scholarly journals METHOD FOR ANALYSIS AND PREDICTION OF DWELL TIMES AT STOPS IN LOCAL BUS TRANSPORTATION

Transport ◽  
2016 ◽  
Vol 32 (3) ◽  
pp. 302-313 ◽  
Author(s):  
Csaba Csiszár ◽  
Zsolt Sándor

The punctuality of local public bus transportation contributes to the service quality and has impact on mode choice. Appropriate planning and control measures as well as adequate passenger information require efficient analysis and prediction methods. Advanced fleet tracking systems provide enough data for these research purposes. The main factors that cause schedule deviation has been identified through the analysis of the data. As important time elements of the journey time are dwell times at stops, the research focused on it; however, the elaborated database structure is adequate also for analysis of the other time elements, which coincides with our further research intentions too. Innovative methods based on the historical data have been elaborated for the prediction of dwell times. The essence of the method: multi-variate analysis of the dwell times by exploration of the significant influencing factors, and then prediction of times based on the factors describing the certain situations. Soundness of the methods has been verified with examples, and the results well approximated the real values.

2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 35-50
Author(s):  
Merlito Villa ◽  
◽  
Roel Ceballos ◽  

Fire incidence is a big problem for every local government unit in the Philippines. The two most detrimental effects of fire incidence are economic loss and loss of life. To mitigate these losses, proper planning and implementation of control measures must be done. An essential aspect of planning and control measures is prediction of possible fire incidences. This study is conducted to analyze the historical data to create a forecasting model for the fire incidence in Davao City. Results of the analyses show that fire incidence has no trend or seasonality, and occurrences of fire are neither consistently increasing nor decreasing over time. Furthermore, the absence of seasonality in the data indicate that surge of fire incidence may occur at any time of the year. Therefore, fire prevention activities should be done all year round and not just during fire prevention month.


2014 ◽  
Vol 722 ◽  
pp. 419-422
Author(s):  
Peng Lv ◽  
Bao Yu Li ◽  
Yu Zhang ◽  
Yun Xun Zhang

Through analyzing Dabaoliang geological characteristics, this paper discussed the factors of the mechanism of landslide in Dabaoliang area and simulated its evolutionary process. The paper could get some conclusions, and the factors of landslide are as follow: the stability of the slope which mainly composed by clastic rock not only depended on the performance of the mudstone layer but also the skid resistance of the sliding surface and the shape of slope. Under the influence of regional structure, the joint fissures which developed along the boundary of the landslide will connect the crack and benefit the permeation of the surface water. The heavy rain is one of the main factors caused the slope unstable and sliding. Provide effective prevention and control for prevention and control of projects.


2013 ◽  
Vol 690-693 ◽  
pp. 890-894 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yue Zhang ◽  
Bo Song ◽  
Jin Wang ◽  
Hui Sun

Based on different land use types and diverse watersheds of Dehua district of Fujian Province, soil erosion is assessed by using Universal Soil Loss Equation (USLE). According to the results, erosion of Dehua is generally mild, among which total erosion is 952.71×103 t/a and erosion area is 2210.67 km2. It is significant that the vast forest and grassland contribute to avoiding erosion effectively. In addition, the overlap area of Min and Jin River and Chanxi of Min River, the most frequent place of human activities, are the two highest soil erosion watersheds. The result shows that human activities have great influence on soil erosion. This article intends to provide evidence for planning and control measures of soil erosion.


2016 ◽  
Vol 14 (1) ◽  
pp. 183-191 ◽  
Author(s):  
Caroline Chidinma Maduekwe ◽  
Peter Kamala

Failure to budget has been identified as one of the main causes of failure of Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs). This study seeks to determine the extent to which SMEs in the Cape Metropolis use budgets. Specifically, the study aims to determine the types of budgets used, methods of budgeting employed, purpose for which budgets are used, perceived effectiveness of budgets used and factors that may inhibit SMEs from using budgets. Data were collected using a questionnaire and analyzed using both descriptive and inferential statistics. The findings of this study revealed that most of the SMEs sampled used budgets. The three most frequently used budgets were sales budgets, purchases budgets and cash budgets, while the most frequently used budgeting method was fixed budgeting. The findings also revealed that budgets were mostly used for monitoring, measuring business performance, future planning and control purposes. The findings further revealed that budgets were perceived to be effective but the lack of top management support and qualified personnel were the main factors that inhibit SMEs from using budgets. This study not only fills the gap in the literature on the use of budgets, but also provides invaluable insights on their use by SMEs. These insights could inform future endeavours of the Government when developing interventions meant to avert the high failure rates of these entities. The findings may also assist SMEs to gauge and review their own use of budgets with a view to optimising the benefits derived from these tools, as well as to overcome the factors that could inhibit them from using the budgets in the first place


Author(s):  
R.G. Keogh

An outline is given of some of the main factors and interactions involved in the development of ryegrass staggers - viz: pasture structure, neurotoxin distribution within the pasture, and livestock feeding behaviour. Because neurotoxicity is mainly associated with ryegrass leaf sheath the aim of control measures is to minimise ingestion of this component when it is toxic. This can best be achieved by avoiding practices such as set-stocking in summer, which may lead to ryegrassdominance, and by using a rotational grazing system in which the essential feature is daily movement of stock. Keywords: Ryegrass staggers, management, development, control.


Author(s):  
Lesіa V. Kravchenko

The relevance of the study is explained by the need to develop a modern system of teaching healthcare disciplines in the training of future teachers, using a combination of conventional and innovative teaching methods. In this regard, this study aims to identify the main factors influencing the quality of education of future teachers, to cover the methods of modernisation and control of curricula in healthcare disciplines, to describe the main aspects of professional teacher development, to predict and substantiate the possible consequences of conventional and innovative methods of teaching healthcare disciplines in the training of future teachers for the education system and society in general. The leading method to study this issue was the systems analysis, which can be used to investigate the combination of conventional and innovative methods of teaching healthcare disciplines in the training of future teachers. In addition, this study involved the following research methods: the method of logical analysis, comparative method, methods of synthesis and deduction, the method of classification. The study included the analysis results, identified the main factors influencing the quality of education of future teachers and methods of modernisation and control of curricula in healthcare disciplines, described the main aspects of professional and successful teacher's development, predicted, and substatiated the possible consequences of conventional and innovative methods of teaching healthcare disciplines in the training of future teachers. The results are presented in the form of tables and figures. The materials of the study are of practical value for teachers and students of pedagogical higher educational institutions, employees of the Ministry of Science and Education of Ukraine, public activists


Author(s):  
Svetlana Vladimirovna Lisienko ◽  
K. Gribova

The article underlines the need to pass from the traditional methods of organization, planning and control over the processes and systems of industrial fishing to the innovative methods based on new qualitative level of development of the theory of industrial fishing, which is stipulated by the problems of scientific rationale, description and forecasting the prospects and results of development of the fisheries industry at the present stage. The modern approach to organization, planning and management of fishing activities involves taking into account the multicomponent composition of factors forming the fishing systems and defining basic object of study – a fishing zone of the fishery basin. In the result of studying the Eastern-Kamchatka zone of the Far Eastern fishery basin it has been established that in the course of conducting fishing activities biological, technical and technological components interact in a complex manner including resource potential, production units (fishing fleet), and fishing technologies; the strong links between them and their properties determining the integrative qualities of the total commercial zone have been noted. The established system regularities in functioning of multi-species fishing system Fishery allowed to design its structural model and to determine a sequence of functional stages.


Author(s):  
Y. Arockia Suganthi ◽  
Chitra K. ◽  
J. Magelin Mary

Dengue fever is a painful mosquito-borne infection caused by different types of virus in various localities of the world. There is no particular medicine or vaccine to treat person suffering from dengue fever. Dengue viruses are transmitted by the bite of female Aedes (Ae) mosquitoes. Dengue fever viruses are mainly transmitted by Aedes which can be active in tropical or subtropical climates. Aedes Aegypti is the key step to avoid infection transmission to save millions of people in all over the world. This paper provides a standard guideline in the planning of dengue prevention and control measures. At the same time gives the priorities including clinical management and hospitalized dengue patients have to address essentially.


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