scholarly journals Evaluation of Point of Need Diagnostic Tests for Use in California Influenza Outbreaks

2016 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ashlynn Daughton ◽  
Alina Deshpande

Because of the potential threats flu viruses pose, the United States, like many developed countries, has a very well established flu surveillance system consisting of 10 components collecting laboratory data, mortality data, hospitalization data and sentinel outpatient care data. Currently, this surveillance system is estimated to lag behind the actual seasonal outbreak by one to two weeks. As new data streams come online, it is important to understand what added benefit they bring to the flu surveillance system complex. For data streams to be effective, they should provide data in a more timely fashion or provide additional data that current surveillance systems cannot provide. Two multiplexed diagnostic tools designed to test syndromically relevant pathogens and wirelessly upload data for rapid integration and interpretation were evaluated to see how they fit into the influenza surveillance scheme in California.

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kazutoshi Fujibayashi ◽  
Hiromizu Takahashi ◽  
Mika Tanei ◽  
Yuki Uehara ◽  
Hirohide Yokokawa ◽  
...  

BACKGROUND Influenza infections can spread rapidly, and influenza outbreaks are a major public health concern worldwide. Early detection of signs of an influenza pandemic is important to prevent global outbreaks. Development of information and communications technologies for influenza surveillance, including participatory surveillance systems involving lay users, has recently increased. Many of these systems can estimate influenza activity faster than the conventional influenza surveillance systems. Unfortunately, few of these influenza-tracking systems are available in Japan. OBJECTIVE This study aimed to evaluate the flu-tracking ability of Flu-Report, a new influenza-tracking mobile phone app that uses a self-administered questionnaire for the early detection of influenza activity. METHODS Flu-Report was used to collect influenza-related information (ie, dates on which influenza infections were diagnosed) from November 2016 to March 2017. Participants were adult volunteers from throughout Japan, who also provided information about their cohabiting family members. The utility of Flu-Report was evaluated by comparison with the conventional influenza surveillance information and basic information from an existing large-scale influenza-tracking system (an automatic surveillance system based on electronic records of prescription drug purchases). RESULTS Information was obtained through Flu-Report for approximately 10,094 volunteers. In total, 2134 participants were aged <20 years, 6958 were aged 20-59 years, and 1002 were aged ≥60 years. Between November 2016 and March 2017, 347 participants reported they had influenza or an influenza-like illness in the 2016 season. Flu-Report-derived influenza infection time series data displayed a good correlation with basic information obtained from the existing influenza surveillance system (rho, ρ=.65, P=.001). However, the influenza morbidity ratio for our participants was approximately 25% of the mean influenza morbidity ratio for the Japanese population. The Flu-Report influenza morbidity ratio was 5.06% (108/2134) among those aged <20 years, 3.16% (220/6958) among those aged 20-59 years, and 0.59% (6/1002) among those aged ≥60 years. In contrast, influenza morbidity ratios for Japanese individuals aged <20 years, 20-59 years, and ≥60 years were recently estimated at 31.97% to 37.90%, 8.16% to 9.07%, and 2.71% to 4.39%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS Flu-Report supports easy access to near real-time information about influenza activity via the accumulation of self-administered questionnaires. However, Flu-Report users may be influenced by selection bias, which is a common issue associated with surveillance using information and communications technologies. Despite this, Flu-Report has the potential to provide basic data that could help detect influenza outbreaks.


2021 ◽  
Vol 17 (6) ◽  
pp. e1008994
Author(s):  
Fred S. Lu ◽  
Andre T. Nguyen ◽  
Nicholas B. Link ◽  
Mathieu Molina ◽  
Jessica T. Davis ◽  
...  

Effectively designing and evaluating public health responses to the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic requires accurate estimation of the prevalence of COVID-19 across the United States (US). Equipment shortages and varying testing capabilities have however hindered the usefulness of the official reported positive COVID-19 case counts. We introduce four complementary approaches to estimate the cumulative incidence of symptomatic COVID-19 in each state in the US as well as Puerto Rico and the District of Columbia, using a combination of excess influenza-like illness reports, COVID-19 test statistics, COVID-19 mortality reports, and a spatially structured epidemic model. Instead of relying on the estimate from a single data source or method that may be biased, we provide multiple estimates, each relying on different assumptions and data sources. Across our four approaches emerges the consistent conclusion that on April 4, 2020, the estimated case count was 5 to 50 times higher than the official positive test counts across the different states. Nationally, our estimates of COVID-19 symptomatic cases as of April 4 have a likely range of 2.3 to 4.8 million, with possibly as many as 7.6 million cases, up to 25 times greater than the cumulative confirmed cases of about 311,000. Extending our methods to May 16, 2020, we estimate that cumulative symptomatic incidence ranges from 4.9 to 10.1 million, as opposed to 1.5 million positive test counts. The proposed combination of approaches may prove useful in assessing the burden of COVID-19 during resurgences in the US and other countries with comparable surveillance systems.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
HeeKyung Choi ◽  
Won Suk Choi ◽  
Euna Han

BACKGROUND Influenza is an important public health concern. A national surveillance system that easily and rapidly detects influenza epidemics is lacking. OBJECTIVE We assumed that the rate of influenza-like illness (ILI) related-claims is similar to the current ILI surveillance system. METHODS We used the Health Insurance Review and Assessment Service-National Patient Samples (HIRA-NPS), 2014-2018. We defined ILI-related claims as outpatient claims that contain both antipyretic and antitussive agents and calculated the weekly rate of ILI-related claims. We compared ILI-related claims and weekly ILI rates from clinical sentinel surveillance data. RESULTS We observed a strong correlation between the two surveillance systems each season. The absolute thresholds for the four-years were 84.64 and 86.19 cases claims per 1,000 claims for claims data and 12.27 and 16.82 per 1,000 patients for sentinel data (Figure 5). Both the claims and sentinel data surpassed the epidemic thresholds each season. The peak epidemic in the claims data was reached one to two weeks later than in the sentinel data. The epidemic patterns were more similar in the 2016-2017 and 2017-2018 seasons than the 2014-2015 and 2015-2016 seasons. CONCLUSIONS Based on hospital reports, ILI-related claims rates were similar to the ILI surveillance system. ILI claims data can be loaded to a drug utilization review system in Korea to make an influenza surveillance system.


2020 ◽  
Vol 54 (2) ◽  
pp. 11-17
Author(s):  
Dora Dadzie ◽  
Adolphina Addo-Lartey ◽  
Nana Peprah ◽  
Ernest Kenu

Background: We evaluated the pneumonia surveillance system in Tema Metropolis to determine whether it is meeting its objectives and to assess its attributes.Design: Descriptive primary and secondary data analysisData Source: We interviewed health staff on the system’s operation and resources. We also extracted 2012-2016 surveillance dataset for under-five pneumonia cases and deaths from the District Health Information Management System for review.Participants: Health staffIntervention: The Centers for Disease Control (CDC) updated guidelines for evaluating surveillance systems was used to assess system attributes. Main outcome measure: state of the pneumonia surveillance system in TemaResults: A suspected case was defined as fast breathing in any child < 5 years old. The case definition was easy to apply, even at the community level. From 2012 to 2016, a total of 3,337 cases and 54 deaths (case fatality rate 1.6%) was recorded from 13 (23.6%) of 55 health facilities. Two epidemics were missed by the district because data were not being analysed. There were no laboratory data on antimicrobial resistance. Although reporting timeliness increased from 28.1% in 2012 to 83% in 2016, data inconsistencies existed between reporting levels.Conclusion: The surveillance system for under-five pneumonia in Tema Metropolis is simple, stable, flexible, timely,but of low sensitivity and acceptability, and only partly meeting its objectives. Major shortcomings are lack of laboratory data, non-use of data and low representativeness.Keywords: Under-five Pneumonia, Surveillance System Evaluation, Tema, GhanaFunding: The study was supported by a grant to author DB by the President’s Malaria Initiative (PMI) -CDC CoAg 6NU2GGH001876


Author(s):  
Qasim Mahmood Rajpoot ◽  
Christian Damsgaard Jensen

Pervasive usage of video surveillance is rapidly increasing in developed countries. Continuous security threats to public safety demand use of such systems. Contemporary video surveillance systems offer advanced functionalities which threaten the privacy of those recorded in the video. There is a need to balance the usage of video surveillance against its negative impact on privacy. This chapter aims to highlight the privacy issues in video surveillance and provides a model to help identify the privacy requirements in a video surveillance system. The authors make a step in the direction of investigating the existing legal infrastructure for ensuring privacy in video surveillance and suggest guidelines in order to help those who want to deploy video surveillance while least compromising the privacy of people and complying with legal infrastructure.


Viruses ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 81 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ayman Ahmed ◽  
Isabelle Dietrich ◽  
A. Desiree LaBeaud ◽  
Steve W. Lindsay ◽  
Ahmed Musa ◽  
...  

The risk of emergence and/or re-emergence of arthropod-borne viral (arboviral) infections is rapidly growing worldwide, particularly in Africa. The burden of arboviral infections and diseases is not well scrutinized because of the inefficient surveillance systems in endemic countries. Furthermore, the health systems are fully occupied by the burden of other co-existing febrile illnesses, especially malaria. In this review we summarize the epidemiology and risk factors associated with the major human arboviral diseases and highlight the gap in knowledge, research, and control in Sudan. Published data in English up to March 2019 were reviewed and are discussed to identify the risks and challenges for the control of arboviruses in the country. In addition, the lack of suitable diagnostic tools such as viral genome sequencing, and the urgent need for establishing a genomic database of the circulating viruses and potential sources of entry are discussed. Moreover, the research and healthcare gaps and global health threats are analyzed, and suggestions for developing strategic health policy for the prevention and control of arboviruses with focus on building the local diagnostic and research capacity and establishing an early warning surveillance system for the early detection and containment of arboviral epidemics are offered.


2019 ◽  
Vol 29 (Supplement_4) ◽  
Author(s):  
M Pivette ◽  
V de Lauzun ◽  
N Nicolay ◽  
A Scanff ◽  
B Hubert

Abstract Background Seasonal influenza surveillance in France is based on several data sources (ambulatory data, emergency department and intensive care unit (ICU) admissions, laboratory data, mortality). However, the data do not provide a complete measure of the impact of the epidemics on the hospital system. The objective of the study was to describe the characteristics of influenza hospitalizations from the French national hospital discharge database (PMSI) between 2012 and 2017 and to precise the burden of influenza by age group and by season. Methods All hospitalizations in metropolitan France with at least one ICD-10 code related to influenza (J09, J10, J11) as a principal, related or associated diagnosis between 1 July 2012 to 30 June 2017 were extracted from the PMSI. For each season, the total number of hospitalizations, admissions to ICU, incidence and lethality rates, lengths of stay and classification in diagnosis-related groups were described by age group. Results During the 5 seasons, 91 255 hospitalizations with an influenza-diagnosis were identified. The incidence varied significantly between seasons, from 12.7/100 000 in 2013-2014 to 45.9/100 000 in 2016-2017. A high number of cases was observed in elderlies in 2014-2015 and 2016-2017, marked by the circulation of A (H3N2) virus. The proportion of hospitalizations with an admission in ICU was 10%, and was higher in the 40-79 age group (19%). Lethality increased steadily with age, from 0.5% under 20 years to 10% in 80 years and older. Length of stay also increased with age. Significant regional disparities were observed, with higher incidence rates in South-Eastern France each season. Conclusions The analysis of influenza hospitalizations from the PMSI provides important elements on influenza burden, not available in the current surveillance systems. An annual analysis, stratified by age group, would provide an indicator of the impact of the epidemics on hospital system at the end of each influenza season. Key messages Important influenza incidence variations were observed between seasons by age groups. Severity and impact of influenza (mortality, ICU, length of stay) varied significantly by age group.


Author(s):  
Folajimi. O. Shorunke ◽  
Aisha Usman ◽  
Tade Adeniyi Olanrewaju ◽  
Ndadilnasiya Endie Waziri ◽  
S. N. Grace

Background: In 2019, two Highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) A(H5N8) outbreaks in poultry establishments in Bulgaria, two of wild birds in Denmark and one low pathogenic avian influenza (LPAI) A(H5N3) in captive birds in the Netherlands were reported. Nigeria recorded the first outbreak of Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza (HPAI) in February 2006 in a commercial poultry farm. Nigerian Pandemic Preparedness and Action Plan for Avian Influenza were then used to respond. Although influenza sentinel surveillance has been established in several African countries including Nigeria, data about the performance of established surveillance systems are limited on the continent. We described the avian influenza (AI) surveillance system in Ogun State, accessed veterinary health workers and farmers knowledge, evaluated all its attributes and made recommendations to improve the AI surveillance system. Methods: We adopted 2001 CDC Updated Guidelines for Evaluating Public Health Surveillance Systems. We reviewed and analyzed passive surveillance data from Ogun State Ministry of Agric, key informant interviews were conducted for relevant stakeholders at the state level and Local Government divisional veterinary clinics and farms to obtain additional information on the operations of the system.


2003 ◽  
Vol 1 (SI) ◽  
pp. 54-64 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jay E. Maddock ◽  
Carrie S. Marshall ◽  
Claudio R. Nigg ◽  
Jodi D. Barnett

Chronic diseases account for 7 out of 10 deaths in the United States and 60% of the Nation’s health care expenses. Tobacco use, lack of physical activity and poor nutrition account for one third of US mortality. Behavioral surveillance systems such as the Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System (BRFSS) provide information on rates of behavior in the population and among different demographic categories. While these systems are essential for health promotion they do not assist the health educator in understanding psychosocial factors which may be related to the rates. A psychosocial surveillance system can aid in understanding the behavior change process and in the readiness of the population for behavior change. Results can assist states and localities in targeting health promotion messages and programs and can help in the allocation of often scarce health promotion funds. In 2000, the Hawaii Department of Health launched the Healthy Hawaii Initiative, a statewide program to reduce tobacco use, increase physical activity, and improve nutrition. As part of the evaluation, researchers at the University of Hawaii implemented a psychosocial surveillance system for the three target behaviors to assess changes in hypothesized mediators including stage of change, self efficacy, attitude and social norms. A random digit dial survey was conducted in the Spring and Fall of 2002 with 4,706 and 4,555 participants, respectively. Results show stability in the demographic characteristics and health behaviors of the sample but changes in the psychosocial variables. Several possible areas for interventions and messaging are demonstrated. A psychosocial surveillance system can be an important tool for health promotion and can lead to better understanding of health behaviors and attitudes.


2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Phunlerd Piyaraj ◽  
Nira Pet-hoi ◽  
Chaiyos Kunanusont ◽  
Supanee Sangiamsak ◽  
Somsak Wankijcharoen ◽  
...  

Objective: We describe the Bangkok Dusit Medical Services Surveillance System (BDMS-SS) and use of surveillance efforts for influenza as an example of surveillance capability in near real-time among a network of 20 hospitals in the Bangkok Dusit Medical Services group (BDMS).Introduction: Influenza is one of the significant causes of morbidity and mortality globally. Previous studies have demonstrated the benefit of laboratory surveillance and its capability to accurately detect influenza outbreaks earlier than syndromic surveillance.1-3 Current laboratory surveillance has an approximately 4-week lag due to laboratory test turn-around time, data collection and data analysis. As part of strengthening influenza virus surveillance in response to the 2009 influenza A (H1N1) pandemic, the real-time laboratory-based influenza surveillance system, the Bangkok Dusit Medical Services Surveillance System (BDMS-SS), was developed in 2010 by the Bangkok Health Research Center (BHRC). The primary objective of the BDMS-SS is to alert relevant stakeholders on the incidence trends of the influenza virus. Type-specific results along with patient demographic and geographic information were available to physicians and uploaded for public health awareness within 24 hours after patient nasopharyngeal swab was collected. This system advances early warning and supports better decision making during infectious disease events.2 The BDMS-SS operates all year round collecting results of all routinely tested respiratory clinical samples from participating hospitals from the largest group of private hospitals in Thailand.Methods: The BDMS has a comprehensive network of laboratory, epidemiologic, and early warning surveillance systems which represents the largest body of information from private hospitals across Thailand. Hospitals and clinical laboratories have deployed automatic reporting mechanisms since 2010 and have effectively improved timeliness of laboratory data reporting. In April 2017, the capacity of near real-time influenza surveillance in BDMS was found to have a demonstrated and sustainable capability.Results: From October 2010 to April 2017, a total of 482,789 subjects were tested and 86,110 (17.8%) cases of influenza were identified. Of those who tested positive for influenza they were aged <2 years old (4.6%), 2-4 year old (10.9%), 5-14 years old (29.8%), 15-49 years old (41.9%), 50-64 years old (8.3%) and >65 years old (3.7%). Approximately 50% of subjects were male and female. Of these, 40,552 (47.0%) were influenza type B, 31,412 (36.4%) were influenza A unspecified subtype, 6,181 (7.2%) were influenza A H1N1, 4,001 (4.6%) were influenza A H3N2, 3,835 (4.4%) were influenza A seasonal and 196 (0.4%) were respiratory syncytial virus (RSV).The number of influenza-positive specimens reported by the real-time influenza surveillance system were from week 40, 2015 to week 39, 2016. A total of 117,867 subjects were tested and 17,572 (14.91%) cases tested positive for the influenza virus (Figure 1). Based on the long-term monitoring of collected information, this system can delineate the epidemiologic pattern of circulating viruses in near real-time manner, which clearly shows annual peaks in winter dominated by influenza subtype B in 2015-1016 season. This surveillance system helps to provide near real-time reporting, enabling rapid implementation of control measures for influenza outbreaks.Conclusions: This surveillance system was the first real-time, daily reporting surveillance system to report on the largest data base of private hospitals in Thailand and provides timely reports and feedback to all stakeholders. It provides an important supplement to the routine influenza surveillance system in Thailand. This illustrates a high level of awareness and willingness among the BDMS hospital network to report emerging infectious diseases, and highlights the robust and sensitive nature of BDMS’s surveillance system. This system demonstrates the flexibility of the surveillance systems in BDMS to evaluate to emerging infectious disease and major communicable diseases. Through participation in the Thailand influenza surveillance network, BDMS can more actively collaborate with national counterparts and use its expertise to strengthen global and regional surveillance capacity in Southeast Asia, in order to secure advances for a world safe and secure from infectious disease. Furthermore, this system can be quickly adapted and used to monitor future influenzas pandemics and other major outbreaks of respiratory infectious disease, including novel pathogens.


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