scholarly journals Climate Risk and Vulnerability Assessment of Floods in Austria: Mapping Homogenous Regions, Hotspots and Typologies

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (16) ◽  
pp. 6458
Author(s):  
Jutta-Lucia Leis ◽  
Stefan Kienberger
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Vulnerability Assessment ◽  
Significant Risk ◽  
Climate Risk ◽  
Intergovernmental Panel ◽  
Economic Dimension ◽  
Risk Framework ◽  
Risk Approach ◽  
Administrative Units ◽  
Vulnerability Framework

This research addresses the need for proactive climate risk management (CRM) by developing and applying a spatial climate risk and vulnerability assessment (CRVA) to flooding under consideration of the socio-economic dimension in Austria. Our research builds on a consolidated risk and vulnerability framework targeting both disaster risk reduction (DRR) and climate change adaptation (CCA) while integrating the consolidated risk approach of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Furthermore, our research advances current methodologies by applying a spatially explicit and indicator-based approach, which allows the targeted and place-specific identification of intervention options—independent from the spatial bias of administrative units. The flooding CRVA is based on a comprehensive list of 14 primary indicators and 35 socio-economic sub-indicators. Our results indicate that high levels of socio-economic vulnerability related to flooding are concentrated in the northern and eastern regions of Austria. When integrating a climate hazard proxy, statistically significant risk hotspots (>90% confidence) can be identified in central-northern Austria and towards the east. Furthermore, we established a typology of regions following a spatially enabled clustering approach. Finally, our research provides a successful operationalization of the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report (AR5) risk framework in combination with enhanced spatial analysis methods.

scholarly journals Teaching climate risk for water planning: a pilot training for tertiary students and practitioners in Brazil

2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (4) ◽  
pp. 527-554
Author(s):  
Pablo Borges de Amorim ◽  
Pedro Luiz Borges Chaffe
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Data Interpretation ◽  
Climate Risk ◽  
Pilot Training ◽  
Self Assessment ◽  
Intergovernmental Panel ◽  
Face To Face ◽  
Professional Development Training ◽  
Risk Framework

Abstract. Climate change is one of the major challenges of our society; thus educational resources on climate risk and adaptation are needed. In this case study, we present a short-duration face-to-face training for water professionals about the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)'s climate risk framework. The training uses problem-based learning (PBL) pedagogy, and its suitability and benefits are evaluated with qualitative observation and self-assessment of knowledge of tertiary students and practitioners from five independent groups in Brazil. We find that the application of a mapping exercise using the IPCC's climate risk framework supports learning about climate risk, as well as data interpretation, creativity, teamwork, communication, and critical thinking by the participants. This work merges the IPCC's climate risk framework and PBL for climate risk training. The proposed training enables the teaching of climate risk in stand-alone courses and professional development training in areas where climate is an embedded component.

scholarly journals Teaching climate risk: a pilot training for tertiary students and practitioners in Brazil

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pablo Borges de Amorim ◽  
Pedro Luiz Borges Chaffe
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Data Interpretation ◽  
Climate Risk ◽  
Pilot Training ◽  
Self Assessment ◽  
Intergovernmental Panel ◽  
Professional Development Training ◽  
Risk Framework ◽  
Mapping Exercise

Abstract. Climate change is one of the major challenges of our society thus educational resources on climate risk and adaptation are needed. In this case study, we present a short-duration training for tertiary students and practitioners about the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)’s climate risk framework. The training uses Problem-Based Learning (PBL) pedagogy, and its suitability and benefits are evaluated with observational qualitative analysis and self-assessment of knowledge of the participants of 5 independent groups in Brazil. We find that the application of a mapping exercise using the IPCC’s climate risk framework supports learning about climate risk, as well as data interpretation, creativity, teamwork, communication, and critical thinking by the participants. This work merges the IPCC’s climate risk framework and PBL for climate risk training. The proposed training enables the teaching of climate risk in stand-alone courses and professional development training in areas which climate is an embedded component.

scholarly journals Determining the Most Sensitive Socioeconomic Parameters for Quantitative Risk Assessment

Climate ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 7 (9) ◽  
pp. 107
Author(s):  
Marin Akter ◽  
Rubaiya Kabir ◽  
Dewan Sadia Karim ◽  
Anisul Haque ◽  
Munsur Rahman ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Vulnerability Assessment ◽  
Quantitative Risk Assessment ◽  
Programming System ◽  
Socioeconomic Indicators ◽  
Intergovernmental Panel ◽  
Assessment Report ◽  
Non Linear Programming ◽  
Kolmogorov Smirnov

Risk assessment of climatic events and climate change is a globally challenging issue. For risk as well as vulnerability assessment, there can be a large number of socioeconomic indicators, from which it is difficult to identify the most sensitive ones. Many researchers have studied risk and vulnerability assessment through specific set of indicators. The set of selected indicators varies from expert to expert, which inherently results in a biased output. To avoid biased results in this study, the most sensitive indicators are selected through sensitivity analysis performed by applying a non-linear programming system, which is solved by Karush-Kuhn-Tucker conditions. Here, risk is assessed as a function of exposure, hazard, and vulnerability, which is defined in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Fifth Assessment Report (AR5), where, exposure and vulnerability are described via socioeconomic indicators. The Kolmogorov-Smirnov statistical test is applied to select the set of indicators that are the most sensitive for the system to assess risk. The method is applied to the Bangladesh coast to determine the most sensitive socioeconomic indicators in addition to assessing different climatic and climate change hazard risks. The methodology developed in this study can be a useful tool for risk-based planning.

Hot spots - cold spots - what dots? A critical reflection on integrated climate risk assessments – example flood risk in Austria

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stefan Kienberger ◽  
Jutta-Lucia Leis
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Risk Analysis ◽  
Hot Spots ◽  
Methodological Approach ◽  
Climate Risk ◽  
Change Scenario ◽  
Physical Vulnerability ◽  
Contributing Factors ◽  
Intergovernmental Panel ◽  
Adaptation Measures

<p>Climate risk, and related impacts, are determined by a variety of natural, climatological and socio-economic factors. In its fifth Assessment Report, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change has adapted the concept and terminology in this respect. The challenge is: How can relevant influencing factors be identified and integrated? And, how can these factors be represented spatially and integratively in order to provide decision makers with a sound basis for adaptation measures? The central starting question is: Where do I do what (and when)? Within the Austrian ACRP project 'RESPECT', a novel climate change risk analysis for the natural hazard 'flooding' was developed. Special attention is paid to the modelling of socio-economic and physical vulnerability and its integration into a spatially explicit climate risk analysis. As a result, spatial and thematic hotspots of social and physical vulnerability and climate risk for Austria are identified, which serve as a basis for the identification of adaptation measures.</p><p>As a result, climate risk maps are available for Austria, which show risk and vulnerability hotspots as homogeneous spatial regions, independent from administrative boundaries and traditional raster-based approaches. These hotspots are quantitatively evaluated by an index value as a measure of climate risk. In addition to the purely quantitative evaluation, it is also possible to characterise and present the spatial units qualitatively, in terms of 'problem areas' and contributing factors. This is a significant development compared to 'traditional' spatial units (grid cell based; based on administrative units). Thus the question mentioned at the beginning can be answered - where are which intervention measures necessary. The results are available for socio-economic and physical climate risk, which are flanked by corresponding hazard and vulnerability maps. Results for the present and the future have been produced using proxy indicators from the high-resolution Austrian climate change scenario data (ÖKS15). This makes it possible to identify future hot spots under the assumption of different climate scenarios. The presentations presents the adapted risk concept and methodological approach, respectively, and reflects critically on the opportunities and challenges of climate risk analysis in Austria and in general for the planning of climate change adaptation measures.  </p>

scholarly journals ESD Ideas: a simple proposal to improve the contribution of IPCC WGI to the assessment and communication of climate change risks

2018 ◽  
Vol 9 (4) ◽  
pp. 1155-1158 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rowan T. Sutton
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Working Group ◽  
Scientific Evidence ◽  
Risk Assessments ◽  
Climate Risk ◽  
Intergovernmental Panel ◽  
Group I ◽  
Climate Change Risks ◽  
Ipcc Working Group

Abstract. The purpose of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) is to provide policy-relevant assessments of the scientific evidence about climate change. Policymaking necessarily involves risk assessments, so it is important that IPCC reports are designed accordingly. This paper proposes a specific idea, illustrated with examples, to improve the contribution of IPCC Working Group I to informing climate risk assessments.

scholarly journals Vulnerabilite des moyens d'existence des menages ruraux au changement climatique: analyse comparative des territoires montagneux et littoraux des zones arides tunisiennes

New Medit ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 20 (4) ◽  
Author(s):  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Land Tenure ◽  
Vulnerability Assessment ◽  
Vulnerability Index ◽  
Coastal Plains ◽  
Structured Interviews ◽  
Adaptation To Climate Change ◽  
Intergovernmental Panel ◽  
Adaptation Capacity ◽  
Local Populations

This paper presents a livelihood vulnerability assessment and compares the levels of exposure, sensitivity and adaptation to climate change of the local populations in mountains area and coastal plains in Tunisian arid regions. The United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change vulnerability index (LVI-IPCC) has been adapted and applied to assess this livelihood vulnerability, based on socio-economic surveys and semi-structured interviews with the local populations. Findings show that households in coastal plains are more vulnerable in terms of socio demographic profile, food security, social networks, access to water and climate variability. This territory is much more exposed to climate change, despite being slightly less sensitive. On the other hand, households in mountainous territory are more vulnerable in terms of livelihood strategies, land tenure and health, despite their adaptation capacity, which reduces their vulnerability to climate change. Based on this vulnerability assessment, this work suggests specific adaptation strategies and measures for livelihoods sustainability in each territory.

A consensus based vulnerability assessment to climate change in Germany

2015 ◽  
Vol 7 (3) ◽  
pp. 306-326 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stefan Greiving ◽  
Marc Zebisch ◽  
Stefan Schneiderbauer ◽  
Mark Fleischhauer ◽  
Christian Lindner ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Vulnerability Assessment ◽  
Action Plan ◽  
Adaptation Strategy ◽  
Scientific Output ◽  
Climatic Conditions ◽  
Assessment Procedure ◽  
Adaptation To Climate Change ◽  
Intergovernmental Panel ◽  
Content Type

Purpose – This paper aims to propose a collaborative approach toward an integrated vulnerability assessment to climate change in Germany that attempts to bridge the gap between scientific output and policy demand. Design/methodology/approach – Conceptually, the approach follows the definition of vulnerability as used by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, but it has modified this basic concept. It clearly distinguishes between three time slices (presence, near and remote future) not only regarding the change in the climatic conditions but also socio-economic development trends. Findings – The paper concentrates on the selected methodological framework, the collaborative research design and those preliminary results of the nationwide vulnerability assessment that are transferable to other settings. Practical implications – A Vulnerability Network (“Netzwerk Vulnerabilitaet”) emerged from an applied research project commissioned under the Adaptation Action Plan of the German Strategy for Adaptation to Climate Change by the Federal Ministry for the Environment, Nature Conservation, Building and Nuclear Safety and the Federal Environment Agency. The assessment serves as evidence basis for the implementation of the German Adaptation Strategy. Thus, all relevant federal authorities and agencies are represented in the Vulnerability Network. Originality/value – The approach is the first really integrative vulnerability assessment for the whole Germany, as it considers not only 16 sectors but also interconnections between these sectors and cumulative effects for three different time slices. Moreover, the normative component of the assessment was clearly separated from the analytic one. The Vulnerability Network as a whole has been responsible for all normative decisions to be taken during the assessment procedure thus ensuring a wide understanding and acceptance of commonly achieved results.

scholarly journals Projected Impact of Heat on Mortality and Labour Productivity under Climate Change in Switzerland

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zélie Stalhandske ◽  
Valentina Nesa ◽  
Marius Zumwald ◽  
Martina S. Ragettli ◽  
Alina Galimshina ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Labour Productivity ◽  
Spatially Explicit ◽  
Economic Costs ◽  
Intergovernmental Panel ◽  
Rcp Scenarios ◽  
Economic Changes ◽  
Hazard Exposure ◽  
Risk Framework ◽  
The Cost

Abstract. Extreme temperatures have reached unprecedented levels in many regions of the globe due to climate change anda further increase is expected. Besides other consequences, high temperatures increase the mortality risk and severely affectthe labour productivity of workers. We perform a high-resolution spatial analysis to assess the impacts of heat on mortality and labour productivity in Switzerland and project their development under different Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) scenarios, considering that no socio-economic changes takes place. The model is based on the risk framework of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), which combines the three risk components: Hazard, Exposure, and Vulnerability. We model the two impact categories in the same spatially explicit framework and we integrate uncertainties into the analysis through a Monte Carlo simulation. We model, that first, about 670 people die today per year because of heat in Switzerland. Second, the economic costs caused by losses in labour productivity amount to around CHF 413 million (approx. $ 465 million) per year. Should we remain on an RCP8.5 emissions pathway, these values may double (for mortality) or even triple (for labour productivity) by the end of the century. Under an RCP2.6 scenario impacts are expected to slightly increaseand peak around mid-century, when climate is assumed to stop warming. Even though uncertainties in the model are large, theunderlying trend in impacts is unequivocal. The results of the study are valuable information for political discussions and allowfor a better understanding of the cost of inaction.

scholarly journals Livelihood Vulnerability of Riverine-Island Dwellers in the Face of Natural Disasters in Bangladesh

2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (6) ◽  
pp. 1623 ◽  
Author(s):  
Md Sarker ◽  
Min Wu ◽  
G Alam ◽  
Roger Shouse
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Vulnerability Index ◽  
Flood Inundation ◽  
Intergovernmental Panel ◽  
Riverbank Erosion ◽  
The Face ◽  
Short And Long Term ◽  
Vulnerability Framework ◽  
Access To Food

Bangladesh is one of the most disaster-prone countries in the world. In particular, its riverine-island (char) dwellers face continuous riverbank erosion, frequent flooding, and other adverse effects of climate change that increase their vulnerability. This paper aims to assess the livelihood vulnerability of riverine communities by applying the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) vulnerability framework and the livelihood vulnerability index (LVI). Results indicate substantial variation in the vulnerability of char dwellers based on mainland proximity. The main drivers of livelihood vulnerability are char-dweller adaptation strategies and access to food and health services. The study further reveals that riverbank erosion, frequent flood inundation, and lack of employment and access to basic public services are the major social and natural drivers of livelihood vulnerability. Char-based policy focusing on short- and long-term strategy is required to reduce livelihood vulnerability and enhance char-dweller resilience.

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