A stage structured demographic model with “no-regression” growth: The case of constant development rate

2021 ◽  
pp. 126200
Author(s):  
Sara Pasquali
Keyword(s):  
Development Rate ◽  
Demographic Model

The Effect of Water Shortage on Potted Peach Trees in Relation to Ecophysiological Parameters and Infra-red Thermometry

HortScience ◽  
1998 ◽  
Vol 33 (3) ◽  
pp. 541b-541
Author(s):  
Rita Giuliani ◽  
James A. Flore
Keyword(s):  
Chlorophyll Fluorescence ◽  
Gas Exchange ◽  
Early Detection ◽  
Water Potential ◽  
Canopy Temperature ◽  
Water Shortage ◽  
Development Rate ◽  
Plant Water ◽  
Infra Red ◽  
Peach Trees

Potted peach trees grown outdoors during the 1997 season were subjected to drought and subsequent rewatering to evaluate their dynamic response to soil water content. The investigation was primarily focused on the early detection of plant water stress to prevent negative effects on the growth. Leaf chlorophyll fluorescence and canopy temperature estimates (by infra-red thermometry) were conducted. Drought effect on physiological processes were detected through by estimates of canopy development rate, leaf gas-exchange measurements; while leaf water potential was measured to characterize plant water status. A decrease in the canopy's development rate was found 1 week after irrigation was stopped, which also coincided with a more-negative leaf water potential, whereas a decrease of the gas-exchange activities occurred several days later. No significant differences between the stressed and control plants were recorded by the chlorophyll fluorescence parameters (Fo, Fm, Fv and the ratio Fv/Fm), whereas the infra-red estimates of canopy temperature detected a slight increase of the canopy surface temperature (connected to the change of leaf energy balance and in relation to partial stomatal closure) on the non-irrigated plants 1 week after the beginning of the trial. The use of infra-red thermometry for early detection of water shortage is discussed.

Bonobo population dynamics: Past patterns and future predictions for the Lola ya Bonobo population using demographic modelling

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lisa J. Faust ◽  
Claudine André ◽  
Raphaël Belais ◽  
Fanny Minesi ◽  
Zjef Pereboom ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Population Dynamics ◽  
Pan Troglodytes ◽  
Growth Trajectories ◽  
Demographic Model ◽  
Pan African ◽  
Demographic Modelling ◽  
Projected Changes ◽  
Demographic Patterns ◽  
Future Population ◽  
Future Growth

Wildlife sanctuaries rescue, rehabilitate, reintroduce and provide life-long care for orphaned and injured animals. Understanding a sanctuary’s population dynamics—patterns in arrival, mortality and projected changes in population size—allows careful planning for future needs. Building on previous work on the population dynamics of chimpanzees (Pan troglodytes) in sanctuaries of the Pan African Sanctuary Alliance (PASA; Faust et al. 2011), this chapter extends analyses to the only PASA bonobo sanctuary. Its authors analysed historic demographic patterns and projected future population dynamics using an individual-based demographic model. The population has been growing at 6.7 per cent per year, driven by arrivals of new individuals (mean = 5.5 arrivals per year). Several model scenarios projecting varying arrival rates, releases and breeding scenarios clarify potential future growth trajectories for the sanctuary. This research illustrates how data on historic dynamics can be modelled to inform future sanctuary capacity and management needs. Les sanctuaires de faune secourent, réhabilitent, réintroduisent, et fournissent des soins pour toute la vie aux animaux orphelins et blessés. Comprendre les dynamiques de la population d’un sanctuaire—les motifs d’arrivée, mortalité, et de changements projetés de la taille de la population—permet une planification prudente pour les nécessités du futur. En se basant sur le travail déjà fait sur les dynamiques de la population chimpanzé (Pan troglodytes) dans les sanctuaires du Pan African Sanctuary Alliance (PASA; Faust et al. 2011), nous étendons notre analyse au seul sanctuaire bonobo par PASA. Nous avons analysé les motifs démographiques historiques et avons projeté les futures dynamiques de la population en utilisant un modèle démographique basé sur l’individu. La population augmente de 6.7 per cent par an, poussée par l’arrivée de nouveaux individus (moyenne = 5.5 arrivées par an). Plusieurs scénarios modèles montrent une trajectoire de potentielle croissance pour le sanctuaire. Cette recherche illustre comment modeler les données sur les dynamiques historiques pour informer la capacité future du sanctuaire et les besoins gestionnaires.

A demographic model to support an impact financing mechanism for black rhino metapopulations

2021 ◽  
Vol 257 ◽  
pp. 109073
Author(s):  
Chris Barichievy ◽  
Res Altwegg ◽  
Dave Balfour ◽  
Rob Brett ◽  
Chris Gordon ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Demographic Model ◽  
Financing Mechanism

scholarly journals Effect of Temperature on the Development and Survival of Feltiella Acarisuga (Vallot) (Diptera: Cecidomyiidae) Preying on Tetranychus Urticae (Koch) (Acari: Tetranychidae)

Insects ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (6) ◽  
pp. 508
Author(s):  
Yong-Seok Choi ◽  
Sung-Hoon Baek ◽  
Min-Jung Kim
Keyword(s):  
Developmental Stages ◽  
Gall Midge ◽  
Mass Rearing ◽  
Immature Stage ◽  
Development Rate ◽  
Effect Of Temperature ◽  
Thermal Constant ◽  
Fundamental Information ◽  
Threshold Temperatures ◽  
Response To Temperature

The predatory gall midge, Feltiella acarisuga (Vallot) (Diptera: Cecidomyiidae), is an acarivorous species that mainly feeds on spider mites (Acarina: Tetranychidae). Because of its cosmopolitan distribution and predation efficacy, it is considered an important natural enemy available as a biological agent for augmentative biocontrol. However, despite its practical use, the thermal development and survival response to temperature have not yet been fully studied. In this study, we investigated the stage-specific development and survival of F. acarisuga at seven temperatures (11.5, 15.7, 19.8, 23.4, 27.7, 31.9, and 35.4 °C) to examine the effect of temperature on its lifecycle. All developmental stages could develop at 11.5–31.9 °C, but the performance was different according to the temperature. From the linear development rate models, the lower development threshold and thermal constant of the total immature stage were estimated at 8.2 °C and 200 DD, respectively. The potential optimal and upper threshold temperatures for the total immature stage were estimated as 29.3 and 35.1 °C using a non-linear development model. The operative thermal ranges for development and survival at 80% of the maximum rate were 24.5–32.3 and 14.7–28.7 °C, respectively. Thus, it was suggested that 24.5–28.7 °C was suitable for the total immature stage. In contrast, conditions around 8 °C and 35 °C should be avoided due to the lower development rate and high mortality. Our findings provide fundamental information for an effective mass-rearing and releasing program of F. acarisuga in an augmentative biocontrol program and help to predict phenology.

scholarly journals PERIOD AND COHORT DYNAMICS IN FERTILITY NORMS AT THE ONSET OF THE DEMOGRAPHIC TRANSITION IN KENYA 1978–1998

2007 ◽  
Vol 39 (3) ◽  
pp. 443-454 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. G. WHITE ◽  
C. HALL ◽  
B. WOLFF
Keyword(s):  
Family Size ◽  
Fertility Decline ◽  
Fertility Transition ◽  
Period Effect ◽  
High Fertility ◽  
Demographic Model ◽  
Ideal Family Size ◽  
Age Cohorts ◽  
Ideal Family ◽  
Rapid Fall

Summary.A characteristic of African pre-transitional fertility regimes is large ideal family size. This has been used to support claims of cultural entrenchment of high fertility. Yet in Kenya fertility rates have fallen. In this paper this fall is explored in relation to trends in fertility norms and attitudes using four sequential cross-sectional surveys spanning the fertility transition in Kenya (1978, 1984, 1989 and 1998). The most rapid fall in the reported ideal family size occurred between 1984 and 1989, whilst the most rapid fall in the total fertility rate occurred 5 to 10 years later, between 1989 and 1998. Thus these data, spanning the fertility transition in Kenya, support the traditional demographic model that demand for fertility limitation drives fertility decline. These data also suggest that the decline in fertility norms over time was partly a period effect, as the reported ideal family size was seen to fall simultaneously in all age cohorts, and partly a cohort effect, as older age cohorts reporting higher ideal family sizes were replaced by younger cohorts reporting lower ideal family sizes. These data also suggest that a new fertility norm of four children may have developed by 1989 and continued until 1998. This is consistent with, and perhaps could have been used to predict, the stall in the Kenyan fertility decline after 1998.

A Demographic Model for Small Area Population Projections: An Application to the Census Metropolitan Area of Hamilton in Ontario, Canada

2009 ◽  
Vol 41 (4) ◽  
pp. 964-979 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pavlos S Kanaroglou ◽  
Hanna F Maoh ◽  
Bruce Newbold ◽  
Darren M Scott ◽  
Antonio Paez
Keyword(s):  
Metropolitan Area ◽  
Small Area ◽  
Population Projections ◽  
Demographic Model ◽  
Census Metropolitan Area

Effects of Fly Ash and Granular Blast-Furnace Slag on Development Rate of Strength of Concrete

2014 ◽  
Vol 629-630 ◽  
pp. 371-375
Author(s):  
Ji Wei Cai ◽  
Si Jia Yan ◽  
Gong Lei Wei ◽  
Lu Wang ◽  
Jin Jin Zhou
Keyword(s):  
Blast Furnace ◽  
Fly Ash ◽  
Blast Furnace Slag ◽  
Development Rate ◽  
Mineral Admixture ◽  
Mineral Admixtures ◽  
Conventional Concrete ◽  
Enhancing Effect ◽  
Substitution Content ◽  
Furnace Slag

Fly ash (FA) and granular blast-furnace slag (GBFS) are usual mineral admixtures to conventional concrete, and their contents substituted for Portland cement definitely affect development rate of strength of concrete. C30 and C60 concrete samples with FA and/or GBFS were prepared to study the influence of substitution content of the mineral admixtures on 3 d, 7 d and 28 d strength. The results reveal that the development rate of strength in period from 3 d to 7 d gets slow with increasing content of mineral admixtures except for concrete with only GBFS less than 20%. In the case of substituting FA as the only mineral admixture for part of cement, the development rate of strength of C30 concrete in period from 7 d to 28 d keeps roughly constant even that of C60 concrete increases. When substituting mineral admixtures in the presence of GBFS for cement within experimental range, the development rate of strength in period from 7 d to 28 d gets fast with increasing substitution content. The enhancing effect of combining FA and GBFS occurs in period from 7 d to 28 d for both C30 and C60 concretes (FA+GBFS≤40%), even occurs in period from 3 d to 7 d for C60 concrete. Based on 7 d strength and the development rate, 28 d strength of concrete can be predicted accurately.

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