scholarly journals Forecasting the Confidence Interval of Efficiency in Fuzzy DEA

2021 ◽  
Vol 31 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Azarnoosh Kafi ◽  
Behrouz Daneshian ◽  
Mohsen Rostamy-Malkhalifeh
Keyword(s):  
Confidence Interval ◽  
Geometric Mean ◽  
Decision Makers ◽  
Data Sets ◽  
Data Envelopment ◽  
Future Time ◽  
Dea Models ◽  
Time Periods ◽  
Fuzzy Dea ◽  
Decision Making Units

Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) is a well-known method that based on inputs and outputs calculates the efficiency of decision-making units (DMUs). Comparing the efficiency and ranking of DMUs in different time periods lets the decision makers to prevent any loss in the productivity of units and improve the production planning. Despite the merits of DEA models, they are not able to forecast the efficiency of future time periods with known input/output records of the DMUs. With this end in view, this study aims at proposing a forecasting algorithm with a 95% confidence interval to generate fuzzy data sets for future time periods. Moreover, managers’ opinions are inserted in the proposed forecasting model. Equipped with the forecasted data sets and with respect to the data sets from previous periods, this model can rightly forecast the efficiency of the future time periods. The proposed procedure also employs the simple geometric mean to discriminate between efficient units. Examples from a real case including 20 automobile firms show the applicability of the proposed algorithm.

Fuzzy integer-valued data envelopment analysis

2018 ◽  
Vol 52 (4-5) ◽  
pp. 1429-1444 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sohrab Kordrostami ◽  
Alireza Amirteimoori ◽  
Monireh Jahani Sayyad Noveiri
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Data Envelopment Analysis ◽  
Real World ◽  
Data Envelopment ◽  
First Case ◽  
Dea Models ◽  
Analysis Models ◽  
Fuzzy Dea ◽  
Decision Making Units ◽  
Provided Examples

In conventional data envelopment analysis (DEA) models, the efficiency of decision making units (DMUs) is evaluated while data are precise and continuous. Nevertheless, there are occasions in the real world that the performance of DMUs must be calculated in the presence of vague and integer-valued measures. Therefore, the current paper proposes fuzzy integer-valued data envelopment analysis (FIDEA) models to determine the efficiency of DMUs when fuzzy and integer-valued inputs and/or outputs might exist. To illustrate, fuzzy number ranking and graded mean integration representation methods are used to solve some integer-valued data envelopment analysis models in the presence of fuzzy inputs and outputs. Two examples are utilized to illustrate and clarify the proposed approaches. In the provided examples, two cases are discussed. In the first case, all data are as fuzzy and integer-valued measures while in the second case a subset of data is fuzzy and integer-valued. The results of the proposed models indicate that the efficiency scores are calculated correctly and the projections of fuzzy and integer factors are determined as integer values, while this issue has not been discussed in fuzzy DEA, and projections may be estimated as real-valued data.

scholarly journals New inverse DEA models for budgeting and planning

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tahere Sayar ◽  
Mojtaba Ghiyasi ◽  
Jafar Fathali
Keyword(s):  
Planning Process ◽  
Efficiency Score ◽  
Decision Makers ◽  
Data Envelopment ◽  
Input And Output ◽  
Proposed Model ◽  
Dea Models ◽  
Business Sectors ◽  
Input Level ◽  
Decision Making Units

Data envelopment analysis (DEA) measures the efficiency score of a set of homogeneous decision-making units (DMUs) based on observed input and output. Considering input-oriented, the inverse DEA models find the required input level for producing a given amount of production in the current efficiency level. This article proposes a new form of the inverse DEA model considering income (for planning) and budget (for finance and budgeting) constraints. In contrast with the classical inverse model, both input and output levels are variable in proposed models to meet income (or budget) constraints. Proposed models help decision-makers (DMs) to find the required value of each input and each output's income share to meet the income or budget constraint. We apply the proposed model in the efficiency analysis of 58 supermarkets belonging to the same chain. However, these methods are general and can be used in the budgeting and planning process of any production system, including business sectors and firms that provide services.

scholarly journals Measuring the Productivity of Energy Consumption of Major Industries in China: A DEA-Based Method

2014 ◽  
Vol 2014 ◽  
pp. 1-12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xishuang Han ◽  
Xiaolong Xue ◽  
Jiaoju Ge ◽  
Hengqin Wu ◽  
Chang Su
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Energy Consumption ◽  
Data Envelopment Analysis ◽  
Malmquist Productivity Index ◽  
Productivity Index ◽  
Productivity Change ◽  
Data Envelopment ◽  
Policy Makers ◽  
Time Periods ◽  
Decision Making Units

Data envelopment analysis can be applied to measure the productivity of multiple input and output decision-making units. In addition, the data envelopment analysis-based Malmquist productivity index can be used as a tool for measuring the productivity change during different time periods. In this paper, we use an input-oriented model to measure the energy consumption productivity change from 1999 to 2008 of fourteen industry sectors in China as decision-making units. The results show that there are only four sectors that experienced effective energy consumption throughout the whole reference period. It also shows that these sectors always lie on the efficiency frontier of energy consumption as benchmarks. The other ten sectors experienced inefficiency in some two-year time periods and the productivity changes were not steady. The data envelopment analysis-based Malmquist productivity index provides a good way to measure the energy consumption and can give China's policy makers the information to promote their strategy of sustainable development.

Forecast of the efficiency confidence interval of decision-making units in data envelopment analysis

2020 ◽  
Vol 33 (02) ◽  
pp. 431-445
Author(s):  
Azarnoosh Kafi ◽  
Behrouz Daneshian ◽  
Mohsen Rostamy-Malkhalifeh ◽  
Mohsen Rostamy-Malkhalifeh
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Data Envelopment Analysis ◽  
Confidence Interval ◽  
Data Envelopment ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Interval Model ◽  
Time Period ◽  
Proposed Model ◽  
The Future ◽  
Decision Making Units

Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) is a well-known method for calculating the efficiency of Decision-Making Units (DMUs) based on their inputs and outputs. When the data is known and in the form of an interval in a given time period, this method can calculate the efficiency interval. Unfortunately, DEA is not capable of forecasting and estimating the efficiency confidence interval of the units in the future. This article, proposes a efficiency forecasting algorithm along with 95% confidence interval to generate interval data set for the next time period. What’s more, the manager’s opinion inserts and plays its role in the proposed forecasting model. Equipped with forecasted data set and with respect to data set from previous periods, the efficiency for the future period can be forecasted. This is done by proposing a proposed model and solving it by the confidence interval method. The proposed method is then implemented on the data of an automotive industry and, it is compared with the Monte Carlo simulation methods and the interval model. Using the results, it is shown that the proposed method works better to forecast the efficiency confidence interval. Finally, the efficiency and confidence interval of 95% is calculated for the upcoming period using the proposed model.

scholarly journals Dealing with Interval DEA Based on Error Propagation and Entropy: A Case Study of Energy Efficiency of Regions in China Considering Environmental Factors

2015 ◽  
Vol 3 (6) ◽  
pp. 538-548 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jianping Fan ◽  
Weizhen Yue ◽  
Meiqin Wu
Keyword(s):  
Energy Efficiency ◽  
Environmental Factors ◽  
Error Propagation ◽  
Interval Data ◽  
Data Envelopment ◽  
Exact Data ◽  
Dea Models ◽  
Traditional Approaches ◽  
Decision Making Units

AbstractThe conventional data envelopment analysis (DEA) measures the relative efficiency of decision making units (DMUs) consuming multiple inputs to produce multiple outputs under the assumption that all the data are exact. In the real world, however, it is possible to obtain interval data rather than exact data because of various limitations, such as statistical errors and incomplete information, et al. To overcome those limitations, researchers have proposed kinds of approaches dealing with interval DEA, which either use traditional DEA models by transforming interval data into exact data or get an efficiency interval by using the bound of interval data. In contrast to the traditional approaches above, the paper deals with interval DEA by combining traditional DEA models with error propagation and entropy, uses idea of the modified cross efficiency to get the ultimate cross efficiency of DMUs in the form of error distribution and ranks DMUs using the calculated ultimate cross efficiency by directional distance index. At last we illustrate the feasibility and effectiveness of the proposed method by applying it to measure energy efficiency of regions in China considering environmental factors.

scholarly journals A Range Adjusted Measure of Super-Efficiency in Integer-Valued Data Envelopment Analysis with Undesirable Outputs

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (4) ◽  
pp. 378-398
Author(s):  
Chunhua Chen ◽  
Haohua Liu ◽  
Lijun Tang ◽  
Jianwei Ren
Keyword(s):  
Data Envelopment Analysis ◽  
Transportation Systems ◽  
Decision Makers ◽  
Data Envelopment ◽  
Undesirable Outputs ◽  
Super Efficiency ◽  
Dea Model ◽  
Dea Models ◽  
Analysis Models ◽  
Transport Accidents

Abstract DEA (data envelopment analysis) models can be divided into two groups: Radial DEA and non-radial DEA, and the latter has higher discriminatory power than the former. The range adjusted measure (RAM) is an effective and widely used non-radial DEA approach. However, to the best of our knowledge, there is no literature on the integer-valued super-efficiency RAM-DEA model, especially when undesirable outputs are included. We first propose an integer-valued RAM-DEA model with undesirable outputs and then extend this model to an integer-valued super-efficiency RAM-DEA model with undesirable outputs. Compared with other DEA models, the two novel models have many advantages: 1) They are non-oriented and non-radial DEA models, which enable decision makers to simultaneously and non-proportionally improve inputs and outputs; 2) They can handle integer-valued variables and undesirable outputs, so the results obtained are more reliable; 3) The results can be easily obtained as it is based on linear programming; 4) The integer-valued super-efficiency RAM-DEA model with undesirable outputs can be used to accurately rank efficient DMUs. The proposed models are applied to evaluate the efficiency of China’s regional transportation systems (RTSs) considering the number of transport accidents (an undesirable output). The results help decision makers improve the performance of inefficient RTSs and analyze the strengths of efficient RTSs.

An application of data envelopment analysis for Korean banks with negative data

2017 ◽  
Vol 24 (4) ◽  
pp. 1052-1064 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yong Joo Lee ◽  
Seong-Jong Joo ◽  
Hong Gyun Park
Keyword(s):  
Data Envelopment Analysis ◽  
Data Sets ◽  
Data Envelopment ◽  
Negative Data ◽  
Ownership Type ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Translation Invariant ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Dea Models ◽  
Regional Banks

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to measure the comparative efficiency of 18 Korean commercial banks under the presence of negative observations and examine performance differences among them by grouping them according to their market conditions. Design/methodology/approach The authors employ two data envelopment analysis (DEA) models such as a Banker, Charnes, and Cooper (BCC) model and a modified slacks-based measure of efficiency (MSBM) model, which can handle negative data. The BCC model is proven to be translation invariant for inputs or outputs depending on output or input orientation. Meanwhile, the MSBM model is unit invariant in addition to translation invariant. The authors compare results from both models and choose one for interpreting results. Findings Most Korean banks recovered from the worst performance in 2011 and showed similar performance in recent years. Among three groups such as national banks, regional banks, and special banks, the most special banks demonstrated superb performance across models and years. Especially, the performance difference between the special banks and the regional banks was statistically significant. The authors concluded that the high performance of the special banks was due to their nationwide market access and ownership type. Practical implications This study demonstrates how to analyze and measure the efficiency of entities when variables contain negative observations using a data set for Korean banks. The authors have tried two major DEA models that are able to handle negative data and proposed a practical direction for future studies. Originality/value Although there are research papers for measuring the performance of banks in Korea, all of the papers in the topic have studied efficiency or productivity using positive data sets. However, variables such as net incomes and growth rates frequently include negative observations in bank data sets. This is the first paper to investigate the efficiency of bank operations in the presence of negative data in Korea.

scholarly journals A Revised Inverse Data Envelopment Analysis Model Based on Radial Models

Mathematics ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (5) ◽  
pp. 803
Author(s):  
Xiaoyin Hu ◽  
Jianshu Li ◽  
Xiaoya Li ◽  
Jinchuan Cui
Keyword(s):  
Data Envelopment Analysis ◽  
Efficiency Index ◽  
Data Envelopment Analysis Model ◽  
Data Envelopment ◽  
Analysis Model ◽  
Numerical Examples ◽  
Wide Range ◽  
Dea Models ◽  
Overall Efficiency ◽  
Decision Making Units

In recent years, there has been an increasing interest in applying inverse data envelopment analysis (DEA) to a wide range of disciplines, and most applications have adopted radial-based inverse DEA models. However, results given by existing radial based inverse DEA models can be unreliable as they neglect slacks while evaluating decision-making units’ (DMUs) overall efficiency level, whereas classic radial DEA models measure the efficiency level through not only radial efficiency index but also slacks. This paper points out these disadvantages with a counterexample, where current inverse DEA models give results that outputs shall increase when inputs decrease. We show that these unreasonable results are the consequence of existing inverse DEA models’ failure in preserving DMU’s efficiency level. To rectify this problem, we propose a revised model for the situation where the investigated DMU has no slacks. Compared to existing radial inverse DEA models, our revised model can preserve radial efficiency index as well as eliminating all slacks, thus fulfilling the requirement of efficiency level invariant. Numerical examples are provided to illustrate the validity and limitations of the revised model.

Randomizing Efficiency Scores in DEA Using Beta Distribution

2014 ◽  
Vol 1 (4) ◽  
pp. 1-15
Author(s):  
Parakramaweera Sunil Dharmapala
Keyword(s):  
Beta Distribution ◽  
Data Envelopment ◽  
Imprecise Data ◽  
Output Data ◽  
Uniform Sampling ◽  
The Past ◽  
Stochastic Dea ◽  
Dea Models ◽  
Assurance Regions ◽  
Fuzzy Dea

Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) has come under criticism that it is capable of handling only the deterministic input/output data, and therefore, efficiency scores reported by DEA may not be realistic when the data contain random error. Several researchers in the past have addressed this issue by proposing Stochastic DEA models. Some others, citing imprecise data, have proposed Fuzzy DEA models. This paper proposes a method to randomize efficiency scores in DEA by treating each score as an ‘order statistic' that follows a Beta distribution, and it uses Thompson et al.'s (1996) DEA model appended with Assurance Regions (AR) randomized by our “uniform sampling”. In an application to a set of banks, the work demonstrates the randomization and derives some statistical results.

RANKING DECISION MAKING UNITS BY MEANS OF SOFT COMPUTING DEA MODELS

2011 ◽  
Vol 19 (01) ◽  
pp. 115-134 ◽  
Author(s):  
JOSÉ E. BOSCÁ ◽  
VICENTE LIERN ◽  
RAMÓN SALA ◽  
AURELIO MARTÍNEZ
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Statistical Analysis ◽  
Soft Computing ◽  
Ranking Method ◽  
Fuzzy Data ◽  
Trade Off ◽  
Dea Models ◽  
Data Efficiency ◽  
Fuzzy Dea ◽  
Decision Making Units

This paper presents a method for ranking a set of decision making units according to their level of efficiency and which takes into account uncertainty in the data. Efficiency is analysed using fuzzy DEA techniques and the ranking is based on the statistical analysis of cases that include representative situations. The method enables the removal of the sometimes unrealistic hypothesis of a perfect trade-off between increased inputs and outputs. This model is compared with other DEA models that work with imprecise or fuzzy data. As an illustration, we apply our ranking method to the evaluation of a group of Spanish seaports, as well as teams playing in the Spanish football league. We compare the results with other methods and we show that our method enables a total ranking of the seaports, and that the ranking of football teams is found to be more consistent with final league positions.

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