scholarly journals Soft Computing Techniques for Weather Change Predictions in Delhi

Weather forecasting and warning is the application of science and technology to predict the state of the weather for a future time of a given location. The emergence of adverse effects of weather has endangered the life of general public in previous years. The unpredicted flood and super cyclone in many places have created havoc. The government and private agencies are working on its behaviours but still it is challenging and incomplete. But, the application of soft computing techniques in weather prediction has made a significant perfomance now a days. This research work presents the comparative study of soft computing techniques like MultiLayer Perceptron(MLP), Support Vector Machine(SVM) and J48 Decision Tree for forecasting the weather of Delhi with ten years data comprising of temperature, dew, humidity, air pressure, wind speed and visibility. This paper tries to describe the comparison among above models using four different error values like Relative Absolute Error(RAE), Mean Absolute Error(MAE), Root Mean Squared Error(RMSE) and Root Relative Squared Error(R2 ) with a proposed model by defining new algorithm. Further the performance can be enhanced if textmining will be applied in this proposed model.

2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
pp. 635 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yingli LV ◽  
Qui-Thao Le ◽  
Hoang-Bac Bui ◽  
Xuan-Nam Bui ◽  
Hoang Nguyen ◽  
...  

In this study, the ilmenite content in beach placer sand was estimated using seven soft computing techniques, namely random forest (RF), artificial neural network (ANN), k-nearest neighbors (kNN), cubist, support vector machine (SVM), stochastic gradient boosting (SGB), and classification and regression tree (CART). The 405 beach placer borehole samples were collected from Southern Suoi Nhum deposit, Binh Thuan province, Vietnam, to test the feasibility of these soft computing techniques in estimating ilmenite content. Heavy mineral analysis indicated that valuable minerals in the placer sand are zircon, ilmenite, leucoxene, rutile, anatase, and monazite. In this study, five materials, namely rutile, anatase, leucoxene, zircon, and monazite, were used as the input variables to estimate ilmenite content based on the above mentioned soft computing models. Of the whole dataset, 325 samples were used to build the regarded soft computing models; 80 remaining samples were used for the models’ verification. Root-mean-squared error (RMSE), determination coefficient (R2), a simple ranking method, and residuals analysis technique were used as the statistical criteria for assessing the model performances. The numerical experiments revealed that soft computing techniques are capable of estimating the content of ilmenite with high accuracy. The residuals analysis also indicated that the SGB model was the most suitable for determining the ilmenite content in the context of this research.


Author(s):  
Ahmed Hassan Mohammed Hassan ◽  
◽  
Arfan Ali Mohammed Qasem ◽  
Walaa Faisal Mohammed Abdalla ◽  
Omer H. Elhassan

Day by day, the accumulative incidence of COVID-19 is rapidly increasing. After the spread of the Corona epidemic and the death of more than a million people around the world countries, scientists and researchers have tended to conduct research and take advantage of modern technologies to learn machine to help the world to get rid of the Coronavirus (COVID-19) epidemic. To track and predict the disease Machine Learning (ML) can be deployed very effectively. ML techniques have been anticipated in areas that need to identify dangerous negative factors and define their priorities. The significance of a proposed system is to find the predict the number of people infected with COVID19 using ML. Four standard models anticipate COVID-19 prediction, which are Neural Network (NN), Support Vector Machines (SVM), Bayesian Network (BN) and Polynomial Regression (PR). The data utilized to test these models content of number of deaths, newly infected cases, and recoveries in the next 20 days. Five measures parameters were used to evaluate the performance of each model, namely root mean squared error (RMSE), mean squared error (MAE), mean absolute error (MSE), Explained Variance score and r2 score (R2). The significance and value of proposed system auspicious mechanism to anticipate these models for the current cenario of the COVID-19 epidemic. The results showed NN outperformed the other models, while in the available dataset the SVM performs poorly in all the prediction. Reference to our results showed that injuries will increase slightly in the coming days. Also, we find that the results give rise to hope due to the low death rate. For future perspective, case explanation and data amalgamation must be kept up persistently.


2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (3) ◽  
pp. 466-473
Author(s):  
Azam Zamhuri Fuadi ◽  
Irsyad Nashirul Haq ◽  
Edi Leksono

Predicted electricity consumption is needed to perform energy management. Electricity consumption prediction is also very important in the development of intelligent power grids and advanced electrification network information. we implement a Support Vector Machine (SVM) to predict electrical loads and results compared to measurable electrical loads. Laboratory electrical loads have their own characteristics when compared to residential, commercial, or industrial, we use electrical load data in energy management laboratories to be used to be predicted. C and Gamma as searchable parameters use GridSearchCV to get optimal SVM input parameters. Our prediction data is compared to measurement data and is searched for accuracy based on RMSE (Root Square Mean Error), MAE (Mean Absolute Error) and MSE (Mean Squared Error) values. Based on this we get the optimal parameter values C 1e6 and Gamma 2.97e-07, with the result RSME (Root Square Mean Error) ; 0.37, MAE (meaning absolute error); 0.21 and MSE (Mean Squared Error); 0.14.


Author(s):  
SONALI R. MAHAKALE ◽  
NILESHSINGH V. THAKUR

This paper deals with the comparative study of research work done in the field of Image Filtering. Different noises can affect the image in different ways. Although various solutions are available for denoising them, a detail study of the research is required in order to design a filter which will fulfill the desire aspects along with handling most of the image filtering issues. An output image should be judged on the basis of Image Quality Metrics for ex-: Peak-Signal-to-Noise ratio (PSNR), Mean Squared Error (MSE) and Mean Absolute Error (MAE) and Execution Time.


2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (5) ◽  
pp. 1047-1056
Author(s):  
Akshi Kumar ◽  
Arunima Jaiswal

Background: Sentiment analysis of big data such as Twitter primarily aids the organizations with the potential of surveying public opinions or emotions for the products and events associated with them. Objective: In this paper, we propose the application of a deep learning architecture namely the Convolution Neural Network. The proposed model is implemented on benchmark Twitter corpus (SemEval 2016 and SemEval 2017) and empirically analyzed with other baseline supervised soft computing techniques. The pragmatics of the work includes modelling the behavior of trained Convolution Neural Network on wellknown Twitter datasets for sentiment classification. The performance efficacy of the proposed model has been compared and contrasted with the existing soft computing techniques like Naïve Bayesian, Support Vector Machines, k-Nearest Neighbor, Multilayer Perceptron and Decision Tree using precision, accuracy, recall, and F-measure as key performance indicators. Methods: Majority of the studies emphasize on the utilization of feature mining using lexical or syntactic feature extraction that are often unequivocally articulated through words, emoticons and exclamation marks. Subsequently, CNN, a deep learning based soft computing technique is used to improve the sentiment classifier’s performance. Results: The empirical analysis validates that the proposed implementation of the CNN model outperforms the baseline supervised learning algorithms with an accuracy of around 87% to 88%. Conclusion: Statistical analysis validates that the proposed CNN model outperforms the existing techniques and thus can enhance the performance of sentiment classification viability and coherency.


2022 ◽  
pp. 1427-1448
Author(s):  
Mogari I. Rapoo ◽  
Elias Munapo ◽  
Martin M. Chanza ◽  
Olusegun Sunday Ewemooje

This chapter analyses efficiency of support vector regression (SVR), artificial neural networks (ANNs), and structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) models in terms of in-sample forecasting of portfolio inflows (PIs). Time series daily data sourced from Rand Merchant Bank (RMB) covering the period of 1st March 2004 to 1st February 2016 were used. Mean squared error, root mean squared error, mean absolute error, mean absolute squared error, and root mean scaled log error were used to evaluate model performance. The results showed that SVR has the best modelling performance when compared to others. In determining factors that affect allocation of PIs into South Africa based on SVAR, 69% of the variation was explained by pull factors while 9% was explained by push factor. Hence, SVR model is more accurate than ANNs. This chapter therefore recommends that banking sector particularly RMB should use machine learning technique in modelling PIs for a better financial solution.


Author(s):  
Gaurav Singh ◽  
Shivam Rai ◽  
Himanshu Mishra ◽  
Manoj Kumar

The prime objective of this work is to predicting and analysing the Covid-19 pandemic around the world using Machine Learning algorithms like Polynomial Regression, Support Vector Machine and Ridge Regression. And furthermore, assess and compare the performance of the varied regression algorithms as far as parameters like R squared, Mean Absolute Error, Mean Squared Error and Root Mean Squared Error. In this work, we have used the dataset available on Covid-19 Data Repository by the Center for Systems Science and Engineering (CSSE) at John Hopkins University. We have analyzed the covid19 cases from 22/1/2020 till now. We applied a supervised machine learning prediction model to forecast the possible confirmed cases for the next ten days.


2020 ◽  
Vol 5 (3) ◽  
pp. 43-53
Author(s):  
Nor Hayati Binti Shafii ◽  
Rohana Alias ◽  
Nur Fithrinnissaa Zamani ◽  
Nur Fatihah Fauzi

Air pollution is a current monitored problem in areas with high population density such as big cities. Many regions in Malaysia are facing extreme air quality issues. This situation is caused by several factors such as human behavior, environmental awareness and technological development.  Accessing the air pollution index (API) accurately is very important to control its impact on environmental and human health.  The work presented here aims to access air pollution index of PM2.5 using Support Vector Machine (SVM) and to compare the accuracy of four different types of the kernel function in Support Vector Machine (SVM).  The data used is provided by the Department of Environment (DOE) and it is recorded from two Continuous Air Quality Monitoring Stations (CAQM) located at Tanah Merah and Kota Bharu. The results are analyzed using mean absolute error (MAE) and root mean squared error (RMSE). It is found that the proposed model using Radial Basis Function (RBF) with its parameters of cost and gamma equal to 100 can effectively and accurately forecast the air pollution index with Mean Absolute Error (MAE) and Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) of 0.03868583 and 0.06251793 respectively for API in Kota Bharu and 0.03857308 (MAE) and 0.05895648 (RMSE) for API in Tanah Merah.


2020 ◽  
Vol 17 (9) ◽  
pp. 4703-4708
Author(s):  
K. Anitha Kumari ◽  
Avinash Sharma ◽  
S. Nivethitha ◽  
V. Dharini ◽  
V. Sanjith ◽  
...  

Electrical appliances most commonly consist of two electrical devices, namely, electrical motors and transformers. Typically, electrical motors are normally used in all sort of industrial purposes. Failures of such motors results in serious problems, such as overheat, shut down and even burnt, in their host systems. Thus, more attention have to be paid in detecting the outliers. In a similar way, to avoid the unexpected power reliability problems and system damages, the prediction of the failures in the transformers is expected to quantify the impacts. By predicting the failures, the lifetime of the transformers increases and unnecessary accidents is avoided. Therefore, this paper presents the detection of the outliers in electrical motors and failures in transformers using supervised machine learning algorithms. Machine learning techniques such as Support Vector Machine (SVM), Random Forest (RF) and regression techniques like Support Vector Regression (SVR), Polynomial Regression (PR) are used to analyze the use cases of different motor specifications. Evaluation and the efficiency of findings are proved by considering accuracy, precision, F-measure, and recall for motors. Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Mean Squared Error (MSE), Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) and R-squared Error (R2) are considered as metrics for transformers. The proposed approach helps to identify the anomalies like vibration loss, copper loss and overheating in the industrial motor and to determine the abnormal functioning of the transformer that in turn leads to ascertain the lifetime. The proposed system analyses the behaviour of the electrical machines using the energy meter data and reports the outliers to users. It also analyses the abnormalities occurring in the transformer using the parameters involved in the degradation of the paper-oil insulation system and the voltage of operation as a whole leads to the predict the lifetime.


Repositor ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (4) ◽  
pp. 525
Author(s):  
Rima Mediana ◽  
Setio Basuki ◽  
Nur Hayatin

AbstrakPeranan listrik sangat penting bagi kehidupan masyarakat, begitu pentingnya peranan listrik tentu saja berdampak pada kebutuhan listrik yang begitu besar, maka PT. PLN (Persero) Rayon Seririt sebagai penyedia tenaga listrik harus bisa memprediksi besarnya peggunaan listrik rumah tangga setiap harinya. Selain itu menyebabkan semakin besar pula pemakian kwh listik, apabila pemakaian kwh listrik tidak diolah dengan baik akan menimbulkan beban energi listrik yang tidak terbendung. Dengan permasalahan yang telah diuraikan, penelitian ini menerapkan algoritma Support Vector Regression dalam Prediksi Pemakain KWH Listrik untuk mengetahui besarnya pemakaian kwh listrik yang akan datang. Berdasarkan hasil pengujian yang dilakukan hasil nilai akurasi terbaik Mean Absolute Error (MAE) sebesar 133560,1, Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) sebesar 167664,1, dan Koefisien Korelasi sebesar 84,0 pada kernel polynomial. Sehingga algoritma Support Vector Regression dan fungsi kernel Radial Basis Function (RBF) cocok digunakan dalam memprediksi pemakaian kwh listrik.AbstractThe role of electricity is really significant for societies' live and it brings the huge impacts on the needs of electricity. This circumstance makes PT. PLN (Persero) Rayon Seririt as the provider of electricity must be able to predict the amount of household electricity usage steadily. This also causes the greater use of kwh electricity, if the use of kwh electricity is not treated properly, it will cause the burden of electrical energy is unstoppable.  Through the problems that have been elaborated, this study implements the Support Vector Regression algorithm in the prediction of kwh electricity usage to know the amount of  kwh electricity usage that will come.Based on the results of tests that have been conducted,  the result of best accuracy value Mean Absolute Error (MAE) equal to 133560,1, Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) equal to 133560,1, and Correlation Coefficient equal to 84,0 at Radial Base Function kernel. It means, the Support Vector Regression algorithm and Radial Basis Function kernel function (RBF) are suitable to predict the use of kwh electricity.


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