scholarly journals A stacked deep convolutional neural network to predict the remaining useful life of a turbofan engine

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
David Solís-Martín ◽  
Juan Galán-Páez ◽  
Joaquín Borrego-Díaz
Keyword(s):  
Feature Vector ◽  
Remaining Useful Life ◽  
Bayesian Optimization ◽  
Data Driven ◽  
Aircraft Engines ◽  
Deep Convolutional Neural Networks ◽  
Turbofan Engine ◽  
The Third ◽  
Useful Life ◽  
Low Dimensional

This paper presents the data-driven techniques and methodologies used to predict the remaining useful life (RUL) of a fleet of aircraft engines that can suffer failures of diverse nature. The solution presented is based on two Deep Convolutional Neural Networks (DCNN) stacked in two levels. The first DCNN is used to extract a low-dimensional feature vector using the normalized raw data as input. The second DCNN ingests a list of vectors taken from the former DCNN and estimates the RUL. Model selection was carried out by means of Bayesian optimization using a repeated random subsampling validation approach. The proposed methodology was ranked in the third place of the 2021 PHM Conference Data Challenge.

scholarly journals Aircraft Engines Remaining Useful Life Prediction with an Improved Online Sequential Extreme Learning Machine

2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (3) ◽  
pp. 1062 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tarek Berghout ◽  
Leïla-Hayet Mouss ◽  
Ouahab Kadri ◽  
Lotfi Saïdi ◽  
Mohamed Benbouzid
Keyword(s):  
Extreme Learning Machine ◽  
Life Prediction ◽  
Remaining Useful Life ◽  
Data Driven ◽  
Selection Strategy ◽  
Mapping Technique ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Aircraft Engines ◽  
Useful Life ◽  
Learning Machine

The efficient data investigation for fast and accurate remaining useful life prediction of aircraft engines can be considered as a very important task for maintenance operations. In this context, the key issue is how an appropriate investigation can be conducted for the extraction of important information from data-driven sequences in high dimensional space in order to guarantee a reliable conclusion. In this paper, a new data-driven learning scheme based on an online sequential extreme learning machine algorithm is proposed for remaining useful life prediction. Firstly, a new feature mapping technique based on stacked autoencoders is proposed to enhance features representations through an accurate reconstruction. In addition, to attempt into addressing dynamic programming based on environmental feedback, a new dynamic forgetting function based on the temporal difference of recursive learning is introduced to enhance dynamic tracking ability of newly coming data. Moreover, a new updated selection strategy was developed in order to discard the unwanted data sequences and to ensure the convergence of the training model parameters to their appropriate values. The proposed approach is validated on the C-MAPSS dataset where experimental results confirm that it yields satisfactory accuracy and efficiency of the prediction model compared to other existing methods.

scholarly journals Data-Driven Deep Learning-Based Attention Mechanism for Remaining Useful Life Prediction: Case Study Application to Turbofan Engine Analysis

Electronics ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (20) ◽  
pp. 2453
Author(s):  
Amgad Muneer ◽  
Shakirah Mohd Taib ◽  
Sheraz Naseer ◽  
Rao Faizan Ali ◽  
Izzatdin Abdul Aziz
Keyword(s):  
Time Window ◽  
Attention Mechanism ◽  
Remaining Useful Life ◽  
Data Driven ◽  
Sensor Data ◽  
Prognostic Models ◽  
Prediction Ability ◽  
Turbofan Engine ◽  
Useful Life ◽  
Engine System

Accurately predicting the remaining useful life (RUL) of the turbofan engine is of great significance for improving the reliability and safety of the engine system. Due to the high dimension and complex features of sensor data in RUL prediction, this paper proposes four data-driven prognostic models based on deep neural networks (DNNs) with an attention mechanism. To improve DNN feature extraction, data are prepared using a sliding time window technique. The raw data collected after normalizing is simply fed into the suggested network, requiring no prior knowledge of prognostics or signal processing and simplifying the proposed method’s applicability. In order to verify the RUL prediction ability of the proposed DNN techniques, the C-MAPSS benchmark dataset of the turbofan engine system is validated. The experimental results showed that the developed long short-term memory (LSTM) model with attention mechanism achieved accurate RUL prediction in both scenarios with a high degree of robustness and generalization ability. Furthermore, the proposed model performance outperforms several state-of-the-art prognosis methods, where the LSTM-based model with attention mechanism achieved an RMSE of 12.87 and 11.23 for FD002 and FD003 subset of data, respectively.

scholarly journals Remaining Useful Life Prediction of MOSFETs via the Takagi–Sugeno Framework

Energies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (8) ◽  
pp. 2135
Author(s):  
Marcin Witczak ◽  
Marcin Mrugalski ◽  
Bogdan Lipiec
Keyword(s):  
Historical Data ◽  
Field Effect Transistors ◽  
Failure Process ◽  
Practical Method ◽  
Remaining Useful Life ◽  
Data Driven ◽  
Data Repository ◽  
Uncertainty Interval ◽  
Useful Life ◽  
Takagi Sugeno

The paper presents a new method of predicting the remaining useful life of technical devices. The proposed soft computing approach bridges the gap between analytical and data-driven health prognostic approaches. Whilst the former ones are based on the classical exponential shape of degradation, the latter ones learn the degradation behavior from the observed historical data. As a result of the proposed fusion, a practical method for calculating components’ remaining useful life is proposed. Contrarily to the approaches presented in the literature, the proposed ensemble of analytical and data-driven approaches forms the uncertainty interval containing an expected remaining useful life. In particular, a Takagi–Sugeno multiple models-based framework is used as a data-driven approach while an exponential curve fitting on-line approach serves as an analytical one. Unlike conventional data-driven methods, the proposed approach is designed on the basis of the historical data that apart from learning is also applied to support the diagnostic decisions. Finally, the entire scheme is used to predict power Metal Oxide Field Effect Transistors’ (MOSFETs) health status. The status of the currently operating MOSFET is determined taking into consideration the knowledge obtained from the preceding MOSFETs, which went through the run-to-failure process. Finally, the proposed approach is validated with the application of real data obtained from the NASA Ames Prognostics Data Repository.

scholarly journals An SW-ELM Based Remaining Useful Life Prognostic Approach for Aircraft Engines

2020 ◽  
Vol 53 (2) ◽  
pp. 13601-13606
Author(s):  
Dingzhou Peng ◽  
Shen Yin ◽  
Kuan Li ◽  
Hao Luo
Keyword(s):  
Remaining Useful Life ◽  
Aircraft Engines ◽  
Useful Life

scholarly journals A Genetic Algorithm Optimized RNN-LSTM Model for Remaining Useful Life Prediction of Turbofan Engine

Electronics ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (3) ◽  
pp. 285
Author(s):  
Kwok Tai Chui ◽  
Brij B. Gupta ◽  
Pandian Vasant
Keyword(s):  
Genetic Algorithm ◽  
Feature Extraction ◽  
Prediction Model ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
Remaining Useful Life ◽  
Prediction Algorithm ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Turbofan Engine ◽  
Term Prediction ◽  
Useful Life

Understanding the remaining useful life (RUL) of equipment is crucial for optimal predictive maintenance (PdM). This addresses the issues of equipment downtime and unnecessary maintenance checks in run-to-failure maintenance and preventive maintenance. Both feature extraction and prediction algorithm have played crucial roles on the performance of RUL prediction models. A benchmark dataset, namely Turbofan Engine Degradation Simulation Dataset, was selected for performance analysis and evaluation. The proposal of the combination of complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition and wavelet packet transform for feature extraction could reduce the average root-mean-square error (RMSE) by 5.14–27.15% compared with six approaches. When it comes to the prediction algorithm, the results of the RUL prediction model could be that the equipment needs to be repaired or replaced within a shorter or a longer period of time. Incorporating this characteristic could enhance the performance of the RUL prediction model. In this paper, we have proposed the RUL prediction algorithm in combination with recurrent neural network (RNN) and long short-term memory (LSTM). The former takes the advantages of short-term prediction whereas the latter manages better in long-term prediction. The weights to combine RNN and LSTM were designed by non-dominated sorting genetic algorithm II (NSGA-II). It achieved average RMSE of 17.2. It improved the RMSE by 6.07–14.72% compared with baseline models, stand-alone RNN, and stand-alone LSTM. Compared with existing works, the RMSE improvement by proposed work is 12.95–39.32%.

A Clustering-Based Framework for Performance Degradation Prediction of Slewing Bearing Using Multiple Physical Signals

2019 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Peng Ding ◽  
Hua Wang ◽  
Yongfen Dai
Keyword(s):  
Degradation Process ◽  
Remaining Useful Life ◽  
Data Driven ◽  
Self Organizing Map ◽  
Rolling Bearings ◽  
Heavy Load ◽  
Joint Application ◽  
Learning Modes ◽  
Useful Life ◽  
Slewing Bearings

Diagnosing the failure or predicting the performance state of low-speed and heavy-load slewing bearings is a practical and effective method to reduce unexpected stoppage or optimize the maintenances. Many literatures focus on the performance prediction of small rolling bearings, while studies on slewing bearings' health evaluation are very rare. Among these rare studies, supervised or unsupervised data-driven models are often used alone, few researchers devote to remaining useful life (RUL) prediction using the joint application of two learning modes which could fully take diversity and complexity of slewing bearings' degradation and damage into consideration. Therefore, this paper proposes a clustering-based framework with aids of supervised models and multiple physical signals. Correlation analysis and principle component analysis (PCA)-based multiple sensitive features in time-domain are used to establish the performance recession indicators (PRIs) of torque, temperature, and vibration. Subsequently, these three indicators are divided into several parts representing different degradation periods via optimized self-organizing map (OSOM). Finally, corresponding data-driven life models of these degradation periods are generated. Experimental results indicate that multiple physical signals can effectively describe the degradation process. The proposed clustering-based framework is provided with a more accurate prediction of slewing bearings' RUL and well reflects the performance recession periods.

Multi-Sensor Data-Driven Remaining Useful Life Prediction of Semi-Observable Systems

2020 ◽  
pp. 1-1
Author(s):  
Naipeng Li ◽  
Yaguo Lei ◽  
Nagi Gebraeel ◽  
Zhijian Wang ◽  
Xiao Cai ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Life Prediction ◽  
Remaining Useful Life ◽  
Data Driven ◽  
Sensor Data ◽  
Useful Life
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