Study on Aftershocks Triggering by Static Stress Changes of the Minxian-Zhangxian 6.6 Earthquake

2014 ◽  
Vol 527 ◽  
pp. 77-80
Author(s):  
Fang Bin Liu ◽  
Ai Guo Wang
Keyword(s):  
Main Shock ◽  
Fault Plane ◽  
Elastic Half Space ◽  
Static Stress ◽  
Gansu Province ◽  
Data Sets ◽  
Space Model ◽  
Main Shocks ◽  
Stress Changes ◽  
Better Than

On July 22, 2013, an Ms6.6 earthquake occurred in Minxian-Zhangxian, Gansu Province, China, which caused serious damages. Because of the abundance and clear relationship with the main shocks, aftershocks sequences are typical types of behavior and provide useful data sets. To better understand the aftershocks triggering by static stress changes of the main earthquake, based on Okada’s elastic half-space model, we used accept fault plane consistent with the source and accept fault plane as the optimal models to calculate the stress changes on aftershock focuses by the Minxian-Zhangxian 6.6 Earthquake respectively. The results show that the latter model is better than former, more than 90% of aftershocks located in NWW and SEE, the stress increased areas, which is consistent with strike of Lintan-Tanchang fault (LTF), in other words, the Coulomb static stress changes of the main shock can induce the aftershocks.

Research on Static Stress Triggering and Seismicity in Minxian and Adjacent Area, Gansu

2013 ◽  
Vol 477-478 ◽  
pp. 1075-1083
Author(s):  
Fang Bin Liu ◽  
Ai Guo Wang ◽  
Wei Pang
Keyword(s):  
Temporal Evolution ◽  
Elastic Half Space ◽  
Gansu Province ◽  
Adjacent Area ◽  
Strong Earthquakes ◽  
Coulomb Stress Changes ◽  
Space Model ◽  
Stress Changes ◽  
Background Seismicity ◽  
Stress Triggering

On July 22, 2013, an Ms6.6 earthquake occurred in Minxian-Zhangxian, Gansu Province, China, which caused serious damages. Based on Okada's elastic half-space model, we used thrust, strike-slip and thrust-strike as receiver faults respectively to calculate Coulomb stress changes (ΔCFS) of three moderate-strong earthquakes. The results show that the thrust and thrust-strike models are better. More than 90% of aftershocks located in NWW and SEE ,the stress increased areas, which is consistent with strike of Lintan-Tanchang fault (LTF). Therefore, Dieterich’s rate-friction law is used to simulate ΔCFS caused by the activity of the temporal evolution. It shows the seismicity of Minxian and adjacent area is the most frequent and that the distribution of earthquakes is perpendicular to the strike of LTF. The activity degrees vary for the LTF. Tanchang is the strongest, followed by the middle and western, and Minxian is the weakest. Except Minxian, the activities of all areas are above the background seismicity during 300 years and it will be up to the background for 400 years.

scholarly journals The March 2021 Tyrnavos, central Greece, doublet (Μw6.3 and Mw6.0): Aftershock relocation, faulting details, coseismic slip and deformation

2021 ◽  
Vol 58 ◽  
pp. 131
Author(s):  
Vasileios Karakostas ◽  
Costas Papazachos ◽  
Eleftheria Papadimitriou ◽  
Michael Foumelis ◽  
Anastasia Kiratzi ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Main Shock ◽  
Small Towns ◽  
Local Network ◽  
Coseismic Slip ◽  
Waveform Data ◽  
Coulomb Stress Changes ◽  
Rupture Length ◽  
Finite Fault ◽  
Main Shocks ◽  
Stress Changes

On 3 March 2021, the Mw6.3 Tyrnavos earthquake shook much of the Thessalia region, leading to extensive damage in many small towns and villages in the activated area. The first main shock was followed in the next day, on 4th of March 2021, by an “equivalent” main shock with Mw6.0 in the adjacent fault segment. These are the largest earthquakes to strike the northeastern part of Thessalia since the M6.3, 1941 Larissa earthquake. The main shocks triggered extensive liquefaction mainly along the banks of the Titarisios tributary where alluvial flood deposits most probably amplified the ground motions. Our seismic monitoring efforts, with the use of recordings of the regional seismological network along with a dense local network that was installed three days after the seismic excitation initiation, led to the improved understanding the geometry and kinematics of the activated faults. The aftershocks form a north–northwest–trending, east–northeast–dipping, ~40 km long distribution, encompassing the two main ruptures along with minor activated structures, consistent with the rupture length estimated from analysis of regional waveform data and InSAR modeling. The first rupture was expanded bilaterally, the second main shock nucleated at its northern tip, where from this second rupture propagated unilaterally to the north–northwest. The focal mechanisms of the two main shocks support an almost pure normal faulting, similar to the aftershocks fault plane solution determined in this study. The strong ground motion of the March 3 main shock was computed with a stochastic simulation of finite fault model. Coseismic displacements that were detected using a dense GPS / GNSS network of five permanent stations located the Thessaly region, have shown an NNE–SSW extension as expected from the nature and location of the causative fault. Coulomb stress changes due to the coseismic slip of the first main shock, revealed that the hypocentral region of the second main shock was brought closer to failure by more than 10 bars.

Effects of secondary static stress triggering on the spatial distribution of aftershocks, a case study, 2003 Bam earthquake (SE Iran)

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Behnam Maleki Asayesh ◽  
Hamid Zafarani ◽  
Mohammad Tatar
Keyword(s):  
Spatial Distribution ◽  
Static Stress ◽  
Coulomb Stress ◽  
Secondary Stress ◽  
Nodal Plane ◽  
Bam Earthquake ◽  
Coulomb Stress Changes ◽  
Main Shocks ◽  
Stress Changes ◽  
Stress Triggering

<p>Immediate after a large earthquake, accurate prediction of spatial and temporal distribution of aftershocks has a great importance for planning search and rescue activities. Currently, the most sophisticated approach to this goal is probabilistic aftershock hazard assessment (PASHA). Spatial distribution of the aftershocks fallowing moderate to large earthquakes correlate well with the imparted stress due to the mainshock. Furthermore the secondary static stress changes caused by smaller events (aftershocks) could have effect on the triggering of aftershocks and should be considered in the calculations. The 26 December 2003 (Mw 6.6) Bam earthquake with more than 26000 causalities is one of the most destructive events in the recorded history of Iran. This earthquake was an interesting event and was investigated in a majority of aspects. Good variable-slip fault model and precise aftershocks data enabled us to impart Coulomb stress changes due to mainshock and secondary static stress triggering on the nodal planes of aftershocks to learn whether they were brought closer to failure.</p><p>We used recently published high-quality focal mechanisms and hypocenters to reassess the role of small to moderate earthquakes for static stress triggering of aftershocks during the Bam earthquake. By imparting Coulomb stress changes due to the mainshock on the nodal planes of the 158 aftershocks we showed that 77.8% (123 from 158) of the aftershocks received positive stress changes at least in one nodal plane. We also calculated Coulomb stress changes imparted by the mainshock and aftershocks (1≤M≤4.1) onto subsequent aftershocks nodal planes and found that 81.6% (129 of 158) of aftershocks received positive stress changes at least in one nodal plane. In summary, 77.8% of aftershocks are encouraged by the main shocks, while adding secondary stress encourages 81.6%. Therefore, by adding secondary stress the Coulomb Index (CI), the fraction of events that received net positive Coulomb stress changes compared to the total number of events, increased from 0.778 to 0.816.</p>

scholarly journals A Novel LSTM Model with Interaction Dual Attention for Radar Echo Extrapolation

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (2) ◽  
pp. 164
Author(s):  
Chuyao Luo ◽  
Xutao Li ◽  
Yongliang Wen ◽  
Yunming Ye ◽  
Xiaofeng Zhang
Keyword(s):  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Weather Forecast ◽  
Vital Role ◽  
Data Sets ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Learning Techniques ◽  
Radar Echo ◽  
Hidden States ◽  
Better Than

The task of precipitation nowcasting is significant in the operational weather forecast. The radar echo map extrapolation plays a vital role in this task. Recently, deep learning techniques such as Convolutional Recurrent Neural Network (ConvRNN) models have been designed to solve the task. These models, albeit performing much better than conventional optical flow based approaches, suffer from a common problem of underestimating the high echo value parts. The drawback is fatal to precipitation nowcasting, as the parts often lead to heavy rains that may cause natural disasters. In this paper, we propose a novel interaction dual attention long short-term memory (IDA-LSTM) model to address the drawback. In the method, an interaction framework is developed for the ConvRNN unit to fully exploit the short-term context information by constructing a serial of coupled convolutions on the input and hidden states. Moreover, a dual attention mechanism on channels and positions is developed to recall the forgotten information in the long term. Comprehensive experiments have been conducted on CIKM AnalytiCup 2017 data sets, and the results show the effectiveness of the IDA-LSTM in addressing the underestimation drawback. The extrapolation performance of IDA-LSTM is superior to that of the state-of-the-art methods.

The San Salvador Earthquake of October 10, 1986—Seismological Aspects and Other Recent Local Seismicity

1987 ◽  
Vol 3 (3) ◽  
pp. 419-434 ◽  
Author(s):  
Randall A. White ◽  
David H. Harlow ◽  
Salvador Alvarez
Keyword(s):  
Main Shock ◽  
Fault Plane ◽  
Vertical Plane ◽  
Aftershock Sequence ◽  
Central American ◽  
Fault Plane Solution ◽  
San Salvador ◽  
The North ◽  
Volcanic Chain ◽  
Plane Solution

The San Salvador earthquake of October 10, 1986 originated along the Central American volcanic chain within the upper crust of the Caribbean Plate. Results from a local seismograph network show a tectonic style main shock-aftershock sequence, with a magnitude, Mw, 5.6. The hypocenter was located 7.3 km below the south edge of San Salvador. The main shock ruptured along a nearly vertical plane toward the north-northeast. A main shock fault-plane solution shows a nearly vertical fault plane striking N32\sz\E, with left-lateral sense of motion. This earthquake is the second Central American volcanic chain earthquake documented with left-lateral slip on a fault perpendicular to the volcanic chain. During the 2 1/2 years preceeding the earthquake, minor microseismicity was noted near the epicenter, but we show that this has been common along the volcanic chain since at least 1953. San Salvador was previously damaged by a volcanic chain earthquake on May 3, 1965. The locations of six foreshocks preceding the 1965 shock show a distinctly WNW-trending distribution. This observation, together with the distribution of damage and a fault-plane solution, suggest that right-lateral slip occurred along a fault sub-parallel with Central American volcanic chain. We believe this is the first time such motion has been documented along the volcanic chain. This earthquake was also unusual in that it was preceded by a foreshock sequence more energetic than the aftershock sequence. Earlier this century, on June 08, 1917, an Ms 6.4 earthquake occurred 30 to 40 km west of San Salvador Volcano. Only 30 minutes later, an Ms 6.3 earthquake occurred, centered at the volcano, and about 35 minutes later the volcano erupted. In 1919 an Ms 6 earthquake occurred, centered at about the epicenter of the 1986 earthquake. We conclude that the volcanic chain is seismically very active with variable styles of seismicity.

scholarly journals Seismic Damage Accumulation in Highway Bridges in Earthquake-Prone Regions

2015 ◽  
Vol 31 (1) ◽  
pp. 115-135 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jayadipta Ghosh ◽  
Jamie E. Padgett ◽  
Mauricio Sánchez-Silva
Keyword(s):  
Service Life ◽  
Damage Accumulation ◽  
Main Shock ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
Time Window ◽  
Damage Index ◽  
Active Regions ◽  
Highway Bridges ◽  
Main Shocks ◽  
Aftershock Sequences

Civil infrastructures, such as highway bridges, located in seismically active regions are often subjected to multiple earthquakes, including multiple main shocks during their service life or main shock–aftershock sequences. Repeated seismic events result in reduced structural capacity and may lead to bridge collapse, causing disruption in the normal functioning of transportation networks. This study proposes a framework to predict damage accumulation in structures subjected to multiple shock scenarios after developing damage index prediction models and accounting for the probabilistic nature of the hazard. The versatility of the proposed framework is demonstrated on a case-study highway bridge located in California for two distinct hazard scenarios: (1) multiple main shocks during the service life and (2) multiple aftershock earthquake occurrences following a single main shock. Results reveal that in both cases there is a significant increase in damage index exceedance probabilities due to repeated shocks within the time window of interest.

Static stress changes associated with normal faulting earthquakes in South Balkan area

2006 ◽  
Vol 96 (5) ◽  
pp. 911-924 ◽  
Author(s):  
E. Papadimitriou ◽  
V. Karakostas ◽  
M. Tranos ◽  
B. Ranguelov ◽  
D. Gospodinov
Keyword(s):  
Static Stress ◽  
Normal Faulting ◽  
Stress Changes ◽  
Balkan Area

The foreshock sequence of the 1986 Chalfant, California, earthquake

1988 ◽  
Vol 78 (1) ◽  
pp. 172-187
Author(s):  
Kenneth D. Smith ◽  
Keith F. Priestley
Keyword(s):  
Main Shock ◽  
Slip Surface ◽  
Body Waves ◽  
Aftershock Distribution ◽  
Time Period ◽  
Main Shocks ◽  
Short Period ◽  
Local Shear ◽  
Stress Drops ◽  
Foreshock Activity

Abstract The ML 6.4 Chalfant, California, earthquake of 21 July 1986 was preceded by an extensive foreshock sequence. Foreshock activity is characterized by shallow clustering activity, including 7 events greater than ML 3, beginning 18 days before the earthquake, an ML 5.7 foreshock 24 hr before the main shock that ruptured only in the upper 10 km of the crust, and an “off-fault” cluster of activity perpendicular to the slip surface of the ML 5.7 foreshock associated with the hypocenter of the main shock. The Chalfant sequence occurred within the local short-period network, and the spatial and temporal development of the foreshock sequence can be observed in detail. Seismicity of the July 1986 time period is largely confined to two nearly conjugate planes; one striking N30°E and dipping 60° to the northwest associated with the ML 5.7 foreshock and the other striking N25°W and dipping 70° to the southwest associated with the main shock. Focal mechanisms for the foreshock period fall into two classes in agreement with these two planes. Shallow clustering of earthquakes in July and the ML 5.7 principal foreshock occur at the intersection of the two planes at a depth of approximately 7 km. The seismic moments determined from inversion of the teleseismic body waves are 4.2 × 1025 and 2.5 × 1025 dyne-cm for the principal foreshock and the main shock, respectively. Slip areas for these two events can be estimated from the aftershock distribution and result in stress drops of 63 bars for the principal foreshock and 16 bars for the main shock. The main shock occurred within an “off-fault” cluster of earthquakes associated with the principal foreshock. This cluster of activity occurs at a predicted local shear stress high in relation to the slip surface of the 20 July earthquake, and this appears to be the triggering mechanism of the main shock. The shallow rupture depth of the principal foreshock indicates that this event was anomalous with respect to the character of main shocks in the region.

Control of rupture by fault geometry during the 1966 parkfield earthquake

1981 ◽  
Vol 71 (1) ◽  
pp. 95-116 ◽  
Author(s):  
Allan G. Lindh ◽  
David M. Boore
Keyword(s):  
Main Shock ◽  
Fault Plane ◽  
San Andreas Fault ◽  
Strong Motion ◽  
P Wave ◽  
Fault Geometry ◽  
Dynamic Rupture ◽  
San Andreas ◽  
Hill Station ◽  
Parkfield Earthquake

abstract A reanalysis of the available data for the 1966 Parkfield, California, earthquake (ML=512) suggests that although the ground breakage and aftershocks extended about 40 km along the San Andreas Fault, the initial dynamic rupture was only 20 to 25 km in length. The foreshocks and the point of initiation of the main event locate at a small bend in the mapped trace of the fault. Detailed analysis of the P-wave first motions from these events at the Gold Hill station, 20 km southeast, indicates that the bend in the fault extends to depth and apparently represents a physical discontinuity on the fault plane. Other evidence suggests that this discontinuity plays an important part in the recurrence of similar magnitude 5 to 6 earthquakes at Parkfield. Analysis of the strong-motion records suggests that the rupture stopped at another discontinuity in the fault plane, an en-echelon offset near Gold Hill that lies at the boundary on the San Andreas Fault between the zone of aseismic slip and the locked zone on which the great 1857 earthquake occurred. Foreshocks to the 1857 earthquake occurred in this area (Sieh, 1978), and the epicenter of the main shock may have coincided with the offset zone. If it did, a detailed study of the geological and geophysical character of the region might be rewarding in terms of understanding how and why great earthquakes initiate where they do.

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