽  
Oxygen Isotopic Composition ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Support Vector

<p>The Dansgaard-Oeschger (DO) events are one of the most striking examples of abrupt climate change in the Earth's history, representing temperature oscillations of about 8 to 16 degrees Celsius within a few decades. DO events have been studied extensively in paleoclimatic records, particularly in ice core proxies. Examples include the Greenland NGRIP record of oxygen isotopic composition.<br>This work addresses the anticipation of DO events using machine learning algorithms. We consider the NGRIP time series from 20 to 60 kyr b2k with the GICC05 timescale and 20-year temporal resolution. Forecasting horizons range from 0 (nowcasting) to 400 years. We adopt three different machine learning algorithms (random forests, support vector machines, and logistic regression) in training windows of 5 kyr. We perform validation on subsequent test windows of 5 kyr, based on timestamps of previous DO events' classification in Greenland by Rasmussen et al. (2014). We perform experiments with both sliding and growing windows.<br>Results show that predictions on sliding windows are better overall, indicating that modelling is affected by non-stationary characteristics of the time series. The three algorithms' predictive performance is similar, with a slightly better performance of random forest models for shorter forecast horizons. The prediction models' predictive capability decreases as the forecasting horizon grows more extensive but remains reasonable up to 120 years. Model performance deprecation is mostly related to imprecision in accurately determining the start and end time of events and identifying some periods as DO events when such is not valid.</p>

Role of machine learning algorithms in timely prediction of the infectious outbreak: COVID-19 (Preprint)

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Atika Qazi ◽  
Khulla Naseer ◽  
Javaria Qazi ◽  
Muhammad Abo
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Learning Algorithms ◽  
Epidemiological Data ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
World Health ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Systems Science ◽  
Support Vector

UNSTRUCTURED Well-timed forecast of infectious outbreaks using time-series data can help in proper planning of public health measures. If the forecasts are generated from machine learning algorithms, they can be used to manage resources where most needed. Here we present a support vector machine (SVM) model using epidemiological data provided by Johns Hopkins University Centre for Systems Science and Engineering (JHU CCSE), world health organization (WHO), Center for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) to predict upcoming data before official declaration by WHO. Our study conducted on the time series data available from 22nd January till 10th March 2020 reveals that COVID-19 was spreading at an alarming rate and progressing towards a pandemic. If machine learning algorithms are used to predict the dynamics of an infectious outbreak future strategies can help in better management. Besides exploratory data analysis (EDA) highlights the importance of quarantine measures taken at the onset of this endemic by China and world leadership in containing the initial COVID-19 transmission. Nevertheless, when quarantine measures were relaxed due to extreme scrutiny a sharp upsurge was seen in COVID-19 transmission. The initial insight that confirmed COVID-19 cases are increasing as these got the highest number of effects for our selected dataset from 22nd January-10th March 2020 i.e. 126,344 (64%). The recovered cases are 68289 (34%) and the death rate is around 2%. The model presented here is flexible and can include uncertainty about outbreak dynamics and can be a significant tool for combating future outbreaks.

scholarly journals Evaluation of Machine Learning Predictions of a Highly Resolved Time Series of Chlorophyll-a Concentration

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (16) ◽  
pp. 7208
Author(s):  
Felipe de Luca Lopes de Amorim ◽  
Johannes Rick ◽  
Gerrit Lohmann ◽  
Karen Helen Wiltshire
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Support Vector Machine ◽  
Chlorophyll A ◽  
Environmental Parameters ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Validation Dataset ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Environmental Status

Pelagic chlorophyll-a concentrations are key for evaluation of the environmental status and productivity of marine systems, and data can be provided by in situ measurements, remote sensing and modelling. However, modelling chlorophyll-a is not trivial due to its nonlinear dynamics and complexity. In this study, chlorophyll-a concentrations for the Helgoland Roads time series were modeled using a number of measured water and environmental parameters. We chose three common machine learning algorithms from the literature: the support vector machine regressor, neural networks multi-layer perceptron regressor and random forest regressor. Results showed that the support vector machine regressor slightly outperformed other models. The evaluation with a test dataset and verification with an independent validation dataset for chlorophyll-a concentrations showed a good generalization capacity, evaluated by the root mean squared errors of less than 1 µg L−1. Feature selection and engineering are important and improved the models significantly, as measured in performance, improving the adjusted R2 by a minimum of 48%. We tested SARIMA in comparison and found that the univariate nature of SARIMA does not allow for better results than the machine learning models. Additionally, the computer processing time needed was much higher (prohibitive) for SARIMA.

Automated Building Extraction using High Resolution Satellite Imagery though Ensemble Modelling and Machine Learning

2018 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 31-46
Author(s):  
Soumya K. Das ◽  
Prakash P. S. ◽  
Bharath Aithal
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
High Resolution ◽  
Vegetation Index ◽  
Normalized Difference Vegetation Index ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Gradient Boosting ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Building Extraction ◽  
Ensemble Technique ◽  
Ensemble Algorithm

Building extraction has been a challenging task due to complex structures and features of various land use with matching spectral and spatial attributes in a satellite data. We attempted to extract building as features using machine-learning algorithms such as Support Vector Machine (SVM), Random Forests (RF), Artificial Neural Network (ANN) and Improved Ensemble Technique as Gradient Boosting. The techniques used increases their classification accuracies using spectral properties as well as indices such as Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) as attributes. Extracted results through various methods, performance of three different machine learning such as Ensemble method, RF and SVM are applied and results are analyzed for their behavior in different building distribution. Different algorithms showed variations in accuracies and performance in different built-up conditions. Ensemble algorithm performed very well in all conditions followed by RF and SVM performed better in coarse resolution, while ANN performed better in high resolution and overall accuracies of all algorithms increased with better spatial resolution. Ensemble algorithm showed relatively efficient performance in regions with extensive heterogeneous features. These analyses can helpful to provide quantitative data for various stocktaking analysis and city managers for better administration capabilities.

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