Analisis Pengaruh Perdagangan Internasional terhadap GDP (Gross Domestic Product) Indonesia (Periode 2011-2016)

2020 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 34-42
Author(s):  
ANDI TRIYAWAN ◽  
Amalia Syafira Novitasari
Keyword(s):  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Term Effect ◽  
Domestic Product ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Short Term Effect

The purpose of this study were determine: (1) The short term effect of export and import of Indonesia years 2011-2016, (2) The most dominant variable which affect to GDP (Gross Domestic Product) of Indonesia years 2011-2016. The data were collection of this study is taken from BPS. Meanwhile, the data were collected throught documentation. Based on regrecy, it’s known that internasional trade affects negatively and significantly to the GDP (Gross Domestic Product) either long term or short term.

scholarly journals Analysis of The Effect of Gross Domestic Product, Exchange Rate, and Inflation on Balance of Payments in Indonesia

2019 ◽  
Vol 6 (10) ◽  
pp. 361-374
Author(s):  
Muammar Rinaldi ◽  
Shinta Arida Hutagalung ◽  
Muhammad Fitri Rahmadana
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Error Correction ◽  
Balance Of Payments ◽  
Domestic Product ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Independent Variables ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
The Exchange Rate

This study aims to analyze the effect of the short and long term gross domestic product, exchange rate, and inflation on Indonesia's balance of payments. The data used in this study are secondary data which is obtained indirectly with the period of 1995 to 2015. Data sources were obtained from Bank Indonesia and the Central Bureau of Statistics. The data collection method used in this study with the indirect method is documentation through recording or copying data from Bank Indonesia and the Central Bureau of Statistics. The analysis model used is Error Correction Mechanism (ECM). The results of this study indicate that the regression model of the Autoregressive Distributed Lag Model (ARDL) for the long term and Error Correction Model (ECM) regarding the effect of independent variables such as Interest Rates, Gross Domestic Product and Inflation Against the Dependent dependent variable in Indonesia, then it can some conclusions are presented, namely from several independent variables that are tried and included in the savings equation in Indonesia using the Autoregressive Distributed Lag Model (ARDL) for the long term and Error Correction Model (ECM) for the short term, namely the gross domestic product variable, the inflation rate, and exchange rate. In the long run there are 2 (two) significant variables, namely gross domestic product and the exchange rate. While inflation is not significant. For the short term, there is 1 (one) significant variable, namely the exchange rate. Thus, only exchange rate variables are significant in both the short and long term. With only 1 (one) significant independent variable both in the long term and short term, it can be concluded that the exchange rate in the long term and short term is the main determining factor that affects the Balance of Payments in Indonesia. In the long run, Independent variables such as Gross Domestic Product and the exchange rate on the dependent variable Balance of Payments in Indonesia have a significant effect on the dependent variable Balance of Payments. Whereas in the short run, the exchange rate variable has a significant effect, and for other independent variables such as the GDP variable and the inflation rate does not have a significant effect.

scholarly journals Dynamic Effects of Foreign Portfolio Investment on Economic Growth in Nigeria

2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (3) ◽  
pp. 5-12
Author(s):  
O.W. Toyin ◽  
Ad. E. Oludayol
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Foreign Investment ◽  
Domestic Product ◽  
Distributed Model ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Foreign Portfolio Investment ◽  
Domestic Savings ◽  
The Relationship

The slow growth rate and the deficit of full-fledged financial security have created the preconditions for studying the relationship between foreign investment and economic growth. In previous literature, key emphases on this issue were studied in the short term and in terms of static functioning of the economy. Thus, this article purposely studied the dynamic nature of the development of the relationship between foreign investment and economic growth in Nigeria from 1980 to 2018. The use of the Augmented-Dickey Fuller test confirmed the precondition for adopting dynamic techniques to test the significant role of foreign portfolio investment (among other analyzed factors – domestic savings, government capital expenditures, market capitalization) in the formation of gross domestic product. The use of the lag selection method allowed to determine the optimal lag for estimating the autoregressive distributed model, which substantiates the effectiveness and reliability of the autoregressive distributed lag model. The information base of the study was the statistical bulletin of the Central Bank of Nigeria. The results of empirical estimations in the short term showed that domestic savings had significant and negative impact on gross domestic product. The study empirically confirms and theoretically proves that foreign investment, domestic savings, government spending and market capitalization determine long-term trends in gross domestic product formation in Nigeria. Practically, the empirical result revealed that the presence of a significant deficit of domestic savings in Nigeria creates obstacles to successful economic growth in the country both in the short and long term; portfolio foreign investment accelerates economic growth in the long run to a greater extent than in the short run. Keywords: autoregressive distributed model, Dickie-Fuller test, economic growth, foreign investment, double gap theory.

Controversial Issues of the Pharmacotherapy of the Hyperactive Child

1981 ◽  
Vol 26 (6) ◽  
pp. 385-392 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gabrielle Weiss
Keyword(s):  
Large Body ◽  
Term Effect ◽  
Hyperactive Child ◽  
Controversial Issues ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Short Term Effect ◽  
Hyperactive Children ◽  
Clinical Questions ◽  
Theoretical Issues

This paper, which forms part of a symposium on Paediatric Psychopharmacology, selects for discussion certain practical and theoretical issues related to the use of Stimulant Therapy for Hyperactive Children. The particular issues selected relate to important clinical questions, most of which have been the focus of recent research. Amongst the controversial issues chosen for discussion is the fact that while the short term effect of stimulants on symptoms of the hyperactive syndrome is well established, the long term efficacy and the effect of stimulants on improving the prognosis of this syndrome remains uncertain. It is concluded that the large body of research on the use of stimulants for hyperactive children has finally answered some long standing questions, but many gaps of knowledge remain and further research is required.

scholarly journals Examining the Export-led Growth Hypothesis: The case of Croatia

2015 ◽  
Vol 61 (3) ◽  
pp. 22-31 ◽  
Author(s):  
Vlatka Bilas ◽  
Mile Bošnjak ◽  
Sanja Franc
Keyword(s):  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Equilibrium State ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Domestic Product ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Goods And Services ◽  
Subsequent Period ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Growth Hypothesis

Abstract This paper examines the relationship between gross domestic product and exports of goods and services in Croatia between 1996 and 2012. The research results confirmed unidirectional Granger causality from the exports of goods and services to gross domestic product. Following the Engle-Granger approach to cointegration, long-term equilibrium as well as short-term correlation between the observed variables was identified. Exports of goods and services and gross domestic product (GDP) in Croatia move together. If the two observed variables move away from equilibrium, they will return to their long-term equilibrium state at a velocity of 24.46% in the subsequent period. In accordance with the results, we found evidence supporting the export-led growth hypothesis in Croatia. As the outcomes indicated, to recover the economy, Croatia should put more emphasis on the development of exporting sectors.

scholarly journals PENGARUH TINGKAT PEMBIAYAAN PERBANKAN SYARIAH, JUB DAN PDB TERHADAP SBI SYARIAH PERIODE 2003-2013 DENGAN PENDEKATAN ECM

INFERENSI ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
pp. 267
Author(s):  
Fitri Amalia
Keyword(s):  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Economic Indicators ◽  
Domestic Product ◽  
Islamic Banking ◽  
Research Use ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Independent Variable

The purpose of this research is to analyze in the short term and long term betweenthree independent variable namely: Islamic Banking Financing, Money Supply(JUB) and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) against Certificates of Bank IndonesiaSharia (SBIS), a period of 2003-2013.The data used in this research is data quarterly(per three months) of march 2003 until september 2013 which are obtainedfrom the monthly reports economic indicators of the Badan Pusat Statistik andmonthly reports macro of Bank Indonesia.This research use Error CorrectionModel approach to see the short-term and long-term relationship between theindependent variable against the dependent variable. The result showed in thelong term only variable Islamic Banking Financing affect Certificates of BankIndonesia Sharia (SBIS ).While in the short-term Certificates of Bank IndonesiaSharia (SBIS ) affected Islamic Banking Financing and Gross Domestic Product.

scholarly journals Faktor-Faktor Yang Mempengaruhi Impor Kedelai di Indonesia

2018 ◽  
Vol 1 (3) ◽  
pp. 224-229
Author(s):  
Ganang Sukma Buana ◽  
Rusdarti Rusdarti
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Import Price ◽  
Domestic Product ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Analysis Tool ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Soybean Price ◽  
Short And Long Term

This study aims to determine the effect of independent variables (soybean production, soybean consumption, gross domestic product, local soybean price and imported soybean price) to the dependent variable (import of soybean) both in the short and long term. This study uses time series or time series data. The analytical model used is an econometric analysis tool error correction model ECM and OLS. This model can explain both short-term and long-term behavior. The result of the research shows that (1) the production variable in the short term does not have an effect, while in the long run it has negative and significant effect to the import of Indonesian soybean. (2) consumption variables in the short and long term have a positive and significant influence to Indonesian soybean import. (3) Gross domestic product in both the short and long term do not affect the import of soybean. (4) local price variables in the short and long term have a positive and significant effect on Indonesian soybean import. (5) import price variable in the short term has a negative effect while in the long term does not affect the import of Indonesian soybean. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui pengaruh variabel independen (produksi kedelai, konsumsi kedelai,  produk domestik bruto, harga kedelai lokal dan harga kedelai impor) terhadap variabel dependen (impor kedelai) baik dalam jangka pendek maupun jangka panjang. Penelitian ini menggunakan data runtun waktu atau time series. Model analisis yang digunakan adalah alat analisis ekonometrika model koreksi kesalahan ECM dan OLS. Model ini dapat menjelaskan perilaku jangka pendek maupun jangka panjang. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan (1) variabel produksi dalam jangka pendek tidak berpengaruh sedangkan pada jangka panjang berpengaruh negatif dan signifikan terhadap impor kedelai Indonesia. (2) variabel konsumsi dalam jangka pendek maupun jangka panjang berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap impor kedelai Indonesia. (3) Variabel produk domestik bruto dalam jangka pendek maupun jangka panjang  tidak berpengaruh dengan impor kedelai. (4) variabel harga lokal dalam jangka pendek maupun jangka panjang berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap impor kedelai Indonesia. (5) variabel harga impor dalam jangka pendek berpengaruh  negatif sedangkan pada jangka panjang tidak berpengaruh terhadap impor kedelai Indonesia.

scholarly journals FAKTOR-FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI NILAI TUKAR RUPIAH TERHADAP DOLAR AMERIKA DENGAN MODEL KOREKSI KESALAHAN ENGLE-GRANGER (PENDEKATAN MONETER)

2017 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 162
Author(s):  
Eni Setyowati
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Foreign Exchange ◽  
Domestic Product ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Demand And Supply ◽  
Real Gross Domestic Product

Exchange rate measures the value of a certain foreign exchange from other foreign exchange's perspective. As the condition of economic changes, the exchange rate ma change substantially. The decrease of the value of a foreign exchange is called depreciation and the increase value of a foreign exchange is called appreciation.The equilibrium exchange rate will change along with the change of demand and supply. Factors causing the change of demand and supply curve among others are the amount of money supply, relative gross domestic product (GDP) and the level of relative interest rate.The research is aimed to analyze the influence of variables of Indonesian money supply, American money supply, Indonesian real Gross Domestic Product, American real Gross Domestic Product, deposits interest rate and LIBOR (London Interbank Offer Rates on SDR Deposit) both in short and long terms.One of the ways to analyze the influence of short term and long term is by developing the dynamic model. In this research, the analyzes of dynamic model was conducted with ENGEL-GRANGER ERROR CORRECTION MODEL approach which was developed by ENGEL-GRANGER (1987) based on GRANGER REPRESENTATION THEOREM.The ECM analyzes was chosen not only because of its ability to solve the problem of time series which is not stationer, and spurious regression and spurious correlation in the economic analyses but also its ability to discuss the consistence of empiric model with economic theory. Beside, ECM concept is also thought to be more realistic in observing the development of economics variables from the result of the analyzes during the time of observation. It was known that long-term exchange rate is influenced by Indonesia real Gross Domestic Product and the number of Indonesian money supply. The variable of Indonesian real Gross Domestic showed the significant result and the signal test was convenient with the theory. The variable which influence" short term exchange rate are the amount of Indonesian money supply, Indonesian real Gross Domestic Product, and Indonesian deposit interest rate. The three variables showed the significant result and the signal test was convenient with the theory.

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