scholarly journals Rare roll event modeling of unmanned catamaran

2021 ◽  
pp. 219-226
Author(s):  
И.Ю. Липко

Статья посвящена вопросу моделирования редких событий, которые возникают при качке катамарана. Система управления автономного катамарана должна уметь распознавать нежелательные ситуации, которые могут привести к осуществлению редких событий. В данной статье приводится несколько методов, позволяющих проводить моделирование редких событий и делать оценку риска возникновения редкого события. Методы основываются на теории больших уклонений. Первый метод позволяет оценить возможные «ожидаемые потери» при достижении редкого события путём оценки скорости убывания вероятности компонентов вектора состояния в редком состоянии. Оценка осуществляется путём расчёта квазипотенциалов из аттрактора до порогового значения состояния. Второй метод позволяет оценить вероятность движения вдоль наиболее вероятной траектории к редкому событию. Оценка осуществляется путём сравнения вектора состояния с состояниями на наиболее вероятной траектории к редкому событию. Точность оценок зависит от вектора состояния. Приводится сравнение с результатами, полученными с помощью метода Монте-Карло. Указанные методы могут быть использованы для создания систем супервизорного управления и систем поддержки принятия решений при оценке рискованности совершения морских переходов. The article is devoted to the issue of modeling rare events that occur when a catamaran is pitching. The control system of an autonomous catamaran should be able to recognize undesirable situations that can lead to the rare events. This article provides several methods for modeling rare events and making estimation of risk of a rare event occurrence. The methods are based on the large deviations theory for dynamical systems. The first method allows to estimate possible losses via calculation of the probability decreasing rate of the state vector components in a rare state. The estimation is carried out by calculating the quasipotential from the state close to the attractor to the threshold state. The second method allows to estimate the probability of moving along the most likely trajectory to a rare event. The evaluation is carried out by comparing the studied state vector with the states on the most likely trajectory. The accuracy of the estimates depends on the studied state vector. A comparison with the results obtained using the Monte Carlo method. These methods can be used to create supervisory control systems and decision support systems when assessing the riskiness of sea navigation.

Vestnik IGEU ◽  
2020 ◽  
pp. 57-64
Author(s):  
A.N. Labutin ◽  
Yu.N. Zagarinskaya ◽  
V.Yu. Nevinitsyn ◽  
G.V. Volkova ◽  
V.A. Zaitsev

The problem of structural-parametric synthesis of automatic control systems (ACS) of technological objects is deter-mined by the multi-dimensionality, multi-connectedness and nonlinearity of their mathematical models. Despite the indicated properties of such objects, traditional linear systems based on PID-algorithms are still used for process control. Since the synthesis of linear systems using input-output models does not take into account the multi-dimensionality and mutual influence of state coordinates, such systems increase the influence of parametric and signal perturbations on the quality of control processes. The increasing requirements for the quality and efficiency of technological processes control made it expedient to apply the control principle by the state vector based on the use of uninertial state regulators or combined state regulators including flexible feedback on the derivative state coordinates or state coordinate integrals. The research uses methods of system analysis of technological processes as control objects, methods of automatic control theory, methods of control systems synthesis on the state regulators basis, meth-ods of computer simulation. The linearized mathematical model of liquid-phase chemical reactor in the state space has been obtained. It has been established that the investigated object has the property of free movement stability and it is fully controlled in the state space. The problem of synthesis of a single-channel concentration vector control system in a chemical reactor using state regulator has been solved. The parameters of state regulator settings have been determined using the method of modal control. The efficiency of the automatic control system on the basis of the state regulator with an integral component has been shown using the method of computer simulation of the ‘nonlinear object – linear control subsystem’ complex. It has been demonstrated that the absence of an integral component in the control algorithm structure leads to a great static error of regulation. To eliminate the static error of control and ensure the robustness of the control system, it is recommended to introduce an integral component into the structure of state controller. This ensures the efficiency of the control system both for the case of complete measurement of the state vector and for the case of measurement of the output controlled variable only.


2021 ◽  
Vol 22 (6) ◽  
pp. 291-297
Author(s):  
A. A. Kabanov ◽  
S. A. Dubovik

In this article, we consider the development of numerical methods of large deviations analysis for rare events in nonlinear stochastic systems. The large deviations of the controlled process from a certain stable state are the basis for predicting the occurrenceof a critical situation (a rare event). The rare event forecasting problem is reduced to the Lagrange-Pontryagin optimal control problem.The presented approach for solving the Lagrange-Pontryagin problem differs from the approach used earlier for linear systems in that it uses feedback control. In the nonlinear case, approximate methods based on the representation of the system model in the state-space form with state-dependent coefficients (SDC) matrixes are used: the state-dependent Riccati equation (SDRE) and the asymptotic sequence of Riccati equations (ASRE). The considered optimal control problem allow us to obtain a numerical-analytical solutionthat is convenient for real-time implementation. Based on the developed methods of large deviations analysis, algorithms for estimating the probability of occurrence of a rare event in a dynamical systemare presented. The numerical applicability of the developed methods is shown by the example of the FitzHugh-Nagumo model for the analysis of switching between excitable modes. The simulation results revealed an additional problem related to the so-called parameterization problem of the SDC matrices. Since the use of different representations for SDC matrices gives different results in terms of the system trajectory, the choice of matrices is proposed to be carried out at each algorithm iteration so as to provide conditions for the solvability of the Lagrange-Pontryagin problem.


2020 ◽  
Vol 39 (6) ◽  
pp. 8463-8475
Author(s):  
Palanivel Srinivasan ◽  
Manivannan Doraipandian

Rare event detections are performed using spatial domain and frequency domain-based procedures. Omnipresent surveillance camera footages are increasing exponentially due course the time. Monitoring all the events manually is an insignificant and more time-consuming process. Therefore, an automated rare event detection contrivance is required to make this process manageable. In this work, a Context-Free Grammar (CFG) is developed for detecting rare events from a video stream and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) is used to train CFG. A set of dedicated algorithms are used to perform frame split process, edge detection, background subtraction and convert the processed data into CFG. The developed CFG is converted into nodes and edges to form a graph. The graph is given to the input layer of an ANN to classify normal and rare event classes. Graph derived from CFG using input video stream is used to train ANN Further the performance of developed Artificial Neural Network Based Context-Free Grammar – Rare Event Detection (ACFG-RED) is compared with other existing techniques and performance metrics such as accuracy, precision, sensitivity, recall, average processing time and average processing power are used for performance estimation and analyzed. Better performance metrics values have been observed for the ANN-CFG model compared with other techniques. The developed model will provide a better solution in detecting rare events using video streams.


2016 ◽  
pp. 4039-4042
Author(s):  
Viliam Malcher

The interpretation problems of quantum theory are considered. In the formalism of quantum theory the possible states of a system are described by a state vector. The state vector, which will be represented as |ψ> in Dirac notation, is the most general form of the quantum mechanical description. The central problem of the interpretation of quantum theory is to explain the physical significance of the |ψ>. In this paper we have shown that one of the best way to make of interpretation of wave function is to take the wave function as an operator.


2018 ◽  
Vol 15 (1) ◽  
pp. 12-22
Author(s):  
V. M. Artyushenko ◽  
D. Y. Vinogradov

The article reviewed and analyzed the class of geometrically stable orbits (GUO). The conditions of stability in the model of the geopotential, taking into account the zonal harmonics. The sequence of calculation of the state vector of GUO in the osculating value of the argument of the latitude with the famous Ascoli-royski longitude of the ascending node, inclination and semimajor axis. The simulation is obtained the altitude profiles of SEE regarding the all-earth ellipsoid model of the gravitational field of the Earth given 7 and 32 zonal harmonics.


Cells ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (4) ◽  
pp. 826
Author(s):  
Rafael Kretschmer ◽  
Marcelo Santos de Souza ◽  
Ivanete de Oliveira Furo ◽  
Michael N. Romanov ◽  
Ricardo José Gunski ◽  
...  

Interchromosomal rearrangements involving microchromosomes are rare events in birds. To date, they have been found mostly in Psittaciformes, Falconiformes, and Cuculiformes, although only a few orders have been analyzed. Hence, cytogenomic studies focusing on microchromosomes in species belonging to different bird orders are essential to shed more light on the avian chromosome and karyotype evolution. Based on this, we performed a comparative chromosome mapping for chicken microchromosomes 10 to 28 using interspecies BAC-based FISH hybridization in five species, representing four Neoaves orders (Caprimulgiformes, Piciformes, Suliformes, and Trogoniformes). Our results suggest that the ancestral microchromosomal syntenies are conserved in Pteroglossus inscriptus (Piciformes), Ramphastos tucanus tucanus (Piciformes), and Trogon surrucura surrucura (Trogoniformes). On the other hand, chromosome reorganization in Phalacrocorax brasilianus (Suliformes) and Hydropsalis torquata (Caprimulgiformes) included fusions involving both macro- and microchromosomes. Fissions in macrochromosomes were observed in P. brasilianus and H. torquata. Relevant hypothetical Neognathae and Neoaves ancestral karyotypes were reconstructed to trace these rearrangements. We found no interchromosomal rearrangement involving microchromosomes to be shared between avian orders where rearrangements were detected. Our findings suggest that convergent evolution involving microchromosomal change is a rare event in birds and may be appropriate in cytotaxonomic inferences in orders where these rearrangements occurred.


Author(s):  
Kostiantyn

There were considered the issues of the optimal collision avoidance in the target’s risk field. A method of optimal divergence by course maneuvering is proposed, which makes it possible to minimize the divergence trajectory for a given risk of collision and consists in organizing the movement of the vessel along the trajectory of a given risk. The risk field of the target is a normal distribution law characterized by the root-mean-square parameters of the uncertainties associated with measurement errors of the parameters of the vessel's state vector and target, errors of actuators, errors of the used mathematical models, errors of calculation, etc. The operability and efficiency of the proposed method, algorithmic and software were tested on the Imitation Modeling Stand, which is the Navi Trainer 5000 navigation simulator and a model of on-board controller included in its local network with the software of the risk divergence module. The Imitation Modeling Stand allows to work out the software of control systems, including the considered optimal divergence module, in a closed circuit with the Navi Trainer 5000 navigation simulator, using all its advantages.


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