Absence of Near-Trench Early Triggering during the 2012 Mw 7.2 Indian Ocean Strike-Slip Earthquake: Evidence from One-Day Aftershocks

Dynamic earthquake triggering is a widely accepted mechanism of earthquake interaction, which plays a vital role in seismic hazard estimation, although its efficacy at regional distances is under debate. The 2012 Mw 7.2 Indian Ocean event is one of the first reported events to produce dynamic stress triggering at regional distances using backprojection (BP) techniques. Alternatively, the coherent radiators in BP images can be interpreted as localized water reverberation phases. We present further evidence against near-trench triggering during this event. We collected 24 hr seismic recordings of two nearby stations located near the trench. We adopted a waveform denoising algorithm and detected 125 aftershocks using two regional seismic stations with a minimum magnitude of ML∼2.7 and completeness magnitude of ML∼3.6, whereas none of these aftershocks occurred near the trench. The absence of immediate (within one day) aftershocks near the trench suggest the absence of dynamic triggering during the offshore mainshock.

Laboratory Evidence of Transient Pressure Surge in a Fluid-Filled Fracture as a Potential Driver of Remote Dynamic Earthquake Triggering

Seismic waves carrying tiny perturbing stresses can trigger earthquakes in geothermal and volcanic regions. The underlying cause of this dynamic triggering is still not well understood. One leading hypothesis is that a sudden increase in the fluid-pore pressure in the fault zone is involved, but the exact physical mechanism is unclear. Here, we report experimental evidence in which a fluid-filled fracture was shown to be able to amplify the pressure of an incoming seismic wave. We built miniature pressure sensors and directly placed them inside a thin fluid-filled fracture to measure the fluid pressure during wave propagation. By varying the fracture aperture from 0.2 to 9.2 mm and sweeping the frequency from 12 to 70 Hz, we observed in the lab that the fluid pressure in the fracture could be amplified up to 25.2 times compared with the incident-wave amplitude. Because an increase of the fluid pressure in a fault can reduce the effective normal stress to allow the fault to slide, our observed transient pressure surge phenomenon may provide the mechanism for earthquake dynamic triggering.

Review of Optimization Dynamically Applied in the Construction and the Application Potential of ICT

Currently, construction projects are getting more complex, applying more information and communication technologies (ICT), while few studies use real-time data to dynamically optimize construction. The purpose of this article is to study the current development status of the optimization applied dynamically in the construction phase and their potential for applying real data collected by ICT. This article reviews 72 relevant optimization methods and identified some of the ICT research studies that can provide them with dynamic data. The dynamic triggering mode of each research is first analyzed, then its dynamic way, dynamic data, data resource, optimization object, and method are identified and formulated. The results reveal the great value of dynamic optimization in dealing with the complicated and uncertain contextual conditions in construction. Different dynamic triggering modes have different affinities with real data. Then, through the analysis of ICT articles, the huge potential of these dynamic optimization methods in applying real data is shown. This paper points out the most practical dynamic mode for engineers or managers to continuously apply optimization methods to solve dynamic problems in construction, and put forward scientific questions for related researchers: How does one combine ICT with the event dynamics or uncertain parameters? Based on this, the research gap of this area is identified a conceptual solution is proposed.

Detections of Directional Dynamic Triggering in Intraplate Regions of the United States

ABSTRACT We report tremor or local earthquake signals that occurred during the propagation of Love and Rayleigh waves from the 2012 Mw 8.6 Sumatra earthquake in three intraplate regions: Yellowstone, central Utah, and Raton basin (Colorado). These surface waves likely also dynamically triggered seismic activity along the western boundary of the North American plate, and did not trigger seismic activity in the central and eastern United States. We report additional potential dynamic triggering in the three aforementioned intraplate regions by surface waves from 37 additional large earthquakes, recorded between 2004 and 2017. These surface waves’ transient stresses generally appear to trigger tremor in seismically, volcanically, and hydrothermally active regions, such as Yellowstone, if the waves also arrive from favorable directions. These stresses do not appear to be decisive factors for triggering local earthquakes reported for the Raton basin and central Utah, whereas, surface waves’ incidence angles do appear to be important there.

Responding to Media Inquiries about Earthquake Triggering Interactions

In the aftermath of a significant earthquake, seismologists are frequently asked questions by the media and public regarding possible interactions with recent prior events, including events at great distances away, along with prospects of larger events yet to come, both locally and remotely. For regions with substantial earthquake catalogs that provide information on the regional Gutenberg–Richter magnitude–frequency relationship, Omori temporal aftershock statistical behavior, and aftershock productivity parameters, probabilistic responses can be provided for likelihood of nearby future events of larger magnitude, as well as expected behavior of the overall aftershock sequence. However, such procedures generally involve uncertain extrapolations of parameterized equations to infrequent large events and do not provide answers to inquiries about long-range interactions, either retrospectively for interaction with prior remote large events or prospectively for interaction with future remote large events. Dynamic triggering that may be involved in such long-range interactions occurs, often with significant temporal delay, but is not well understood, making it difficult to respond to related inquiries. One approach to addressing such inquiries is to provide retrospective or prospective occurrence histories for large earthquakes based on global catalogs; while not providing quantitative understanding of any physical interaction, experience-based guidance on the (typically very low) chances of causal interactions can inform public understanding of likelihood of specific scenarios they are commonly very interested in.

Extended Observations and New Insights of Dynamically Triggered Tremor in Parkfield

<p>We create an extended catalog of dynamically triggered tremor in the Parkfield region of the San Andreas Fault for teleseismic and regional earthquakes from 2001-2020 with a magnitude threshold of M >7. After selection of clear dynamic triggering episodes, each tremor event is precisely located using a multi station approach. Using this new catalog of triggered tremor, we quantitatively evaluate the conditions under which tremor is triggered. In particular, we study the effect of frequency dependent peak dynamic strain, peak ground velocity, and the incident azimuth of triggering waves. We further try to assess if the triggering potential in the San Andreas Fault evolves as function of time. Finally, we search for differences and similarities (e.g. frequency content, location) between triggered and regular tremor. Our observations provide new insights about the physical conditions necessary for triggering tremor, and in general, on the physical processes generating non-volcanic tremors.</p>

Latent seismicity driven by aseismic creep and enhanced pore-fluid pressure in NE British Columbia

<p>The global pandemic of COVID-19 furnished an opportunity to study seismicity in the Kiskatinaw area of British Columbia, noted for hydraulic-fracturing induced seismicity, during a period of anthropogenic quiescence. A total of 389 events were detected from April to August 2020, encompassing a period with no hydraulic-fracturing operations during a government-imposed lockdown. During this time period, observed seismicity had a maximum magnitude of M<sub>L</sub> 1.2 and lacked temporal clustering that is often characteristic of hydraulic-fracturing induced sequences. Instead, seismicity was persistent over the lockdown period, similar to swarm-like seismicity with no apparent foreshock-aftershock type sequences. Hypocenters occurred within a corridor orientated NW-SE, just as seismicity had done in previous years in the area, with focal depths near the target Montney formation or shallower (<2.5 km). Based on the Gutenberg-Richter relationship, we estimate that a maximum of 21% of the detected events during lockdown may be attributable to natural seismicity, with a further 8% possibly due to dynamic triggering of seismicity from teleseismic events. The remaining ~70% cannot be attributed to direct pore pressure increases induced by fluid injection, and therefore is inferred to represent latent seismicity i.e. seismicity that occurs after an unusually long delay following primary activation processes, with no obvious triggering mechanism. We can exclude pore-pressure diffusion from the most recent fluid injection, as is there is no clear pattern of temporal or spatial seismicity migration. If elevated pore pressure from previous injections became trapped in the subsurface, this could explain the localization of seismicity within an operational corridor, but it does not explain the latency of seismicity on a timescale of months. However, aseismic creep on weak surfaces such as faults, in response to tectonic stresses, in addition to trapped elevation pore-pressure could play a role in stress re-loading to sustain the observed pattern of seismicity.</p>

Multi-Array Multi-Phase Back-Projection: Improving the imaging of earthquake rupture complexities

<p>We present a teleseismic earthquake back-projection method parameterized with multiple arrays and combined P and pP waveforms, improving the spatiotemporal resolvability of rupture complexity. The contribution of each array to the rupture image is weighted depending on the multi-array configuration. Depth phases also contribute effectively to earthquakes at 40 km depth or deeper.</p><p>We examine 31 large earthquakes with moment magnitude greater than 7.5 from 2010-2020, which were back-projected in the 0.5-2.0 Hz band, giving access to the high-frequency rupture propagation. An algorithm estimates rupture length, directivity, and speed based on the back-projection results.</p><p>Thrust and normal earthquakes showed similar magnitude-dependent lengths and consistent subshear ruptures, while strike-slip earthquakes presented longer ruptures (relative to their magnitude) and frequently reached supershear speeds. The back-projected lengths provided scaling relations to derive high-frequency rupture lengths from moment magnitudes. The results revealed complex rupture behavior, for example, bilateral ruptures (e.g., the 2017 Mw 7.8 Komandorsky Islands earthquake), evidence of dynamic triggering by a P wave (e.g., the 2016 Mw 7.9 Solomon Islands earthquake), and encircling asperity ruptures (e.g., the 2010 Mw 7.8 Mentawai and 2015 Mw 8.4 Illapel earthquakes). The latter is particularly prevalent in subduction megathrust earthquakes, with down-dip, up-dip, double encircling, and segmented patterns. The automated choice of array weighting and the extraction of basic rupture parameters makes the approach well suited for near-real-time earthquake monitoring.</p>

Systematic Investigation of Dynamic Earthquake Triggering in Japan

<p><strong>Introduction. </strong>Previous studies (e.g., Harrington and Brodsky, 2006) documented a relative scarcity of remote triggering in Japan, compared to other seismic regions. For example, in California, dynamic triggering is reported to occur at levels of stress as small as 0.1 kPa, while in Japan it was reported that levels of 30 kPa or more are required to trigger detectable events (van der Elst and Brodsky, 2010). However, the threshold dynamic triggering level following the 2016 M7.3 Kumamoto earthquake was of just a few kPa (Enescu et al., 2016). Enescu et al. (2016) proposed that one of the possibilities to explain this observation is a change of stress triggering threshold that may have taken place after the 2011 M9.0 Tohoku-Oki earthquake.</p><p><strong>Motivation.</strong> Given the above observations, this study investigates 1) the occurrence of dynamically triggered earthquakes in Japan after some large earthquakes from 2004, and 2) whether the threshold of dynamic triggering may have changed due to the 2011 Tohoku-Oki earthquake and why this threshold might have changed.</p><p><strong>Analysis and Results.</strong> First, we investigated dynamic triggering throughout Japan, following some large earthquakes occurred after 2004. As a result, the  threshold appears to decrease following the 2011 Tohoku-Oki earthquake, however the number of earthquakes we have investigated was relatively small, so we could not draw statistically significant conclusions. In the second part of the study, we have focused on a few specific areas within Japan to systematically investigate dynamic triggering, which reduced significantly the computational costs. Thus, we focused on some areas in Tohoku and Hida, where swarm earthquakes occurred after the 2011 Tohoku-Oki earthquake. As a result, the change of the triggering level in an area close to the Yamagata-Fukushima border is considered to be statically significant at a 5% significance level. In other regions, the significance at a 5% level could not be established, however a decrease of this threshold is apparent, except for one region. We speculate that changes in the stress triggering threshold levels might be related to pore pressure changes in the crust following the 2011 Tohoku-Oki earthquake.</p>