scholarly journals A re-examination of ENSO/ anti-ENSO events and simultaneous performance of the Indian summer monsoon

MAUSAM ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 47 (1) ◽  
pp. 59-66
Author(s):  
J. CHATTOPADHYAY ◽  
R. BHATLA
Keyword(s):  
Monsoon Rainfall ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Monsoon Season ◽  
Strong Association ◽  
Enso Events ◽  
The Pacific ◽  
Degree Of Confidence ◽  
High Degree ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Very High

The relationship between ENSO/anti-ENSO events in the Pacific basin and simultaneous all India monsoon has been re-examined for the period 1901-1990 using Southern Oscillation Index (SOI). The result shows that there is fairly strong association between ENSO events and dry monsoon years. There exists a weak teleconnection between anti-ENSO events and wet monsoon indicating that anti-ENSO events have only a moderate impact on the Indian monsoon rainfall. Developing ENSO (anti-ENSO) episodes during the monsoon season indicates non-occurrence of simultaneous floods (droughts) with a very high degree of confidence 70 (50) percent of the droughts (floods) during the above period have occurred during ENSO (anti-ENSO) events indicating that extreme monsoon activities in the form of droughts (floods) might be important factors for the occurrence of simultaneous ENSO/anti-ENSO events.

scholarly journals Coastal upwelling along the southwest coast of India – ENSO modulation

2008 ◽  
Vol 26 (6) ◽  
pp. 1331-1334 ◽  
Author(s):  
K. Muni Krishna
Keyword(s):  
Coastal Upwelling ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Monsoon Season ◽  
Trade Winds ◽  
Southwest Coast Of India ◽  
Southwest Coast ◽  
Enso Events ◽  
The Pacific ◽  
Basin Scale ◽  
Using Data

Abstract. An index of El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) in the Pacific during pre monsoon season is shown to account for a significant part of the variability of coastal Sea Surface Temperature (SST) anomalies measured a few months later within the wind driven southwest coast of India coastal upwelling region 7° N–14° N. This teleconnection is thought to result from an atmospheric bridge between the Pacific and north Indian Oceans, leading to warm (cold) ENSO events being associated with relaxation (intensification) of the Indian trade winds and of the wind-induced coastal upwelling. This ENSO related modulation of the wind-driven coastal upwelling appears to contribute to the connection observed at the basin-scale between ENSO and SST in the Arabian Sea. The ability to use this teleconnection to give warning of large changes in the southwest coast of India coastal upwelling few months in advance is successfully tested using data from 1998 and 1999 ENSO events.

The relationship between the El Niño Southern Oscillation and Australian monsoon rainfall on decadal time-scales

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hanna Heidemann ◽  
Joachim Ribbe ◽  
Benjamin J. Henley ◽  
Tim Cowan ◽  
Christa Pudmenzky ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Monsoon Rainfall ◽  
Decadal Variability ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Eastern Pacific ◽  
Central Pacific ◽  
Australian Monsoon ◽  
Enso Events ◽  
Pacific Decadal Variability ◽  
Prediction Systems ◽  
Different Response

<p>This research analyses the observed relationship between eastern and central Pacific El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events and Australian monsoon rainfall (AUMR) on a decadal timescale during the December to March monsoon months. To assess the decadal influence of the different flavours of ENSO on the AUMR, we focus on the phases of the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation (IPO) over the period 1920 to 2020.  The AUMR is characterized by substantial decadal variability, which appears to be linked to the positive and negative phases of the IPO. During the past two historical negative IPO phases, significant correlations have been observed between central Pacific sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies and AUMR over both the northeast and northwest of Australia. This central Pacific SST-AUMR relationship has strengthened from the first negative IPO phase (mid-1940s to the mid-1970s) to the second (late 1990s to mid-2010s), while the eastern Pacific SST-AUMR influence has weakened. Composite rainfall anomalies over Australia reveal a different response of AUMR to central Pacific El Niño/La Niña and eastern Pacific La Niña events during positive IPO and negative IPO phases. This research clearly shows that ENSO's influence on AUMR is modulated by Pacific decadal variability, however this teleconnection, in itself, can change between similar decadal Pacific states.  Going forward, as decadal prediction systems improve and become more mainstream, the IPO phase could be used as a potential source for decadal predictability of the tendency of AUMR.  </p>

scholarly journals LINEARIZATION OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY OVER THE PACIFIC OCEAN ON THE EQUATORIAL LINE

2019 ◽  
Vol 16 (33) ◽  
pp. 630-640
Author(s):  
C. M. DÍEZ ◽  
C. J. SOLANO
Keyword(s):  
Pacific Ocean ◽  
Relative Humidity ◽  
Earth Science ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Correlation Coefficients ◽  
East Side ◽  
The West ◽  
Enso Events ◽  
The Pacific ◽  
The Pacific Ocean

The atmosphere system is ruled by the interaction of many meteorological parameters, causing a dependency between them, i.e., moisture and temperature, both suitable in front of any anomaly, such as storms, hurricanes, El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events. So, understanding perturbations of the variation of moistness along the time may provide an indicator of any oceanographic phenomenon. Annual relative humidity data around the Equatorial line of the Pacific Ocean were processed and analyzed to comprehend the time evolution of each dataset, appreciate anomalies, trends, histograms, and propose a way to predict anomalous episodes such ENSO events, observing abnormality of lag correlation coefficients between every pair of buoys. Datasets were taken from the Tropical Atmosphere Ocean / Triangle Trans-Ocean Network (TAO/TRITON) project, array directed by Pacific Environmental Laboratory (PMEL) of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), and the Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology (JAMSTEC). All the datasets were processed, and the code was elaborated by the author or adapted from Mathworks Inc. Even occurrences of relative humidity in the east side of the Pacific Ocean seem to oscillate harmonically, while occurrences in the west side, do not, because of the size of their amplitudes of oscillations. This fact can be seen in the histograms that show Peak shapes in the east side of the ocean, and Gaussians in the west; lag correlation functions show that no one pair of buoys synchronize fluctuations, but western buoys are affected in front of ENSO events, especially between 1997-98. Definitely, lag correlations in western buoys are determined to detect ENSO events.

On the influence of ENSO complexity on Pan-Pacific coastal wave extremes

2021 ◽  
Vol 118 (47) ◽  
pp. e2115599118
Author(s):  
Julien Boucharel ◽  
Rafael Almar ◽  
Elodie Kestenare ◽  
Fei-Fei Jin
Keyword(s):  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Wave Activity ◽  
Spatial Behavior ◽  
Coastal Hazards ◽  
Climate Control ◽  
Enso Events ◽  
The Pacific ◽  
Coastal Impacts ◽  
Climate Mode

Wind-generated waves are dominant drivers of coastal dynamics and vulnerability, which have considerable impacts on littoral ecosystems and socioeconomic activities. It is therefore paramount to improve coastal hazards predictions through the better understanding of connections between wave activity and climate variability. In the Pacific, the dominant climate mode is El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO), which has known a renaissance of scientific interest leading to great theoretical advances in the past decade. Yet studies on ENSO’s coastal impacts still rely on the oversimplified picture of the canonical dipole across the Pacific. Here, we consider the full ENSO variety to delineate its essential teleconnection pathways to tropical and extratropical storminess. These robust seasonally modulated relationships allow us to develop a mathematical model of coastal wave modulation essentially driven by ENSO’s complex temporal and spatial behavior. Accounting for this nonlinear climate control on Pan-Pacific wave activity leads to a much better characterization of waves’ seasonal to interannual variability (+25% in explained variance) and intensity of extremes (+60% for strong ENSO events), therefore paving the way for significantly more accurate forecasts than formerly possible with the previous baseline understanding of ENSO’s influence on coastal hazards.

scholarly journals Coccolithophore response to climate and surface hydrography in Santa Barbara Basin, California, AD 1917–2004

2009 ◽  
Vol 6 (10) ◽  
pp. 2025-2039 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Grelaud ◽  
A. Schimmelmann ◽  
L. Beaufort
Keyword(s):  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
California Current ◽  
Santa Barbara ◽  
Santa Barbara Basin ◽  
Enso Events ◽  
The Pacific ◽  
Hydrographic Conditions ◽  
Shell Carbonate ◽  
Relative Abundances ◽  
Counter Current

Abstract. The varved sedimentary AD 1917–2004 record from the depositional center of the Santa Barbara Basin (SBB, California) was analyzed with monthly to triannual resolution to yield relative abundances of six coccolithophore species representing at least 96% of the coccolithophore assemblage. Seasonal/annual relative abundances respond to climatic and surface hydrographic conditions in the SBB, whereby (i) the three species G. oceanica, H. carteri and F. profunda are characteristic of the strength of the northward flowing warm California Counter Current, (ii) the two species G. ericsonii and G. muellerae are associated with the cold equatorward flowing California Current, (iii) and E. huxleyi appears to be endemic to the SBB. Spectral analyses on relative abundances of these species show that all are influenced by the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and/or by the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO). Increased relative abundances of G. oceanica and H. carteri are associated with warm ENSO events, G. muellerae responds to warm PDO events and the abundance of G. ericsonii increases during cold PDO events. Morphometric parameters measured on E. huxleyi, G. muellerae and G. oceanica indicate increasing coccolithophore shell carbonate mass from ~1917 until 2004 concomitant with rising pCO2 and sea surface temperature in the region of the SBB.

scholarly journals Interannual variability of isotopic composition in water vapor over western Africa and its relationship to ENSO

2015 ◽  
Vol 15 (6) ◽  
pp. 3193-3204 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. Okazaki ◽  
Y. Satoh ◽  
G. Tremoy ◽  
F. Vimeux ◽  
R. Scheepmaker ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Isotopic Composition ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Monsoon Season ◽  
Precipitation Amount ◽  
Isotopic Signature ◽  
Atmospheric Environment ◽  
Global Spectral Model ◽  
Near Surface ◽  
Western Africa ◽  
The Relationship

Abstract. This study was performed to examine the relationship between isotopic composition in near-surface vapor (δ18Ov) over western Africa during the monsoon season and El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) activity using the Isotope-incorporated Global Spectral Model. The model was evaluated using a satellite and in situ observations at daily to interannual timescales. The model provided an accurate simulation of the spatial pattern and seasonal and interannual variations of isotopic composition in column and surface vapor and precipitation over western Africa. Encouraged by this result, we conducted a simulation stretching 34 years (1979–2012) to investigate the relationship between atmospheric environment and isotopic signature on an interannual timescale. The simulation indicated that the depletion in the monsoon season does not appear every year at Niamey. The major difference between the composite fields with and without depletion was in the amount of precipitation in the upstream area of Niamey. As the interannual variation of the precipitation amount is influenced by the ENSO, we regressed the monsoon season averaged δ18Ov from the model and annually averaged NINO3 index and found a statistically significant correlation (R = 0.56, P < 0.01) at Niamey. This relationship suggests that there is a possibility of reconstructing past western African monsoon activity and ENSO using climate proxies.

Impact of the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation on the boreal winter tropospheric circulation in CMIP5/6 models

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jian Rao ◽  
Chaim Garfinkel ◽  
Ian White ◽  
Chen Schwartz
Keyword(s):  
Pacific Ocean ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Polar Vortex ◽  
Buoyancy Frequency ◽  
Maritime Continent ◽  
Quasi Biennial Oscillation ◽  
Stratospheric Polar Vortex ◽  
Enso Events ◽  
The Pacific ◽  
Biennial Oscillation

&lt;p&gt;Using 17 CMIP5/6 models with a spontaneously-generated quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO)-like phenomenon, this study explores and evaluates three dynamical pathways for impacts of the QBO on the troposphere: (i) the Holtan-Tan (HT) effect on the stratospheric polar vortex and the northern annular mode (NAM), (ii) the subtropical zonal wind downward arching over the Pacific, and (iii) changes in local convection over the Maritime Continent and Indo-Pacific Ocean. More than half of the models can reproduce at least one of the three pathways, but few models can reproduce all of the three routes. Firstly, most models are able to simulate a weakened polar vortex during easterly QBO (EQBO) winters, in agreement with the observed HT effect. However, the weakened polar vortex response during EQBO winters is underestimated or not present at all in other models, and hence the QBO &amp;#8594; vortex &amp;#8594; tropospheric NAM/AO chain is not simulated. For the second pathway associated with the downward arching of the QBO winds, seven models incorrectly or poorly simulate the extratropical easterly anomaly center over 20&amp;#8211;40&amp;#176;N in the Pacific sector during EQBO, and hence the negative relative vorticity anomalies poleward of the easterly center is not resolved in those models, leading to an underestimated or incorrectly modelled height response over North Pacific. However the other ten do capture this effect. The third pathway is only observed in the Indo-Pacific Ocean, where the strong climatological deep convection and the warm pool are situated. Nine models can simulate the convection anomalies associated with the QBO over the Maritime Continent, which is likely caused by the near-tropopause low buoyancy frequency anomalies. No robust relationship between the QBO and El Ni&amp;#241;o&amp;#8211;Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events can be established using the ERA-Interim reanalysis, and nine models consistently confirm little modulation of the ocean basin-wide Walker circulation and ENSO events by the QBO.&lt;/p&gt;

Concordance of local and central laboratory hormone and HER2 receptor status in ECOG 2197

2007 ◽  
Vol 25 (18_suppl) ◽  
pp. 21022-21022 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. S. Badve ◽  
F. L. Baehner ◽  
R. Gray ◽  
B. Childs ◽  
T. Maddala ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Hormone Receptor ◽  
Pcr Analysis ◽  
Central Laboratory ◽  
Rt Pcr ◽  
Her2 Receptor ◽  
High Incidence ◽  
High Degree ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Very High ◽  
Local Laboratory

21022 Background: Central and local laboratory concordance for hormone and HER2 receptor measurement is of national interest. This study compares ER/PR/HER2 by local laboratories using immunohistochemistry (IHC) and central laboratories (IHC & quantitative RT-PCR). Methods: Of 2952 patients in E2197, a case-cohort sample of 776 patients who either did (N=179) or did not recur was studied. Central IHC for ER/PR/HER2 was performed using single 0.6 mm microarrays; Allred score (AS) was used for ER/PR (AS>2 = positive). Positive HER2 was 3+ staining in >10% cells for Central IHC and 2+ or 3+ for Local IHC. RT-PCR analysis by Oncotype DX™ for ER/PR/HER2 was performed using pre-defined cutoffs of 6.5, 5.5 and 11.5 units, respectively. Hormone receptor (HR) pos was defined as ER &/or PR pos. Results: Results from Local IHC (ER/PR in 776 & HER2 in 517 pts) were compared with Central IHC (760 pts) and RT-PCR results (776 pts). The discordance between HR positivity by Local IHC and RT-PCR was very low. However, 12% of HR neg pts by Local IHC (38/321) & Central IHC (39/326) were HR pos by RT-PCR. The relationship between ER and recurrence as a function of AS was examined. Patients with AS of 3–4 were found to be closer to the AS=2 group than to the AS>4 group Patients with AS of 3–4 were found to be closer to the AS ÿ 2 group than to the AS > 4 group (Est.HR for ER 0.97 for AS 3–4 vs. 0–2 and 0.46 for AS 5–8 vs. 0–2, and for PR were 0.84 for AS 3–4 vs. 0–2 and 0.41 for AS 5–8 vs. 0–2). Conclusions: There is a high degree of overall concordance among Local IHC, Central IHC, and Central RT-PCR for ER and PR. The degree of concordance is even greater for HR compared to ER or PR alone. Although the concordance with local labs for HER2 testing was poor, the concordance between Central IHC and RT-PCR was very high. The relatively high incidence (12%) of IHC HR neg pts who are HR pos by RT- PCR is notable. [Table: see text] [Table: see text]

Composite Analysis of the Effects of ENSO Events on Antarctica

2016 ◽  
Vol 29 (5) ◽  
pp. 1797-1808 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lee J. Welhouse ◽  
Matthew A. Lazzara ◽  
Linda M. Keller ◽  
Gregory J. Tripoli ◽  
Matthew H. Hitchman
Keyword(s):  
El Niño ◽  
Geopotential Height ◽  
El Nino ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Southern Annular Mode ◽  
La Niña ◽  
Austral Spring ◽  
Enso Events ◽  
La Nina ◽  
The Relationship

Abstract Previous investigations of the relationship between El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the Antarctic climate have focused on regions that are impacted by both El Niño and La Niña, which favors analysis over the Amundsen and Bellingshausen Seas (ABS). Here, 35 yr (1979–2013) of European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts interim reanalysis (ERA-Interim) data are analyzed to investigate the relationship between ENSO and Antarctica for each season using a compositing method that includes nine El Niño and nine La Niña periods. Composites of 2-m temperature (T2m), sea level pressure (SLP), 500-hPa geopotential height, sea surface temperatures (SST), and 300-hPa geopotential height anomalies were calculated separately for El Niño minus neutral and La Niña minus neutral conditions, to provide an analysis of features associated with each phase of ENSO. These anomaly patterns can differ in important ways from El Niño minus La Niña composites, which may be expected from the geographical shift in tropical deep convection and associated pattern of planetary wave propagation into the Southern Hemisphere. The primary new result is the robust signal, during La Niña, of cooling over East Antarctica. This cooling is found from December to August. The link between the southern annular mode (SAM) and this cooling is explored. Both El Niño and La Niña experience the weakest signal during austral autumn. The peak signal for La Niña occurs during austral summer, while El Niño is found to peak during austral spring.

scholarly journals PDO–ENSO Effects in the Climate of Mexico

2006 ◽  
Vol 19 (24) ◽  
pp. 6433-6438 ◽  
Author(s):  
Edgar G. Pavia ◽  
Federico Graef ◽  
Jorge Reyes
Keyword(s):  
El Niño ◽  
El Nino ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
La Niña ◽  
Climate Anomalies ◽  
Enso Events ◽  
La Nina ◽  
Mean Temperature ◽  
The Pacific

Abstract The role of the Pacific decadal oscillation (PDO) in El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO)-related Mexican climate anomalies during winter and summer is investigated. The precipitation and mean temperature data of approximately 1000 stations throughout Mexico are considered. After sorting ENSO events by warm phase (El Niño) and cold phase (La Niña) and prevailing PDO phase: warm or high (HiPDO) and cold or low (LoPDO), the authors found the following: 1) For precipitation, El Niño favors wet conditions during summers of LoPDO and during winters of HiPDO. 2) For mean temperature, cooler conditions are favored during La Niña summers and during El Niño winters, regardless of the PDO phase; however, warmer conditions are favored by the HiPDO during El Niño summers.

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