scholarly journals The problems with delay discounting: a critical review of current practices and clinical applications

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-8
Author(s):  
Allen J. Bailey ◽  
Ricardo J. Romeu ◽  
Peter R. Finn

Abstract Delay discounting paradigms have gained widespread popularity across clinical research. Given the prevalence in the field, researchers have set lofty expectations for the importance of delay discounting as a key transdiagnostic process and a ‘core’ process underlying specific domains of dysfunction (e.g. addiction). We believe delay discounting has been prematurely reified as, in and of itself, a core process underlying psychological dysfunction, despite significant concerns with the construct validity of discounting rates. Specifically, high delay discounting rates are only modestly related to measures of psychological dysfunction and therefore are not ‘core’ to these more complex behavioral problems. Furthermore, discounting rates do not appear to be specifically related to any disorder(s) or dimension(s) of psychopathology. This raises fundamental concerns about the utility of discounting, if the measure is only loosely associated with most forms of psychopathology. This stands in striking contrast to claims that discounting can serve as a ‘marker’ for specific disorders, despite never demonstrating adequate sensitivity or specificity for any disorder that we are aware of. Finally, empirical evidence does not support the generalizability of discounting rates to other decisions made either in the lab or in the real-world, and therefore discounting rates cannot and should not serve as a summary measure of an individual's decision-making patterns. We provide recommendations for improving future delay discounting research, but also strongly encourage researchers to consider whether the empirical evidence supports the field's hyper-focus on discounting.

Author(s):  
Ana M. Franco-Watkins ◽  
Timothy C. Rickard ◽  
Hal Pashler

A link has been established between impulsivity in real-world situations and impulsive decision making in laboratory tasks in brain-damaged patients and individuals with substance abuse. Whether or not this link exists for all individuals is less clear. We conducted an experiment to determine whether taxing central executive processes with a demanding cognitive load task results in impulsive decision making in a normal sample. Participants (n = 53) completed a delay discounting task under the presence (load condition) and absence (control condition) of a demanding generation task. Results indicated that taxing working memory is neither necessary nor sufficient to produce impulsive decision making; instead, the demanding generation task resulted in an increase in the number of inconsistent choices.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xuechunzi Bai ◽  
Susan Fiske ◽  
Varun Gauri

Moral cosmopolitanism prioritizes global welfare over national interest. Cosmopolitans, in contrast to moral patriots, bestow equitable benefit and security across borders. Participants from four continents (N = 5,772) endorsed degrees of belief in equitable benefit and security, which respectively predicted (a) making monetary donations to global rather than national organizations and (b) protecting an immigrant rather than citizens. Correlated with their decision making, cosmopolitans’ accessible concepts included the relevant group, impartiality, and concrete need construal. Manipulating the accessibility of these cosmopolitan thoughts increased global donations by 12%. We situate theories of morality without borders in diverse, real-world contexts, and provide large-scale empirical evidence regarding cognitive conditions for cosmopolitan thinking. Increasing moral cosmopolitanism through reasoning could be valuable for global decision-making in domains such as climate change, migration, poverty, trade, and public health.


2018 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 72
Author(s):  
Magda Nana

<p><em>Watts and Zimmermen are the represents the first developer of Positive Accounting Theory (PAT) which has provided a new direction in the development of accounting research in the mid-1960s. In the 1940s and early 1960s research in accounting is dominated by normative research that more emphasis on what should happen in the world of accounting. This differs from the PAT that put more emphasis on how accounting theory can explain and predict the phenomena occurring in the real world of accounting.</em></p><p><em>The friction from normative to positive approaches that occur in accounting research, several things happen because of, among others: (1) the inability of the normative approach in testing the theory empirically, (2) normative approach is more focused on investors, and (3) normative approach does not allow the allocation of capital </em><em>in the stock market. Now days a lot of positive research is dominated by the accounting practices related to decision making for investors. Many researchers who have PAT provides empirical evidence about accounting practices, such as Ball and Brown, Healy, Jensen and Meckling and many other researchers.</em></p><p><em>In addition to providing new insights in accounting research, PAT proposed by Watts and Zimmermen also getting some criticism from researchers in the environment of accounting, such as Sterling, Christenson and some other researchers associated with the methods, methodologies and the development of the PAT.</em></p><p><strong><em> </em></strong></p><p><em>Key</em><em> </em><em>word<strong>:</strong> Positive accounting theory, some critical to positive accounting theory</em></p>


2009 ◽  
pp. 42-61
Author(s):  
A. Oleynik

Power involves a number of models of choice: maximizing, satisficing, coercion, and minimizing missed opportunities. The latter is explored in detail and linked to a particular type of power, domination by virtue of a constellation of interests. It is shown that domination by virtue of a constellation of interests calls for justification through references to a common good, i.e. a rent to be shared between Principal and Agent. Two sources of sub-optimal outcomes are compared: individual decision-making and interactions. Interactions organized in the form of power relationships lead to sub-optimal outcomes for at least one side, Agent. Some empirical evidence from Russia is provided for illustrative purposes.


2019 ◽  
Vol 14 (3) ◽  
pp. 224-228
Author(s):  
Steffen Mickenautsch

Background: Inductive reasoning relies on an infinite regress without sufficient factual basis and verification is at any time vulnerable to single contrary observation. Thus, appraisal based on inductive verification, as applied in current clinical trial appraisal scales, checklists or grading systems, cannot prove or justify trial validity. Discussion: Trial appraisal based on deductive falsification can identify invalid trials and give evidence for the recommendation to exclude these from clinical decision-making. Such appraisal remains agnostic towards corroborated trials that pass all appraisal criteria. The results of corroborated trials cannot be considered more robust than falsified trials since nothing within a particular set of complied trial criteria can give certainty for trial compliance with any other appraisal criterion in future. A corroborated trial may or may not reflect therapeutic truth and may thus be the basis for clinical guidance, pending results of any future trial re-appraisal. Conclusion: Trial grading following appraisal based on deductive falsification should be binary (0 = Invalid or 1 = Unclear) and single component scores should be multiplied. Appraisal criteria for the judgment of trial characteristics require a clear rationale, quantification of such rationale and empirical evidence concerning the effect of trial characteristics on trial results.


2018 ◽  
Vol 38 (3) ◽  
pp. 149-166 ◽  
Author(s):  
F. Todd DeZoort ◽  
Travis P. Holt ◽  
Jonathan D. Stanley

SUMMARY Materiality remains a challenging concept for auditors to implement in practice. The challenges underlying auditor materiality assessments are compounded by the fact that courts, regulation, and professional standards emphasize that materiality should be based on a “reasonable investor” perspective. Despite the investor orientation and ambiguous nature of the “reasonable investor” criterion, the extant literature lacks empirical evidence about investor materiality judgments and decision-making. To address this problem, we model sophisticated and unsophisticated investors' materiality judgments in a policy-capturing study and compare them to experienced auditors charged with assessing materiality from an investor perspective. The results indicate significant differences in materiality judgments, judgment consensus, and cue utilization among the three participant groups. We conclude the paper with discussion of the study's implications, highlighting that the overall results suggest the need for further consideration of ways to help auditors meet standards and expectations in this critical domain.


2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (6) ◽  
pp. 2817
Author(s):  
Tae-Gyu Hwang ◽  
Sung Kwon Kim

A recommender system (RS) refers to an agent that recommends items that are suitable for users, and it is implemented through collaborative filtering (CF). CF has a limitation in improving the accuracy of recommendations based on matrix factorization (MF). Therefore, a new method is required for analyzing preference patterns, which could not be derived by existing studies. This study aimed at solving the existing problems through bias analysis. By analyzing users’ and items’ biases of user preferences, the bias-based predictor (BBP) was developed and shown to outperform memory-based CF. In this paper, in order to enhance BBP, multiple bias analysis (MBA) was proposed to efficiently reflect the decision-making in real world. The experimental results using movie data revealed that MBA enhanced BBP accuracy, and that the hybrid models outperformed MF and SVD++. Based on this result, MBA is expected to improve performance when used as a system in related studies and provide useful knowledge in any areas that need features that can represent users.


Author(s):  
Jessica M. Franklin ◽  
Kai‐Li Liaw ◽  
Solomon Iyasu ◽  
Cathy Critchlow ◽  
Nancy Dreyer

Synthese ◽  
2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ellen Fridland

AbstractThis paper provides an account of the strategic control involved in skilled action. When I discuss strategic control, I have in mind the practical goals, plans, and strategies that skilled agents use in order to specify, structure, and organize their skilled actions, which they have learned through practice. The idea is that skilled agents are better than novices not only at implementing the intentions that they have but also at forming the right intentions. More specifically, skilled agents are able formulate and modify, adjust and adapt their practical intentions in ways that are appropriate, effective, and flexible given their overall goals. Further, to specify the kind of action plans that are involved in strategic control, I’ll rely on empirical evidence concerning mental practice and mental imagery from sports psychology as well as evidence highlighting the systematic differences in the cognitive representations of skills between experts and non-experts. I’ll claim that, together, this evidence suggests that the intentions that structure skilled actions are practical and not theoretical, that is, that they are perceptual and motor and not abstract, amodal, or linguistic. Importantly, despite their grounded nature, these plans are still personal-level, deliberate, rational states. That is, the practical intentions used to specify and structure skilled actions are best conceived of as higher-order, motor-modal structures, which can be manipulated and used by the agent for the purpose of reasoning, deliberation, decision-making and, of course, the actual online structuring and organizing of action.


2021 ◽  
pp. medethics-2020-107134
Author(s):  
Thana Cristina de Campos-Rudinsky ◽  
Eduardo Undurraga

Although empirical evidence may provide a much desired sense of certainty amidst a pandemic characterised by uncertainty, the vast gamut of available COVID-19 data, including misinformation, has instead increased confusion and distrust in authorities’ decisions. One key lesson we have been gradually learning from the COVID-19 pandemic is that the availability of empirical data and scientific evidence alone do not automatically lead to good decisions. Good decision-making in public health policy, this paper argues, does depend on the availability of reliable data and rigorous analyses, but depends above all on sound ethical reasoning that ascribes value and normative judgement to empirical facts.


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