scholarly journals Global, regional, and national estimates of the population at increased risk of severe COVID-19 due to underlying health conditions in 2020: a modelling study

2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (8) ◽  
pp. e1003-e1017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Andrew Clark ◽  
Mark Jit ◽  
Charlotte Warren-Gash ◽  
Bruce Guthrie ◽  
Harry H X Wang ◽  
...  
BMJ Open ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (12) ◽  
pp. e040922
Author(s):  
Bethany Villas ◽  
Uira Duarte Wisnesky ◽  
Sandra Campbell ◽  
Lauren Slavik ◽  
Amynah S. Mevawala ◽  
...  

Review question/objectiveThe purpose of this proposed review is twofold: first, to understand the role of occupational therapy presented in the musicians’ health literature; and second, to explore the potential for this role.IntroductionThe intense movement, awkward postures, concentration and emotional communication required of musicians can place them at increased risk of music-related health conditions, such as musculoskeletal disorders and performance anxiety. The development of music-related health conditions can be emotionally and financially devastating. The role of occupational therapy in musicians’ health has been previously discussed; however, no rigorous reviews of the scholarly literature have been published. We will, therefore, undertake a scoping review with the following research questions: (1) what is known about the role of occupational therapy in instrumental musicians’ health? and (2) what is the potential role of occupational therapy in musicians’ health?Methods and analysisA preliminary search of Medline, CINAHL, SCOPUS and Web of Science was previously undertaken by the first author to determine the extent of the research on this topic and to confirm that no other reviews have been conducted or are in progress. Study selection and analysis will follow the Joanna Briggs Institute and the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses extension for scoping reviews guidelines for conducting a scoping review.Ethics and disseminationFormal ethics approval is not required at our institution for a review of published literature. The results of this review will be shared through peer-reviewed publications, conference presentations and traditional and social media.


2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Sefer Elezkurtaj ◽  
Selina Greuel ◽  
Jana Ihlow ◽  
Edward Georg Michaelis ◽  
Philip Bischoff ◽  
...  

AbstractInfection by the new corona virus strain SARS-CoV-2 and its related syndrome COVID-19 has been associated with more than two million deaths worldwide. Patients of higher age and with preexisting chronic health conditions are at an increased risk of fatal disease outcome. However, detailed information on causes of death and the contribution of pre-existing health conditions to death yet is missing, which can be reliably established by autopsy only. We performed full body autopsies on 26 patients that had died after SARS-CoV-2 infection and COVID-19 at the Charité University Hospital Berlin, Germany, or at associated teaching hospitals. We systematically evaluated causes of death and pre-existing health conditions. Additionally, clinical records and death certificates were evaluated. We report findings on causes of death and comorbidities of 26 decedents that had clinically presented with severe COVID-19. We found that septic shock and multi organ failure was the most common immediate cause of death, often due to suppurative pulmonary infection. Respiratory failure due to diffuse alveolar damage presented as immediate cause of death in fewer cases. Several comorbidities, such as hypertension, ischemic heart disease, and obesity were present in the vast majority of patients. Our findings reveal that causes of death were directly related to COVID-19 in the majority of decedents, while they appear not to be an immediate result of preexisting health conditions and comorbidities. We therefore suggest that the majority of patients had died of COVID-19 with only contributory implications of preexisting health conditions to the mechanism of death.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Matthew E Lee ◽  
Yung Chang ◽  
Navid Ahmadinejad ◽  
Crista E Johnson-Agbakwu ◽  
Celeste Bailey ◽  
...  

Background: COVID-19 poses a life-threatening endangerment to individuals with chronic diseases. However, not all comorbidities affect COVID-19 prognosis equally. Some increase the risk of COVID-19 related death by more than six folds while others show little to no impact. To prevent severe outcomes, it is critical that we comprehend pre-existing molecular abnormalities in common health conditions that predispose patients to poor prognoses. In this study, we aim to discover some of these molecular risk factors by associating gene expression dysregulations in common health conditions with COVID-19 mortality rates in different cohorts. Methods: We focused on fourteen pre-existing health conditions, for which age-and-sex-adjusted hazard ratios of COVID-19 mortality have been documented. For each health condition, we analyzed existing transcriptomics data to identify differentially expressed genes (DEGs) between affected individuals and unaffected individuals. We then tested if fold changes of any DEG in these pre-existing conditions were correlated with hazard ratios of COVID-19 mortality to discover molecular risk factors. We performed gene set enrichment analysis to identify functional groups overrepresented in these risk factor genes and examined their relationships with the COVID-19 disease pathway. Results: We found that upregulated expression of 70 genes and downregulated expression of 181 genes in pre-existing health conditions were correlated with increased risk of COVID-19 related death. These genes were significantly enriched with endoplasmic reticulum (ER) function, proinflammatory reaction, and interferon production that participate in viral transcription and immune responses to viral infections. Conclusions: Impaired innate immunity in pre-existing health conditions are associated with increased hazard of COVID-19 mortality. The discovered molecular risk factors are potential prognostic biomarkers and targets for therapeutic interventions.


2014 ◽  
Vol 14 (12) ◽  
pp. 1250-1258 ◽  
Author(s):  
Evropi Theodoratou ◽  
David A McAllister ◽  
Craig Reed ◽  
Davies O Adeloye ◽  
Igor Rudan ◽  
...  

Blood ◽  
2013 ◽  
Vol 122 (21) ◽  
pp. 553-553
Author(s):  
Saro Armenian ◽  
Can-Lan Sun ◽  
Mukta Arora ◽  
K. Scott Baker ◽  
Liton Francisco ◽  
...  

Abstract Introduction HCT is frequently offered as a curative option for children with benign and malignant conditions. Improvement in HCT strategies have increased survival by approximately 10% per decade. Adult HCT survivors are at increased risk for chronic health conditions (Sun, Blood 2010), and premature death (Bhatia, Blood 2007; 2005). The magnitude of risk of these chronic health conditions and of premature death in childhood HCT survivors is not known. Methods Participants were drawn from the BMTSS, and included patients undergoing HCT between 1976 and 1998 at City of Hope or University of Minnesota. Participants were ≤21 years of age at HCT and were ≥2 yrs from myeloablative HCT. Participants completed a questionnaire addressing the diagnosis of physical health conditions (endocrinopathies, central nervous system compromise, cardiopulmonary dysfunction, gastrointestinal sequelae, musculoskeletal abnormalities, and subsequent malignancies), chronic GvHD (cGVHD), and sociodemographics. Chronic physical health conditions were graded using CTCAE v 3.0 (grade 1-5, ranging from mild to death due to chronic health condition). Relative risk (RR) regression was used to identify risk of health conditions and 95% confidence interval (CI). Information on vital status and cause of death was obtained from medical records, National Death Index, and Social Security Death Index, and compared with age-, sex-and calendar-specific mortality of the US general population (standardized mortality ratio [SMR]). Results The current study included 317 BMTSS participants. Median age at HCT was 7.9 yrs, and at study participation was 19.9 yrs; time from HCT was 10.3 yrs; 42% were female, 86.7% were non-Hispanic white, and 79% underwent allogeneic HCT. The most frequent indications for HCT included AML (27%), ALL (21%), SAA (13%), lymphoma (6%), and CML (5%). Total body irradiation (TBI) was used in 61% of 2 year survivors, and cGvHD was reported in 26%. Health Conditions: The cumulative incidence of a chronic health condition (grade 1-5) was 56% (95% CI: 51%-60%) at 15 years after HCT, with a cumulative incidence of 25% (95% CI: 20%-30%) for severe/life-threatening or fatal condition (grade 3-5, Figure). The highest incidence of grade 3-5 conditions was in allogeneic HCT recipients with cGvHD (32% at 15 years, 95% CI: 20%-44%; Figure). Risk Factors: After adjustment for age at HCT, follow-up, ethnicity/race, diagnosis, relapse risk at HCT, and treatment era, female participants were 1.2 (1.0-1.4, p=0.02) times more likely to report a chronic health condition, and 1.6 (1.1-2.4, p=0.01) times more likely to report a severe/life-threatening/fatal condition. Exposure to TBI was associated with a 1.3-fold (1.0-1.5, p=0.02) risk of a chronic health condition, and a 2.6-fold (1.4-4.91, p=0.003) risk of a severe/life-threatening/fatal condition compared to chemotherapy-only conditioning. Among allogeneic HCT recipients, cGvHD was associated with a 2.0-fold (1.2-3.2, p<0.01) risk of severe/life-threatening/fatal conditions when compared to survivors without cGvHD. Healthcare utilization: 92% of the survivors carried health insurance and 68% had been seen at their transplant center within the past 2 yrs. Late mortality: Overall survival in 2 year survivors was 80% at 10 years (68% autologous, 83% allogeneic, p<0.01). The primary cause of death included primary disease (61%), secondary cancer (8%), cGvHD (6%), cardiopulmonary compromise (5%), and other causes (21%). The cohort was at a 22-fold (SMR 22.0, 18.9-25.5, p<0.01) increased risk of premature death compared to age-and sex-matched general population. Female participants, those treated with TBI, and autologous HCT survivors had the highest risk of premature death (Table). Conclusions Childhood HCT survivors carry a substantial burden of morbidity, years following completion of therapy, providing clear evidence for their close monitoring in a specialized setting targeting these high risk complications. Disclosures: No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.


2021 ◽  
Vol 47 (5) ◽  
pp. 22-26
Author(s):  
Adrian Toh

Obesity is a growing global concern, and Singapore is not spared from the global epidemic. Apart from the increased risk for many serious diseases and health conditions, obese individuals are vulnerable to many psychological comorbidities. Obesity management through lifestyle changes can be limited by various barriers, increasing the challenge of implementation and leaving some clinicians feeling frustrated and stressed. The paper examines the barriers identified in the literature, discusses the use of cognitive behavioural concepts and techniques to facilitate the lifestyle change process and explores the use of motivation and readiness to change to guide the clinician’s strategies.


Author(s):  
Sefer Elezkurtaj ◽  
Selina Greuel ◽  
Jana Ihlow ◽  
Edward Michaelis ◽  
Philip Bischoff ◽  
...  

ABSTRACTInfection by the new corona virus strain SARS-CoV-2 and its related syndrome COVID-19 has caused several hundreds of thousands of deaths worldwide. Patients of higher age and with preexisting chronic health conditions are at an increased risk of fatal disease outcome. However, detailed information on causes of death and the contribution of comorbidities to death yet is missing. Here, we report autopsy findings on causes of death and comorbidities of 26 decedents that had clinically presented with severe COVID-19. We found that septic shock and multi organ failure was the most common immediate cause of death, often due to suppurative pulmonary infection. Respiratory failure due to diffuse alveolar damage presented as the most immediate cause of death in fewer cases. Several comorbidities, such as hypertension, ischemic heart disease, and obesity were present in the vast majority of patients. Our findings reveal that causes of death were directly related to COVID-19 in the majority of decedents, while they appear not to be an immediate result of preexisting health conditions and comorbidities. We therefore suggest that the majority of patients had died of COVID-19 with only contributory implications of preexisting health conditions to the mechanism of death.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anna Serlachius ◽  
Sherif M Badawy ◽  
Hiran Thabrew

UNSTRUCTURED School closures, altered access to health services, and economic stress during the COVID-19 pandemic have likely had an impact on the mental and physical well-being of youth worldwide, particularly among those with chronic health conditions (CHCs). A number of challenges and opportunities have emerged during the COVID-19 pandemic for youth with CHCs. Challenges include heightened anxiety, disrupted routines, academic and social stresses associated with school closure, increased risk of domestic violence and abuse, and reduced access to physical and psychosocial support. On the other hand, opportunities include reduced academic and social stress, increased time with families, reduced access to substances, easier access to health care using technology, and opportunities to build resilience. This viewpoint paper highlights both challenges and opportunities for youth with CHCs during the pandemic and offers recommendations for further research and clinical care.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jennifer A. Davidson ◽  
Amitava Banerjee ◽  
Rohini Mathur ◽  
Mary Ramsay ◽  
Liam Smeeth ◽  
...  

ABSTRACTWe used primary and linked secondary healthcare data to investigate the incidence of clinically diagnosed influenza/influenza-like-illness (ILI) by ethnicity in England from 2008-2018. We identified higher incidence rate ratios for influenza/ILI among South Asian (1.70, 95% CI 1.66-1.75), Black (1.48, 1.44-1.53) and Mixed (1.22, 1.15-1.30) groups compared to White ethnicity.People from ethnic minority backgrounds are represented disproportionately among patients with severe COVID-19. Recent research has found people of Black and South Asian ethnicity have increased risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection, COVID-19-related hospitalization and death, independent of deprivation, occupation, household size, and underlying health conditions(1,2).The COVID-19 pandemic has reinforced the importance of seasonal influenza vaccination. By preventing influenza-related hospitalization, vaccination can minimize the risk of hospital-acquired COVID-19 (co-) infection for these individuals and reduce health service pressures, particularly the need for isolation of patients with respiratory symptoms awaiting COVID-19 test results.In the UK, influenza vaccine is routinely recommended for adults aged ≥65 years, or people <65 years with underlying health conditions. These recommendations formed the basis of the original guidance to identify patients at moderate- and high-risk of COVID-19. Influenza vaccine recommendations were expanded for the 2020/21 season to include all adults ≥50 years(3). However, vaccine uptake among clinical risk groups is low, particularly for Black and Mixed Black ethnic groups(4). In addition, people of non-White ethnicity have higher risk of severe outcomes following influenza infection(5,6). It is unclear whether this is driven by the risk of infection or complications, with most research focused on distal outcomes rather than initial infection risk.Here we investigate the incidence of influenza and influenza-like-illness (ILI) by ethnicity from 2008-2018 among people not eligible for routine influenza vaccination, to consider disparities in infection risk.


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