scholarly journals Prediabetes and risk of mortality, diabetes-related complications and comorbidities: umbrella review of meta-analyses of prospective studies

Diabetologia ◽  
2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sabrina Schlesinger ◽  
Manuela Neuenschwander ◽  
Janett Barbaresko ◽  
Alexander Lang ◽  
Haifa Maalmi ◽  
...  

Abstract Aims/hypothesis The term prediabetes is used for individuals who have impaired glucose metabolism whose glucose or HbA1c levels are not yet high enough to be diagnosed as diabetes. Prediabetes may already be associated with an increased risk of chronic ‘diabetes-related’ complications. This umbrella review aimed to provide a systematic overview of the available evidence from meta-analyses of prospective observational studies on the associations between prediabetes and incident diabetes-related complications in adults and to evaluate their strength and certainty. Methods For this umbrella review, systematic reviews with meta-analyses reporting summary risk estimates for the associations between prediabetes (based on fasting or 2 h postload glucose or on HbA1c) and incidence of diabetes-related complications, comorbidities and mortality risk were included. PubMed, Web of Science, the Cochrane Library and Epistemonikos were searched up to 17 June 2021. Summary risk estimates were recalculated using a random effects model. The certainty of evidence was evaluated by applying the GRADE tool. This study is registered with PROSPERO, CRD42020153227. Results Ninety-five meta-analyses from 16 publications were identified. In the general population, prediabetes was associated with a 6–101% increased risk for all-cause mortality and the incidence of cardiovascular outcomes, CHD, stroke, heart failure, atrial fibrillation and chronic kidney disease, as well as total cancer, total liver cancer, hepatocellular carcinoma, breast cancer and all-cause dementia with moderate certainty of evidence. No associations between prediabetes and incident depressive symptoms and cognitive impairment were observed (with low or very low certainty of evidence). The association with all-cause mortality was stronger for prediabetes defined by impaired glucose tolerance than for prediabetes defined by HbA1c. Conclusions/interpretation Prediabetes was positively associated with risk of all-cause mortality and the incidence of cardiovascular outcomes, CHD, stroke, chronic kidney disease, cancer and dementia. Further high-quality studies, particularly on HbA1c-defined prediabetes and other relevant health outcomes (e. g. neuropathy) are required to support the evidence. Graphical abstract

2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (Supplement_1) ◽  
pp. 488-489
Author(s):  
A R M Saifuddin Ekram ◽  
Joanne Ryan ◽  
Carlene Britt ◽  
Sara Espinoza ◽  
Robyn Woods

Abstract Frailty is increasingly recognised for its association with adverse health outcomes including mortality. However, various measures are used to assess frailty, and the strength of association could vary depending on the specific definition used. This umbrella review aimed to map which frailty scale could best predict the relationship between frailty and all-cause mortality among community-dwelling older people. According to the PRISMA guidelines, Medline, Embase, EBSCOhost and Web of Science databases were searched to identify eligible systematic reviews and meta-analyses which examined the association between frailty and all-cause mortality in the community-dwelling older people. Relevant data were extracted and summarised qualitatively. Methodological quality was assessed by AMSTAR-2 checklist. Five moderate-quality systematic reviews with a total of 374,529 participants were identified. Of these, two examined the frailty phenotype and its derivatives, two examined the cumulative deficit models and the other predominantly included studies assessing frailty with the FRAIL scale. All of the reviews found a significant association between frailty status and all-cause mortality. The magnitude of association varied between individual studies, with no consistent pattern related to the frailty measures that were used. In conclusion, regardless of the measure used to assess frailty status, it is associated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality.


Nutrients ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (10) ◽  
pp. 3381
Author(s):  
Sang Heon Suh ◽  
Tae Ryom Oh ◽  
Hong Sang Choi ◽  
Chang Seong Kim ◽  
Eun Hui Bae ◽  
...  

To investigate the association of body weight variability (BWV) with adverse cardiovascular (CV) outcomes in patient with pre-dialysis chronic kidney disease (CKD), a total of 1867 participants with pre-dialysis CKD from Korean Cohort Study for Outcomes in Patients With Chronic Kidney Disease (KNOW-CKD) were analyzed. BWV was defined as the average absolute difference between successive values. The primary outcome was a composite of non-fatal CV events and all-cause mortality. Secondary outcomes were fatal and non-fatal CV events and all-cause mortality. High BWV was associated with increased risk of the composite outcome (adjusted hazard ratio (HR) 1.745, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.065 to 2.847) as well as fatal and non-fatal CV events (adjusted HR 1.845, 95% CI 1.136 to 2.996) and all-cause mortality (adjusted HR 1.861, 95% CI 1.101 to 3.145). High BWV was associated with increased risk of fatal and non-fatal CV events, even in subjects without significant body weight gain or loss during follow-up periods (adjusted HR 2.755, 95% CI 1.114 to 6.813). In conclusion, high BWV is associated with adverse CV outcomes in patients with pre-dialysis CKD.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kevin C. Maki ◽  
Meredith L. Wilcox ◽  
Mary R. Dicklin ◽  
Rahul Kakkar ◽  
Michael H. Davidson

Abstract Background Cardiovascular disease is an important driver of the increased mortality associated with chronic kidney disease (CKD). Higher left ventricular mass (LVM) predicts increased risk of adverse cardiovascular outcomes and total mortality, but previous reviews have shown no clear association between intervention-induced LVM change and all-cause or cardiovascular mortality in CKD. Methods The primary objective of this meta-analysis was to investigate whether treatment-induced reductions in LVM over periods ≥ 12 months were associated with all-cause mortality in patients with CKD. Cardiovascular mortality was investigated as a secondary outcome. Measures of association in the form of relative risks (RRs) with associated variability and precision (95% confidence intervals [CIs]) were extracted directly from each study, when reported, or were calculated based on the published data, if possible, and pooled RR estimates were determined. Results The meta-analysis included 38 trials with duration ≥ 12 months: 6 of erythropoietin stimulating agents treating to higher vs. lower hemoglobin targets, 10 of renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system inhibitors vs. placebo or another blood pressure lowering agent, 14 of modified hemodialysis regimens, and 8 of other types of interventions. All-cause mortality was reported in 116/2385 (4.86%) subjects in intervention groups and 161/2404 (6.70%) subjects in control groups. The pooled RR estimate of the 24 trials ≥ 12 months with ≥ 1 event in ≥ 1 group was 0.72 (95% CI 0.57 to 0.91, p = 0.005), with little heterogeneity across studies. Directionalities of the associations in intervention subgroups were the same. Sensitivity analyses of ≥ 6 months (31 trials), ≥ 9 months (26 trials), and > 12 months (9 trials), and including studies with no events in either group, demonstrated similar risk reductions to the primary analysis. The point estimate for cardiovascular mortality was similar to all-cause mortality, but not statistically significant: RR 0.66, 95% CI 0.38 to 1.15. Conclusions These results suggest that LVM regression may be a useful surrogate marker for benefits of interventions intended to reduce mortality risk in patients with CKD.


2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (3) ◽  
pp. 84-91
Author(s):  
N.S. Morozova ◽  
◽  
Ad.A. Mamedov ◽  
D.Yu. Lakomova ◽  
L.D. Maltseva ◽  
...  

Difficulties associated with the identification of a major risk factor for chronic kidney disease (CKD) (mainly in children without obvious anatomical causes), long-lasting asymptomatic phase, and irreversible kidney damage caused by chemical elements resulted in a particular interest to the problem of diagnosis and timely treatment of CKD. This review aims to summarize available information on the role of increased fluoride concentration in the development of CKD of uncertain etiology. We included more than 200 publications found in Scopus, Web of Science, Cochrane Library, and PubMed. We analyzed factors associated with an increased risk of fluoride-related CKD and identified possible mechanisms underlying disease progression. In addition to that, we proposed potential molecular markers to detect early stages of CKD. We described new promising therapeutic targets with the consideration of key elements of disease pathogenesis, poor prognosis, and age limits for existing nephroprotective drugs. Key words: fluoride, chronic kidney disease, risk factors, pathogenesis, molecular markers


BMJ Open ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. e031951
Author(s):  
Liqun Li ◽  
Jinjing Tan ◽  
Lijian Liu ◽  
Jianfeng Li ◽  
Guangwen Chen ◽  
...  

ObjectiveSystematic reviews and meta-analyses have revealed the associations betweenH. pyloriinfection and various health outcomes. We aimed to evaluate the strength and breadth of evidence on the associations.DesignUmbrella review of systematic reviews and meta-analyses.SettingNo settings.ParticipantsNo patients involved.Data sourcesEmbase, PubMed, Web of Science, Cochrane Library Databases, CNKI, VIP database and Wangfang database from inception to February 1, 2019.Outcomes measuresDiverse diseases (such as cancer and ischaemic heart disease).ResultsSixty articles reporting 88 unique outcomes met the eligible criteria. 74 unique outcomes had nominal significance (p<0.05). Of the outcomes with significance, 61 had harmful associations and 13 had beneficial associations. Furthermore, 73% (64) of the outcomes exhibited significant heterogeneity . Of the these meta-analyses, 32 had moderate to high heterogeneity (I2=50%–75%) and 24 had high heterogeneity (I2>75%). Moreover, 20% exhibited publication bias (p<0.1). In addition, 97% of the methodological qualities were rated ‘critically low’. 36% of the evidence qualities of outcomes were rated ‘low’, 56% of the evidence qualities were rated ‘very low’ and 8% of the evidence qualities were rated ‘moderate’.H. pyloriinfection may be associated with an increased risk of five diseases and a decreased risk of irritable bowel syndrome.ConclusionAlthough 60 meta-analyses explored 88 unique outcomes, moderate quality evidence only existed for six outcomes with statistical significance.H. pyloriinfection may be associated with a decreased risk of irritable bowel syndrome and an increased risk of hypertriglyceridemia, chronic cholecystitis and cholelithiasis, gestational diabetes mellitus, gastric cancer and systemic sclerosis.Trial registrationCRD42019124680.


2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ali S. Omrani ◽  
Muna A. Almaslamani ◽  
Joanne Daghfal ◽  
Rand A. Alattar ◽  
Mohamed Elgara ◽  
...  

Abstract Background There are limited data on Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) outcomes at a national level, and none after 60 days of follow up. The aim of this study was to describe national, 60-day all-cause mortality associated with COVID-19, and to identify risk factors associated with admission to an intensive care unit (ICU). Methods This was a retrospective cohort study including the first consecutive 5000 patients with COVID-19 in Qatar who completed 60 days of follow up by June 17, 2020. The primary outcome was all-cause mortality at 60 days after COVID-19 diagnosis. In addition, we explored risk factors for admission to ICU. Results Included patients were diagnosed with COVID-19 between February 28 and April 17, 2020. The majority (4436, 88.7%) were males and the median age was 35 years [interquartile range (IQR) 28–43]. By 60 days after COVID-19 diagnosis, 14 patients (0.28%) had died, 10 (0.2%) were still in hospital, and two (0.04%) were still in ICU. Fatal COVID-19 cases had a median age of 59.5 years (IQR 55.8–68), and were mostly males (13, 92.9%). All included pregnant women (26, 0.5%), children (131, 2.6%), and healthcare workers (135, 2.7%) were alive and not hospitalized at the end of follow up. A total of 1424 patients (28.5%) required hospitalization, out of which 108 (7.6%) were admitted to ICU. Most frequent co-morbidities in hospitalized adults were diabetes (23.2%), and hypertension (20.7%). Multivariable logistic regression showed that older age [adjusted odds ratio (aOR) 1.041, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.022–1.061 per year increase; P < 0.001], male sex (aOR 4.375, 95% CI 1.964–9.744; P < 0.001), diabetes (aOR 1.698, 95% CI 1.050–2.746; P 0.031), chronic kidney disease (aOR 3.590, 95% CI 1.596–8.079, P 0.002), and higher BMI (aOR 1.067, 95% CI 1.027–1.108 per unit increase; P 0.001), were all independently associated with increased risk of ICU admission. Conclusions In a relatively younger national cohort with a low co-morbidity burden, COVID-19 was associated with low all-cause mortality. Independent risk factors for ICU admission included older age, male sex, higher BMI, and co-existing diabetes or chronic kidney disease.


2019 ◽  
Vol 44 (4) ◽  
pp. 690-703 ◽  
Author(s):  
Laura Jahn ◽  
Rafael Kramann ◽  
Nikolaus Marx ◽  
Jürgen Floege ◽  
Michael Becker ◽  
...  

Background and Objectives: Patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) exhibit a highly increased risk of cardiovascular (CV) morbidity and mortality. Subtle changes in left ventricular function can be detected by two-dimensional (2D) speckle tracking echocardiography (STE). This study investigated whether myocardial dysfunction detected by 2D STE may aid in CV and all-cause mortality risk assessment in patients with CKD stages 3 and 4. Method: A study group of 285 patients (CKD 3: 193 patients; CKD 4: 92 patients) and a healthy control group (34 participants) were included in the retrospective study. 2D STE values as well as early and late diastolic strain rates were measured in ventricular longitudinal, circumferential and radial directions. Patients’ CV and all-cause outcome was determined. Results: In the CKD group all measured longitudinal STE values and radial strain were significantly reduced compared to the control group. Cox proportional hazards regression revealed global longitudinal strain to predict CV and all-cause mortality (hazard ratio [HR] 1.15, 95% CI 1.06–1.25; p = 0.0008 and HR 1.09, 95% CI 1.04–1.14; p = 0.0003). After adjustment for sex, age, diabetes, estimated glomerular filtration rate, and preexisting CV disease, this association was maintained for CV mortality and all-cause mortality (HR 1.16, 95% CI 1.06–1.27; p = 0.0019 and HR 1.08, 95% CI 1.03–1.14; p = 0.0026, respectively). Conclusions: The present study shows that 2D STE detects reduced left ventricular myocardial function and allows the prediction of CV and all-cause mortality in patients at CKD stages 3 and 4.


2021 ◽  
Vol 36 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Daisuke Mori ◽  
Shinjiro Tamai ◽  
Maho Tokuchi ◽  
Natsumi Inoue ◽  
Hideaki Kawai ◽  
...  

Abstract Background and Aims Plasma potassium levels are impacted by decreased kidney function and are known to be associated with increased mortality, adverse cardiovascular events and adverse kidney events. However, the prognostic implication of urinary potassium is unclear. Method We conducted an observational study of 1102 patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) who were hospitalized between 2010 and 2018. The expected primary outcomes were all-cause mortality, adverse cardiovascular events and CKD progression. CKD progression was defined as a 30% increase in serum creatinine, the initiation of maintenance dialysis or the need for kidney transplantation. The Cox proportional hazards model was used to analyse the association between urinary potassium excretion and adverse clinical outcomes after adjustment for potential confounders. Results At baseline, 66% of the patients were men, with a median age of 72 years (interquartile range or IQR, 64–79 years); 61% of the patients were diabetic, and 54% of them were hypertensive. The median values for estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) was 12 mL/min/1.73m2 (IQR, 8–18), serum potassium 4.5 mmol/L (IQR, 4.1–5.1) and urinary potassium/creatinine ratio (UK/Cr) 27 mmol/gCr (IQR, 20–38). Over a median follow-up period of 2.6 years (IQR 0.2–4.5), the number of all-cause deaths was 87. There were 171 cases of cardiovascular events and 860 cases of CKD progression. After adjusting for the eGFR, serum potassium level, proteinuria, renin–angiotensin system inhibitors, diuretics and other potential confounders, UK/Cr was found to be neither significantly associated with all-cause mortality nor with adverse cardiovascular events. However, a low UK/Cr was associated with an increased risk of CKD progression (adjusted hazard ratio [95% confidence interval] for the first, second and third quartiles, compared with the fourth quartile, were as follows: 2.09 [1.43-3.06], 1.33 [0.96-1.86] and 1.05 [0.75-1.46]) Conclusion A low UK/Cr might be an independent risk factor for poor renal outcome.


2020 ◽  
Vol 36 (1) ◽  
pp. 121-128 ◽  
Author(s):  
Maarten A De Jong ◽  
Michele F Eisenga ◽  
Adriana J van Ballegooijen ◽  
Joline W J Beulens ◽  
Marc G Vervloet ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Fibroblast growth factor 23 (FGF23), a phosphate-regulating hormone that increases early in the course of chronic kidney disease (CKD), is associated with disease progression in patients with established CKD. Here we aimed to investigate the association between plasma FGF23 and new-onset CKD in the general population. Methods We included 5253 individuals without CKD who participated in the Prevention of Renal and Vascular Endstage Disease study, a prospective, population-based cohort. Multi-variable Cox regression was used to study the association of plasma C-terminal FGF23 with new-onset CKD, defined as a combined endpoint of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) &lt;60 mL/min/ 1.73 m2, urinary 24-h albumin excretion (UAE) &gt;30 mg/24 h or both, or with all-cause mortality. Results The median baseline FGF23 was 68 [interquartile range (IQR) 56–85] RU/mL, eGFR was 95 ± 13 mL/min/1.73 m2 and UAE was 7.8 (IQR 5.8–11.5)  mg/24 h. After follow-up of 7.5 (IQR 7.2–8.0)  years, 586 participants developed CKD and 214 participants died. A higher FGF23 level was associated with new-onset CKD, independent of risk factors for kidney disease and parameters of bone and mineral homoeostasis {fully adjusted hazard ratio (HR) 1.25 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.10–1.44] per doubling of FGF23; P = 0.001}. In secondary analyses, FGF23 was independently associated with new-onset eGFR &lt;60 mL/min/1.73 m2 [adjusted HR 1.28 (95% CI 1.00–1.62); P = 0.048] or with UAE &gt;30 mg/24 h [adjusted HR 1.24 (95% CI 1.06–1.45); P = 0.01] individually. A higher FGF23 level was also associated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality [fully adjusted HR 1.30 (95% CI 1.03–1.63); P = 0.03]. Conclusions High FGF23 levels are associated with an increased risk of new-onset CKD and all-cause mortality in this prospective population-based cohort, independent of established CKD risk factors.


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