Sectoral Contribution to Nigeria’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Growth Rate: A Study of Multicollinearity in Aggregated Time Series Data

2016 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-13
Author(s):  
Ikenna Ejiba ◽  
Olugbenga Omolade
2016 ◽  
Vol 64 ◽  
pp. 524-530 ◽  
Author(s):  
Igor Mladenović ◽  
Miloš Milovančević ◽  
Svetlana Sokolov Mladenović ◽  
Vladislav Marjanović ◽  
Biljana Petković

2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 138
Author(s):  
Rita Nur Wahyuningrum ◽  
Aan Zainul Anwar

<p>This study aims to analyze the effect of inflation, gross domestic product (GDP) and rupiah exchange rate on Mudharabah savings in Islamic banking in Indonesia. The data used is time series data for the period March 2013 to September 2017, which was published by Bank Indonesia from the Islamic Banking Statistics Report and the Central Statistics Agency. The technique of analyzing the research is qualitative with the method of Multiple Linear Regression. The results of this study indicate that simultaneously the Inflation, Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and Exchange Rate variables together have a significant effect on Mudharabah Savings. While partially only the Exchange Rate variable has a significant effect on Mudharabah Savings. Inflation Variables and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) have no significant effect on Mudharabah Savings.</p><p> </p><p>Keyword: inflation, gross domestic product, exchange rate, mudharabah saving</p>


IQTISHODUNA ◽  
2012 ◽  
Author(s):  
Eko Fajar Cahyono, David Kaluge

This study aims to measure how far the influence of public infrastructure such as roads, electricity,  and telephone  to Gross Domestic Product in Indonesia. This research is based on the theory of classical and neoclassical economic growth which assumes that the infrastructure is physical capital that relate either directly or indirectly to economic growth. This research used error correction model  analysis and time series data. Based on estimates found that public infrastructure have a significant and positive impact on Gross Domestic Product.


Author(s):  
Papi Halder

This study is about the impact of selected macroeconomic variables on economic growth of Bangladesh. Economic growth of Bangladesh is measured in terms of annual nominal GDP growth rate. Least squared regression model has been employed considering exchange rate, export, import and inflation rate as independent variables and gross domestic product as the dependent variable in this study. The results reveal that export and import have significant positive impact on GDP growth rate. The other variables (exchange rate and inflation) are not significant, indicating that there exists no significant relationship among the variables. The findings will help the policy makers to make policies concerning the country’s economic growth to remain robust in the near future.


2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
pp. 101-110
Author(s):  
M. S. Hossain ◽  
M. T. Uddin

Ready-Made Garments (RMG) sector has greater importance than any other sector in Bangladesh in terms of growth, employment, foreign exchange earnings and Gross Domestic Product (GDP). The objective of this study is to determine the export trend of the RMG sector in Bangladesh by using different trend models. To serve the objectives of the study, time-series data of RMG sectors has been used for the period 1985-2018. Among several trend models, the Semi-log Parabolic Trend model is found to be the best-fitted model for determining the trend of RMG exports. From the empirical results of the study, it is observed that RMG exports have a significant upward trend for the period 1985-2018 with a growth rate of 8.76 % in 2018. The forecasted RMG export will be nearly 31712.82 million USD in the financial year 2022-23. The findings of the study will help the government, NGO’s and policymakers to undertake necessary steps for the progress of this sector.


2017 ◽  
Vol 2 ◽  
pp. 45-50
Author(s):  
Deo Narayan Sutihar

This article attempts to estimate annual declining trend of proportion of foreign exchange earnings from tourism to Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in Nepal and test the significance of declining trend of this ratio using time series data of 20 years from FY 1991/92 to FY 2010/11l. It has been that the declining trend of foreign exchange earnings from tourism to GDP ratio is significant. The inequality in the distribution of foreign exchange earnings from tourism to GDP ratio is tolerable. Janapriya Journal of Interdisciplinary Studies Vol. 2, No.1 (December 2013), page: 45-50


2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (3) ◽  
pp. 143-154
Author(s):  
Usman Hardianto ◽  
Siti Hodijah ◽  
Rahma Nurjanah

The purpose of the study was to determine and analyze the development of production, exchange rates, CPO prices, Malaysian GDP, and Jambi Province CPO exports to Malaysia and the effect of production, exchange rates, CPO prices, Malaysian GDP on Jambi Province CPO exports to Malaysia. The data used in this study is secondary data in the form of time series data for 2000-2017. The results show that the average development of Jambi Province CPO exports to Malaysia is 4.10% per year, Jambi Province CPO production is on average 4, 10% per year, the average exchange rate is 2.64% per year, the average CPO price is 8.63% per year, and Malaysia's GDP is 4.89% per year on average. Based on the results of multiple linear analyses, it can be concluded that CPO production, CPO prices, exchange rates, and Malaysian GDP together affect the volume of Jambi Province's CPO exports to Malaysia. While partially production and GDP have a negative and insignificant effect on Jambi Province's CPO exports to Malaysia, the exchange rate and CPO prices positively and significantly impact Jambi Province's CPO exports to Malaysia. Keywords: Production, Price, Exchange rates, Gross Domestic Product


2019 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 300-317
Author(s):  
Okta Rabiana Risma ◽  
T. Zulham ◽  
Taufiq C. Dawood

This research aims to analyze the level of exports in Indonesia by using Time Series data from the year 1990 to 2015 against a variable interest rate loands, gross domestic product, and the exchange rate. Methods of analysis used i.e, Auto Regressive Distributed Lagged (ARDL). The results showed that the three variables have no Granger which is caused by the difference of the order on the test stasioner. Based on a test of wald for the short term that gained and the long-term gross domestic product, exchange rates and interest rates significantly influential credit toward export.Keywords:ARDL, export, interest rate loands, gross domestic product, exchange rates.AbstrakPenelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis tingkat ekspor di Indonesia dengan menggunakan data Time Series dari tahun 1990 sampai 2015 terhadap variabel suku bunga kredit, produk domestik bruto, dan nilai tukar. Metode analisis yang digunakan yaitu AutoRegressive Distributed Lagged (ARDL).Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa ketiga variabel tidak memiliki kointegrasi yang disebabkan oleh perbedaan ordo pada uji stasionernya. Berdasarkan uji wald didapat bahwa untuk jangka pendek dan jangka panjang produk domestik bruto, nilai tukar dan suku bunga kredit berpengaruh secara signifikan terhadap ekspor.


Author(s):  
Atty. Prackie Jay T. Acaylar

Excessive exemption is detrimental to the effectiveness of the whole Value Added Tax system. This research is primarily focused on VAT exemption affecting the business industry as it influences the Gross Domestic Product of the three (3) selected ASEAN countries, namely, the Philippines, Indonesia, and Singapore. The result of the study showed a negative relationship between VAT exemption policy and GDP growth rate among the selected ASEAN economies. Although the VAT collections among the selected ASEAN countries are significantly increasing with the course of time, the results showed that as the number of VAT exemptions increases by one unit, the degree of growth of the GDP is expected to decrease at a rate of 0.900 units. Thus, a conducive business environment may be achieved by decreasing the number of VAT exemptions and, accordingly, increasing the GDP growth rate.


2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 68-80
Author(s):  
Desy Tresnowati Hardi ◽  
Diah Safitri ◽  
Agus Rusgiyono

Forecasting is the process of estimating conditions in the future by testing conditions from the past. One of the forecasting methods is Singular Spectrum Analysis (SSA) which aim of SSA is to make a decomposition of the original series into the sum of a small number of independent and interpretable components such as a slowly varying trend, oscillatory components and a structureless noise. Gross Domestic Product data in the agriculture, forestry, and fisheries sector are time series data with trend and seasonal pattern so that it can be processed using the SSA method. The forecasting process of SSA method uses the main parameter (L) of 21 obtained by the Blind Source Separation (BSS) method. From forecasting, acquired group of 3 groups. Forecasting resulted the value of Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) is 1.59% and the value of tracking signal is 2.50, which indicates that the results of forecasting is accurate. Keywords: Forecasting, Gross Domestic Product in the agriculture, forestry, and fisheries sector, Singular Spectrum Analysis (SSA)


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