scholarly journals 3.2. ISSUES OF CONSISTENCY OF FORECASTS OF ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT OF REGIONS (ON THE EXAMPLE OF THE REPUBLIC OF BASHKORTOSTAN)

2021 ◽  
pp. 42-47
Author(s):  
М.М. Низамутдинов ◽  
В.В. Орешников ◽  
А.Р. Атнабаева
Keyword(s):  
Economic Development ◽  
Strategic Planning ◽  
Regional Development ◽  
Russian Federation ◽  
Gross Regional Product ◽  
Republic Of Bashkortostan ◽  
The Russian Federation ◽  
The Republic ◽  
Regional Product

Статья посвящена вопросам прогнозирования развития субъектов Российской Федерации. Рассмотрен прогноз динамики валового регионального продукта Республики Башкортостан на средне- и долгосрочную перспективы, а также ряд взаимосвязанных параметров. Проведен анализ показателей в текущих и сопоставимых ценах, их динамики и соотношения. Выявлен ряд противоречий, указывающих на наличие рассогласованности представленных значений. Раскрыты отдельные противоречия другим документам стратегического планирования. Результаты могут быть использованы для повышения эффективности управления региональным развитием. The article is devoted to the issues of forecasting the development of the subjects of the Russian Federation. The forecast of the dynamics of the gross regional product of the Republic of Bashkortostan for the medium - and long-term prospects, as well as a number of interrelated parameters, is considered. The analysis of indicators in current and comparable prices, their dynamics and correlation is carried out. A number of contradictions are revealed, indicating the presence of inconsistency of the presented values. Some contradictions with other strategic planning documents are revealed. The results can be used to improve the efficiency of regional development management.

scholarly journals Foresight as a strategic planning and forecasting tool of sustainable development of rural areas

2019 ◽  
Vol 190 (11) ◽  
pp. 92-110 ◽  
Author(s):  
Евгений Стовба ◽  
Evgeniy Stovba ◽  
Миляуша Лукьянова ◽  
Milyausha Luk'yanova ◽  
Виталий Ковшов ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Sustainable Development ◽  
Strategic Planning ◽  
Russian Federation ◽  
Rural Areas ◽  
Strategic Plans ◽  
Republic Of Bashkortostan ◽  
The Russian Federation ◽  
The Republic ◽  
Municipal Level

Abstract. The article actualizes the need of foresight technologies in the sustainable development of strategic plans of sustainable development in rural municipalities at the level of the Russian Federation. It is pointed out that the modern methodology of foresight studies is quite flexible and multifaceted, has wide application at different hierarchical levels of management. The purpose of the study is to prove the need to use the foresight methodologies for rural development strategic planning and forecasting tool. In the course of the study, the following methods were used: strategic planning and forecasting, foresight technologies (expert survey and expert opinions), comparative analysis. The scientific novelty of the study is determined by the formation of a set of practical recommendations on the use of foresight tools at the municipal level of management in rural areas. The systematic approach usage in combination with foresight technologies allows to develop strategic plans for the development in rural areas from the perspective of long-term improvement of their economic and social component. A brief analysis of the current state and development of foresight research in the Russian Federation is presented. It is concluded that in modern conditions of rural development it is necessary to develop strategic programs and anti-crisis measures that should focus on the application of the foresight technologies. It shows that the characteristic features of the rural municipal foresight are, on the one hand, the obligatory interconnection of strategic priorities for rural areas development in the long term and, on the other hand, the need to achieve the interest of key factors in regional development. Results of a research: the algorithm of strategic planning of sustainable development of rural areas of the region based on foresight technologies and the mechanism for its implementation at the municipal level are considered; strategic goals and priority areas for sustainable development of rural areas of the Republic of Bashkortostan in the sub-regional context were defined. On the basis of the foresight analysis, a three-level branding of agri-food products manufactured in the region was carried out, and brands within the considered rural municipalities were identified. It is concluded that foresight technologies should be used as the system tool for the formation and implementation of sustainable development strategy in rural areas of the Republic of Bashkortostan.

scholarly journals The regions of Russia: specifics of socio-economic development

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Tat’yana Pozdnyakova
Keyword(s):  
Economic Development ◽  
Russian Federation ◽  
Federal District ◽  
Federal State ◽  
Gross Regional Product ◽  
Socio Economic Development ◽  
Federal Districts ◽  
The Russian Federation ◽  
Per Capita ◽  
Regional Product

The Federal District, as the highest link in the economic zoning of the Russian Federation, is the most important element of the national economic system, which largely determines the features of its functioning. The article provides an overview of the internal differences of the federal districts of the Russian Federation in terms of gross regional product. This indicator is one of the most important indicators of the specificity of the socio-economic development of the regions, and also, to a certain extent, reflects the possibility of their balanced functioning. Based on the official data presented on the website of the Federal State Statistics Service, the federal districts of Russia were ranked according to the indicator under study and their typology was presented. Within the framework of this typology, groups are identified that reflect the differences between the constituent entities of the Russian Federation in the distribution of gross regional product per capita in federal districts with its value above or below the average Russian level, respectively. Within each federal district, entities with maximum and minimum values of gross regional product per capita were identified. On this basis, an intra-district imbalance coefficient is calculated, reflecting the degree of the gap in the levels of socio-economic development of the constituent entities of the Russian Federation within the corresponding federal district. A brief description of the federal districts belonging to two different types is given in terms of the balance of their socio-economic development. The general trend of dependence of the coefficient of intra-district imbalance on the level of regional development is shown. There are some features that need to be taken into account when formulating development programmes and strategies at the federal district gape.

scholarly journals Institutions of regional development in the infrastructure support of the regional economy

2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (26) ◽  
pp. 356-364
Author(s):  
Andrey E. Plakhin ◽  
Ekaterina S. Ogorodnikova ◽  
Tatiana V. Kochergina ◽  
Tatiana I. Guseva ◽  
Maria V. Selezneva
Keyword(s):  
Economic Development ◽  
Regional Development ◽  
Russian Federation ◽  
Industrial Development ◽  
Social Infrastructure ◽  
Organizational Mechanism ◽  
Socio Economic Development ◽  
Development Institutions ◽  
The Russian Federation ◽  
Regional Product

The article examines the role of regional development institutions in the infrastructure support of the socio-economic development of the constituent entities of the Russian Federation. Changes are revealed at the meso-economic level that are possible in the post-industrial development of the economy of the constituent entities of the Russian Federation. As a result of the study, it was concluded that 48 percent of the total funds available from regional development institutions accounted for the five leading regions: the Republic of Tatarstan, Moscow and Moscow Regions, Lipetsk, Kaluga Regions and St. Petersburg. By the share of gross regional product (GRP), the list of regions was headed by the Kaluga and Lipetsk regions, which is explained by the large volumes of investments attracted through development institutions and the relatively small size of the regional product and the population of these regions. The authors summarize the experience of managing regional development institutions, conclude that it is necessary to increase the degree of influence on the development of the economic and social infrastructure of the regions of the Russian Federation as a whole, as well as to eliminate regional imbalances in development. The main directions in the implementation of this approach are: Creation of an organizational mechanism for the formation of management structures to coordinate socio-economic development (for example, project administrations) on the territory of several constituent entities of the Russian Federation or several municipal entities within the framework of one constituent entity of the Federation. Development of financial mechanisms to support the activities of these inter-regional and inter-municipal administrations (hereinafter referred to as project administrations). Improving the mechanisms of interaction between state and municipal authorities, public organizations and other civil society institutions and business structures operating in the territory of several constituent entities of the Russian Federation and / or municipalities.

scholarly journals Research of migration behavior of the population and assessment of the level of attractiveness of territories based on the methods of agent-based modeling

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (6) ◽  
Author(s):  
Marsel Nizamutdinov ◽  
Alsu Atnabaeva ◽  
Miliausha Akhmetzianova
Keyword(s):  
Economic Development ◽  
Russian Federation ◽  
Agent Based Modeling ◽  
Demographic Model ◽  
Migration Behavior ◽  
Agent Based ◽  
Republic Of Bashkortostan ◽  
Socio Economic Development ◽  
The Russian Federation ◽  
The Republic

Migration processes play a significant role in the socio-economic and demographic development of the Russian Federation. According to Rosstat, in more than 50 % of the constituent entities of the Russian Federation in 2019, there is a migration decline in the population. It can also be noted that the most attractive for the population are large cities with a high level of socio-economic development. In this regard, the aim of the study is to assess the factors of mutual influence of the migration behavior of the population and the socio-economic development of the territory on the basis of agent-based modeling methods. The Republic of Bashkortostan was chosen as the object of the study, as the region with the highest level of migration loss in the Volga Federal District. According to the strategy of the Republic of Bashkortostan for the period up to 2030, the Government of the Republic of Belarus faces the difficult task of making effective management decisions that will lead to an increase in the socio-economic development of the territories and, consequently, to an increase in the level of migration growth. A distinctive feature of this study is the use of agent-based modeling (to take into account the individual characteristics of agents), fuzzy logic (to form the rules of behavior for agents) and GIS maps (to take into account the geographic location). A modular scheme for the functioning of the economic-demographic model has been developed, which describes the events, the agents that participate in them, and the methods by which they were implemented. An algorithm for the implementation of the "Migration" block has been developed, which describes the logic of the migration behavior of the "Man" agent and his reaction to changes in socio-economic indicators taken into account within the framework of the "Municipality" agent. According to the results of the study, scenarios for the development of municipal districts of the Republic of Bashkortostan were substantiated on the basis of data from the Ministry of Economic Development and Investment Policy of the Republic of Bashkortostan, as well as the program "Comprehensive development of single-industry towns in the Republic of Bashkortostan".

TELECOMMUNICATION NETWORKS AS A BASE FOR BRIDGING THE DIGITAL DIVIDE BETWEEN RUSSIAN FEDERATION REGIONS

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Н.А. ЧИСТОВА ◽  
А.С. БОРОДИН ◽  
А.Е. КУЧЕРЯВЫЙ
Keyword(s):  
Digital Divide ◽  
Communication Networks ◽  
Russian Federation ◽  
Educational Process ◽  
Telecommunication Networks ◽  
Gross Regional Product ◽  
Planning And Design ◽  
The Russian Federation ◽  
Regional Product ◽  
The Relationship

Статья посвящена анализу возможностей сетей связи для сокращения цифрового разрыва между регионами Российской Федерации. Основным результатом статьи является установление взаимосвязи валового регионального продукта и доли занятых в сфере информатизации и связи в общем числе занятых во всех отраслях. Результаты статьи могут быть использованы заинтересованными министерствами и ведомствами при реализации программы цифровой экономики, научными и проектными организациями при планировании и проектировании сетей связи, а также университетами в учебном процессе. The article is devoted to the analysis of the capabilities of telecommunication networks with ultralow latency to reduce the digital divide between the regions of the Russian Federation. The main result of the article is to establish the relationship between the gross regional product and the share of people employed in the field of informatization and communications in the total number of people employed in all industries. The results of the article can be used by interested ministries and departments in the implementation of the digital economy program, scientific and design organizations in the planning and design of communication networks, as well as by universities in the educational process.

The role, significance, and expected effects of regional projects implemented in the Chechen Republic

2021 ◽  
Vol 19 (3) ◽  
pp. 470-499
Author(s):  
Sulaiman S. RESHIEV ◽  
Andi S. VAGAPOV ◽  
Isa S.-M. KHUTUEV
Keyword(s):  
Economic Development ◽  
Russian Federation ◽  
Socio Economic Development ◽  
Regional Project ◽  
The Russian Federation ◽  
The Republic ◽  
Project Objectives ◽  
Regional Projects ◽  
Competitive Economy

Subject. This article discusses and analyzes regional projects to be implemented in the Chechen Republic for the period 2019–2024. Objectives. The article aims to develop a set of proposals aimed at improving the competitiveness of the Republic's economy. Methods. For the study, we used the methods of systems and statistical analyses. Results. The article describes the role of regional projects in the development of the socio-economic sphere of the Chechen Republic and proposes a set of measures the implementation of which will help shape a competitive economy in the Republic. Conclusions. Regional project objectives and indicators need to be better defined. Regional projects are elements of national projects designed to contribute to a breakthrough in the scientific, technological and socio-economic development of the Russian Federation.

scholarly journals Study of actual nutrition in modern student youth

2020 ◽  
Vol 99 (3) ◽  
pp. 291-297
Author(s):  
Елена Юрьевна Горбаткова
Keyword(s):  
Russian Federation ◽  
State Policy ◽  
Nutritional Composition ◽  
The State ◽  
Fields Of Study ◽  
Healthy Nutrition ◽  
Republic Of Bashkortostan ◽  
The Russian Federation ◽  
The Republic

One of the most important factors affecting the health of modern youth is nutrition. Taking into account the timeliness of this problem, a research aimed at improving the quality of nutrition for students of higher education institutions of various fields of study (Ufa, the Republic of Bashkortostan) was executed. A software directed at studying the nutritional composition of the diet of students was developed, registered and tested. The development and implementation of the program were carried out taking into account regional features of nutrition of the population of the Republic of Bashkortostan. The food ration of university students of various fields of study was also evaluated according to food groups. The insufficiency of the daily ration based on a number of indics was revealed (according to nutritional composition and food products. The nutritional status of students according to the level of insufficiency of daily intake of nutrients in order to identify the degree of risk of abnormalities in the state of health development was evaluated also. According to the document of the Government of the Russian Federation “Fundamentals of the state policy of the Russian Federation in the field of healthy nutrition of the population for the period until 2020”, implementation the development of a set of measures aimed at reducing the prevalence of diseases associated with nutrition is one of the main directions of the state policy in the field of healthy nutrition. In this regard, a conceptual medical-pedagogical model aimed at forming a system of values in relation to healthy lifestyle among students was developed. Currently, there was executed an evaluation of the effectiveness of this model in the educational process of the M. Akmulla Bashkir State Pedagogical University. There was also been studied content of macro- and microelements in the venous blood of the students based on the changes in the quality of nutrition. There was also conducted analysis of hygienic conditions of students’ educational environment of leading universities in Ufa (the Republic of Bashkortostan).

scholarly journals Secondary vocational education: possible future scenarios and development prospects

2020 ◽  
Vol 1 (1-2) ◽  
pp. 21-27 ◽  
Author(s):  
V. I. Blinov ◽  
L. N. Kurteeva
Keyword(s):  
Economic Development ◽  
Vocational Education ◽  
Russian Federation ◽  
Professional Education ◽  
Education And Training ◽  
Vocational Education And Training ◽  
Secondary Vocational Education ◽  
The Russian Federation ◽  
And Training

Long-term socio-economic development forecast of the Russian Federation for the period till 2030 specifies that the main barriers in the implementation of innovative and accelerated scenarios are caused by the shortage of world-competitive professional personnel both at the level of corporations and public administration, the inefficiency of coordination mechanisms. This study is aimed at studying the readiness and possibilities of the system of vocational education and training of the Russian Federation to respond to external challenges, taking into account scenarios of the long-term forecast of the social and economic development of the Russian Federation for the period up to 2035. The study is also aimed at creating scientific, organizational and methodological conditions for the positive modernization of the professional education and training system of the Russian Federation on the basis of regional development strategies, which will allow implementing measures to develop infrastructure, personnel potential, create modern conditions for the implementation of professional educational programs. The study presents predictive scenarios of the development of secondary vocational education, gives their characteristics, and identifies risks and advantages. The presented scenarios allow us to determine the socio-economic potential of vocational education, to determine the goals and objectives in its development.

scholarly journals Contribution of Highly Qualified Employees to Regional Economy

2021 ◽  
Vol 17 (3) ◽  
pp. 873-887
Author(s):  
Ilya A. Korshunov ◽  
Natalia N. Shirkova ◽  
Nikolay S. Zavivaev
Keyword(s):  
Economic Development ◽  
Russian Federation ◽  
Industrial Development ◽  
Value Added ◽  
Transport Sector ◽  
Highly Qualified ◽  
Gross Value Added ◽  
The Russian Federation ◽  
Skill Requirements

Knowledge and skills concentrated in human capital are increasingly important factors of economic development. However, there is a lack of a methodology for determining, which skills are necessary for the efficient industrial development. To this end, we examine skill requirements of regional employers potentially leading to an increase in economic indicators. Skills in demand were compared with predicted indicators based on a se mantic content analysis of vacancy databases in various regions of the Russian Federation. It was revealed that the list of demanded competencies depends not on a geographical aspect but on a specific profession. An analysis of the obtained data demonstrated that the growth in demand for highly qualified employees in the Russian Federation is correlated with an increase in gross value added of relevant industries. A linear correlation between gross value added per employee and the need for skilled specialists was demonstrated on the example of the transport sector. The proposed methodology can be used by educational organisations for targeted training of specialists, as well as by employers and experts for forecasting medium- and long-term socio-economic development of Russian regions.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document