Long-term variability of air temperature and precipitation conditions in the Polish Carpathians

2018 ◽  
Vol 15 (2) ◽  
pp. 237-253 ◽  
Author(s):  
Agnieszka Wypych ◽  
Zbigniew Ustrnul ◽  
Dirk R. Schmatz
2008 ◽  
Vol 49 ◽  
pp. 7-10 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yukari Takeuchi ◽  
Yasoichi Endo ◽  
Shigeki Murakami

AbstractLong-term data of winter air temperature and precipitation were analyzed and the correlation between them investigated in order to identify the factors influencing snow reduction during the recent warmer winters in the heavy-snowfall areas in Japan. A high negative correlation between winter precipitation and air temperature was identified in the heavy-snowfall areas on the Sea of Japan side in the center of the main island (Honshu). It was confirmed that precipitation is mainly caused by cold winter monsoons, and thus correlates to a large extent with air temperature in these areas. The precipitation decrease can be considered an effective factor for the recent reduction in snow as well as the snowfall to precipitation ratio. This should be taken into account for a better prediction of snow reduction in relation to global warming.


Author(s):  
V. V. Hrynchak

The decision about writing this article was made after familiarization with the "Brief Climatic Essay of Dnepropetrovsk City (prepared based on observations of 1886 – 1937)" written by the Head of the Dnipropetrovsk Weather Department of the Hydrometeorological Service A. N. Mikhailov. The guide has a very interesting fate: in 1943 it was taken by the Nazis from Dnipropetrovsk and in 1948 it returned from Berlin back to the Ukrainian Hydrometeorological and Environmental Directorate of the USSR, as evidenced by a respective entry on the Essay's second page. Having these invaluable materials and data of long-term weather observations in Dnipro city we decided to analyze climate changes in Dnipropetrovsk region. The article presents two 50-year periods, 1886-1937 and 1961-2015, as examples. Series of observations have a uniform and representative character because they were conducted using the same methodology and results processing. We compared two main characteristics of climate: air temperature and precipitation. The article describes changes of average annual temperature values and absolute temperature values. It specifies the shift of seasons' dates and change of seasons' duration. We studied the changes of annual precipitation and peculiarities of their seasonable distribution. Apart from that peculiarities of monthly rainfall fluctuations and their heterogeneity were specified. Since Dnipro city is located in the center of the region the identified tendencies mainly reflect changes of climatic conditions within the entire Dnipropetrovsk region.


2021 ◽  
Vol 31 ◽  
pp. 00022
Author(s):  
Rashit Sheremetov ◽  
Peter Stieglbauer

The characteristic of a number of parameters variability of the Kuzbass Botanical Garden climate are studied for the period from 1966 to 2020.An indirect assessment of the climate based on the climate biological efficiency index is given. The analysis of the long-term dynamics of the selected parameters is carried out, the main temporal patterns in their distribution are revealed. As initial materials, air temperature and precipitation daily data for the period 1966-2020.


Author(s):  
O. V. Reshotkin

Aim. Identify patterns of temporal changes in the parameters of the atmospheric and soil climates of humid subtropics. Methods. The dynamics of air and soil temperature and precipitation are analyzed in the long-term and seasonal cycles with respect to the climatic normal, which is considered as a quantitative characteristic of the conditions of pedogenesis and climate variability over time. Results. The data on air temperature, precipitation and soil temperature yellow soils, formed in a subtropical wet-forest soil bioclimatic area are analyzed. It is shown that the average annual air temperature in 2001 - 2018 exceeded the climatic normal by 0,7°C, the annual precipitation increased by 104 mm. Modern warming leads to a change in the temperature regime of yellow soils. The average annual soil temperature at the beginning of the XXI century increased from 0,5°С at the depth of 320 cm to 0,9°С at the depth of 20 cm. The sum of active soil temperatures above 10°С at the depth of 20 cm increased by 283°С. Main conclusions. In the modern period, a change in the atmospheric and soil climate towards warming is observed in the zone of distribution of yellow soils of humid subtropics of Russia, accompanied by an increase in precipitation. Warming is most pronounced in the summer season and is practically not observed in the winter season. It is characterized by an increase in air and soil temperature throughout its profile, an increase in the sum of active temperatures. The revealed climate changes make it possible to re-evaluate the soil and agroclimatic resources of the Russian subtropics for agriculture and forestry.


2021 ◽  
Vol 2 ◽  
pp. 138-146
Author(s):  
V.K. Smakhtin ◽  

Assessment of changes in air temperature and precipitation in Transbaikalia/ Smakhtin V.K. // Hydrometeorological Research and Forecasting, 2021, no. 2 (380), pp. 138-146. The paper analyzes long-term fluctuations in average air temperature and annual total precipitation in Transbaikalia. Between 1951 and 2020, air temperature increased by 2.3 °C according to 40 weather stations. Warming is mainly manifested in the air temperature rise in February, March and April. From 1955 to 2017, the decrease in annual total precipitation was 56 mm in the Amur basin and 39 mm in the Yenisei basin. The trends are reliable at the 5% significance level. In the Lena basin, annual total precipitation during the mentioned period increased by 7 mm, the trend is not reliable at the 5% significance level. The high-water phase has been observed since 2017. Taking into account that two previous high-water phases lasted 16‒17 years, it may be supposed that a risk of precipitation above the normal will be kept in the next 13–14 years. Keywords: climate change, air temperature, precipitation, phases of water content, trendsRef. 81.


2021 ◽  
Vol 22 (2) ◽  
pp. 244-253
Author(s):  
I. V. Lyskova ◽  
O. E. Sukhoveeva ◽  
T. V. Lyskova

On the basis of long-term meteorological data and research results in a long-term stationary experiment of 1971-2020 a retrospective analysis of changes in air temperature and precipitation in the eastern region of the central climatic zone of the Kirov region was carried out and the influence of these characteristics on the dynamics of the yield of spring cereals was estimated. It has been established that the average annual air temperature during the research period was 2.4±1.0 °C. At the same time, its stable positive trend was observed at the rate of 0.39 °С /10 years. Two decades from 2001 to 2020 were recorded as the warmest for 50 years, when the temperature was 0.7...2.6 °C above climate normal. Selyaninov hydrothermal coefficient (0.7...2.1) testifies to the contrasting conditions of humidification of the vegetation periods during the research years – from drought to excessively humidified. In a long-term experiment, the yield of spring cereals increased in the row wheat – barley – oats: 2.17±0.86, 3.04±0.61, 3.39±0.65 t/ha, respectively. Strong correlations were marked between the average yield (spring wheat) and weather conditions in June: reverse with air temperature (rр = -0.735) and direct with the amount of precipitation (rр = 0.686). It has been established that the use of phosphorus fertilizers (and their aftereffect) in combination with nitrogen-potassium fertilizers weakened the influence of weather conditions on the productivity of spring wheat: the determination coefficients (R2), which reflect the portion of variability due to weather conditions, were 0.59-0.73 for the variant without fertilizers and decreased to 0.50-0.56 when applying NP3K.


2017 ◽  
Vol 63 (2) ◽  
pp. 86-91
Author(s):  
Martin Danilovič ◽  
Helena Hlavatá ◽  
Božena Šoltysová

Abstract The paper describes the procedure of calculation and assessment of deviations of the average air temperature from the normal (in relation to the normal 1961‒1990) or long-term average and the percentage of normal precipitation or long-term sum of precipitation, valid for the Slovak Republic. Three evaluation tables clearly indicate both threshold limit values, which facilitate the classification of the calculated indices for air temperature and precipitation. Criteria presented in this work are fully applicable for weather conditions evaluation during the growing season of cultivated plants in the Slovak Republic.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yu.B. Kirsta ◽  
A.V. Puzanov ◽  
T.A. Rozhdestvenskaya ◽  
M.P. Peleneva

Using the system approach, we have developed a simulation model for the long-term forecast of the content of toxic chemical elements in grain crop yield. The study was carried out by the example of wheat cultivated in Altai Krai — one of the main grain-producing regions of Russia. Wheat crops were sampled in 10 municipal districts of Altai Krai, which characterize seven different edaphic-climatic zones. The average long-term values of mean monthly air temperature and monthly precipitation for each sampling area were identified using GIS and data of the Interactive Agricultural Ecological Atlas of Russia and Neighboring Countries. A total of 19 chemical elements were considered, i.e. Pb, As, Cd, Hg, Na, Mn, Zn, Cu, Fe, Co, etc. It is shown that content of Pb, Na, Mn and Cu in wheat depend on climatic characteristics of the cultivation area. Regression dependences of element content on the average long-term air temperature and precipitation were established. Based on normalization and spatial generalization of air temperature and precipitation providing the uniform dynamics of their relative monthly values (in percent) throughout the study area, a forecast of their changes was made for 2030. A procedure for grain sampling, GIS technologies for processing meteorological and cartographic data, methods for predicting regional climate changes and establishment of quantitative relationships of chemical elements content in grain with climatic characteristics – all together make up the integral predictive simulation model for toxic substance content in grain crop yield. The model was used for estimation of Pb, Na, Mn, Cu changes in wheat by 2030. The lead (Pb) content in wheat crop delivered to elevators from certain municipal districts will exceed the maximum allowable concentration for breadgrain after 2030. Unlike Pb, Na, Mn, Cu, the content of other metals in wheat grain weakly correlate with long-term changes in air temperature and precipitation; therefore, it can hardly change significantly.


2015 ◽  
Vol 19 (6) ◽  
pp. 2717-2736 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. Kuentz ◽  
T. Mathevet ◽  
J. Gailhard ◽  
B. Hingray

Abstract. Efforts to improve the understanding of past climatic or hydrologic variability have received a great deal of attention in various fields of geosciences such as glaciology, dendrochronology, sedimentology and hydrology. Based on different proxies, each research community produces different kinds of climatic or hydrologic reanalyses at different spatio-temporal scales and resolutions. When considering climate or hydrology, many studies have been devoted to characterising variability, trends or breaks using observed time series representing different regions or climates of the world. However, in hydrology, these studies have usually been limited to short temporal scales (mainly a few decades and more rarely a century) because they require observed time series (which suffer from a limited spatio-temporal density). This paper introduces ANATEM, a method that combines local observations and large-scale climatic information (such as the 20CR Reanalysis) to build long-term probabilistic air temperature and precipitation time series with a high spatio-temporal resolution (1 day and a few km2). ANATEM was tested on the reconstruction of air temperature and precipitation time series of 22 watersheds situated in the Durance River basin, in the French Alps. Based on a multi-criteria and multi-scale diagnosis, the results show that ANATEM improves the performance of classical statistical models – especially concerning spatial homogeneity – while providing an original representation of uncertainties which are conditioned by atmospheric circulation patterns. The ANATEM model has been also evaluated for the regional scale against independent long-term time series and was able to capture regional low-frequency variability over more than a century (1883–2010).


2005 ◽  
Vol 22 (7) ◽  
pp. 1095-1100 ◽  
Author(s):  
K. G. Hubbard ◽  
X. Lin ◽  
C. B. Baker

Abstract In 2004 a new aspirated surface air temperature system was officially deployed nationally in the U.S. Climate Reference Network (USCRN) commissioned by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. The primary goal of the USCRN is to provide future long-term and high-quality homogeneous observations of surface air temperature and precipitation that can be coupled to past long-term observations for the detection and attribution of present and future climate change. In this paper two precision air temperature systems are included for evaluating the new USCRN air temperature system based on a 1-yr side-by-side field comparison. The measurement errors of the USCRN temperature sensor are systematically analyzed, and the components of error attributable to the datalogger, lead wires, fixed resistors, and the temperature coefficient of the resistors are presented. Although the current configuration is adequate, a more desirable configuration of USCRN temperature sensor coupled with the datalogger is proposed as a means of further reducing the uncertainty for the USCRN temperature measurement.


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