order estimate
Recently Published Documents


TOTAL DOCUMENTS

99
(FIVE YEARS 32)

H-INDEX

19
(FIVE YEARS 2)

Geosphere ◽  
2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Greg A. Valentine ◽  
Michael H. Ort ◽  
Joaquín A. Cortés

The southwestern United States contains numerous monogenetic basaltic volcanoes distributed in intraplate volcanic fields. We review, on a regional scale, our current understanding of the Quaternary basalts with a focus on aspects pertinent to hazard assessment, such as physical volcanology and geochronology, while also summarizing the several petrogenetic concep­tual models that have been proposed for the range of local tectonic settings in the region. We count 2229 volcanoes in 37 volcanic fields (including the Pinacate volcanic field, which is mostly in northern Sonora, Mexico). Volcanic landforms are dominantly scoria cones and ramparts with attendant lava fields that have a spectrum of ‘a’ā and blocky to pāhoehoe morphologies, while a small percentage of the volcanoes are maars and tuff cones. Explosive eruption styles that were driven mainly by magmatic volatiles, where they have been studied in detail, included Hawaiian, Strombolian, violent Strombolian, and sub-Plinian activity. The latter two have resulted in sub­stantial fallout deposits that can be traced tens of kilometers from source vents. Phreatomagmatic styles have produced pyroclastic current (mainly pyroclastic surges), ballistic, and fallout deposits. These eruption styles pose hazards to humans when they occur in populated areas and to air travel and regional infrastructure even in sparsely populated areas. All but one of the major volcanic fields (fields that contain ~100 or more Quaternary volcanoes) together form a northwest-southeast–trending band, which we suggest may reflect an influence of plate-boundary-related shearing on melt segregation in the upper mantle along with other factors; this view is consistent with recent global positioning system (GPS) and structural geologic data indicating the influence of dextral motion along the North America-Pacific plate boundary deep inside the Southwest. Of the 2229 Quaternary volcanoes identified, ~548 (25%) have been dated, and only ~15% have been dated with methods such as 40Ar/39Ar and cosmogenic surface exposure methods that are considered optimal for young basalts. Acknowledging the large uncertainty due to the poor geochronological data coverage, we use a simple Poisson model to pro­vide a first-order estimate of recurrence rates of monogenetic volcanoes on the scale of the region as a whole; recurrence rates using our compiled age data set range from 3.74 × 10−4 yr−1 to 8.63 × 10−4 yr−1. These values are only based on dated and mapped volcanoes, respectively, and do not account for undated and buried volcanoes or other uncertainties in the volcano count. The time between monogenetic eruptions in the Southwest is similar to the repose times of some polygenetic volcanoes, which suggests that the regional hazard is potentially commensurate with the hazard from a reawakening stratovolcano such as those in the Cascade Range. Notable in our review is that only a few volcanoes have been the subject of physical volcanological characterization, interpretation, and detailed petrologic study that may elu­cidate factors such as magma generation, ascent (including time scales), and controls on eruption style.


2021 ◽  
Vol 2099 (1) ◽  
pp. 012047
Author(s):  
E Tabarintseva

Abstract The inverse problem for a system of nonlinear parabolic equations is considered in the present paper. Namely, it is required to restore the initial condition by a given time-average value of the solution to the system of the nonlinear parabolic equations. An exact in the order error estimate of the optimal method for solving the inverse problem through the error estimate for the corresponding linear problem is obtained. A stable approximate solution to the unstable nonlinear problem under study is constructed by means of the projection regularization method which consists of using the representation of the approximate solution as a partial sum of the Fourier series. An exact in the order estimate for the error of the projection regularization method is obtained on one of the standard correctness classes. As a consequence, it is proved the optimality of the projection regularization method. As an example of a nonlinear system of parabolic equations, which has important practical applications, a spatially distributed model of blood coagulation is considered.


2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (4) ◽  
pp. 207
Author(s):  
Carsten Christensen ◽  
John Salmon

Exploring the system-level interactions within the modern urban transportation system, factors such as human health, vehicle exhaust pollution, air quality, emerging personal transportation technologies, and local weather events, are increasingly expedient considering the growth of human population centers projected in the 21st century. Pollutants often accumulate to unhealthy concentrations during winter inversion events such as those that commonly occur in Utah’s Salt Lake valley and other mountainous regions. This work examines the degree to which replacing conventionally powered vehicles with electric vehicles (EV) could reduce the near-road accumulation of criteria pollutants under various degrees of inversion depth and wind speed. Vehicle emissions data are combined with inversion and wind factors to determine changes in the Air Quality Index, and a first-order estimate of the cost required to build an EV charging infrastructure to support a given EV adoption scenario is also derived. Results are presented in the form of multiple Pareto frontiers and a simplified cost–benefit formula that inform potential public and private EV charging infrastructure investments to drive the EV adoption that would result in optimal air quality improvements during average weather and winter inversion events.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Davud Davudov ◽  
Ademide O. Mabadeje ◽  
Anton Malkov ◽  
Ashwin Venkatraman ◽  
Birol Dindoruk

Abstract Capacitance resistance models (CRM) constitute reduced physics-based models that provide quantitative first order estimate of inter-well connectivity using production and injection data (without geology). However, application of these models to mature fields with large number of wells along with historical data and varying operating conditions is challenging and computationally expensive. In this study we present a novel hybrid approach that combines CRM with geological data for application to large reservoirs. CRM models become more challenging, when applied in larger domains, because the number of unknowns they assume for every injector and producer pair are inherently connected. To overcome this complication, we obtain radius of investigation (ROI) for every injector using Fast Marching Model (FMM) that characterizes the field based on the geological data. Specifically, FMM is used to determine unrelated producer-injector pairs and ROI for each injector that reduce the number of unknowns and hence computational complexity. This hybrid model approach is validated by comparing results with a standalone CRM model for both synthetic and field data. We validate the proposed method results using synthetic data for a producing field with 5 producers and 4 injectors that is generated by numerical simulation. The FMM accurately identifies unrelated injection-production pairs to reduce the number of unknowns in CRM model by 35% (20 to 13). After conceptual validation, we apply this hybrid approach to a mature field with 29 injectors and 46 producers where the number of unknowns are reduced by 57% after the non-related pairs are determined with FMM. This results in significant speedup of computations as compared to standalone CRM approach. In totality, we have developed and validated the proposed hybrid model of geology and CRM using synthetic and field data. On applying our learnings successfully, we propose a hybrid model that combines two reduced-physics models (CRM and FMM) to decrease computational speed and reduce uncertainty in the field. With increasing focus on digitization, these workflows can help organizations reallocate water injection without CAPEX to deliver return on investment for digitization projects.


2021 ◽  
Vol 66 (7) ◽  
pp. 619
Author(s):  
L.I. Malysheva

Various important characteristics of finite polyene chains are found on the basis of approximate solutions of the characteristic equations. The obtained approximate and limit expressions for the wave functions, energy gap, etc. can be used for the analysis of the electronic and transport properties of polyenes, which gives a deeper understanding of the fundamental properties of finite alternating polyene chains. We also demonstrate the high efficiency of the proposed approximations as a zero-order estimate for the numerical solution of the characteristic equation.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Graham Epstein ◽  
Julie P Hawkins ◽  
Catrin R Norris ◽  
Callum M Roberts

Subtidal marine sediments are one of the planet's primary carbon stores and strongly influence the oceanic sink for atmospheric CO2. By far the most pervasive human activity occurring on the seabed is bottom trawling and dredging for fish and shellfish. A global first-order estimate suggested mobile demersal fishing activities may cause 160-400 Mt of organic carbon (OC) to be remineralised annually from seabed sediment carbon stores. There are, however, many uncertainties in this calculation. Here, we discuss the potential drivers of change in seabed OC stores due to mobile demersal fishing activities and conduct a systematic review, synthesising studies where this interaction has been directly investigated. Mobile demersal fishing would be expected to reduce OC in seabed stores, albeit with site-specific variability. Reductions would occur due to lower production of flora and fauna, the loss of fine flocculent material, increased sediment resuspension, mixing and transport, and increased oxygen exposure. This would be offset to some extent by reduced faunal bioturbation and respiration, increased off-shelf transport and increases in primary production from the resuspension of nutrients. Studies which directly investigated the impact of demersal fishing on OC stocks had mixed results. A finding of no significant effect was reported in 51% of 59 experimental contrasts; 41% reported lower OC due to fishing activities, with 8% reporting higher OC. In relation to remineralisation rates within the seabed, 14 experimental contrasts reported that demersal fishing activities decreased remineralisation, with four reporting higher remineralisation rates. The direction of effects was related to sediment type, impact duration, study design and local hydrography. More evidence is urgently needed to accurately quantify the impact of anthropogenic physical disturbance on seabed carbon in different environmental settings, and incorporate full evidence-based carbon considerations into global seabed management.


Author(s):  
Wolf Uwe Reimold ◽  
Toni Schulz ◽  
Stephan König ◽  
Christian Koeberl ◽  
Natalia Hauser ◽  
...  

ABSTRACT This contribution is concerned with the debated origin of the impact melt rock in the central uplift of the world’s largest confirmed impact structure—Vredefort (South Africa). New major- and trace-element abundances, including those of selected highly siderophile elements (HSEs), Re-Os isotope data, as well as the first Se isotope and Se-Te elemental systematics are presented for the felsic and mafic varieties of Vredefort impact melt rock known as “Vredefort Granophyre.” In addition to the long-recognized “normal” (i.e., felsic, >66 wt% SiO2) granophyre variety, a more mafic (<66 wt% SiO2) impact melt variety from Vredefort has been discussed for several years. The hypothesis that the mafic granophyre was formed from felsic granophyre through admixture (assimilation) of a mafic country rock component that then was melted and assimilated into the superheated impact melt has been pursued here by analysis of the two granophyre varieties, of the Dominion Group lava (actually metalava), and of epidiorite mafic country rock types. Chemical compositions, including high-precision isotope dilution–derived concentrations of selected highly siderophile elements (Re, Os, Ir, Pt, Se, Te), and Re-Os and Se isotope data support this hypothesis. A first-order estimate, based on these data, suggests that some mafic granophyre may have resulted from a significant admixture (assimilation) of epidiorite to felsic granophyre. This is in accordance with the findings of an earlier investigation using conventional isotope (Sr-Nd-Pb) data. Moreover, these outcomes are in contrast to a two-stage emplacement model for Vredefort Granophyre, whereby a mafic phase of impact melt, derived by differentiation of a crater-filling impact melt sheet, would have been emplaced into earlier-deposited felsic granophyre. Instead, all chemical and isotopic evidence so far favors formation of mafic granophyre by local assimilation of mafic country rock—most likely epidiorite—by a single intrusive impact melt phase, which is represented by the regionally homogeneous felsic granophyre.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Thomas Douglas ◽  
Merritt Turetsky ◽  
Charles Koven

Earth’s high latitudes are projected to experience warmer and wetter summers in the future but ramifications for soil thermal processes and permafrost thaw are poorly understood. Here we present 2750 end of summer thaw depths representing a range of vegetation characteristics in Interior Alaska measured over a 5-year period. This included the top and third wettest summers in the 91-year record and three summers with precipitation close to mean historical values. Increased rainfall led to deeper thaw across all sites with an increase of 0.7 ± 0.1 cm of thaw per cm of additional rain. Disturbed and wetland sites were the most vulnerable to rain-induced thaw with ~1 cm of surface thaw per additional 1 cm of rain. Permafrost in tussock tundra, mixed forest, and conifer forest was less sensitive to rain-induced thaw. A simple energy budget model yields seasonal thaw values smaller than the linear regression of our measurements but provides a first-order estimate of the role of rain-driven sensible heat fluxes in high-latitude terrestrial permafrost. This study demonstrates substantial permafrost thaw from the projected increasing summer precipitation across most of the Arctic region.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rui Zhao ◽  
José M. Mogollón ◽  
Desiree L. Roerdink ◽  
Ingunn H. Thorseth ◽  
Ingeborg Økland ◽  
...  

AbstractEnergy/power availability is regarded as one of the ultimate controlling factors of microbial abundance in the deep biosphere, where fewer cells are found in habitats of lower energy availability. A critical assumption driving the proportional relationship between total cell abundance and power availability is that the cell-specific power requirement keeps constant or varies over smaller ranges than other variables, which has yet to be validated. Here we present a quantitative framework to determine the cell-specific power requirement of the omnipresent ammonia-oxidizing archaea (AOA) in eight sediment cores with 3–4 orders of magnitude variations of organic matter flux and oxygen penetration depth. Our results show that despite the six orders of magnitude variations in the rates and power supply of nitrification and AOA abundances across these eight cores, the cell-specific power requirement of AOA from different cores and depths overlaps within the narrow range of 10−19–10−17 W cell−1, where the lower end may represent the basal power requirement of microorganisms persisting in subseafloor sediments. In individual cores, AOA also exhibit similar cell-specific power requirements, regardless of the AOA population size or sediment depth/age. Such quantitative insights establish a relationship between the power supply and the total abundance of AOA, and therefore lay a foundation for a first-order estimate of the standing stock of AOA in global marine oxic sediments.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Cole Burge ◽  
Nathan Tom ◽  
Krish Thiagarajan ◽  
Jacob Davis ◽  
Nhu Nguyen

Abstract This paper analyzes the power capture potential, structural loadings, and costs associated with an oscillating surge wave energy converter (OSWEC) operating on a raised foundation. The raised OSWEC offers opportunities for reduced installation costs, improved energy production, and greater flexibility of deployment when compared with fixed-bottom models. In this investigation, we simulated several different foundation geometries using WEC-Sim to estimate power capture and structural loads. In an effort to maximize power capture, several cases in which flat plates of varying size were attached to the top of the foundation, under and parallel with the OSWEC, were also simulated. These plates were found to enhance power capture by preventing the wave-induced pressure from passing underneath the OSWEC, diverting this pressure toward the OSWEC instead. The OSWEC was simulated in the six Wave Energy Prize sea states, which were chosen as a representative sample of U.S. deployment sites. A first-order estimate of structural costs was calculated using the Wave Energy Prize ACE metric, with the foundation comprised predominantly of steel-reinforced concrete and the OSWEC comprised of A36 steel. Influence of foundation geometry on power capture, structural loadings, and ACE are topics of particular interest. This work has been inspired by advances in large-scale additive manufacturing techniques that have the potential to dramatically reduce the cost of subsea foundations. These advancements may enable cost-effective WEC systems to be deployed on raised foundations.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document