predictive theory
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PLoS ONE ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (12) ◽  
pp. e0259162
Author(s):  
Luís Borda-de-Água ◽  
Stephen P. Hubbell

Credible estimates suggest that a large number of the nearly 7000 languages in the world could go extinct this century, a prospect with profound cultural, socioeconomic, and political ramifications. Despite its importance, we still have little predictive theory for language dynamics and richness. Critical to the language extinction problem, however, is to understand the dynamics of the number of speakers of languages, the dynamics of language abundance distributions (LADs). Many regional LADs are very similar to the bell-shaped distributions of relative species abundance predicted by neutral theory in ecology. Using the tenets of neutral theory, here we show that LADs can be understood as an equilibrium or disequilibrium between stochastic rates of origination and extinction of languages. However, neutral theory does not fit some regional LADs, which can be explained if the number of speakers has grown systematically faster in some languages than others, due to cultural factors and other non-neutral processes. Only the LADs of Australia and the United States, deviate from a bell-shaped pattern. These deviations are due to the documented higher, non-equilibrium extinction rates of low-abundance languages in these countries.


Insects ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (12) ◽  
pp. 1079
Author(s):  
Eleanor H. Z. Gourevitch ◽  
David M. Shuker

Sexual selection is a major evolutionary process, shaping organisms in terms of success in competition for access to mates and their gametes. The study of sexual selection has provided rich empirical and theoretical literature addressing the ecological and evolutionary causes and consequences of competition for gametes. However, there remains a bias towards individual, species-specific studies, whilst broader, cross-species comparisons looking for wider-ranging patterns in sexual selection remain uncommon. For instance, we are still some ways from understanding why particular kinds of traits tend to evolve under sexual selection, and under what circumstances. Here we consider sexual selection in the Heteroptera, a sub-order of the Hemiptera, or true bugs. The latter is the largest of the hemimetabolous insect orders, whilst the Heteroptera itself comprises some 40,000-plus described species. We focus on four key sexual signaling modes found in the Heteroptera: chemical signals, acoustic signaling via stridulation, vibrational (substrate) signaling, and finally tactile signaling (antennation). We compare how these modes vary across broad habitat types and provide a review of each type of signal. We ask how we might move towards a more predictive theory of sexual selection, that links mechanisms and targets of sexual selection to various ecologies.


2021 ◽  
pp. 2106021
Author(s):  
Atanu Samanta ◽  
Suhas Yadav ◽  
Zongquan Gu ◽  
Cedric J.G. Meyers ◽  
Liyan Wu ◽  
...  

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mattia Serra ◽  
Guillermo Serrano Najera ◽  
Manli Chuai ◽  
Vamsi Spandan ◽  
Cornelis J Weijer ◽  
...  

Gastrulation is a critical event in vertebrate morphogenesis driven by cellular processes, and characterized by coordinated multi-cellular movements that form the robust morphological structures. How these structures emerge in a developing organism and vary across vertebrates remains unclear. Inspired by experiments on the chick, we derive a theoretical framework that couples actomyosin activity to tissue flow, and provides a basis for the dynamics of gastrulation morphologies. Our model predicts the onset and development of observed experimental patterns of wild-type and perturbations of chick gastrulation as a spontaneous instability of a uniform state. Varying the initial conditions and a parameter in our model, allows us to recapitulate the phase space of gastrulation morphologies seen across vertebrates, consistent with experimental observations in the accompanying paper. All together, this suggests that early embryonic self-organization follows from a minimal predictive theory of active mechano-sensitive flows.


2021 ◽  
Vol 118 (18) ◽  
pp. e2025341118
Author(s):  
Baicheng Mei ◽  
Yuxing Zhou ◽  
Kenneth S. Schweizer

Understanding in a unified manner the generic and chemically specific aspects of activated dynamics in diverse glass-forming liquids over 14 or more decades in time is a grand challenge in condensed matter physics, physical chemistry, and materials science and engineering. Large families of conceptually distinct models have postulated a causal connection with qualitatively different “order parameters” including various measures of structure, free volume, thermodynamic properties, short or intermediate time dynamics, and mechanical properties. Construction of a predictive theory that covers both the noncooperative and cooperative activated relaxation regimes remains elusive. Here, we test using solely experimental data a recent microscopic dynamical theory prediction that although activated relaxation is a spatially coupled local–nonlocal event with barriers quantified by local pair structure, it can also be understood based on the dimensionless compressibility via an equilibrium statistical mechanics connection between thermodynamics and structure. This prediction is found to be consistent with observations on diverse fragile molecular liquids under isobaric and isochoric conditions and provides a different conceptual view of the global relaxation map. As a corollary, a theoretical basis is established for the structural relaxation time scale growing exponentially with inverse temperature to a high power, consistent with experiments in the deeply supercooled regime. A criterion for the irrelevance of collective elasticity effects is deduced and shown to be consistent with viscous flow in low-fragility inorganic network-forming melts. Finally, implications for relaxation in the equilibrated deep glass state are briefly considered.


2021 ◽  
Vol 12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sylvie Estrela ◽  
Álvaro Sánchez ◽  
María Rebolleda-Gómez

Recent advances in robotics and affordable genomic sequencing technologies have made it possible to establish and quantitatively track the assembly of enrichment communities in high-throughput. By conducting community assembly experiments in up to thousands of synthetic habitats, where the extrinsic sources of variation among replicates can be controlled, we can now study the reproducibility and predictability of microbial community assembly at different levels of organization, and its relationship with nutrient composition and other ecological drivers. Through a dialog with mathematical models, high-throughput enrichment communities are bringing us closer to the goal of developing a quantitative predictive theory of microbial community assembly. In this short review, we present an overview of recent research on this growing field, highlighting the connection between theory and experiments and suggesting directions for future work.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
E.K. Fowler ◽  
S. Leigh ◽  
A. Bretman ◽  
T. Chapman

AbstractOrganisms alter their phenotype in response to variation in their environment by expressing phenotypic plasticity. Both sexes exhibit such plasticity in response to contrasting environmental and social cues, and this can reflect the influence of sexual conflict. However, theory predicts that plasticity expressed by both sexes may either maximise the sex-specific fitness of both, or of one sex at the expense of the other. Hence empirical tests of the predictions are sorely needed. Here we conducted novel tests of the fitness effects of interacting reproductive plasticity in Drosophila melanogaster. First, prior to mating, males were kept alone, or with same sex rivals, and females were kept alone, in same sex, or mixed sex groups. Second, we conducted matings between individuals from all these social treatments under ‘choice’ and ‘no choice’ scenarios. The results showed that males and females can both plastically respond to these socio-sexual environments to influence the expression of mating duration, mating latency, and fecundity. These plastic responses interacted significantly to determine mating latency and fecundity. Effects on mating latency were also observed under both choice and no-choice conditions, but in opposing directions. Variation in the outcome of interacting plasticity pivoted around the outcomes observed with focal females that had been maintained in same-sex environments prior to mating. However, not all fitness-related traits examined responded in the same way. Mating duration was determined largely by the social environment of the male. Our results show that the expression of some, but not all fitness-related reproductive traits can be determined by the outcome of interacting behavioural plasticity expressed by both sexes. This highlights the need for new predictive theory informed by these empirically-derived parameters. Overall, we conclude that variation in the expression of shared traits due to interacting plasticity represents an important and novel facet of sexual interactions.Impact SummaryAnimals and plants are able to respond to variation in their environment by expressing phenotypic plasticity. In sexual organisms, both males and females can exhibit such plasticity but the cues they respond to and the fitness consequences of these actions may be different between the sexes, and even conflicting. For example, males may respond to the presence of competitors by altering their mating behaviour or ejaculate transfer to increase their own, but not necessarily their mate’s reproductive output. However, females may also express phenotypic plasticity in response to their social and sexual environment to maximise their own fitness. Theory suggests that plasticity expressed by both sexes may either maximise the sex-specific fitness of both, or of one sex at the expense of the other. So far, little experimental work has been conducted to explore such interacting plasticity. Here we conducted novel tests of the fitness effects of interacting plasticity in the fruit fly Drosophila melanogaster. In doing so, we provide novel experimental evidence for interacting behavioural plasticity. We show that males and females can plastically respond to their socio-sexual environment to influence the expression of mating duration, mating latency, and fecundity. These plastic responses, while induced to increase the fitness interests of each sex, interact in the case of mating latency and fecundity and may reflect the outcome of sexual conflict. Our findings suggest that studies of reproductive behaviour should carefully consider the socio-sexual environment of both males and females and highlight the need for new predictive theory informed by empirically-derived parameters. Overall, we show that interacting plasticity between sexes represents an important and novel facet of sexual interactions.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alvaro Sanchez ◽  
Sylvie Estrela ◽  
Maria Rebolleda-Gomez

Recent advances in robotics and affordable genomic sequencing technologies have made it possible to establish and quantitatively track the assembly of enrichment communities in high-throughput. By conducting community assembly experiments in up to thousands of synthetic habitats, where the extrinsic sources of variation among replicates can be controlled, we can now study the reproducibility and predictability of microbial community assembly at different levels of organization, and its relationship with nutrient composition and other ecological drivers. Through a dialog with mathematical models, high-throughput enrichment communities are bringing us closer to the goal of developing a quantitative predictive theory of microbial community assembly. In this short review, we present an overview of recent research on this growing field, highlighting the connection between theory and experiments, and suggesting directions for future work.


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