scholarly journals How Interest Causes Unemployment

ICR Journal ◽  
2013 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 304-307
Author(s):  
Abdul Karim Abdullah (Leslie Terebessy)

A number of nations are currently mired in an economic recession. Conventional economic theory seems unable to point to a way out. Many households, individuals, firms and even governments are trapped in sizable levels of debt. Keynes argued in favour of overcoming the Great Depression by raising government spending in order to stimulate economic growth. This was to be financed by borrowing. This solution worked then but is unlikely to work now, as many governments are already deeply in debt.  

2011 ◽  
Vol 2 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ivars Brīvers

The first decade of the XXI century clearly shows that the notion of the people concerning the values and goals in economy should be revised. As a result of global crisis economic theory may experience essential changes, as it was during the Great Depression in the XX century. The aim of the paper is to show the necessity of reconsidering the goals in economy. The hypothesis is that growth economy has become non-sustainable and it should be substituted by an economy of a different design – steady-state economy. The paper contains a review and analysis of various ideas about the problem, focusing mainly on the interpretation of the notion of sustainable development and the costs and benefits of economic growth; the way, how we measure things in economy and about the widespread illusions about the possibility of perpetual economic growth. The conclusion is that any growth, including economic growth is never sustainable.


1999 ◽  
Vol 59 (3) ◽  
pp. 624-658 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. Peter Ferderer ◽  
David A. Zalewski

This study examines the interplay between financial crises, uncertainty, and economic growth during the interwar period. Comparing the experiences of ten countries, we provide evidence that reductions in the credibility of a country's commitment to the gold standard generated capital flight and higher interest rate volatility. This volatility, in turn, was inversely correlated with economic growth. These results suggest that financial crises helped propagate the Great Depression, in part, by increasing uncertainty.


2020 ◽  
Vol 114 (4) ◽  
pp. 1195-1212
Author(s):  
SCOTT F. ABRAMSON ◽  
SERGIO MONTERO

We develop and estimate a model of learning that accounts for the observed correlation between economic development and democracy and for the clustering of democratization events. In our model, countries’ own and neighbors’ past experiences shape elites’ beliefs about the effects of democracy on economic growth and their likelihood of retaining power. These beliefs influence the choice to transition into or out of democracy. We show that learning is crucial to explaining observed transitions since the mid-twentieth century. Moreover, our model predicts reversals to authoritarianism if the world experienced a growth shock the size of the Great Depression.


2010 ◽  
Vol 17 (2) ◽  
pp. 127-140 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael Bordo ◽  
Harold James

In the discussion of our contemporary economic disease, the Great Depression analogy refuses to go away. Almost every policy-maker referred to conditions that had ‘not been seen since the Great Depression’, even before the failure of Lehman. Some even went further – the Deputy Governor of the Bank of England notably called the crisis the worst ‘financial crisis in human history’. In its April 2009 World Economic Outlook, the IMF looked explicitly at the analogy not only in the collapse of financial confidence, but also in the rapid decline of trade and industrial activity across the world. In general, history rather than economic theory seems to offer a guide in interpreting wildly surprising and inherently unpredictable events. Some observers, notably Paul Krugman, have concluded that a Dark Age of macroeconomics has set in.


Author(s):  
Mark Sniderman

Drawing from his long experience participating in the policymaking process at the Federal Reserve, chief policy officer Mark Sniderman shares his views on how the Federal Reserve's framework for conducting monetary policy has evolved over the past decade. He explains how changes in economic theory have helped shaped this new framework and how lessons learned from the Great Depression and Japan's recent struggle with deflation have contributed. This Commentary is based on a speech delivered at the Global Interdependence Conference, Tokyo, Japan, on December 4, 2012.


2012 ◽  
Vol 164 (2) ◽  
pp. 144-156
Author(s):  
Jerzy BESTRY

The world is on the eve of change. Current economic recession surprisingly resembles the ”Great Depression” of 1929. The time will show whether the global society has drawn conclusions from the traumatic experiences of the last century. Historia magistra vitae est. In this article, the author makes a prediction concerning European social order based on the analysis of present-day socio-economic events and the circumstances preceding both the current economic crisis and the past one.


2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
pp. 240-248
Author(s):  
Mary DOBBS

The world is currently facing the worst pandemic in a century and we were caught unprepared. COVID-19 has proven highly contagious and with severe consequences that are still unfolding. As of 16 April 2020, there were over 2 million confirmed cases and over 136,000 related deaths reported worldwide.1 Over 1 million of those confirmed cases were in the preceding 14 days, with the USA accounting for nearly half of those. Furthermore, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) is now warning that the world is about to suffer the worst economic recession since the Great Depression in the 1920s.2


2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (9) ◽  
pp. 3126 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hasan Dinçer ◽  
Serhat Yüksel ◽  
Seçil Şenel

The aim of this study is to analyze the effects of global risks on financial crises. For this purpose, five different outstanding crises after the Great Depression of 1929 are taken into the consideration. Additionally, four different dimensions are selected regarding global risk by considering the Global Risk Report. Moreover, the hesitant fuzzy DEMATEL, the hesitant fuzzy VIKOR, and the hesitant fuzzy TOPSIS methodologies are used to reach this objective. We concluded that, with respect to global risks, the industry-based dimension has the highest importance in comparison to other dimensions. In addition, we also identified that the 2010 European debt crisis and the 1982 Latin American debt crisis were the most influenced crises in terms of global risk. The main reason for this is that the macroeconomic problems such as high inflation and unemployment had negative impacts on the industries of these countries. Another important point is that the results of the hesitant fuzzy VIKOR and hesitant fuzzy TOPSIS models are quite different, but they are the most similar when the experts do not reach the consensus. This situation shows that this analysis is quite appropriate with respect to the hesitant approach. While considering these aspects, we recommended that countries should firstly focus on the solutions related to industry level problems in order to minimize the global risk. Owing to this issue, it can be more possible to reach sustainable economic growth in the world.


2008 ◽  
Vol 46 (3) ◽  
pp. 669-684 ◽  
Author(s):  
Peter Temin

This book collects essays, most of which were published earlier, into an advertisement for real business cycle (RBC) analysis. Half of the essays discuss the Great Depression; half discuss events of the 1980s and 1990s. They all use the general equilibrium model of economic growth to analyze short-run fluctuations in the rate of economic growth of various countries. I find that the use of closed economy models without frictions is not useful for the analysis of short-run variations in the rate of economic growth. Almost all of these essays end by claiming that variations in the rate of GDP growth were due to changes in the rate of total factor productivity (TFP) growth. They do not provide any explanation for fluctuations in the rate of TFP growth, leaving the reader no closer to understanding these periods of depression and slow growth. I discuss in turn the essays on the Great Depression, the essays on more recent fluctuations, and the definition of “great depressions” used in this volume.


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