Devising an Algorithm for Election Prediction Using Survey of Voters Opinions

The purpose of this research study is to analyze how we use voter polls to predict elections and to design an algorithm to predict elections. We propose a method of prediction based on learning algorithm to determine the political profile of a voter group by obtaining a linear hierarchy on the attributes that weights the number of instances that are more relevant. Our process starts with opinion survey collected directly from the target group of voters. Having a linear attribute hierarchy that expresses the political preferences of voters allows the application of a holistic approach to distribute the potential number of votes among the parties involved. We applied our electoral outlook model in the Kosovo election case study in from February 2021. The devised algorithmic model may also be applied to other situations. Data analysis not only provides new analysis opportunities, but also faces many challenges. In our case, we listed the limitations of the research. The research attempts to promote the implementation of the algorithm by extending the processing of the information generated by the learning algorithm to improve the prediction of elections and winning parties. Discussed of all data analysis challenges, and present, discuss, and argue insights.

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From Participants to Co-Researchers: Methodological Alterations to a Qualitative Case Study

The Qualitative Report ◽

10.46743/2160-3715/2020.4394 ◽

2020 ◽

Author(s):

Elizabeth Pope

Keyword(s):

Qualitative Research ◽

Data Analysis ◽

Research Study ◽

Qualitative Case Study ◽

Active Participation ◽

Data Generation

Researchers request a variety of levels of engagement from their participants in a research study. This can range from merely serving as a data generation opportunity to being actively involved in each stage of the project. The latter is a co-researcher. In this paper, I explore how nine participants in a qualitative case study became co-researchers by the study’s conclusion. The increase in their active participation required methodological alterations to the project while I conducted the study. This paper presents these alterations by examining: (1) my position as a researcher; (2) my relationship with the participants; (3) the trajectory of the project; (4) data analysis; and (5) the presentation of the findings. I conclude with a discussion of such alterations for qualitative research and offer suggestions for novice researchers when experiencing situations during research that may warrant unanticipated methodological changes.

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Kämpfe um Bergbau und die Möglichkeiten demokratischer Transformation

PROKLA Zeitschrift für kritische Sozialwissenschaft ◽

10.32387/prokla.v47i189.55 ◽

2017 ◽

Vol 47 (189) ◽

Author(s):

Kristina Dietz

Keyword(s):

Direct Democracy ◽

Social Power ◽

Political Agenda ◽

The Political ◽

Liberal Democratic ◽

Political Effects ◽

Mining Project ◽

National Governments ◽

The Relationship

The article explores the political effects of popular consultations as a means of direct democracy in struggles over mining. Building on concepts from participatory and materialist democracy theory, it shows the transformative potentials of processes of direct democracy towards democratization and emancipation under, and beyond, capitalist and liberal democratic conditions. Empirically the analysis is based on a case study on the protests against the La Colosa gold mining project in Colombia. The analysis reveals that although processes of direct democracy in conflicts over mining cannot transform existing class inequalities and social power relations fundamentally, they can nevertheless alter elements thereof. These are for example the relationship between local and national governments, changes of the political agenda of mining and the opening of new spaces for political participation, where previously there were none. It is here where it’s emancipatory potential can be found.

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2018 Fiji Election Results: Patterns of Voting by Provinces, Rural-Urban Localities, and by Candidates

The Journal of Pacific Studies ◽

10.33318/jpacs.2020.40(2)-3 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 40 (2) ◽

Author(s):

Haruo Nakagawa

Keyword(s):

Political Parties ◽

Electoral System ◽

Interesting Case ◽

The Political ◽

Quantitative Analyses ◽

Election Results

Akin to the previous, 2014 event, with no data on voter ethnicity, no exit polls, and few post-election analyses, the 2018 Fiji election results remain something of a mystery despite the fact that there had been a significant swing in voting in favour of Opposition political parties. There have been several studies about the election results, but most of them have been done without much quantitative analyses. This study examines voting patterns of Fiji’s 2018 election by provinces, and rural-urban localities, as well as by candidates, and also compares the 2018 and 2014 elections by spending a substantial time classifying officially released data by polling stations and individual candidates. Some of the data are then further aggregated according to the political parties to which those candidates belonged. The current electoral system in Fiji is a version of a proportional system, but its use is rare and this study will provide an interesting case study of the Open List Proportional System. At the end of the analyses, this study considers possible reasons for the swing in favour of the Opposition.

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Teaching Computer Based Historical Data Analysis

History and Computing ◽

10.3366/hac.1994.6.1.52 ◽

1994 ◽

Vol 6 (1) ◽

pp. 52-58 ◽

Cited By ~ 1

Author(s):

Charles Anderson ◽

Robert J. Morris

Keyword(s):

Data Analysis ◽

Social History ◽

Historical Data ◽

Good Practice ◽

Computer Assisted ◽

Historical Data Analysis ◽

University Of Edinburgh ◽

Computer Based ◽

The University

A case study ofa third year course in the Department of Economic and Social History in the University of Edinburgh isusedto considerandhighlightaspects of good practice in the teaching of computer-assisted historical data analysis.

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Islamic and Jewish Religious Feminists Tackle Islamic and Jewish Oral Law: Maintenance and Rebellion of Wives

Comparative Islamic Studies ◽

10.1558/cis.31497 ◽

2017 ◽

Vol 11 (1) ◽

pp. 35-63

Author(s):

Ruth Roded

Keyword(s):

State Policy ◽

Political System ◽

Daily Life ◽

The State ◽

The Political ◽

Jewish Law ◽

Modern Times ◽

Parallel Case ◽

First Time

Beginning in the early 1970s, Jewish and Muslim feminists, tackled “oral law”—Mishna and Talmud, in Judaism, and the parallel Hadith and Fiqh in Islam, and several analogous methodologies were devised. A parallel case study of maintenance and rebellion of wives —mezonoteha, moredet al ba?ala; nafaqa al-mar?a and nush?z—in classical Jewish and Islamic oral law demonstrates similarities in content and discourse. Differences between the two, however, were found in the application of oral law to daily life, as reflected in “responsa”—piskei halacha and fatwas. In modern times, as the state became more involved in regulating maintenance and disobedience, and Jewish law was backed for the first time in history by a state, state policy and implementation were influenced by the political system and socioeconomic circumstances of the country. Despite their similar origin in oral law, maintenance and rebellion have divergent relevance to modern Jews and Muslims.

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KAJIAN PENYELENGGARAAN PAUD DI KOTA BANJARMASIN DITINJAU DARI ASPEK PERENCANAAN

Jurnal Penelitian Kebijakan Pendidikan ◽

10.24832/jpkp.v2i2.9 ◽

2018 ◽

Vol 2 (2) ◽

pp. 159

Author(s):

Lisna Sulinar Sari

Keyword(s):

Early Childhood ◽

Data Analysis ◽

Early Childhood Education ◽

Educational Needs ◽

Needs Analysis ◽

Case Study Approach ◽

Childhood Education ◽

Study Approach ◽

Early Childhood Institutions

Abstrak: Permasalahan dalam penelitian ini yaitu dari jumlah lembaga PAUD yang ada diKota Banjarmasin belum semuanya memiliki perencanaan khususnya pada analisispeningkatan legalitas kelembagaan PAUD dan analisis kebutuhan pendidikan untuk anak usiadini (AUD). Penelitian ini menggunakan pendekatan studi kasus dengan analisis data deskrtifkuantitatif dan kualitataif. Hasil studi menunjukkan bahwa: i) Disdik Kota Banjarmasin danLembaga PAUD sampel tidak melakukan perencanaan yang baik untuk pendataan analisiskebutuhan pendidikan AUD; ii) Belum semua lembaga PAUD sampel memiliki izinoperasional dikarenakan adanya persyaratan yang belum dapat dipenuhi karena memerlukanbiaya yang cukup besar seperti, pembuatan akta notaris; iii) Belum semua lembaga PAUDmemiliki sarpras sesuai dengan pedoman sarana dan prasarana dari pusat; iv) untuk membantuketersediaan sarpras, Disdik Kota Banjarmasin sudah mengalokasikan dana APBD II berupabantuan RKB, rehab kelas rusak ringan dan berat, serta bantuan APE Dalam dan Luar berupabarang. Abstract: The problem in this study is from the number of early childhood institutions in thecity of Banjarmasin not all have plans in particular to the analysis of institutional legalityincrease early childhood education and educational needs analysis for early childhood (AUD).This study uses a case study approach to data analysis of quantitative and qualitative deskrtif.The study shows that: i) Disdik Banjarmasin and Institutions ECD sample is not doing betterplanning for data analysis AUD educational needs; ii) Not all the samples of early childhoodinstitutions have an operating permit because of the requirements can not be met because itrequires significant costs such as notary deed; iii) Not all early childhood institutions haveinfrastructure accordance with the guidelines of the central infrastructure; iv) to assist theavailability infrastructure, Disdik Banjarmasin already allocated budget II in the form ofclassroom assistance, rehabilitation of damaged light and heavy classes, as well as the In andOut APE assistance in the form of goods.

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การมีส่วนร่วมทางการเมืองของประชาชนที่ประกอบอาชีพในภาคธุรกิจเอกชน: ศึกษาเฉพาะกรณีกลุ่มลูกค้าและบุคลากรของ บริษัท เอ็น.อาร์. เอ็นจิเนียริ่ง จำกัด, สำนักงานใหญ่ (กรุงเทพมหานคร) (The Political Participation of the People in the Private Sector: A Case Study of Customers and Employees of N.R. Engineering Company Limited (Head Office, Bangkok))

SSRN Electronic Journal ◽

10.2139/ssrn.3260059 ◽

2015 ◽

Author(s):

Saruta Pholthaisong ◽

Prakit Kanyabal

Keyword(s):

Political Participation ◽

Private Sector ◽

The Political ◽

Head Office ◽

Company Limited ◽

The People ◽

Engineering Company

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Language Movement and Civil War in West Africa

10.1093/oso/9780190657543.003.0009 ◽

2018 ◽

Cited By ~ 1

Author(s):

Ericka A. Albaugh

Keyword(s):

Civil War ◽

Sierra Leone ◽

Citizen Participation ◽

Urban Areas ◽

Political Process ◽

The Political ◽

Political Consequences ◽

Language Spread ◽

The 1960S

This chapter examines how civil war can influence the spread of language. Specifically, it takes Sierra Leone as a case study to demonstrate how Krio grew from being primarily a language of urban areas in the 1960s to one spoken by most of the population in the 2000s. While some of this was due to “normal” factors such as population movement and growing urbanization, the civil war from 1991 to 2002 certainly catalyzed the process of language spread in the 1990s. Using census documents and surveys, the chapter tests the hypothesis at the national, regional, and individual levels. The spread of a language has political consequences, as it allows for citizen participation in the political process. It is an example of political scientists’ approach to uncovering the mechanisms for and evidence of language movement in Africa.

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An Intersectional Approach to the “Mobility Trap” That Ensnares Migrant Youth in China

The Oxford Handbook of Global South Youth Studies ◽

10.1093/oxfordhb/9780190930028.013.10 ◽

2020 ◽

Author(s):

Xiaorong Gu

Keyword(s):

Social Sciences ◽

Social Relations ◽

Social Institutions ◽

Urban China ◽

The Political ◽

Economic Systems ◽

Life Chances ◽

Migrant Youth ◽

Political Economic

This essay explores the theory of intersectionality in the study of youths’ lives and social inequality in the Global South. It begins with an overview of the concept of intersectionality and its wide applications in social sciences, followed by a proposal for regrounding the concept in the political economic systems in particular contexts (without assuming the universality of capitalist social relations in Northern societies), rather than positional identities. These systems lay material foundations, shaping the multiple forms of deprivation and precarity in which Southern youth are embedded. A case study of rural migrant youths’ ‘mobility trap’ in urban China is used to illustrate how layers of social institutions and structures in the country’s transition to a mixed economy intersect to influence migrant youths’ aspirations and life chances. The essay concludes with ruminations on the theoretical and social implications of the political-economy-grounded intersectionality approach for youth studies.

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