Ground Settlement Prediction Model and its Application for Tunneling Engineering above Mined-Out Regions

2012 ◽  
Vol 524-527 ◽  
pp. 592-597
Author(s):  
Shu Ren Wang ◽  
Hai Qing Zhang

Although many types of curve fitting methods were used in ground settlement prediction, it is due to every prediction method was not perfect, they have some defects and shortcomings to some extent and ground settlement prediction be up against huge challenge. Usher model, being used for economic and resources prediction, is introduced to ground settlement prediction as a new method, and its mathematics features are also analyzed. After comparative analysis, Origin software is selected for parameters solution of Usher model with an explanation of the solving process. Based on the Shipogou tunnel project which through the mined-out regions in Qingdao-Yinchuan highway, the Usher model for ground settlement is established combining to the field data, of which the parameters are solved with the user-defined function and nonlinear tool of Origin. The predicting results being compared with that of grey model and hyperbolic model, it shows that Usher model is of good adaptability, high accuracy, simple and coinciding well with measured data.

2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-11
Author(s):  
Fei Yu ◽  
Shichang Li ◽  
Zhangjun Dai ◽  
Jian Li ◽  
Shanxiong Chen

An improved method, which combines in situ measured settlement data, hyperbolic method, and deep lateral displacement rate, is presented in this study to predict the consolidation and stability of the ground, which can be used in conducting staged filling construction on soft subsoil. A case history of a highway embankment construction in a tidal flat with thick mucky clay is studied in Xia Pu, China. Preloading with the prefabricated vertical drain method is adopted to accelerate the consolidation of a subgrade. The field behavior of soft ground under filling load is observed through in situ monitoring sensors in four typical sections. The final ground settlement in each stage is determined using the field monitoring data based on the hyperbolic settlement prediction method. For each stage of graded filling load, the ground settlement with a strain consolidation degree of 95% is defined as the standard settlement, and the corresponding settlement time is set as the standard settlement time. The preloading period is estimated according to the standard settlement time. The deep lateral displacement rate of the ground is monitored to control the stability of the foundation and recommended to guide the embankment construction. Results indicate that the presented method can predict the preloading time of graded filling, reduce the frequency of observation, and ensure the consolidation and stability of the ground.


2016 ◽  
Vol 56 (1) ◽  
pp. 144-151 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hirochika Hayashi ◽  
Satoshi Nishimoto ◽  
Takahiro Yamanashi

Author(s):  
Marco A. Meggiolaro ◽  
Constantinos Mavroidis ◽  
Steven Dubowsky

Abstract A method is presented to identify the source of end-effector positioning errors in large manipulators using experimentally measured data. Both errors due to manufacturing tolerances and other geometric errors and elastic structural deformations are identified. These error sources are used to predict, and compensate for, the end-point errors as a function of configuration and measured forces. The method is applied to a new large high accuracy medical robot. Experimental results show that the method is able to effectively correct for the errors in the system.


2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (15) ◽  
pp. 5381
Author(s):  
Yi Zhang ◽  
Zaijun Wu ◽  
Cheng Qian ◽  
Xiao Tan ◽  
Jinggang Yang ◽  
...  

In this paper, cross-linked polyethylene (XLPE) cables of the same batch from Factory A, which ran from 1 to 8 years in Jiangsu Province, are sampled. Some widely accepted aging characterization methods of XLPE cables such as the gel content test, differential scanning calorimetry (DSC) test, tensile test and hardness test are employed to obtain the physicochemical, mechanical and electrical properties of the samples. Then, some lifespan prediction parameters significantly correlated with operating time are obtained through correlation calculations. Finally, a prediction method is proposed to predict the operating time of XLPE cables from Factory A. The test results indicate that parameters including the gel content Cge, the crystallinity XC, tensile strength σ, ultimate elongation δ, the dielectric permittivity ε, and the dielectric loss Jtan are significantly correlated with operating time, which can be used in evaluating the aging degree of XLPE cables. Moreover, due to the high accuracy of the experimental verification, it turns out that the lifespan prediction method proposed in this paper can be used to determine the operating time of XLPE cables from Factory A in future research.


2013 ◽  
Vol 321-324 ◽  
pp. 757-761 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chen Liang Song ◽  
Zhen Liu ◽  
Bin Long ◽  
Cheng Lin Yang

According to the real-time prediction for performance degradation trend, the commonly used method is just based on field data. But this methods prediction result will not be so much ideal when the fitting of degradation trend of field data is not good. To solve the problem, the paper introduces a new method which is not only based on field method but also based on reliability experimental data coming from the history experiment. We use the relationship between the field data and reliability experimental data to get the result of the two kinds of data respectively and then get the weights according to the two prediction results. Finally, the final real-time prediction result for performance degradation tendency can obtain by allocating the weights to the two prediction results.


2013 ◽  
Vol 663 ◽  
pp. 76-79 ◽  
Author(s):  
Guo Heng Li ◽  
Han Bing Liu ◽  
Xu Xi Qin

A mixture method based on exponential curve and ANN is presented according to settlement prediction of roadbed with measured data. Based on this method, the rule of roadbed settlement is classified into sure part and uncertain part. Exponential curve is used to model the sure part, and ANN to model the uncertain part, thus the mixture settlement model can be obtained. Prediction results show that the mixture model has advantages of high precision and small network scale; it provides a new method for settlement prediction of roadbed.


2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (21) ◽  
pp. 5921 ◽  
Author(s):  
Peng Zhang ◽  
Xin Ma ◽  
Kun She

Energy consumption is an essential basis for formulating energy policy and programming, especially in the transition of energy consumption structure in a country. Correct prediction of energy consumption can provide effective reference data for decision-makers and planners to achieve sustainable energy development. Grey prediction method is one of the most effective approaches to handle the problem with a small amount of historical data. However, there is still room to improve the prediction performance and enlarge the application fields of the traditional grey model. Nonlinear grey action quantity can effectively improve the performance of the grey prediction model. Therefore, this paper proposes a novel incomplete gamma grey model (IGGM) with a nonlinear grey input over time. The grey input of the IGGM model is a revised incomplete gamma function of time in which the nonlinear coefficient determines the performance of the IGGM model. The WOA algorithm is employed to seek for the optimal incomplete coefficient of the IGGM model. Then, the validations of IGGM are performed on four real-world datasets, and the results exhibit that the IGGM model has more advantages than the other state-of-the-art grey models. Finally, the IGGM model is applied to forecast Japan’s solar energy consumption in the next three years.


2019 ◽  
Vol 7 (3) ◽  
pp. 58 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jiong Li ◽  
Mingguang Li ◽  
Lulu Zhang ◽  
Hui Chen ◽  
Xiaohe Xia ◽  
...  

The coastal micro-confined aquifer (MCA) in Shanghai is characterized by shallow burial depth, high artesian head, and discontinuous distribution. It has a significant influence on underground space development, especially where the MCA is directly connected with deep confined aquifers. In this paper, a series of pumping well tests were conducted in the MCA located in such area to investigate the dewatering-induced groundwater fluctuations and stratum deformation. In addition, a numerical method is proposed for the estimation of hydraulic parameter, and an empirical prediction method is developed for dewatering-induced ground settlement. Test results show that groundwater drawdowns and soil settlement can be observed not only in MCA but also in the aquifers underneath it. This indicates that there is a close hydraulic connection among each aquifer. Moreover, the distributions and development of soil settlement at various depths are parallel to those of groundwater drawdowns in most areas of the test site except the vicinity of pumping wells, where collapse-induced subsidence due to high-speed flow may occur. Furthermore, the largest deformation usually occurs at the top of the pumping aquifer instead of the ground surface, because the top layer is expanded due to the stress arch formed in it. Finally, the proposed methods are validated to be feasible according to the pumping well test results and can be employed to investigate the responses of groundwater fluctuations and stratum deformations due to dewatering in MCA.


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