scholarly journals Time-Series of Cloud-Free Sentinel-2 NDVI Data Used in Mapping the Onset of Growth of Central Spitsbergen, Svalbard

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (15) ◽  
pp. 3031
Author(s):  
Stein Rune Karlsen ◽  
Laura Stendardi ◽  
Hans Tømmervik ◽  
Lennart Nilsen ◽  
Ingar Arntzen ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Cloud Cover ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Vegetation Types ◽  
Threshold Method ◽  
High Increase ◽  
Temperature Changes ◽  
Sentinel 2 ◽  
Phenological Phases

The Arctic is a region that is expected to experience a high increase in temperature. Changes in the timing of phenological phases, such as the onset of growth (as observed by remote sensing), is a sensitive bio-indicator of climate change. In this paper, the study area was the central part of Spitsbergen, Svalbard, located between 77.28°N and 78.44°N. The goals of this study were: (1) to prepare, analyze and present a cloud-free time-series of daily Sentinel-2 NDVI datasets for the 2016 to 2019 seasons, and (2) to demonstrate the use of the dataset in mapping the onset of growth. Due to a short and intense period with greening-up and frequent cloud cover, all the cloud-free Sentinel-2 data were used. The onset of growth was then mapped by a NDVI threshold method, which showed significant correlation (r2 = 0.47, n = 38, p < 0.0001) with ground-based phenocam observation of the onset of growth in seven vegetation types. However, large bias was found between the Sentinel-2 NDVI-based mapped onset of growth and the phenocam-based onset of growth in a moss tundra, which indicates that the data in these vegetation types must be interpreted with care. In 2018, the onset of growth was about 10 days earlier compared to 2017.

scholarly journals Improved Estimates of Arctic Land Surface Phenology Using Sentinel-2 Time Series

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (22) ◽  
pp. 3738
Author(s):  
Adrià Descals ◽  
Aleixandre Verger ◽  
Gaofei Yin ◽  
Josep Peñuelas
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
High Resolution ◽  
Land Surface ◽  
Vegetation Index ◽  
Mean Squared Error ◽  
Google Earth ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Threshold Method ◽  
Land Surface Phenology ◽  
Sentinel 2

The high spatial resolution and revisit time of Sentinel-2A/B tandem satellites allow a potentially improved retrieval of land surface phenology (LSP). The biome and regional characteristics, however, greatly constrain the design of the LSP algorithms. In the Arctic, such biome-specific characteristics include prolonged periods of snow cover, persistent cloud cover, and shortness of the growing season. Here, we evaluate the feasibility of Sentinel-2 for deriving high-resolution LSP maps of the Arctic. We extracted the timing of the start and end of season (SoS and EoS, respectively) for the years 2019 and 2020 with a simple implementation of the threshold method in Google Earth Engine (GEE). We found a high level of similarity between Sentinel-2 and PhenoCam metrics; the best results were observed with Sentinel-2 enhanced vegetation index (EVI) (root mean squared error (RMSE) and mean error (ME) of 3.0 d and −0.3 d for the SoS, and 6.5 d and −3.8 d for the EoS, respectively), although other vegetation indices presented similar performances. The phenological maps of Sentinel-2 EVI compared well with the same maps extracted from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) in homogeneous landscapes (RMSE and ME of 9.2 d and 2.9 d for the SoS, and 6.4 and −0.9 d for the EoS, respectively). Unreliable LSP estimates were filtered and a quality flag indicator was activated when the Sentinel-2 time series presented a long period (>40 d) of missing data; discontinuities were lower in spring and early summer (9.2%) than in late summer and autumn (39.4%). The Sentinel-2 high-resolution LSP maps and the GEE phenological extraction method will support vegetation monitoring and contribute to improving the representation of Artic vegetation phenology in land surface models.

scholarly journals Maps, trends, and temperature sensitivities—phenological information from and for decreasing numbers of volunteer observers

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ye Yuan ◽  
Stefan Härer ◽  
Tobias Ottenheym ◽  
Gourav Misra ◽  
Alissa Lüpke ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Strong Decrease ◽  
Temperature Changes ◽  
Interpolation Accuracy ◽  
Observation Network ◽  
Shiny App ◽  
Long Term Trends ◽  
Autumn And Winter

AbstractPhenology serves as a major indicator of ongoing climate change. Long-term phenological observations are critically important for tracking and communicating these changes. The phenological observation network across Germany is operated by the National Meteorological Service with a major contribution from volunteering activities. However, the number of observers has strongly decreased for the last decades, possibly resulting in increasing uncertainties when extracting reliable phenological information from map interpolation. We studied uncertainties in interpolated maps from decreasing phenological records, by comparing long-term trends based on grid-based interpolated and station-wise observed time series, as well as their correlations with temperature. Interpolated maps in spring were characterized by the largest spatial variabilities across Bavaria, Germany, with respective lowest interpolated uncertainties. Long-term phenological trends for both interpolations and observations exhibited mean advances of −0.2 to −0.3 days year−1 for spring and summer, while late autumn and winter showed a delay of around 0.1 days year−1. Throughout the year, temperature sensitivities were consistently stronger for interpolated time series than observations. Such a better representation of regional phenology by interpolation was equally supported by satellite-derived phenological indices. Nevertheless, simulation of observer numbers indicated that a decline to less than 40% leads to a strong decrease in interpolation accuracy. To better understand the risk of declining phenological observations and to motivate volunteer observers, a Shiny app is proposed to visualize spatial and temporal phenological patterns across Bavaria and their links to climate change–induced temperature changes.

scholarly journals Fusing Geostationary Satellite Observations with Harmonized Landsat-8 and Sentinel-2 Time Series for Monitoring Field-Scale Land Surface Phenology

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (21) ◽  
pp. 4465
Author(s):  
Yu Shen ◽  
Xiaoyang Zhang ◽  
Weile Wang ◽  
Ramakrishna Nemani ◽  
Yongchang Ye ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Land Surface ◽  
Cloud Cover ◽  
Landsat 8 ◽  
Field Scale ◽  
Spatiotemporal Resolution ◽  
Essential Information ◽  
Land Surface Phenology ◽  
The Earth ◽  
Sentinel 2

Accurate and timely land surface phenology (LSP) provides essential information for investigating the responses of terrestrial ecosystems to climate changes and quantifying carbon and surface energy cycles on the Earth. LSP has been widely investigated using daily Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite (VIIRS) or Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) observations, but the resultant phenometrics are frequently influenced by surface heterogeneity and persistent cloud contamination in the time series observations. Recently, LSP has been derived from Landsat-8 and Sentinel-2 time series providing detailed spatial pattern, but the results are of high uncertainties because of poor temporal resolution. With the availability of data from Advanced Baseline Imager (ABI) onboard a new generation of geostationary satellites that observe the earth every 10–15 min, daily cloud-free time series could be obtained with high opportunities. Therefore, this study investigates the generation of synthetic high spatiotemporal resolution time series by fusing the harmonized Landsat-8 and Sentinel-2 (HLS) time series with the temporal shape of ABI data for monitoring field-scale (30 m) LSP. The algorithm is verified by detecting the timings of greenup and senescence onsets around north Wisconsin/Michigan states, United States, where cloud cover is frequent during spring rainy season. The LSP detections from HLS-ABI are compared with those from HLS or ABI alone and are further evaluated using PhenoCam observations. The result indicates that (1) ABI could provide ~3 times more high-quality observations than HLS around spring greenup onset; (2) the greenup and senescence onsets derived from ABI and HLS-ABI are spatially consistent and statistically comparable with a median difference less than 1 and 10-days, respectively; (3) greenup and senescence onsets derived from HLS data show sharp boundaries around the orbit-overlapped areas and shifts of ~13 days delay and ~15 days ahead, respectively, relative to HLS-ABI detections; and (4) HLS-ABI greenup and senescence onsets align closely to PhenoCam observations with an absolute average difference of less than 2 days and 5 days, respectively, which are much better than phenology detections from ABI or HLS alone. The result suggests that the proposed approach could be implemented the monitor of 30 m LSP over regions with persistent cloud cover.

scholarly journals Comparison of total water vapour content in the Arctic derived from GNSS, AIRS, MODIS and SCIAMACHY

2018 ◽  
Vol 11 (5) ◽  
pp. 2949-2965 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dunya Alraddawi ◽  
Alain Sarkissian ◽  
Philippe Keckhut ◽  
Olivier Bock ◽  
Stefan Noël ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Water Vapour ◽  
Satellite Data ◽  
Cloud Cover ◽  
Surface Albedo ◽  
Hydrological Cycle ◽  
Radiation Budget ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Gnss Measurements ◽  
Gnss Time Series

Abstract. Atmospheric water vapour plays a key role in the Arctic radiation budget, hydrological cycle and hence climate, but its measurement with high accuracy remains an important challenge. Total column water vapour (TCWV) datasets derived from ground-based GNSS measurements are used to assess the quality of different existing satellite TCWV datasets, namely from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS), the Atmospheric Infrared Sounder (AIRS) and the SCanning Imaging Absorption spectroMeter for Atmospheric CHartographY (SCIAMACHY). The comparisons between GNSS and satellite data are carried out for three reference Arctic observation sites (Sodankylä, Ny-Ålesund and Thule) where long homogeneous GNSS time series of more than a decade (2001–2014) are available. We select hourly GNSS data that are coincident with overpasses of the different satellites over the three sites and then average them into monthly means that are compared with monthly mean satellite products for different seasons. The agreement between GNSS and satellite time series is generally within 5 % at all sites for most conditions. The weakest correlations are found during summer. Among all the satellite data, AIRS shows the best agreement with GNSS time series, though AIRS TCWV is often slightly too high in drier atmospheres (i.e. high-latitude stations during autumn and winter). SCIAMACHY TCWV data are generally drier than GNSS measurements at all the stations during the summer. This study suggests that these biases are associated with cloud cover, especially at Ny-Ålesund and Thule. The dry biases of MODIS and SCIAMACHY observations are most pronounced at Sodankylä during the snow season (from October to March). Regarding SCIAMACHY, this bias is possibly linked to the fact that the SCIAMACHY TCWV retrieval does not take accurately into account the variations in surface albedo, notably in the presence of snow with a nearby canopy as in Sodankylä. The MODIS bias at Sodankylä is found to be correlated with cloud cover fraction and is also expected to be affected by other atmospheric or surface albedo changes linked for instance to the presence of forests or anthropogenic emissions. Overall, the results point out that a better estimation of seasonally dependent surface albedo and a better consideration of vertically resolved cloud cover are recommended if biases in satellite measurements are to be reduced in the polar regions.

Arctic Cloud Changes from Surface and Satellite Observations

2010 ◽  
Vol 23 (15) ◽  
pp. 4233-4242 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ryan Eastman ◽  
Stephen G. Warren
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Satellite Data ◽  
Cloud Cover ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Interannual Variations ◽  
Infrared Observation ◽  
Cloud Data ◽  
Surface Data ◽  
Avhrr Data ◽  
Very High

Abstract Visual cloud reports from land and ocean regions of the Arctic are analyzed for total cloud cover. Trends and interannual variations in surface cloud data are compared to those obtained from Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer (AVHRR) and Television and Infrared Observation Satellite (TIROS) Operational Vertical Sounder (TOVS) satellite data. Over the Arctic as a whole, trends and interannual variations show little agreement with those from satellite data. The interannual variations from AVHRR are larger in the dark seasons than in the sunlit seasons (6% in winter, 2% in summer); however, in the surface observations, the interannual variations for all seasons are only 1%–2%. A large negative trend for winter found in the AVHRR data is not seen in the surface data. At smaller geographic scales, time series of surface- and satellite-observed cloud cover show some agreement except over sea ice during winter. During the winter months, time series of satellite-observed clouds in numerous grid boxes show variations that are strangely coherent throughout the entire Arctic.

Parametric estimation of non-crossing quantile functions

2021 ◽  
pp. 1471082X2110365
Author(s):  
Gianluca Sottile ◽  
Paolo Frumento
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Standard Method ◽  
R Package ◽  
Parametric Estimation ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Parametric Functions ◽  
Quantile Functions ◽  
Standing Problem ◽  
Analysis Of Time Series

Quantile regression (QR) has gained popularity during the last decades, and is now considered a standard method by applied statisticians and practitioners in various fields. In this work, we applied QR to investigate climate change by analysing historical temperatures in the Arctic Circle. This approach proved very flexible and allowed to investigate the tails of the distribution, that correspond to extreme events. The presence of quantile crossing, however, prevented using the fitted model for prediction and extrapolation. In search of a possible solution, we first considered a different version of QR, in which the QR coefficients were described by parametric functions. This alleviated the crossing problem, but did not eliminate it completely. Finally, we exploited the imposed parametric structure to formulate a constrained optimization algorithm that enforced monotonicity. The proposed example showed how the relatively unexplored field of parametric quantile functions could offer new solutions to the long-standing problem of quantile crossing. Our approach is particularly convenient in situations, like the analysis of time series, in which the fitted model may be used to predict extreme quantiles or to perform extrapolation. The described estimator has been implemented in the R package qrcm.

scholarly journals Multi-Dimensional Remote Sensing Analysis Documents Beaver-Induced Permafrost Degradation, Seward Peninsula, Alaska

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (23) ◽  
pp. 4863
Author(s):  
Benjamin M. Jones ◽  
Ken D. Tape ◽  
Jason A. Clark ◽  
Allen C. Bondurant ◽  
Melissa K. Ward Jones ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Remote Sensing ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Unmanned Aircraft ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Landsat 8 ◽  
Permafrost Degradation ◽  
Channel Network ◽  
Seward Peninsula ◽  
Sentinel 2

Beavers have established themselves as a key component of low arctic ecosystems over the past several decades. Beavers are widely recognized as ecosystem engineers, but their effects on permafrost-dominated landscapes in the Arctic remain unclear. In this study, we document the occurrence, reconstruct the timing, and highlight the effects of beaver activity on a small creek valley confined by ice-rich permafrost on the Seward Peninsula, Alaska using multi-dimensional remote sensing analysis of satellite (Landsat-8, Sentinel-2, Planet CubeSat, and DigitalGlobe Inc./MAXAR) and unmanned aircraft systems (UAS) imagery. Beaver activity along the study reach of Swan Lake Creek appeared between 2006 and 2011 with the construction of three dams. Between 2011 and 2017, beaver dam numbers increased, with the peak occurring in 2017 (n = 9). Between 2017 and 2019, the number of dams decreased (n = 6), while the average length of the dams increased from 20 to 33 m. Between 4 and 20 August 2019, following a nine-day period of record rainfall (>125 mm), the well-established dam system failed, triggering the formation of a beaver-induced permafrost degradation feature. During the decade of beaver occupation between 2011 and 2021, the creek valley widened from 33 to 180 m (~450% increase) and the length of the stream channel network increased from ~0.6 km to more than 1.9 km (220% increase) as a result of beaver engineering and beaver-induced permafrost degradation. Comparing vegetation (NDVI) and snow (NDSI) derived indices from Sentinel-2 time-series data acquired between 2017 and 2021 for the beaver-induced permafrost degradation feature and a nearby unaffected control site, showed that peak growing season NDVI was lowered by 23% and that it extended the length of the snow-cover period by 19 days following the permafrost disturbance. Our analysis of multi-dimensional remote sensing data highlights several unique aspects of beaver engineering impacts on ice-rich permafrost landscapes. Our detailed reconstruction of the beaver-induced permafrost degradation event may also prove useful for identifying degradation of ice-rich permafrost in optical time-series datasets across regional scales. Future field- and remote sensing-based observations of this site, and others like it, will provide valuable information for the NSF-funded Arctic Beaver Observation Network (A-BON) and the third phase of the NASA Arctic-Boreal Vulnerability Experiment (ABoVE) Field Campaign.

scholarly journals Pflanzenphänologische Beobachtungen in Graubünden: Trends bei pflanzenphänologischen Zeitreihen | Phytophenological observations in the Grisons:Trends of phytophenological time series

2003 ◽  
Vol 154 (8) ◽  
pp. 333-339 ◽  
Author(s):  
Claudio Defila
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Climate Warming ◽  
Vegetation Period ◽  
Statistical Analyses ◽  
Early Start ◽  
Phenological Data ◽  
Phenological Observation ◽  
Using Data ◽  
Phenological Phases

Statistical analyses were carried out using data from 25 phenological observation stations in the Grisons and 17 chosen phenological phases between 1951 and 1998. Results show a wide scattering of phenological data depending on both time and location. The variation is attributable to climate differences in the different regions (Rheinbünden, Südbünden and Engadin), as well as differences of altitude (between 580 and 1805 m.a.s.l.) in the Canton. Trend analyses of 100 phenological time series during the period in question show, above all, a precocious tendancy in the Grisons. In contrast to the evaluation for the whole of Switzerland all phenophase species(including autumnal phases) show a precocious trend which reaches a peak at 22 days in full blossom. This early start of the vegetation period is cleary linked to climate change, as the start of phenological phases in spring are strongly influenced by temperature. Generally speaking, precocity in the Grisons is more accentuated than in the rest of Switzerland. This is a persuasive result in view of the fact that plants at the higher stations react more strongly to climate warming than those in the lowlands or in milder regions and many of the observation stations in the Grisons are situated at alpine altitudes, i.e., over 1000 m.a.s.l.

scholarly journals Consistent variability but different spatial patterns between observed and reanalysed sea-ice thickness

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Joula Siponen ◽  
Petteri Uotila ◽  
Eero Rinne ◽  
Steffen Tietsche
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Sea Ice ◽  
Satellite Altimetry ◽  
Winter Season ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Ice Thickness ◽  
Sea Ice Thickness ◽  
Large Variability ◽  
Ice Volume

Abstract. Changes in sea-ice thickness are one of the most visible signs of climate change. However, to gain a comprehensive understanding of mechanisms involved, long time series are needed. Importantly, the development of more accurate predictions of sea ice in the Arctic requires good observational products. To assist this, a new sea-ice thickness product by ESA Climate Change Initiative (CCI) is here compared to the ocean reanalysis ORAS5 by ECMWF for the first time. The CCI product is based on two satellite altimetry missions, CryoSat-2 and ENVISAT, which are combined to the longest continuous satellite altimetry time series of Arctic-wide sea-ice thickness, 2002–2017 and continuing. Time series of sea-ice volume for the CCI coverage reveal years of extremely low volume as well as recovery during the winter season. The 15-year trends in sea-ice volume are clearly negative over the time series and despite large variability between years statistically significant. The 15-year ORAS5 trends have larger interannual variability than the CCI trends and are therefore not statistically significant despite of a good match in terms of year-to-year variability. The observed negative trends result from changes in both atmospheric and oceanic forcing. The CCI product performs well in the validation of the ORAS5 reanalysis: overall root-mean-square difference (RMSD) between sea-ice thickness from CCI and ORAS5 is below 1 m. However, seasonal and interannual RMSD variations during the time series are large, from 0.5 m to 1.3 m. The differences are a sum of reanalysis biases, such as incorrect physics or forcing, as well as uncertainties in satellite altimetry, such as the snow climatology used in the thickness retrieval.

scholarly journals Will Current Protected Areas Harbour Refugia for Threatened Arctic Vegetation Types until 2050? A First Assessment

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Merin R. Chacko ◽  
Ariane K.A. Goerens ◽  
Jacqueline Oehri ◽  
Elena Plekhanova ◽  
Gabriela Schaepman-Strub
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Protected Areas ◽  
Vegetation Type ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Infrastructure Development ◽  
Vegetation Types ◽  
The Road ◽  
Climate Change Effects ◽  
Arctic Vegetation ◽  
Circumpolar Arctic

AbstractArctic vegetation types provide food and shelter for fauna, support livelihoods of Northern peoples, and are tightly linked to climate, permafrost soils, lakes, rivers, and the ocean through carbon, energy, water, and nutrient fluxes. Despite its significant role, a comprehensive understanding of climate change effects on Arctic vegetation is lacking. We compare the 2003 baseline with existing 2050 predictions of circumpolar Arctic vegetation type distributions and demonstrate that abundant vegetation types with a proclivity for expansion contribute most to current protected areas. Applying IUCN criteria, we categorize five out of the eight assessed vegetation types as threatened by 2050. Our analyses show that current protected areas are insufficient for the mitigation of climate-imposed threats to these Arctic vegetation types. Therefore, we located potential climate change refugia, areas where vegetation may remain unchanged, at least until 2050, providing the highest potential for safeguarding threatened vegetation types. Our study provides an essential first step to assessing vegetation type vulnerability in the Arctic, but is based on predictions covering only 46% of Arctic landscapes. The co-development of new protective measures by policymakers and indigenous peoples at a pan-Arctic scale requires more robust and spatially complete vegetation predictions. This is essential as increasing pressures from resource exploration and rapid infrastructure development complicate the road to a sustainable development of the rapidly thawing and greening Arctic.

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